Investor Presentation Presentation Outline Key Credit Highlights 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation Presentation Outline Key Credit Highlights 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Indias National Export Credit Agency Investor Presentation Presentation Outline Key Credit Highlights 1 The India Story 2 The Exim Bank Story 3 Appendix 4 2 Section 2 Key Credit Highlights The India Story Key Credit Highlights 1
Presentation Outline
Key Credit Highlights The India Story The Exim Bank Story
1 2 3
Appendix
4
2
Section 2 The India Story
Key Credit Highlights
Key Credit Highlights
India’s Engine for Growth of International Trade
Management Strength India: Strong & Sustained Economic Growth EXIM: Proxy to Sovereign Financial Highlights Policy Role at National Level
1 2 3 4 5 4
Section 2 The India Story
The India Story
India: Strong & Sustained Economic Growth
Nominal GDP (US$ bn) World’s 7th largest economy based on nominal GDP in 2016 (2)
- Nominal GDP for 2016: ~US$ 2.3 tn(2)
World’s 3rd largest economy based on GDP measured in PPP terms in 2016 (2)
- GDP in PPP terms for 2016: ~US$ 8.7 tn(2)
GDP growth rate for FY18 (Apr – Jun) estimated at 5.7%(3) Favorable demographic profile: 66% of the population is between the age of 15 to 64 years (4) Foreign Exchange Reserves rose to US$ 402.2 billion as on September 22, 2017, covering over twelve months of import. Implementation of currency exchange (demonetization) and GST to strengthen fundamentals of the economy through increased tax
collection and greater financial inclusion. (5)
FYxx means financial year ended March 31, 20xx. E- estimated P - Projected Source: (1) Institute of International Finance (IIF); (2) IMF World Economic Outlook October 2017; (3) Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MOSPI); (4) World Bank Database; (5) India Development Update May 2017, World Bank
Resilient GDP Growth(1,2,3)
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Indian Economy: Key Economic Indicators
Key Macroeconomic Metrices
Key Parameters FY2013 FY2017 Change Gross National Saving (% of GDP) (3) 33.8 32.2* (160 bps) Gross Domestic Investment (% of GDP) (3) 38.6 33.2* (540 bps) Capital Expenditure (% of Total Expenditure) (3) 11.8 13.9 210 bps Revenue Deficit (% of GDP) (3) 3.7 2.1 (160 bps) FDI Inflows (US$ billion) (2) 34.3 60.2 75.51% GNPA (as % of Gross Advances) (2) 3.2 9.6 654 bps Exchange Rate (INR/US$, avg.) (2) 54.1 67.1 24.03%
Current Account Deficit (2) General Government Debt (% of GDP) (1) Currency Movement (4)
Source: (1) Institute of International Finance (IIF) Database. (2) Reserve Bank of India, Press Release and Online Database (accessed online on 19/07/2017) (3) Office of the Economic Adviser, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Government of India. (4) Reuters (Rebased to 100) * Data pertains to FY16 (as per latest available data) ** Base year for CPI Inflation FY13-FY17 is 2012=100
CPI Inflation Rate (2)**
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10.1% 9.3% 5.8% 4.9% 3.8% 3.3% FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY 18 (Apr-Sep) CPI 47.7 47.3 46.6 47.2 50.1 18.9 18.9 19.0 20.4 17.8 66.6 66.2 65.6 67.6 67.9 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 F 17E Centre State FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17E
India’s Twin Balance Sheet problem
- Investment-GDP Ratio soared by 11% points to 38% in four
years to FY 2007-08;
- Expectations of sustained double digit growth by corporates;
- In three years to FY 2008-09, non-food bank credit doubled;
- Surge in capital inflows, reaching 9% of GDP in FY 2007-08;
- High Leverage for corporates accentuated by cost overruns;
- Tightening of monetary policy due to rise in inflation:
Repo rates increased from 4.75% in April 2009 to 8.50% October 2011;
- Depreciation added to the stress in FC debt servicing:
USD/INR depreciated from 52.97 in February 2013 to 68.36 in August 2013;
- By 2013, 33% of Debt owed by corporates with ICR < 1;
increased to above 40% by 2016
Source: Economic Survey 2016-17, Bloomberg Database * RBI * *PRC 2017 Article IV consultation, IMF
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Over Leveraged Corporates Bad-Loan-Encumbered Banks
- More than 12% of GNPA Ratio as on March 31, 2017 in PSBs;
- India relatively resilient vis-à-vis Banks in US & Europe after the
Global Financial Crisis due to ultimate ownership by GOI;
- Greater focus on resolution than recapitalisation;
- Suggestion for a central Public Sector Asset Rehabilitation
Agency (PARA); Employed by East Asian Countries after the 1997 Asian Crisis; Dual moral hazard issue.
