Investor Relations Presentation
November 2012
Investor Relations Presentation November 2012 Safe Harbor Provision - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Relations Presentation November 2012 Safe Harbor Provision of 1933, (the Exchange Act ), as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the
Investor Relations Presentation
November 2012
This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act
amended, with respect to our financial condition, results of operations and business and our expectations or beliefs concerning future events. Such forward-looking statements include the discussions of our business strategies, estimates of future global steel production, trends toward outsourcing and other market metrics and
that any forward-looking statements will prove to be correct. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Certain areas of this presentation depict Revenue After Raw Materials Costs, EBITDA and Discretionary Cash Flow, which are non-GAAP financial measures. Revenue After Raw Materials Costs, EBITDA and Discretionary Cash Flow are not and should not be considered alternatives to revenues or net income or any other financial measure under U.S. GAAP. We reconcile these measurements to GAAP in our quarterly and annual reports on forms 10-Q and 10-K, filed with the S.E.C. pursuant to the Exchange Act. Our calculation of Revenue After Raw Materials Costs, EBITDA and Discretionary Cash Flow may differ from methods used by other companies. When we use the term “North America” in this presentation, we are referring to the United States and Canada; when we use the term “international,” we are referring to countries other than the United States and Canada; when we use the term “Latin America”, we are referring to Mexico, Central America, South America and the Caribbean, including Trinidad & Tobago.
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Joe Curtin: Chairman, President and CEO Ray Kalouche: Chief Operating Officer, and President and COO
David Aronson: COO, Raw Materials and Optimization Group Tom Lippard: Executive Vice President & General Counsel Dan Rosati: Executive Vice President & CFO Kelly Boyer: VP, Investor Relations & Treasurer
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TMS enables steel producers to generate substantial operational efficiencies and cost savings
Raw Materials Procurement and Logistics Proprietary, Software-Based Raw Materials Cost Optimization Scrap Management and Preparation Semi-Finished and Finished Material Handling Metal Recovery and Slag Handling, Processing and Sales Surface Conditioning
Pre-Steel Making Post-Steel Making Steel Making
Raw Material and Optimization Group (RMOG) Mill Services Group (MSG) 5
Iron Ore
Coke
Limestone Blast Furnace
Produces molten pig iron from iron ore
Scrap Steel
Electric Arc Furnace
Produces molten steel
Pig Iron
Basic Oxygen Furnace
Produces molten steel
TMS is embedded in all phases of our customers’ ’ ’ ’ operations – providing mission critical services throughout the steel-making process
80-85% As Needed for quality
Rolling/Finishing Facilities
Slag
70-75% 80-85% 15-20%
Surface Conditioning
Liquid Steel ===
85-87%
Transport Finished Goods Loading Dock/Rail/Truck On-Site Transport On-Site Transport
Liquid Steel ===
Semi-Finished Material
Raw Materials Sourcing & Logistics 6
variable
good visibility
Raw Materials Procurement and Logistics Proprietary, Software-Based Raw Materials Cost Optimization Scrap Management and Preparation Semi-Finished and Finished Material Handling Metal Recovery and Slag Handling, Processing and Sales Surface Conditioning
Mill Services Group
Unique Business Model Reduces Cyclicality And Risk Operations Services / North America Market Share #1 #1 #1 #1 #2 #1
TTM at 09/30/12 Revenue After Raw Materials Costs: $596MM Adjusted EBITDA: $142MM
Raw Material and Optimization Group
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9 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1st Qtr'12 2nd Qtr '12 3rd Qtr '12 EAF Mills (SMA) 4.01 4.32 4.33 3.97 3.19 4.15 4.91 2.98 3.08 3.2 Integrated Mills (AISI) 5.42 3.63 2.64 2.33 1.97 2.45 1.87 Slag (NSA) 6.47 6.46 4.7 4.47 2.72 3.25 2.56 TCIMS 4.17 4.7 3.06 2.6 0.93 1.44 1.51 1.48 1.57 1.67
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Customer Number of TMS Sites Years of Service (1)
AK Steel 4 24 ArcelorMittal 12 72 CMC 3 18 Evraz 2 23 Gerdau 10 35 Nucor 9 33 SSAB 1 23 Tata Steel 3 51 Ternium 2 5 United States Steel 9 69 Average length of service >34
(1) Includes service to predecessor entities.
