Investor Presentation
(NYSE: HRTG) November 2018
Investor Presentation (NYSE: HRTG) November 2018 SAFE HARBOR - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation (NYSE: HRTG) November 2018 SAFE HARBOR Statements in this presentation that are not historical facts are forwardlooking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and
(NYSE: HRTG) November 2018
Statements in this presentation that are not historical facts are forward‐looking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed herein. Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “believe,” “anticipate,” “approximate,” “plan,” “intend,” “could,” “would,” “estimate,” or similar expressions are intended to identify forward‐looking statements. Forward looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s expectations with regard to net investment income, underwriting margins and capital to support future premium growth and expansion initiatives. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward‐looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, among other things, risks related to the possibility that actual losses may exceed reserves; the concentration of the Company’s business in coastal states, which could be impacted by hurricane losses or other significant weather‐related events such as northeastern winter storms; the Company’s exposure to catastrophic weather events; increased costs of reinsurance, non‐availability of reinsurance, and non‐collectability of reinsurance; the Company’s failure to effectively manage its growth and integrate acquired companies; increased competition, competitive pressures, and market conditions; the Company’s failure to accurately price the risks it underwrites; the inherent uncertainty of the Company’s models and reliance on such models as a tool to evaluate risk; the failure of the Company’s claims department to effectively manage or remediate claims; low renewal rates and failure of such renewals to meet the Company’s expectations; the Company’s failure to execute its diversification strategy; failure of H the Company’s information technology systems and unsuccessful development and implementation of new technologies; a lack of redundancy in the Company’s operations; the Company’s failure to attract and retain qualified employees and independent agents or loss of key personnel; the Company’s inability to generate investment income; the Company’s inability to maintain its financial stability rating; effects of emerging claim and coverage issues relating to legal, judicial, environmental and social conditions; the failure of the Company’s risk mitigation strategies or loss limitation methods; changes in regulations and the Company’s failure to meet increased regulatory requirements; and other matters described from time to time by the Company in its filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including, but not limited to, those set forth in its Annual Report on Form 10‐K for the year ended December 31, 2017 and subsequent Quarterly Reports
looking statement, whether as a result of new information, additional or subsequent developments or otherwise, except as required by law. Non‐GAAP Financial Information: This presentation includes financial measures that are not presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S. (GAAP). A reconciliation of these non‐GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure can be found in the Appendix to this presentation on slide 24. Note: This presentation also contains information regarding securities analyst consensus and other financial professionals’ estimates of certain financial items for Heritage and other industry participants derived from reports of FactSet Research Systems (“FactSet”). These estimates are projections made by securities analysts and other financial professionals who cover Heritage and other industry participants. Any opinions, forecasts, estimates, projections or predictions regarding Heritage’s performance made by such third parties (and, therefore, such estimates) are theirs alone and do not represent the opinions, forecasts, estimates, projections or predictions of Heritage or its management. By providing these estimates, Heritage does not imply its adoption of, endorsement of or concurrence with such information, conclusions or recommendations. Heritage assumes no liability for the accuracy of such estimates and undertakes no liability to update or revise such estimates based on new information or otherwise.
November 2018 Investor Presentation 2
Company snapshot…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………Slide 5 Timeline of events………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….Slide 6 Management team……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…………………………………………………Slide 7 Value proposition……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………………………Slide 8 Valuation…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………Slides 9‐11 Key themes……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………......Slides 12‐17 Book of business…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………...Slides 19‐20 Reinsurance program……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..……Slide 21 Distribution…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………Slide 22 Investments……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….…….…Slide 23 Appendix: Reconciliation of GAAP and non‐GAAP measures………………………………………………………………………………………………….…….Slide 24 Investor relations contact details………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………………..………………….…….Slide 25
November 2018 Investor Presentation 3
Note 1: all pricing data as of the close on 11/9/2018 unless otherwise noted Note 2: all non‐market data as of 9/30/2018 unless otherwise noted
Heritage Insurance
states & licensed in 4 additional states
largest homeowners insurer in FL and 21st nationwide
largest commercial multiple peril (CMP) insurer in the state
integrated structure with in‐house underwriting, actuarial, customer service, claims processing and adjusting functions (3rd parties used as needed)
November 2018 Investor Presentation
What we do: Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. is a Florida‐based holding company that primarily provides personal and commercial residential insurance in coastal US states.