- Bank Credit to GDP (%)
India - 51.6% (March 31, 2017)* China – 143.5% (December 31, 2016)**
Sound External Sector
Trend of Merchandise Trade(1) Trend of Services Trade(2) India’s Export Pattern(1) India’s Import Pattern(1)
Merchandise trade (exports + imports) as percentage of GDP stood at 30% in FY17(1). India’s share in global merchandise trade stood at 1.9% (2016)(3) India emerged as the 20th largest merchandise exporter in 2016; and accounted for 1.7% of global merchandise exports in the same year(3) India is the 8th largest exporter of services in 2016, accounting for 3.3% of global services exports(3)
Source: (1) MOCI/IIF (2) Balance of Payment Statistics, RBI (3) World Trade Organization (accessed on 26/10/2017)
FY 2013 FY 2017
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(US$ bn) (US$ bn) 44 43 36 33 33 29 32 61 25 33 23 19 22 21 20 17 42 45
Gems & Jewellery Textiles Chemicals Petroleum Products Agri & Allied Products Transport Equipments Base Metals Machinery Others
87 164 54 84 42 33 34 37 33 36 23 17 22 26 22 27 69 67
Petroleum Products Gems & Jewellery Electronics Items Chemicals Machinery Agri & Allied Products Ores & Minerals Base Metals Others
US$ 300 bn US$ 276 bn US$ 491 bn US$ 384 bn FY 2013 FY 2017 300 314 310 262 276 72 491 450 448 381 384 112
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18(Apr-Jun)
Expors Imports 146 152 158 154 163 40 81 79 82 85 96 22
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18(Apr-Jun)
Expors Imports
External Debt vis-à-vis External Reserves
(1) ‘Volatile capital flows’ is defined to include cumulative portfolio inflows and short-term debt (RBI). For FY17, Volatile Capital Flow data pertains to end-March’17. (2) Volatile capital flows to Reserves ratio peaked at 97.4% in September 2013 (3) Source: RBI/Ministry of Finance, Government of India
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External Debt 409.4 446.2 474.7 485.0 471.9 485.8 External Reserves 292.0 304.2 341.6 360.2 370.0 386.5
FY 17 FY 13
(US$ bn)
External Debt External Reserves FY 17 FY 13
34% 24% 17% 14% 6%4% 37% 18% 25% 13% 5% 2% Commercial Borrowings Short Term Non Resident Multilateral Bilateral Trade Credit 89% 9% 2% Foreign Currency Assets Gold SDRs / Reserve Tranche 94% 5% 1%
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- Liberalisation of FDI
- Aadhaar backed Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT)
- The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2016 (IBC)
- The Banking Regulation (Amendment) Act, 2017
- The Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act, 2016 (RERA)
- Improvements to the Monetary Policy Framework
- Demonetisation
- Goods and Service Tax (GST)
- Bank Recapitalisation Bonds
- India jumped up 30 notches into the top 100 rankings on the World Bank’s ‘ease of doing business’ index
- On the taxation index, India has vaulted up 53 places.
- After the full impact of GST, ranking is expected to improve further.
- Moody's upgrades India's government bond rating to Baa2 from Baa3; changes outlook to stable from positive
- Based on the reforms carried out by the present Government, India’s structural credit strength and global
competitiveness have improved.