Customer base includes 12 of top 15 largest global steel producers by volume Average length of top 10 customer relationships –
Offer broadest portfolio of services Deep operational integration Contracts written on a site-level and service-level basis, mitigating potential customer concentration Mission-critical, cost-effective service offerings
Contracts are written on a site-by-site basis which reduces the risk associated with customer concentration
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Monclova Monterrey Puebla Saltillo
Ho Chi Minh City Singapore Jakarta Kaohsiung Taichung Beijing Dubai Abu Dhabi Vanderbijlpark S.A Saldanha, S.A. Kosice Gent Immingham Florange Le Creusot Teeside Sheffield Dunkerque Commentry Marseilles Genk
Saskatchewan IPSCO (Regina) UT Nucor Steel (Plymouth) IA North Star Steel (Wilton) AR MacSteel (Ft. Smith) GA Gerdau AmeriSteel WI Charter Steel (Saukville) L'Orignal NY Nucor Steel (Auburn) WV ISGWeirton Steel (Weirton) IL MN OR MS DE Saskatchewan Regina UT AR GA WI Ontario NY TN TX NE IN SC VA MI PA OH NJ AZ KY FL AL CT
Belo Horizonte
Revenue by Geography
International Revenue after Raw Material Costs has increased from 6% in 2007 to 26% YTD 9/30/12
+,,- ./0,/1+ 2*( %- ./ / ( / /
Raw Material Procurement Offices Mill Services Locations
Seoul
WA
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Kuala Lumpur
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Notes: Figures represent CAGR over stated period. Regional GDP and Industrial Production represents a weighted average of selected countries in region. Source: CRU International as of August 2012 and Economist Intelligence Unit as of November 2012.
Middle East
’ ’ ’ ’12-’ ’ ’ ’16 Steel Production: 6.4% GDP: 3.7% Industrial Production: 4.2%
China
’ ’ ’ ’12-’ ’ ’ ’16 Steel Production: 4.9% GDP: 8.2% Industrial Production: 11.1%
South Africa
’ ’ ’ ’12-’ ’ ’ ’16 Steel Production: 5.2% GDP: 3.8% Industrial Production: 4.6%
Eastern Europe / Russia
’12-’16 Steel Production: 3.0% GDP: 3.3% Industrial Production: 4.6%
Turkey
’12-’16 Steel Production: 4.1% GDP: 4.9% Industrial Production: 5.2%
Brazil
’12-’16 Steel Production: 5.2% GDP: 4.0% Industrial Production: 4.2%
Latin America
’12-’16 Steel Production: 5.5% GDP: 3.9% Industrial Production: 3.8%
Mexico
’12-’16 Steel Production: 3.6% GDP: 3.7% Industrial Production: 4.8%
India
’ ’ ’ ’12-’ ’ ’ ’16 Steel Production: 7.4% GDP: 7.3% Industrial Production: 7.4%
United States / Canada
’12-’16 Steel Production: 2.9% GDP: 2.3% Industrial Production: 3.0%
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Rest of World BRIC 0. 0 0, 0 0 0, 0,
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Source: MSCI, September 2012
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Source: AISI, October 2012
34'5 67.9
U.S. Steel Industry Capacity Utilization 2002-2008 Average Utilization
4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000
2005 2007 2009 2011
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Notes: Size of bubble represents current market size based on current Crude Steel Production Source: Management, CRU. Expected Market Growth is based on 2011E – 2016E Crude Steel Production CAGR. Source: CRU.
Expected Market Growth Maturity of Steel Services Outsourcing Market
Low High Low High China
APAC ex-China Middle East Eastern Europe / Russia Latin America Western Europe North America
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lead in terms of steel production growth. For the first three quarters of 2012 US production is up by 4%
strict ROIC hurdle rates
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September YTD 2012:
2011:
Summary of New Contracts:
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2011 September YTD 2012 # of contract wins 9 17 Additional revenue backlog $433MM $307MM Growth capital commitment $60 - $65MM $35 - $40MM Average new contract term 5 - 10 years 7 - 15 years
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1) Seoul, South Korea 2) Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
traders hired and offices opened in Mexico, Brazil, Texas and Dubai earlier in the year
per ton margins
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Tiered pricing structure Minimum monthly fees regardless of volume Price adjustments based
Approximately 80% of
Variable maintenance capital expenditures Procurement contracts matched with customer orders Long-term contracts with long-term customers
BUSINESS MODEL ATTRIBUTES BUSINESS MODEL STRENGTHS
Revenue grows as steel production grows – not linked to steel prices. Built-in protection from: 1) steel production declines and 2) increases in key operating costs Ability to respond quickly to changing business conditions Maintenance capital expenditures tied to equipment utilization Minimal inventory and commodity price risk
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Two complementary business segments Complementary segments produce cross- selling opportunities and more complete knowledge of customer needs
24% to 26% High Discretionary Cash Margins (1) Variable Operating Cost Structure ~80% Superior Contract Renewal Rate (2) >96% Long-Term Contracted Revenue Base 88% Highly Visible Contracted Backlog (3) (4)
(1) Discretionary Cash is defined as Adjusted EBITDA – Maintenance Capital Expenditures. (2) Since 2005. (3) Estimated future Revenue After Raw Materials Costs over existing contracts’ remaining terms. (4) As of September 30, 2012
1 2 3 4 5 6
$1.9 billion
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Strong Balance Sheet with Significant Liquidity (4) $350MM Revolver $26MM Cash
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~17% to 19% of Revenue After Raw Materials Costs
!&3!"6> 9!&> #?&#)@(9'>
$54 $54 $67 $68 $89 $92 14.2% 13.1% 14.4% 19.0% 19.0% 16.8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
DCP % of Revenue After Raw Materials Costs
'$6-2#& >
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$1,376 $1,670 $2,983 $1,298 $2,031 $2,661 $224 $257 $384 $209 $332 $411 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Total Revenue Average Scrap Price / Ton1
/3!&3!"6
$378 $410 $467 $358 $466 $549 85.3% 86.4% 81.2% 51.0% 70.1% 74.8% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Rev enue Af ter Raw Materials Costs U.S. Steel Industry Capacity Utilization
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3 2
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Quarter Ended Sept 30 ($MM) YTD Sept 30 ($MM) 2012 2011 % Change 2012 2011 % Change
Industry Capacity Utilization
74.7% 76.2% (2%) 76.9% 74.8% +3%
Revenue After Raw Materials Costs
$149.0 $139.3 +7% $458.4 $411.6 +11%
Adjusted EBITDA
$35.7 $34.3 +4% $110.4 $102.4 +8%
Discretionary Cashflow (1)
$24.9 $23.6 +6% $82.2 $73.8 +11%
Growth Capital (2)
$18.4 $15.3 $56.5 $23.3
(1) Defined as Adjusted EBITDA less Maintenance Capital Expenditures. (2) Capital expenditures includes 2011 carry-forward.
New contract wins in MSG and new business wins in RMOG driving significant year-over-year growth
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($MM) Rate Maturity ABL Revolver ($350MM facility) $0 L + 150/225 Dec 2016 Senior Secured Term Loan $296 L + 450 (1) Mar 2019 Capital Leases and Other $12 Total Debt $308 Less: Cash $26 Net Debt $282 Adjusted EBITDA (TTM 3Q 2012) $142 Net Debt / EBITDA 2.0x
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(1) LIBOR floor of 1.25%.
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Continue global expansion of Mill Service contracts by selectively penetrating new locations and cross-selling services Expand Outsourced Purchasing presence in Asia, Middle East/Africa, Latin America and Europe Carefully manage start-ups to ensure smooth operational transitions and achievement of profitability forecasts Continue to monitor customer production volumes and implement cost- actions, if necessary Continued stringent cost discipline 2012 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $142 - $148 million
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