5
QUICK FACTS MARKET/FINANCIAL DATA
* Source = FactSet
Founded in 2012, Heritage has quickly grown into a leading coastal US P&C insurer.
November 2018 Investor Presentation 6
voluntary personal residential business in FL
personal residential assumption from FL Citizens
Network (CAN) in FL, Heritage’s vendor managed repair program
reinsurer.
reinsurance agreement with Citizens
division and participated in first commercial residential assumption from FL Citizens
Services (largest CAN vendor; provides water mitigation and repair services)
restoration (e.g., construction) services and emergency and recovery assistance
multi‐state expansion initiative (began writing NC business in 2016)
homeowners insurer
partnership
Hermine & Matthew
Citizens assumptions
homeowners insurer in NY, NJ, CT, RI & MA
financial strength and investment grade issuer ratings
Florence and Michael
non‐FL states
expands
Bruce Lucas: Chairman & CEO
been with the company since inception
Infinity Investment Funds, a value‐
with Weil, Gotshal & Manges where he represented large institutional clients such as Enron and GE
November 2018 Investor Presentation 7
Richard Widdicombe: President
been with the company since inception
as Risk Manager of Homeowners Choice Property & Casualty Insurance Company
that, Mr. Widdicombe was President
People’s Trust Insurance Company and previously served as president of FedNat, both of which are Florida‐based property insurers
Ernie Garateix: Chief Operating Officer
prior to which he served as Executive Vice President since the company’s 2012 founding
Vice President of Operations at American Integrity Insurance Group
Vice President of IT at FCCI Insurance Group
Kirk Lusk: Chief Financial Officer
also Chief Financial Officer.
Chief Financial Officer of Aetna, Inc., Chief Financial Officer of Alea Group Holdings Bermuda Ltd. and Chief Financial Officer
Auto Warranty Services
further reducing earnings volatility, supporting use of P/E‐based valuation for HRTG
equity, protects against hurricanes and other severe events, reducing earnings volatility
carriers
increases, policy form enhancements and conservative policy selection – should benefit underwriting margins
growth opportunities
November 2018 Investor Presentation 8
Compelling financial metrics Management has significant skin in the game Growth & underwriting
improving Prudent capital management Business model designed to reduce earnings volatility
* As of 11/10/2018, source = FactSet
November 2018 Investor Presentation 9
Since inception, Heritage has provided investors with solid book value per share growth. Including cumulative dividends declared, Heritage’s book value per share compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 31% since the Company’s 2012 inception.
$3.38 $7.20 $8.56 $11.71 $12.41 $14.67 $15.16 $3.38 $7.20 $8.56 $11.76 $12.70 $15.20 $15.87 $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 $18 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 3Q18
SOLID GROWTH IN BOOK VALUE & CUMULATIVE DIVIDENDS PER SHARE
Book Value Per Share Cumulative Dividends Per Share
Note: 1‐year book value and cumulative dividend per share CAGR shown above excludes a $6.9 million non‐cash, non‐tax deductible liability associated with Heritage’s convertible debt. This liability was reclassified to shareholders’ equity in 4Q17. Including this liability in 3Q17, consistent with GAAP reporting, results in a 19% book value and cumulative dividend per share CAGR (vs. the 17% shown in the chart above).
$93 $34 $41 $29 $62 $27 ‐$6 $26 $27 $6 $10 $11 ‐$20 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 2015 2016 2017* 3Q18 YTD*
NET INCOME ($ in millions)
HRTG* HCI UIHC
Source: FactSet and peer company reports
HRTG’s large valuation discount doesn’t correspond to HRTG’s returns relative to peers November 2018 Investor Presentation 10
* HRTG’s 2017 net income and ROE are non‐GAAP and adjusted to exclude a $42.2 million non‐cash, non‐tax deductible charge related to the mark‐to‐market of a derivative liability associated with the Company’s convertible debt. The derivative liability was reclassified to equity in 4Q17. HRTG’s 3Q18 YTD net income is non‐GAAP and adjusted to exclude $5 million of after‐tax non‐recurring business acquisition related costs ($7.1 million pre‐tax). Please see slide 24 for a reconciliation of non‐GAAP measures to their comparable GAAP measures.