Economic and Institutional Structural Reforms : Work in Progress
Section 2 The India Story
The Exim Bank Story
EXIM Bank - India’s Export Credit Agency
“for providing financial assistance to exporters and importers, and for functioning as the principal financial institution for coordinating the working of institutions engaged in financing export and import of goods and services with a view to promoting the country’s international trade…” “… shall act on business principles with due regard to public interest”
(Export-Import Bank of India Act, 1981)
“To develop commercially viable relationships with a target set of externally oriented companies by offering them a comprehensive range of products and services, aimed at enhancing their internationalisation efforts” Objectives Vision Set up under a Act of Parliament in 1982 by the Government of India (GoI) Genesis
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An instrument of Government policy as India’s official export credit agency 100% owned by Government of India (“GoI”)
- Proxy to the India Sovereign in international debt markets
- Cannot be liquidated without GoI approval
Board of Directors are appointed by GoI
- Comprises top officials from key GoI ministries (Commerce & Industry,
Finance and External Affairs) and RBI
Guarantees are provided by GoI for lines of credit extended by EXIM which
are on behalf of and supported by the GoI
A track record of GoI capital infusions
Ongoing Government Support
EXIM Bank - India’s Export Credit Agency
100% owned by GoI Directors Appointed by GoI Proxy to India Sovereign in International Debt Markets Equity Capital Infusion Guarantees
- n GoI
Routed Lines
- f Credit
14
EXIM’s credit rating has been on par with India sovereign rating since its establishment Government Capital Injection
EXIM – Proxy to Sovereign (Cont’d)
Rating is Baa2 (Stable) on par with sovereign
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- Continued GoI support evidenced by capital infusion
- Budget allocation of INR 5 bn for FY 18 from GoI towards capital, received in April 2017
Rating is BBB- (Stable) on par with sovereign
8 7 13 13 5 5 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 HY18 (INR bn)
EXIM’s Lines of Business
Export Credit Products Services Supplier’s/Buyer’s Credit Pre-Shipment Credit Post-Shipment Credit
Lines of Credit
Guarantees & L/Cs
Buyer’s Credit under NEIA
Projects Finance for Export Capability Creation Term Loans Export Facilitation Guarantees & L/Cs Working Capital Export Product Development Overseas Investment Finance Import Finance Lines of Credit Buyer’s Credit under NEIA
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Capital Strength Total Income Profitability Total Assets, Loans and Advances
* Includes loans and advances to industrial concerns, scheduled banks foreign, governments and other financial institutions and bills of exchange and promissory notes discounted / rediscounted. Amounts stated are net of provisions for non-performing loans (NPLs).
Financial Highlights
17
13.71% 12.78% 13.80% 13.04% 14.29% 14.24% 1.57% 1.54% 1.54% 1.51% 1.52% 1.51% 15.28% 14.32% 15.34% 14.55% 15.81% 15.75% FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 HY18 Tier I Tier II CAR (%) 17.04 24.10 20.74 25.30 24.81 8.81 14.91 21.62 18.12 22.72 19.39 7.58 7.42 7.10 7.26 3.16 0.41 0.36 2.14% 2.67% 1.97% 2.17% 1.70% 1.30% FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 HY18 Operating Profit (INR bn) Net Interest Income (INR bn) Net Profit (INR bn) NIM (%) 761 871 984 1,152 1,172 1,213 644 746 849 991 1,026 1,048 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 HY18 Total Assets (INR bn) Loans and Advances (INR bn) * 60 73 76 88 92 42 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 HY18 (INR bn)
Non Performing Loans(1)
Current
NPA primarily due to downgrade
- f
the restructured legacy assets
No significant new NPA during 1HY 17-18 Credit watchlist of INR 11.18 bn till March 31, 2018
Note: (1) Excludes restructured standard assets (2) Excludes advances under lines of credit, buyer’s credit under NEIA and staff loans which cannot be classified under any particular sector totaling to 35% of Gross Loans outstanding. (3) As on September 30, 2017
Asset Quality Position
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Gross Loans o/s by Major Industries(2) (3)
2.31% 2.10% 2.94% 4.17% 9.24% 9.61% 0.47% 0.43% 0.59% 0.86% 4.68% 4.63% FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 HY18 Gross NPL Ratio Net NPL Ratio 15.68% 7.05% 3.97% 3.79% 3.34% 2.66% 2.41% 2.40% 2.22% 1.90% 1.83% 1.71% 1.54% 1.30% 0.82% 0.82% 0.80% 0.62% 0.58% 8.14% Financial Services Ferrous metals and Metal processing Textiles and Garments Oil and Gas Drugs and Pharmaceuticals Petroleum products EPC Services Petrochemicals Ship building Chemicals and Dyes Shipping Services Renewable energy Mining and Minerals Auto & auto components Agro & Food Processing Construction Power Engineering goods Plastic products Others
Standard NPA Watchlist
Aggregate Country Exposure( 1)
Diversified Credit Exposure
Note:(1) As on September 30, 2017 (2) Includes advances under Production Equipment Finance Program, Long Term Working Capital Loan and staff loans. etc
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Outstanding INR 1,106 bn (1) Outstanding INR 146bn (1)
Funded Portfolio Non-Funded Portfolio
Fully hedged position on currency and basis risk. Both Assets and Liabilities on floating LIBOR basis. Exim Bank’s quasi sovereign status enables issuance at benchmark rates. Regular issuer in the International debt markets with 29 issuances under MTN Program since 2004. Debut 144A issuance for USD 1 bn in July 2016 under GMTN Program. Variety of borrowing instruments and active liability management. Issuances across currencies including AUD, CHF, CNY, JPY, MXN, SGD, TRY and ZAR.