$419 $471 $803 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 HRTG HCI UIHC
MARKET CAP ($ in millions)
Source: FactSet and peer company reports
HRTG* had higher net income than HCI and UIHC in 2015, 2016, 2017 and YTD in 3Q18. In 2016 and 2017, HRTG* had higher net income than HCI and UIHC combined. Despite consistently generating more net income, HRTG has a lower market capitalization than both HCI and UIHC.
Source: FactSet
Ticker Company 2019E 2020E FQ0 2018E 2019E 2020E 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E FY3E 2015 2016 2017 HRTG* Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. 7.1 6.2 1.07 1.06 0.94 0.82 30.3% 9.5% 11.1% 8.4% 13.9% 14.2% 30.3% 10.6% 20.0% FNHC FedNat Holding Company 8.0 7.3 1.27 1.34 1.18 1.05 19.2% 0.5% 3.7% 10.0% 15.7% 15.2% 19.3% 0.4% 3.7% HCI HCI Group, Inc. 11.8 10.3 2.36 2.40 2.17 1.90 29.7% 11.4%
29.7% 11.5%
UIHC United Insurance Holdings Corp. 10.1 8.7 1.51 1.52 1.36 1.21 12.4% 2.4% 2.6% 4.5% 14.2% 14.7% 12.4% 2.5% 3.1% UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. 10.2 9.8 2.96 2.99 2.34 1.93 43.2% 29.9% 26.4% 30.5% 25.7% 21.5% 43.2% 29.9% 26.4% KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. 10.9 10.3 1.99 1.90 1.68 1.51 16.2% 17.5% 13.2% 9.6% 16.3% 15.5% 17.0% 18.0% 13.4% Ex-HRTG coastal property avg 10.2 9.3 2.02 2.03 1.75 1.52 24.1% 12.3% 8.6% 14.0% 18.2% 17.3% 24.3% 12.5% 8.7% HRTG vs. ex-HRTG coastal property avg
6.1%
2.5%
5.9%
11.3% P/E P/BV ROATE
ROAE
November 2018 Investor Presentation 11
50.7% 28.1% 30.3% 9.5% 11.1% 9.9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 3Q18 YTD
RETURN ON AVERAGE EQUITY
HRTG* Avg
Citizens depopulation transactions benefit ROEs Severe 1Q16 FL tornadoes, Hurricanes Hermine & Matthew Hurricane Irma Assignment of benefits (AoB) abuse
1.1x 2.0x 1.3x 1.5x 2.0x 2.4x 3.0x 0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x 3.5x HRTG Peer average FNHC UIHC KINS HCI UVE
PRICE/BOOK VALUE
HRTG’s P/BV multiple is at a 45% discount to peers
7.1x 10.2x 8.0x 10.1x 10.2x 10.9x 0x 2x 4x 6x 8x 10x 12x HRTG Peer average FNHC UIHC UVE KINS
PRICE/2019E EPS
HRTG’s P/E multiple is at a 25% discount to peers
TRADING AT A MEANINGFUL DISCOUNT TO PEERS SOLID ROE PERFORMANCE, EVEN IN HURRICANE YEARS
11.1% 20.0% 8.6% 8.7% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% ROE ROTE
2017 RETURN ON EQUITY VS. PEERS
HRTG* Peer Avg
Note: Peers include FNHC, HCI, KINS, UIHC & UVE * HRTG’s 2017 ROE is non‐GAAP and adjusted to exclude a $42.2 million non‐cash, non‐tax deductible charge related to the mark‐to‐market of a derivative liability associated with the Company’s convertible debt. The derivative liability was reclassified to equity in 4Q17. HRTG’s 3Q18 YTD ROE is annualized; it is also non‐GAAP and adjusted to exclude $5 million of after‐tax non‐recurring business acquisition related costs ($7.1 million pre‐ tax). Please see slide 24 for a reconciliation of non‐GAAP measures to their comparable GAAP measures. Source: FactSet Source: FactSet
28.7% 17.8% 14.9% 6.6% 5.7% 14.9% 11.5% 9.6% 3.8% 3.1% 56.4% 41.3% 46.3% 21.7% 23.0%
100.0% 70.6% 70.8% 32.1% 31.8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 4Q15 4Q16 3Q17 4Q17 3Q18
% OF CONSOLIDATED TIV IN FL
PRES TC CRES TC Other FL
November 2018 Investor Presentation 12
Through a combination of M&A and organic growth, Heritage has been diversifying its book of business to new states, resulting in a better spread of risk and lower reinsurance costs. Diversification has been occurring within the FL book too, as Heritage has steadily been reducing its personal residential (PRES) & commercial residential (CRES) exposure to Tri‐County. PRES exposure reduction in Tri‐County is intended to limit exposure to AoB abuse, while CRES exposure reduction in Tri‐County is intended to reduce concentration risk in the event of a storm.
Note: PRES = personal residential & CRES = commercial residential
Heritage’s Tri‐County FL exposure reduction efforts are bearing fruit, as the region’s contribution to open non‐ catastrophe claim counts continues to decline for both litigated and non‐litigated claims. This is benefiting overall claims trends – beginning with 1Q18, litigated claims have been accounting for an increasingly smaller percentage
November 2018 Investor Presentation 13
35% 38% 37% 41% 45% 45% 45% 49% 52% 49% 51% 53% 43% 35% 31% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18
LITIGATED NON‐CAT CLAIMS AS % OF TOTAL CLAIMS
84% 82% 81% 82% 82% 79% 80% 79% 79% 79% 79% 78% 76% 73% 67% 51% 47% 46% 58% 55% 52% 54% 56% 56% 56% 55% 52% 50% 46% 41% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18
TRI‐COUNTY FL NON‐CAT CLAIMS TRENDS
Tri‐County open litigated claims as % of total open litigated claims Tri‐County non‐litigated open claims as % of total open non‐litigated claims
A decline in litigated claims should benefit underwriting margins, given that litigated claims are typically more expensive to resolve Tri‐County FL claims are typically more expensive given the prevalence of assignment of benefits abuse in the region
Note: Excludes NBIC and 3,135 Sawgrass policies (excluded Sawgrass policies represent roughly $5.7 million of gross premiums in‐force).
while also serving as a hedge during catastrophe years.
that would otherwise go to third parties. In hurricane years, CAN serves as a catastrophe hedge, reducing our earnings volatility and supporting P/E‐based valuation for HRTG.
November 2018 Investor Presentation 14
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: HRTG) Heritage Property & Casualty Insurance Company (HPCIC) NBIC Holdings, Inc NBIC Financial Holdings, Inc. Narragansett Bay Insurance Company (NBIC) NBIC Service Company Westwind Underwriters, Inc. Zephyr Acquisition Company HI Holdings, Inc. Zephyr Insurance Company, Inc. (ZIC) Heritage MGA, LLC Heritage Insurance Claims, LLC Contractors’ Alliance Network (CAN) Osprey Re Ltd. First Access Insurance Group, LLC Skye Lane Properties, LLC Risk bearing entity (AL, GA, FL, MS, NC, SC) Risk bearing entity (CT, RI, MA, MD, PA, NY, NJ, VA) Risk bearing entity (HI) Captive reinsurer Provides HPCIC & ZIC with underwriting, personnel and other services Provides NBIC with underwriting, personnel and other services Subsidiary that owns Heritage’s corporate headquarters Mitigation and construction division, serves as a hedge in catastrophe years
ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE
November 2018 Investor Presentation 15 3.8% 6.9% 5.2% 6.2% 7.7% 8.5% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% HRTG FL peer avg UVE HCI FNHC UIHC
AFTER‐TAX FIRST EVENT FLORIDA RETENTION AS % OF 3Q18 GAAP EQUITY
Heritage has the lowest reinsurance retention as a % of 3Q18 GAAP shareholders’ equity, suggesting the smallest hit to book value from a hurricane (excluding storm‐related ancillary income streams).