Total Lendable Resources Total Loan Assets
(1) Data as on September 30, 2017 (2) Excluding short term interbank deposits maintained for Liquidity
Foreign Currency Asset Liability Gaps(1) Total Resources/ Loan Assets(1)(2)
Asset Liability Management
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Directors representing Ministries of Commerce, External Affairs & Finance Directors representing major Indian Public Sector Banks Director representing regulator - RBI Director representing India’s Export Credit Insurance Company Whole Time Directors
EXIM Bank – Management & Board of Directors
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Rita Teaotia Secretary, Department of Commerce, Ministry of Commerce and Industry Ramesh Abhishek Secretary, Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion, Ministry of Commerce and Industry Pankaj Jain Joint Secretary, FS, Financial Services Department Rajeev Rishi Chairman and MD, Central Bank of India Mahesh Kumar Jain Managing Director and CEO, IDBI Bank Arvind Subramanian Chief Economic Advisor, Ministry of Finance, GoI M D Patra Executive Director, RBI Rajnish Kumar Chairperson, SBI Geetha Muralidhar Chairman and MD, ECGC Ltd Dinabandhu Mohapatra Managing Director and CEO, Bank of India Debasish Mallick Deputy Managing Director David Rasquinha Managing Director Vijay Keshav Gokhale Secretary, ER, Ministry of External Affairs
Mr. David Rasquinha has been appointed by GoI as Managing Director of Export-Import Bank of India since August 16, 2017 He has been with EXIM since 1985 and prior to his current role he has held post of Deputy Managing Director. He has handled a
wide range of functions including Lines of Credit & Trade Finance and was Representative at EXIM’s Washington DC Rep Office from 1999-2004
Mr. Rasquinha holds a first class graduate degree in Economics from Mumbai University and a post graduate qualification in
Business Management from the XLRI, Jamshedpur
- Mr. David Rasquinha, Managing Director
- Mr. Debasish Mallick, Deputy Managing Director
Mr. Debasish Mallick has been appointed by GoI as Deputy Managing Director of Export-Import Bank of India since July 2014 Mr. Mallick was the Managing Director and CEO of IDBI Asset Management Company Ltd and has nearly three decades of
experience in the Banking industry. He has vast experience in the areas of Corporate Banking, International Banking, Resource Mobilisation and Treasury among others
He holds a post-graduate degree in Economics and is a Certified Associate of Indian Institute of Bankers
Highly Experienced Management Team with Government of India (GoI)Sponsorship
EXIM Bank – Senior Management
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Officer of the rank of Chief General Manager designated as Chief Risk Officer for credit, market and operational risks Tasked with risk management into the Bank’s business processes and driving the Bank’s risk management strategy
Risk Management Group
Chaired by Deputy Managing Directors and comprises Group Heads of Business Groups, Treasury and Accounts Group, and Risk
Management Group
It addresses issues of asset-liability management, interest and exchange rate risks, liquidity risk etc Chaired by Deputy Managing Directors and comprises Group Heads of Business Groups, Treasury and Accounts Group, and Risk
Management Group
The CRMC addresses rating and pricing standards, prudential limits on various exposure categories (country, sector, single and
group borrower and unsecured exposures, program-wise exposures etc.), provisioning, sector-wise outlook etc
Chaired by Deputy Managing Directors and comprises senior executives who do not have direct line responsibilities Reviews Bank’s risk profile, risk concentrations, compliance with prudential limits and overseeing the operations of CRMC and
ALCO
Reviews the Bank’s risk management policies, investment policies and strategy, and regulatory and compliance issues in relation
thereto
Constituted by the Board of Directors and conducts internal audit. Reviews all operations of ALCO , NPA loan accounts, Bank’s currency-wise liquidity position, interest rate sensitivity position and
the exceeding of any prudential limits, as well as any corrective actions taken thereto on a quarterly basis Asset-Liability Management Committee Credit Risk Management Committee Integrated Risk Management Committee Audit Committee
EXIM Bank – Institutionalised Risk Management Culture
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Section 2 The India Story
Appendix
Figures in INR mn FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 (Apr-Sep) Cash and Bank Balance 68,869 51,241 45,119 54,438 36,909 44,506 Investments 24,982 39,163 49,820 53,555 51,029 52,526 Loans and Advances(1) 643,530 745,983 849,100 991,168 1,026,410 1,048,345 Fixed Assets 876 807 1,041 1,002 1,298 1,279 Other Assets 22,925 34,296 39,169 52,015 56,427 66,580 Total Assets 761,182 871,490 984,249 1,152,178 1,172,074 1,213,236 Paid up Capital & Reserves(2) 72,390 83,097 99,026 114,868 120,239 125,239 Deposits 30,834 23,728 20,145 20,958 3,726 3,129 Notes, Bonds and Debentures 451,020 548,868 654,814 758,416 806,930 792,778 Borrowings 162,994 142,225 112,146 153,792 150,073 193,288 Profit and Loss Account 2,630 3,390 4,330 316 41 358 Other Liabilities & Provisions 41,314 70,182 93,788 103,828 91,065 98,444 Total Liabilities 761,182 871,490 984,249 1,152,178 1,172,074 1,213,236
Balance Sheet Summary
Financial Highlights (Cont’d)
Note: (1) Includes loans and advances to industrial concerns, scheduled banks, foreign governments and other financial institutions and bills of exchange and promissory notes discounted/rediscounted. Amounts stated are net of provisions for non-performing loans (NPLs). (2) Includes paid-up capital and reserves.
25
Figures in INR mn FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 (Apr-Sep) Interest Earned 56,071 68,464 71,479 82,938 84,411 39,871 Interest Expended 41,156 46,840 53,355 60,221 65,022 32,292 Net Interest Income 14,915 21,624 18,124 22,717 19,389 7,579 Non-Interest Income 3,724 4,301 4,728 4,873 7,942 2,445 Operating Income 18,639 25,925 22,852 27,590 27,331 10,024 Non-interest Expense 1,601 1,826 2,109 2,292 2,525 1,217 Provisions and Contingencies 9,615 17,001 13,484 22,140 24,394 8,449 Net Profit 7,423 7,098 7,259 3,158 412 358
Profit and Loss Summary Key Ratios
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 (Apr-Sep) Net Interest Margin 2.14% 2.67% 1.97% 2.17% 1.70% 1.30% Gross NPA 2.31% 2.10% 2.94% 4.17% 9.24% 9.61% Net NPA 0.47% 0.43% 0.60% 0.86% 4.68% 4.63% ROAA 1.05% 0.86% 0.79% 0.29% 0.04% 0.06% ROAE 11.21% 9.24% 7.89% 2.93% 0.62% 0.98% CRAR 15.28% 14.32% 15.34% 14.55% 15.81% 15.75%
Financial Highlights (Cont’d)
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About 54% of the Bank’s gross loan assets are located outside India 70% of Bank’s Gross Loan Assets are Foreign Currency (Non-rupee) assets Branch in London & Representative Offices in 8 countries
Lines of Credit Project Exports Buyer’s Credit Marketing Advisory Services Overseas Investment Finance Working Capital Direct Equity Investment Overseas Office
Geographic Presence
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