Note 1: UVE retention includes both UPCIC & APPCIC and FNHC retention includes both FNIC and MNIC. Note 2: Calculation based on 21% and 5.5% US federal and Florida statutory corporate income tax rates, respectively. Source: Peer company reports
Heritage has experienced significant premiums growth since inception, stemming primarily from Citizens depopulation transactions through 2015 and from M&A and organic growth in subsequent years. Importantly, Heritage’s core underwriting operation has been profitable every full calendar year since inception.
November 2018 Investor Presentation 16
40.5% 40.1% 37.5% 58.0% 53.1% 53.0% 32.4% 31.3% 27.5% 34.8% 41.0% 36.7% 72.9% 71.4% 65.0% 92.8% 94.1% 89.7% 80.8% 74.8% 78.4% 93.3% 98.5% 90.3% ‐10% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 110% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 3Q18 YTD
SOLID UNDERWRITING MARGINS
Loss ratio Expense ratio Peers Citizens takeouts benefit HRTG’s margins Tornadoes, Hermine, Matthew, AOB Irma, AoB Florence, AoB
Note 1: HRTG’s 3Q18 YTD expense and combined ratios are non‐GAAP and adjusted to exclude $7.1 million of pre‐tax non‐recurring business acquisition related costs. Please see slide 24 for a reconciliation of non‐GAAP measures to their comparable GAAP measures. Note 2: Peers include FNHC, HCI, KINS, UIHC & UVE Source: FactSet and peer company reports
51.6 200.1 398.3 478.1 458.6 465.4 452.2 92.1 113.5 118.6 90.1 87.1 331.5 336.7 58.1 55.4 53.8 $51.6 $200.1 $490.3 $591.5 $635.3 $942.4 $929.8 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 3Q18
IN‐FORCE PREMIUM
HPCIC FL CRES NBIC Zephyr
Heritage’s combined ratios have outperformed peers every full calendar year it has been inexistence Heritage’s premium growth is unprecedented, reaching almost $1 billion of gross in‐force premiums 5 years after the company’s founding. The modest premium decline as of 3Q18 stemmed from Tri‐County FL exposure reduction efforts in response to assignment‐of‐benefits (AoB) claims abuse.
Heritage has been a responsible steward of shareholder capital and currently has a $50 million share repurchase authorization in place. Since 2016, the Company has returned over $50 million to shareholders through common share repurchases and dividends. Heritage’s ratio of TTM net premiums written to 3Q18 equity is only 1.1x , tied for lowest in its FL homeowners insurance peer group, which is indicative of its conservative balance sheet. Looking ahead, Heritage has adequate capital to fuel its premium growth and multi‐state expansion initiatives.
November 2018 Investor Presentation 17
7.0 6.5 4.8 25.6 21.6 2.0 25.2 13.2
$32.6 $53.3 $20.0
20.7% 15.7% 16.8%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60
2016 2017 3Q18 YTD
Dividend payout ratio $ in millions
DISCIPLINED CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Dividends Share repo Debt repo Div payout ratio (right axis) 1.1x 1.1x 1.3x 1.4x 1.5x 1.5x 0.0x 0.2x 0.4x 0.6x 0.8x 1.0x 1.2x 1.4x 1.6x 1.8x HCI HRTG UIHC Peer avg UVE FNHC Net operating leverage (NPW/Equity)
CONSERVATIVE NET OPERATING LEVERAGE
HCI HRTG UIHC Peer avg UVE FNHC
Heritage Insurance
FL, 55.1% NY, 19.5% NJ, 7.7% MA, 6.4% HI, 5.8% Other, 5.6%
PREMIUM SPREAD BY GEOGRAPHY
As of 3Q18, we have $929.8 million of gross premiums in‐force (estimated net = $470.5 million) across 3 statutory insurance entities (Heritage/NBIC/Zephyr) and write 2 main lines of business, including personal residential (PRES) and commercial residential (CRES). We also write some commercial general liability (CGL) insurance. We’re actively writing in 11 states (CRES and CGL are only written in Florida), but have licenses in 15 states.
November 2018 Investor Presentation 19
= actively writing = licensed
GEOGRAPHIC FOOTPRINT
PRES = personal residential CRES = commercial residential CGL = commercial general liability
3 Statutory Insurance Entities
HI AL, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC CT, MA, MD, PA, NJ, NY, RI, VA
PRES, 90.2% CRES, 9.4% CGL, 0.4%
PREMIUM SPREAD BY PRODUCT
$ in millions Gross Premiums Policies Avg Premium/ Products In‐Force In‐Force Policy PRES (multiple states) $839.2 513,086 $1,635.7 Homeowners (multiple states) 692.8 363,252 1,907.3 Hurricane‐only (HI only) 53.8 67,966 792.2 Dwelling/landlord (multiple states) 48.8 27,521 1,772.6 Condo owners (multiple states) 35.6 41,319 861.7 Mobile homeowners (FL only) 7.1 6,593 1,075.5 Renters (multiple states) 1.1 3,300 330.0 CRES (FL only) 87.2 3,132 27,827.6 CGL (FL only) 3.4 3,796 900.4 Total $929.8 520,014 $1,788.1 Note: assumes 19% of Sawgrass policies ($5.7 million of gross premiums in‐force as of 9/30/2018) that are not yet on Heritage’s main policy system, all fall into the “Homeowners” line of business.
Florida accounts for 55% of Heritage’s consolidated gross premiums in force, but it only reflects 32% of total insured value (TIV) – the $4.91 average premium per $1,000 of TIV in Florida ($5.41 for Florida PRES policies) is almost triple the $1.91 non‐Florida average (Florida’s more expensive policies reflect its higher hurricane risk), while the $445,989 average insured value in Florida ($342,957 for Florida PRES policies) is well below the $763,966 average for non‐Florida states (property values in Florida trail those in Heritage’s Northeast US states).
November 2018 Investor Presentation 20
$342,957 $445,989 $763,966 $425,239 $454,048 $505,802 $513,543 $632,601 $649,053 $749,826 $844,576 $899,222 $990,591 $5.41 $4.91 $1.91 $2.46 $2.38 $1.57 $2.06 $2.36 $2.41 $1.81 $2.13 $1.72 $1.95
$0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $4.50 $5.00 $5.50 $0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 $800,000 $900,000 $1,000,000 FL PRES FL (all lines) Non‐FL (100% PRES) AL GA HI NC SC RI NJ MA CT NY Premium/$1K TIV Average insured value per policy
TIV Metrics
Avg insured value (left axis) Premium/$1K TIV (right axis) FL PRES 24.1% FL CRES 7.2% NY 28.8% NJ 12.3% HI 10.7% MA 8.6% Other 8.3%
TIV SPREAD
Includes FL CGL, which accounts for 1.0% of Heritage’s TIV. The remaining 7.3% comes from PRES in: AL, CT, GA, NC, RI, SC In addition to PRES, FL (all lines) includes:
and $3.73 of average premium per $1K of TIV
and $1.10 of average premium per $1K of TIV
Heritage has a conservative 2018‐2019 reinsurance program, protecting the Company against hurricanes and severe weather events and reducing earnings volatility.
November 2018 Investor Presentation 21
2017 Citrus 100% of $117.2M xs $40M Layer 4 100% of $185M xs $40M 2016 Citrus E 100% of $44.1M xs $40M $1,592 $1,107 $498 $378.6 $1,320 $568
FL 1st Event ($1.392B 100 yr)
Top/Agg 80% of $25M xs $10M $997 $568 $40 Millions 2016 Citrus D 35% of $428.6M xs $568M ($150M) $90 $215 Layer 3 100% of $229M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 1 92.1% of $50M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 2 92.1% of $125M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP $15 Retention FHCF Layer 45% of $1.213B xs $378.6M ($546.0M) $1,392 $1,400 20% Co‐ Par
Stub Layer 1
$58
Stub Layer 2 Cat43 7.9% of $63.4M xs $57.9M ($5M)
$121 Retention 80% of $25M xs $10M Top/Agg 2016 Citrus E 100% of $44.1M xs $40M Layer 3 100% of $229M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 1 92.1% of $50M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 2 92.1% of $125M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP
NE 1st Event ($867M 100 yr)
Millions NBIC Multi – Year Layer 2 41.125% of
$80M xs $60M (~$33M)
$40 $60 $818 $1,000 $122 $368 Net Quota Share Gross Quota Share 2017 MY – 8.0% of $1,000M xs $0M ($80M) NBIC Multi – Year Layer 4 41.125% of $450M xs $550M (~$185M) NBIC Multi – Year Layer 3 41.125% of $410M xs $140M (~$169M) $550 $140 $20 $15 $905 $867 20% Co‐ Par
Stub Layer 1
$59
Stub Layer 2 Cat43 7.9% of $63.4M xs $57.9M ($5M)
$183 Top/Agg 15.3%
$313M xs $40M ($48M) $40 $444 Millions
HI 1st Event ($683M 100 yr)
Multi-Zonal 84.7% of $313M xs $40M ($265M) $757 Layer 3 100% of $229M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 1 92.1% of $50M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 2 92.1% of $125M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP $215 $90 $801 Top/Agg 80% of $25M xs $10M $15 Retention $683 20% Co‐ Par
Stub Layer 1
$58
Stub Layer 2 Cat43 7.9% of $63.4M xs $57.9M ($5M)
$121 2016 Citrus E 100% of $44.1M xs $40M
frequency protection
catastrophe reinsurance coverage across multiple events ($1.4 billion available for a single event)
and $16 million 2nd event retention
are rated “A‐” or higher by A.M. Best or S&P or are fully collateralized
and existing states.
product discount.
November 2018 Investor Presentation 22
Overview NBIC
have master agency agreements with HPCIC
HPCIC
Zephyr
networks
Heritage has a very conservative investment portfolio, consisting predominantly of low duration, fixed income securities. As yields increase, investment income should benefit.
November 2018 Investor Presentation 23
US government, 8.6% Munis, 11.3% Special revenue bonds, 48.1% Industrial bonds, 28.1% Preferred stock, 3.4% Equities, 0.5%
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO BREAKDOWN
$136.2 $331.2 $400.1 $603.0 $567.0 $531.3 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 3Q18 YTD
$ in millions
NET INVESTMENT INCOME PERFORMANCE
Investments (left axis) Net Investment Income yield (right axis)
November 2018 Investor Presentation 24
RECONCILIATION OF GAAP AND NON‐GAAP MEASURES $ in millions 2017 3Q18 YTD GAAP Net income (loss) (1.1) $ 23.2 $ Conversion option liability fair value 42.2 ‐ Non‐recurring business acquisition related expenses ‐ 7.1 Tax impact ‐ 1.8 Adjusted net income 41.1 $ 28.5 $ 2017 3Q18 YTD* GAAP ROE ‐0.3% 8.0% Conversion option liability fair value 11.4% 0.0% Non‐recurring business acquisition related expenses 0.0% 2.5% Tax impact 0.0% 0.6% Adjusted ROE (non‐GAAP) 11.1% 9.9% *annualized 3Q18 YTD GAAP expense ratio 38.8% Non‐recurring business acquisition related expenses 2.1% Adjusted expense ratio (Non‐GAAP) 36.7% GAAP combined ratio 91.8% Non‐recurring business acquisition related expenses 2.1% Adjusted combined ratio (Non‐GAAP) 89.7% 3Q17 GAAP book value per share 12.84 $ Conversion option liability fair value 0.29 Tax impact ‐ Adjusted book value per share (non‐GAAP) 13.13 $
Arash Soleimani, CFA, CPA Executive Vice President & Director of Investor Relations asoleimani@heritagepci.com 727.871.0206 Website: investors.heritagepci.com
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION