Investor Presentation Italian OBG Programme January 2011 Executive - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation Italian OBG Programme January 2011 Executive - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation Italian OBG Programme January 2011 Executive summary Banco Popolare is delighted to present its Aaa/ AAA (Moodys/ Fitch) rated Obbligazioni Bancarie Garantite (OBG) Programme Banco Popolare Group Banco Popolare
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The Italian legislation provides a strong framework for investors, fully in line with the most advanced European market standards All the bonds issued under the Programme fully benefit from the provisions and protection granted under the Obbligazioni
Bancarie Garantite Legislation (“Law”) framework, which is based on the Law 130/1999 Italian Securitisation Framework
Executive summary
Banco Popolare is delighted to present its Aaa/ AAA (Moody’s/ Fitch) rated Obbligazioni Bancarie Garantite (OBG) Programme
Banco Popolare Group The OBG programme I talian banking sector overview The Cover Pool
Banco Popolare Group is the 4th Italian Banking group by total assets (€136.4 billion as of 30 September 2010) with a leading
position in the Northern and Central regions of Italy
The Group’s business is focused on Retail Banking, with deep local roots in the North regions of Italy. Banking business is mainly
focused on households, small businesses and medium-sized corporates (SMEs)
Banco Popolare Group has a very solid deposit base, with a loan/deposit ratio of 94% as of 30 September 2010 The Group is rated A2/A-/A- (Moody’s/S&P/Fitch), with outlook negative for Moody’s, S&P and Fitch
Source: Banco Popolare 9M 2010 Report
Significantly less leveraged than the rest of Europe The Northern part of Italy is traditionally the wealthiest area and provides the largest deposit pools 100% prime Italian, first lien, performing residential mortgages Assets have been legally segregated according to the Law Only fully performing loans added to the Cover Pool WA Current LTV: 51.4%, with a WA OLTV of 52.2% Regional Distribution: 68.8% North, 23.5% Center, 7.7% South
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Banco Popolare’s OBG Programme 2 Banco Popolare Group 8 Funding Strategy and Liquidity Profile 20 The I talian Mortgage Market 25 Banco Popolare’s Mortgage Business 32 Banco Popolare’s Underwriting Policies 37 Cover Pool Description 44
Annex 1: Summary of Programme Events 48 Annex 2: I talian OBG vs. European Covered Bond Framework 51 Annex 3: Additional I nformation on Banco Popolare 53
Table of Contents
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Summary of the Banco Popolare programme
I ssuer Banco Popolare Societá Cooperativa Guarantor BP Covered Bond S.r.l. a bankruptcy remote, special purpose entity which benefits from segregation principals well established under law 130/ 1999 Security Structure I talian Law-based Covered Bonds (OBG) Substitute Assets Up to 15% Listing/ Denomination Luxembourg Stock Exchange; EUR 50,000 Over-collateralisation Dynamically adjusted via ACT/ I nterest Coverage Test Ratings Aaa / AAA (Moody’s / Fitch ) Asset Monitor Mazars S.p.A. Type of I ssuance Jumbo benchmark size Governing law I talian Arrangers RBS, UBS I nvestment Bank Bondholders Trustee BNP Paribas Risk Weighting 10% Cover Pool Exclusively I talian prime residential mortgages Maximum LTV 80% at inclusion and capped by the Asset Coverage Test (ACT) Originator Banca Popolare di Verona, Banca Popolare di Novara, Credito Bergamasco, Banca Popolare di Lodi, Cassa di Risparmio di Lucca Pisa Livorno
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Overview of Covered Bond issuance structure
Swap Cash Flows
Mortgage Pool Swap Counterparties
BP Covered Bond S.r.l. (Guarantor) I nvestors (Emittente) I ssuer
Sellers
Covered Bonds Proceeds Guarantee Purchase price Transfer of assets Repayment of subordinated loan Subordinated loan
Covered Bond Swap Counterparties
Swap Cash Flows
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Name of the instruments
Obbligazioni Bancarie Garantite
Special Supervision
Bank of I taly
Protection against ALM
Yes – Mandatory Test and Voluntary Tests
Compliance with CRD
Yes
Protection against credit risk
Seller may replace, non-eligible, defaulted or non-performing loans
Mandatory over- collateralisation
To be subject to an asset coverage test on a contractual basis
Voluntary over-collateralisation
Yes
Outstanding OBG to regulatory capital
Depending on Tier 1 and total capital ratios. There is no limit as long as the respective bank maintains a total capital ratio above 9% and a tier 1 ratio above 6%
1st claim in the event of insolvency
All payments are received from the special entity's assets. These payments are expected to be collected in a separate account. I nvestors continue to receive scheduled payments, as if the issuer had not defaulted
External support mechanisms
I n the event of insufficient pool assets proceeds to cover their claim, investors rank pari passu with senior debt
- holders. There is a simultaneous unsecured dual claim against the issuer and secured against the portfolio held
by the specially separated entity
Compliant with UCI TS Art. 22 par. 4
Yes
Legislation
Article 7-bis of law 130/ 1999, Ministry of Economy & Finance decree 310 dated 14 December 2006 and Bank of I taly instructions issued on 17 may 2007
Special banking principle
No: any I talian bank fulfilling specific criteria for transfer of Assets and issuance of Covered Bonds
Restriction on business activity
N/ A
Asset Allocation
Cover assets are segregated by Law through the transfer to a separate entity
I nclusion of hedge positions
Hedge position are part of the structural enhancements intended to protect bondholders
I ntegration Assets
Up to 15%
Geographical scope for public assets
EEA states and Switzerland, subject to a maximum risk weighting of 20% Non-EEA states or local authorities subject to a maximum risk weighting of 20% and up to 10% of the pool
Geographical scope for mortgage assets
EEA and Switzerland
LTV barrier residential / commercials
80% / 60%
I talian Covered Bond Legal Framework
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Bank of I taly OBG requirements
Pursuant to Bank of Italy supervisory regulation (dated 15 May 2007), OBG may only be issued by
banks with:
–
minimum consolidated regulatory capital of € 500mn
–
minimum Total Capital Ratio of 9%
–
minimum Tier 1 Ratio of 6%
In addition the assignment of assets to the cover pool is subject to certain limits based on the bank’s total
capital and Tier 1 ratios:
Up to 60% of the available eligible assets Total Capital Ratio (TCR) ≥ 11% Tier 1 Ratio (T1R) ≥ 7% 10% ≤ TCR < 11% T1R ≥ 6.5% 9% ≤ TCR < 10% T1R ≥ 6% No limits Up to 25% of the available eligible assets
Source: Bank of I taly, Banco Popolare 1 Accounting ratios as of 30/ 06/ 2010
Banco Popolare Ratios1:
- Tier 1: 7.6%
- Total Capital: 10.3%
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“OC” and ALM Matching Requirements
Note: These pages contain a summary/overview of the Priority of Payments and Tests. For the official wording please refer to the Base Prospectus
Minimum 7.5% “OC”(93% Asset Percentage) adjusted dynamically to protect AAA/Aaa ratings The aggregate outstanding amount of the Cover Pool must be at least equal to the Outstanding Amount of all the OBG issued under the Programme The Net Present Value of the cover pool (net of the SPV general and administrative expenses) including derivatives must beat least equal to the NPV of the
- utstanding Obbligazioni Bancarie Garantite
Asset Coverage Test (ACT) Net Present Value Test I nterest Coverage Test
Interests generated by the cover pool (including derivatives) must be sufficient to cover interest payments under the Obbligazioni Bancarie Garantite
“OC” Test
Mandatory Test (by Law)
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Banco Popolare’s OBG Programme 2 Banco Popolare Group 8 Funding Strategy and Liquidity Profile 20 The I talian Mortgage Market 25 Banco Popolare’s Mortgage Business 32 Banco Popolare’s Underwriting Policies 37 Cover Pool Description 44
Annex 1: Summary of Programme Events 48 Annex 2: I talian OBG vs. European Covered Bond Framework 51 Annex 3: Additional I nformation on Banco Popolare 53
Table of Contents
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Banco Popolare Group at a glance
Total assets: €136.4bn; Net customer loans: €96.1bn; Direct customer deposits: €102.1bn; Indirect customer funds: €77.9bn (of which €32.1bn AuM). Core business focused on retail and SME clients (~ 88% of total revenues). Banco Popolare was established on 1°July 2007 from the merger between Banco Popolare di Verona e Novara and Banca Popolare Italiana. Excellent geographical position, with an average branch market share of 10% in the main regions in northern Italy and a deeply rooted network. Today, Banco Popolare is the 1st Italian popolare bank per branch number (2,178) and the 4th largest Italian bank by total assets. Strengthening of the capital position through: €2bn capital increase to be launched in 2011 (to be used also for the repayment of €1.45bn “Tremonti Bonds”); the sale of non-core assets under way; the “soft mandatory” convertible bond issued in March 2010* .
Data as of 30/09/2010 * Tremonti bond issued in July 2009 for a total of €1.45bn and SMCN issued in March 2010 for €1bn.
Turnaround of Banca Popolare di Lodi starting to bear fruit. Banca Italease: re-organization completed and strong acceleration of the de-risking process (NPLs and watchlist loans of the Release portfolio decreased €1.7bn YTD, resulting in a reduction of 46% in the stock).
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Short term credit rating: A2 Long term credit rating: A- Outlook: Negative Short term credit rating: F-2 Long term credit rating: A- Outlook: Negative Short term credit rating: P-1 Long term credit rating: A2 Outlook: Negative Franchise
BP as a highly systemically important institution to Italy, given its leading franchise in the Northern Italian provinces and its 5.2% market share in national retail deposits as of December 2008
Liquidity
BP's liquidity profile is adequate overall in the context of much tighter access to funding. Deep territorial roots in north and central Italy tap a large and stable pool of customer deposits that covers most financing needs
Capital
We are confident about the positive impact of capital strengthening actions that are in
- progress. As a result, we expect the bank's
core Tier 1 ratio to sustainably exceed 7% by 2011
Asset Quality
BP's management is committed to significantly strengthen the bank's current weak capital position and to address its large exposure to risky real estate operators and leasing loans that originated through agents and intermediaries during the Banca Italease consolidation
Franchise
BP ratings are based on its position as the fourth‐largest bank in Italy, with a strong franchise in some of Italy’s wealthiest regions
Liquidity
BP monitors and controls its liquidity on the basis of a three‐year plan, taking into account expected lending volumes. The volume of securities eligible for European Central Bank (ECB) refinancing is substantial: EUR11bn
Capital
BP’s capitalisation has been affected by a series of one‐off events since 2007 […]. Strengthening capitalisation has been one of the bank’s main objectives and will continue to be central to its strategy
Asset Quality
Fitch considers the high level of net impaired loans […] a key weakness of the bank, but takes comfort from the bank's good record in managing impaired loans. Fitch takes some comfort from the good quality of the collateral backing some of the group's largest impaired exposures
Source of comment excerpts: Moody’s 05-Oct-2010; Fitch 10-May-2010; S&P 26-Mar-2010.
Franchise
Franchise value (C+ ) remains BP's main strength, although under some pressure if banking subsidiaries are sold to raise capital
Liquidity
BP scores worse than its Italian peers in our key liquidity ratio […] partly due to the consolidation of wholesale-funded Italease. The loan to deposit ratio of 93% in June 2010 was satisfactory
Capital
Capital adequacy could be strengthened through the disposal of assets if necessary(the sale of Caripe in October 2010 will add 17bp to CT1).
Asset Quality
The consolidation of Italease in 2009 resulted in the worst level of problem loans in BP's rating peer group. […]The bank's senior management is closely involved in the recovery process and is having some success in recovering Italease's largest positions
Solid ratings
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Banco Popolare Group risk profile: low structural risks
Business Model Focus on Retail 97% of the core business is domestic. Strong diversification of the loan portfolio, which was
subject to strict valuation rigor and provisioning in 2008.
Alignment of all participations in the merchant banking
portfolio to market values.
No
exposure to the subprime mortgage sector, monoliners, CDOs/CBOs.
No investment in structured credit products. No investment in structured investment products on
market variables.
Low VAR of the trading book: max. about €4.9m in 9M
2010 (holding period = 1 day; confidence interval = 99%) – about €3.8m on 30 September 2010.
No I nvestments in Toxic Assets Low risk in assets Deep local roots in core market territory. Banking business mainly focused on households, small
businesses and medium-sized corporate customers.
Core business accounts for about 93% of total revenues. Loan/Deposit ratio of 0.94 as of 30 September 2010. Funding needs are structurally covered until 2012. Low leverage. RWA/Total Assets ratio of 67% vs. 55% on average in
Italy (and c. 50% on average for European banks).
Sound Balance Sheet Structure and Liquidity Pos.
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Geographical mix: branch network located mainly in wealthy northern I taly, with strong positioning in attractive areas
Customer loans by geographical area
RoW 1.3% North- West 45.4% North-East 30.0% Centre 16.4% South and Islands 7.0%
(i) All indicated market shares exclude Caripe. (ii) Branch market shares are calculated as of 30 Sept. 2010 and are based on a total of 2,035 domestic branches, of which 1,993 of the Banks of the Territory (excl. 51 branches of Caripe), 36 branches of Banca Aletti, 5 outlets of Efibanca and 1 branch for BP Holding. N.B. Analysis based on Bank of Italy data as at 30/06/2010. Deposit market shares are based on the Bank of Italy’s Statistical Bulletin and hence comprise banks’ fund-raising in the form of deposits (with agreed maturity, sight, overnight and redeemable at notice), savings certificates, CDs, current accounts and repos.
Market share by number of branches
(i) Economically resilient northern Italy accounts for more than 70% of the Group’s branch network (more than 80% including Tuscany) (ii)
Market share by loans and deposits in some
- f the main regions (as at 30/ 09/ 2010)
Group franchise at a glance
- Leading player in the I talian domestic market, mainly
concentrated in the wealthiest regions of Italy, with good market shares in both loans and deposits:
- North West: 7.14% (loans) and 6.23% (deposits)
- North East: 6.85% and 6.43%
- Low-risk retail clients in I taly
- Excellent geographical position:
- average market share by branches in the main regions
equal to 10% and above 10% in 20 provinces
- Franchise quality
- Well-recognized brands in core market regions
- Veneto
- Lombardy
- Emilia Romagna
- Liguria
- Piedmont
- Tuscany
Loans Deposits
=> 15% 2.5%<=X<7.5% 7.5%<=X<15% 1%<=X<2.5% <1%
Branch Market Share:
7.95% 8.17% 7.11% 5.89% 7.92% 7.01% 8.95% 9.96% 6.69% 5.88% 7.39% 7.67%
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559 379 153 101 96 47 35 100 200 300 400 500 600 UCG ISP MPS UBI BP BPER BPM
ASSETS - €/ bn NET CUSTOMER LOANS - €/ bn DI RECT CUSTOMER FUNDS - €/ bn
(including outstanding bonds)
BRANCHES
Sources: 9M 2010 Reports
9,585 7,669 2,980 2,178 1,899 1,296 782 1,500 3,000 4,500 6,000 7,500 9,000 10,500 12,000 UCG ISP MPS BP UBI BPER BPM 969 677 243 136 132 58 52 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 UCG ISP MPS BP UBI BPER BPM 590 435 155 104 102 47 36 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 UCG ISP MPS UBI BP BPER BPM
Benchmarking – Banco Popolare vs. I talian peers
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Breakdown of Group total revenues (excludes PPA effects)
Focus on core commercial banking business
100% ~ 12% ~ 88%
Total revenues Other businesses Commercial bank Well rooted regional banks, mainly
concentrated in northern Italy
Retail Banking revenues representing 88%
- f total revenues
Domestic leader in 27 provinces The remaining 12% is linked to the Private
and Investment Banking, Asset Management, Leasing, and other businesses
Data as of 30/09/2010
Commercial model based on core banking business
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HOLDI NG BPV-SGSP CREBERG BP NOVARA BP LODI CR LUPI LI
BP Crema Caripe
Banca ALETTI AGOS DUCATO EFI BANCA ALETTI GESTI ELLE SGR AVI POP Assicurazioni POPOLARE VI TA
Private & Investment Banking Asset Management Consumer Credit JV with Credit Agricole (61% CA, 39% BP) Merchant Banking Non-Life Bancassurance JV with AVIVA (49% BP, 51% AVIVA) Life Bancassurance JV with FONDIARIA-SAI (49% BP, 51% FONSAI)
Network Banks (2,044 branches) Product Companies
(517) (251) (416) (464) (231) # branches indicated in brackets (51) (36) (5) # branches indicated in brackets
BP Cremona
(44) (70)
Data as of 30/09/2010
* Does not include Treasury branches (31 outlets), one branch of Banco Popolare Holding and foreign banking subsidiaries in Croatia (35 branches), Hungary (10 branches), Czech Rep. (7 branches) and AT Leasing (3 branches). On 09/12/2009, Banco Popolare signed an agreement to sell 100% of Banco Popolare Ceska Rep. Sale of 95% stake to Banca Tercas for €228mln finalized on 31/12/2010
BANCA I TALEASE
Leasing company
(6)
Banco Popolare Group structure*
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2009 - 2010
- SALE OF NON-STRATEGIC PARTECIPATIONS
(disposal of Caripe finalised on 31/12/2010)
- €1.45bn GOVERNMENT BOND (July 2009)
- RESTRUCTURING
- BANCA I TALEASE
FOCUS ON: FOCUS ON:
- CAPI TAL STRENGTHENI NG
- ASSET QUALI TY
- TURNAROUND OF BPL
- NEW BUSI NESS PLAN 2011-2013
(to be presented in 2011).
from 2011
After a phase of restructuring and rationalization, focus on core business
- €1.0bn SMCN (March 2010)
- €2.0bn CAPITAL INCREASE (EGM approval in Dec. 2010)
- LOAN BOOK DE-RISKING
- RETURNED TO GENERATE PROFIT
- COST OF CREDIT RISK UNDER CONTROL
- CORE BANKI NG BUSI NESS
(Households, Small Businesses, Mid-Corporate)
- PROFI TABI LI TY AND EFFI CI ENCY
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30/ 09/ 2010
Households Other Small Businesses Large Corporate €/bn (average data) Mid Corporate
31/ 12/ 09 30/ 09/ 09
17.2 12.7 28.3 9.8 16.1 5.0 7.7
0.7
16.6 12.3 28.0 10.2 5.6 6.7 15.5
0.5
18.5 17.2 13.6 5.7 30.0 8.0 10.5 + 10.9% + 7.2% + 10.5% + 7.1% + 7.1% + 5.6% + 3.1% + 6.9%
30/ 09/ 10 31/ 12/ 09 30/ 09/ 09 30/ 09/ 10 31/ 12/ 09 30/ 09/ 09 30/ 09/ 10 31/ 12/ 09 30/ 09/ 09 30/ 09/ 10
€/bn 18% 26% 2% 15% 39%
0.7
Banks of Territory (BdT): increase in customer loans by segments (period-end data)
Mortgage loans
Households Small Businesses Mid Corporate Large Corporate
Gross customer loans
- Cust. Loans of BdT by segments
Comments
(period-end data)
Mortgage loans
- Group gross customer loans rose 6.5%
y/y and 4.5% since year-end 2009.
- In particular, Household loans increased
by + 10.9% y/y (+ 7.2% since year-end 2009), while Small Businesses lending grew + 10.5% y/y (+ 7.1% since year-end 2009).
31/ 12/ 09
+ 4.5%
30/ 09/ 10
87.6
26,2 30.5
91.6
32.8
57.1 58.8
30/ 09/ 09
86.0
26,2 29.5
56.5
+ 6.5%
Banco Popolare ‘standalone’
Customer loans: focus on Retail and SMEs
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The decrease in the coverage of NPLs over 30/06/2010 is influenced by the change in the portfolio mix: positions up to €250,000 registered an increase (mainly residential mortgage loans: + 12% ), which has led to less accounting provisions due to a better collateralization (for these specific positions, the total coverage rose from 91% to 94% ). The watchlists loan portfolio is well fragmented and characterized by a higher accounting coverage on average for positions > €3m (21% ) , whereas for the positions up to €500,000 the coverage is represented to a significant degree by RE collateral, with a total coverage (accounting provisions + RE collateral) of 55%. The stock of restructured loans increased by €96m in Q3, of which €78m related to the suppport plan denominated “SOS famiglie/ Ditte individuali”. The 5 largest positions, which continue to perform in an orderly way, account for 45% of the total. One of these 5 positions, accounting for 13% of the total portfolio, is provisioned against by 15%, plus an additional 29% of real etate collateral solely in favour of our Bank. The increase in Past-Due loans in Q3 2010 brings the stock to €527m, against €392m at 30/06/10, but remains well below the level registered at the end of 2009 (€745m). This increase is related to the specific period of the year clashing with summer months characterized by a lower level of collection activity; October figures are positive, showing a decrease in the stock to about €400m, hence moving back to the level registered in June.
1,483.7 1,803.1 2,058.7 3,189.8 3,414.5 3,284.7 591.7 652.7 686.9 707.1 367.9 495.6
31/ 12/ 2009 30/ 06/ 2010 30/ 09/ 2010
€/m €/m 3,054.8 3,418.9 3,759.4 3,910.6 4,108.7 3,925.0 674.7 722.0 818.5 744.6 392.5 527.1
31/ 12/ 2009 30/ 06/ 2010 30/ 09/ 2010
8,384.7 5,972.4 6,525.9 9,030.0 8,642.1 + 34.3% + 13.4%
- 4.5%
+ 10.0% 6,238.3 + 34.7% + 5.2%
- 3.8%
+ 14.2% + 21.3% + 0.4% + 23.1%
- 29.2%
+ 16.1% + 3.0% + 38.8%
- 29.9%
+ 9.3% + 7.7%
92% including real state
collateral
30/ 09/ 10 30/ 06/ 10 16.3% 16.9% 63.7% 65.8% 6.0% 6.2%
52% including real estate collateral
Comments Gross impaired loans Net impaired loans
% change since YE 2009 % change since YE 2009
NPLs Watchlist Restructured Past due NPLs Watchlist Restructured Past due
Coverage of impaired loans
- NPL coverage:
- Watchlist loan
coverage:
- Coverage
- f ‘Past Due’
N.B.: NPL coverage includes write-offs
Credit quality: impaired loans and coverage ratios
Banco Popolare ‘standalone’
+ 4.5% + 4.6%
19 3.68% 3.82% 4.10% 2.08% 2.32% 3.49% 1.91% 1.75%
0.70% 1.70% 2.70% 3.70% 4.70% Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Gross NPL ratio Net NPL ratio
4.76% 4.59% 4.29% 4.06% 3.94% 3.71% 4.46% 3.77%
3.00% 3.60% 4.20% 4.80% Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Gross watchlist ratio Net watchlist ratio
NON-PERFORMI NG LOAN RATI OS WATCHLI ST LOAN RATI OS
Credit quality: ratios
Banco Popolare ‘standalone’
20
Banco Popolare’s OBG Programme 2 Banco Popolare Group 8 Funding Strategy and Liquidity Profile 20 The I talian Mortgage Market 25 Banco Popolare’s Mortgage Business 32 Banco Popolare’s Underwriting Policies 37 Cover Pool Description 44
Annex 1: Summary of Programme Events 48 Annex 2: I talian OBG vs. European Covered Bond Framework 51 Annex 3: Additional I nformation on Banco Popolare 53
Table of Contents
21
Sound balance sheet structure…
Total BP ‘standalone’ direct customer funds
- / w: Direct cust. funds of the Banks of the Territory
€/bn 39,2 41,3 37,9 43,5 47,2 50,1 10,0 8,5 8,8 97,0 96,8 92,7 30/ 09/ 2009 31/ 12/ 2009 30/ 09/ 2010 Core Deposits(1) Bonds and Other Securities Repos + 3.5% + 6.1%
- 8.2%
% chg. 9M 10/ 9M 09
- 12.0%
+ 15.2%
- 3.3%
+ 4.4%
(1) Core deposits include CDs placed with retail customers. (2) ‘Deposits’ include the following liability items under the Bank of Italy accounting scheme: item 20 (Due to Customers), item 30 (Securities issued) and item 50 (Financial liabilities designated at fair value); N.B. Banco Popolare bonds placed with retail customers are accounted for under item 50. (3) Peers include ISP, UCG, MPS, UBI, BPER, BPM and Carige. Data based on latest reported figures as at 30/09/2010.
- 0.2%
- Group direct customer funds broadly in line with year-end 2009,
however significant growth in the Households and Small Business segments (+ 6.2% y/y and + 2.2% since YE 2009).
- Sound funding profile with a L/D ratio of 94% as at Sept. 2010.
- Additional funding buffer from: (i) the portfolio of eligible
securities of €7.2bn (end of September 2010); (ii) the residential mortgage loan portfolio not used for self-securitisations or the covered bond pool for a total of about €2bn.
30/ 09/ 09 30/ 09/ 10 30/ 09/ 09 30/ 09/ 10
66.9 68.3 45.2 48.0 + 2.0% + 6.2%
31/ 12/ 09
69.4
31/ 12/ 09
47.0 + 2.2%
- 1.7%
- / w: households and small
business segments
€/bn
Loan/ Deposit(2) ratios – peer comparison (3) Comments
100% 99% 98% 97% 95% 87% Peer1 Peer2 Peer3 Peer4 Peer5 Peer6
94% BP Group Average: 95%
Peer7 87%
102.1bn including Italease
22
Breakdown of funding sources
Funding sources
Total amount €48.6bn
Group liquidity profile
Banco Popolare Group
Source: ALM, 30 September 2010
Loan to Deposit Ratio historically below 1 €5bn OBG Issuance under OBG Programme €25bn EMTN Program in support of medium / long-term lending strategy
41% 58% 1%
Istitutional Bond Retail Bond ECP/ECD
23
Group debt maturity profile
Source: I nternal management report, 30 September 2010
Institutional Retail
Banco Popolare Group
€/mn €/mn 2.330 2.174 5.429 1.659 1.892 491 498 300 75 502 715 53 50
500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500 4.000 4.500 5.000 5.500 6.000 6.500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Senior Tier I Upper Tier II Lower Tier II 468 4.813 2.869 4.303 8.054 4.405 140 231 448 113 10 10 36 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500 4.000 4.500 5.000 5.500 6.000 6.500 7.000 7.500 8.000 8.500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Senior Tier I Upper Tier I I Lower Tier II Certificates
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Banco Popolare Group
Sound Liquidity Profile
Portfolio of eligible securities Comments Senior EMTN and Covered bond issues in 2009/2010 Institutional funding maturities in 2010 and 2011 (nominal values)
- The Group’s liquidity position is satisfactory.
- In 2010, the Group’s funding strategy of issues on the wholesale market
continued with:
- €500m EMTN senior bond issue in Jan.;
- €1bn Covered Bonds (under the €5bn programme) in Feb.;
- €500m EMTN senior bond issue in September;
- €0.95bn Covered Bonds in Sep.(€0.8bn) and in Oct.(€0.15bn);
- €1bn Lower Tier 2 issue in Oct.
- In addition, the Group successfully completed the issuance of a €1bn
convertible bond (four-year maturity).
- The strong increase of eligible securities in 2009 derives from the use of
- ther securities issued (about € 6bn) as part of own securitizations, which
shall gradually be substituted by Covered Bonds. The reduction in 2010 is due the unwinding of 2 securitisations (BPL Mortgages 1 & 2), the assets of which have been used for the Covered Bonds. €/bn 31/12/07 31/12/08 3.7 5.5 31/12/09 11.0 01/12/10 7.5 €/bn 1.0 0.35 1.0
+ 165 + 145
- Aug. 09
- Sep. 09
- Oct. 09
€/bn 3 years 0.5
+ 90
- Jan. 10
5 years 2 years 7 years 1.0
+ 80
- Feb. 10
Spread on mid-swap interest rate
Covered Bond +138
0.5
+ 170
- Sep. 10
3 years 5 years 0.95
+ 135
Sep.
- Oct. 10
Covered Bond
- Oct. 10
1.0
+320
10 years
LowerT2
Banco Popolare Banca Italease 1.4 2.8 3.5 2010 2011 1.6
Amounts indicated for FY 2010 were re-imbursed.
25
Banco Popolare’s OBG Programme 2 Banco Popolare Group 8 Funding Strategy and Liquidity Profile 20 The I talian Mortgage Market 25 Banco Popolare’s Mortgage Business 32 Banco Popolare’s Underwriting Policies 37 Cover Pool Description 44
Annex 1: Summary of Programme Events 48 Annex 2: I talian OBG vs. European Covered Bond Framework 51 Annex 3: Additional I nformation on Banco Popolare 53
Table of Contents
26
217 244 266 280 294 264 17.4 8.2 6.2 (0.4) 8.7 12.5 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 May-10 (5) 5 10 15 20 Stock (€bn) Annual growth (% ) Average initial interest rate (% ) 3.87 4.47 5.32 3.68 5.55 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Mortgage debt/GDP as at 31 December 2008 (% ) 18.4 37.6 40.0 62.5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Italy France Germany Spain Stock as at 30 December 2009 (€bn) 292 724 959 658 200 400 600 800 1,000 Italy France Germany Spain
The I talian loan market
Sources: ECB, Bank of I taly, Agenzia del territorio
Smaller than the average Italian mortgage market (18% of GDP vs 40% Euro Area) Market recovering at good pace in 2010 … with low debt/equity ratio …partly in response to low interest rates
27
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Euro Area Italy 0% 15% 30% 45% 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Euro Area Italy 30% 40% 50% 60% 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Euro Area Italy 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Euro Area Italy
The I talian loan market
Sources: ECB, data as of September 2010
Corporate loans/GDP Total loans/GDP Consumer credit/GDP Loans for house purchase/GDP
I taly’s leverage steadily below European peers ratios
28
Second house 14% Investment 9% First house 66% Replacement 11% Annexes 36% Other 19% Residential 45% Indirect Channel 26% Direct Channel Online 1% Indirect Channel Online 5% Direct Channel 68% Floating Rate 48% Fixed Rate 38% Mixed Rate 14%
The I talian loan market in 2009: demand and supply
Sources: Nomisma, press releases 2007–2008–2009
Loan breakdown supply by channel Loan breakdown supply by rate type Residential RE demand breakdown Loan transactions
29
67.9 68.8 70.5 70.4 72.8 66.9 66.3 70.0 71.1 74.0 60 65 70 75 80 North-West North-East Centre South & Islands Italian average 67.9 68.8 70.5 70.4 72.8 66.9 66.3 70.0 74.0 71.1 60 65 70 75 80 North-West North-East Centre South & Islands Italian average
The low indebtedness of I talian households
Loan to value residential transactions (%) % of Mortgage-Financed residential transactions
Source: Bank of Italy Survey-Tecnoborsa
- At year end-2009, household total financial debt stood at 61% of available income, remaining far lower than in the euro area
(95%) or in the UK (150%). The differences are largely attributable to loans for house purchases, representing just 33% of Italian household available income, vs. 59% in the euro area and 93% in the UK
- The low degree of Italian mortgage penetration drives down the ratio of private debt to GDP. In fact, according to the Bank of
Italy on EU-SILC Eurostat figures only 13% of Italian households is currently repaying a mortgage loan versus the around 30%
- bserved in France, Germany and Spain and higher in UK and Netherlands (greater than or equal to 40%)
- The share of home-owners in Italy is quite high : over 80% of households in 2008 vs. 71% in the euro area, 66% in France
and 56% in Germany
30
The housing market in I taly
The dynamics of the loan market is strictly bounded to the residential market developments In 2009 the total deed of sales and purchases registered a negative trend equal to -11,3%. Even if this is still
a negative result, it demonstrates some level of recovery versus the previous year (-15,1%). The trend is driven by a soft house price reduction, also recorded in the size of the loan market
The first quarter of 2010 confirm this positive trend with an increase in the buy and sell market equal to
+ 2.3% versus the same period in 2009 (according to Istat data). This current increase regards especially the residential market (+ 93.2%) versus the commercial one
Moreover the loan market, on the back of residential property buyers, registered a technical recovery at a
national level (+ 13.7% versus the same period in 2009 – according to Istat), with a double digits increase especially in the main cities: Milan + 10.3%, Roma + 15.6%, Florence almost 20%. On a negative trend is just Turin, with a decrease trend of 2,3%
31
Banco Popolare’s OBG Programme 2 Banco Popolare Group 8 Funding Strategy and Liquidity Profile 20 The I talian Mortgage Market 25 Banco Popolare’s Mortgage Business 32 Banco Popolare’s Underwriting Policies 37 Cover Pool Description 44
Annex 1: Summary of Programme Events 48 Annex 2: I talian OBG vs. European Covered Bond Framework 51 Annex 3: Additional I nformation on Banco Popolare 53
Table of Contents
32
Market share trends
Banco Popolare ‘standalone’
Market share in customer deposits * * Market share in customer loans *
31/12/09 Source: Bank of I taly reporting – ABI * Loans: small businesses (producing households), consumer households, non-financial companies. * * Deposits: the system data includes deposits of the postal network. 4.9% 31/12/08 4.5%
+ 40bps
6.30 6.01 6.13 2.25 5.42 5.60 2.09 3.55 3.23 5.86 North East North West Northern Italy Central Southern 2008 2009 + 53bps 31/12/09 4.05% 31/12/08 3.98%
+ 7bps
5.06 5.18 5.13 2.02 5.13 5.03 2.12 3.11 2.94 4.87 + 10bps 2008 2009 North East North West Northern Italy Central Southern
33
Market share of Banco Popolare
Assofin: breakdown by loan scope 8.8%
Evolution of Banco Popolare market share – (Assofin: “Credito Immobiliare erogato alle famiglie consumatrici”)
The “other loans” keeps on growing, and in the 3Q 2010 they become the 30% of the total, compared to the 22% of 2008.
2009
91% 14.4%
Flows paid for other loans (including replacements and substitutions) Flows paid for loan purchase Overall Change (%)
90% 86% 78% 72%
10% 14% 22% 28%
15.4% 6.1% (14.4%) (6.8%)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2006 2007 2008 2009 (25%) (20%) (15%) (10%) (5%) 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Breakdown % Growth rate %
8.50% 6.80% 2007 2008 Q3 2010 ~8%
30%
70% 14%
Q3 2010
34
Mortgage: new production and stock
* Real Estate and Land Mortgages to private individuals (excluding Banco Popolare Group employees)
In 2010 Banco Popolare new production is mainly derived from the “internal networks” (98%), which also represents approx 94% of total stock
New production * (data as of 31/12/2010) Stock * (data as of 31/12/2010) Total BP External Networks Internal Networks Volume €/bn 18 16,9 1,1 Total BP External Networks Internal Networks 4,3 4,2 0,1 Volume €/bn
Average Maturity (years) Average mortgage (€/000)
21,3 130 21,2 130 28,5 139 13,7 89 13,2 87 23,9 126
Average Residual Maturity (years) Average Residual Amount (€/000)
+ 9%
- vs. 2009
35
Breakdown of new production and stock by type
* Real Estate and Land Mortgages (excluding External Networks)
Mortgages mainly with floating rates on stock (73% of the total). New production (mainly floating rate products) in 2010 (84% of the total), as a consequence of the declining interest rate environment in that year
Fixed Floating
33% 67%
% nr. mortgages
69% Fixed Floating
32% 68%
% nr. mortgages
New production 2009
New production * - (data as of 31/12/2010) Stock * - (data as of 31/12/2010)
67% 33%
84% 16% 73% 27%
36
Banco Popolare’s OBG Programme 2 Banco Popolare Group 8 Funding Strategy and Liquidity Profile 20 The I talian Mortgage Market 25 Banco Popolare’s Mortgage Business 32 Banco Popolare’s Underwriting Policies 37 Cover Pool Description 44
Annex 1: Summary of Programme Events 48 Annex 2: I talian OBG vs. European Covered Bond Framework 51 Annex 3: Additional I nformation on Banco Popolare 53
Table of Contents
37
Origination and underwriting
Sales force Underwriting Property Valuation Servicing
Banco Popolare performs all of its own servicing through:
- constant dialogue with clients
- advanced monitoring system to supervise the performance of the pool
- dedicated subsidiary to carry out the recovery process of the defaulted loans
All mortgages are originated mainly through banking branches distributed across Italy.
A small percentage is originated through a network of primary real estate agents. The initial Cover Pool includes only mortgages originated through the direct channel
All mortgages are underwritten at branch level The authority that approves the mortgage loan depends mainly on amount requested,
length of the loan and evaluation of the automatic valuation tool “Sco.Pri”)
Underwriting criteria involve scoring and customer limits, with the final decision always
being made by a credit officer
All mortgage properties are assessed by independent appraisers performed by CRIF All evaluations are based on full physical inspection Mortgage properties involve an insurance policy in favour of Banco Popolare
38
Summary of the underwriting process
Closing ATTRIBUTION OF FILE ACCORDING TO LIMITS Depending on the borrower’s (internal rating) and loan’s characteristics and falling within a given category of limit, the file is allocated to the appropriate underwriter for the credit decision Pre-closing procedures:
- Execution of loan & guarantor’s contracts
- Signing of insurance contracts & making
- f insurance payment
- Notarisation of the mortgage contract
- Registration of the property
SANCTIONING Key facts for credit decision
- Debt to income
- Credit Score
- Credit period
- LTV
- Age
- Property appraisal report
- Additional guarantees
DATA COLLECTION AND INPUT Collection of documents from the borrower (financial status & credit performance; as well as property information— location, type) EVALUATION OF TOOL “Sco.Pri” Assessment of borrower’s credit-worthiness via internal model, based on borrower’s and other available information PROPERTY VALUATION Property appraisal performed by CRIF
Source: Banco Popolare
39
The “Sco.Pri” system
“Sco.pri” valuation methodology: high level scheme of the automatic valuation steps
FI NAL RESULT: 4 potential valuations 1 – VALI D APPLI CATI ON (GREEN) 2 – FURTHER ANALYSI S REQUI RED (YELLOW) 3 – HI GH RI SK APPLI CATI ON (ORANGE) 4 – APPLI CATI ON WI TH SEVERE PREJUDI CI AL ELEMENTS (RED) Ordinary sanctioning powers Sanctioning powers increased by one level Sanctioning powers increased by two levels Preliminary checks Financial sustainability checks
Valuation CPC (internal model) Rating (or CBS Score) Expected Loss (PD x LGD)
Upgrading factors Downgrading factors
(* ) check performed on applicant and guarantors
Existence of minimum wage based on Istat poverty threshold Final total indebtedness below 50% of wage “mortgage instalment/ disposable income” ratio below internal threshold
“Adverse credit charges” (* ) NPL on Bank or System database (* ) Arrear (incaglio) on Bank
- r System database (* )
Past due on Bank or System database (* ) Cancelled cheque (* ) Underage applicant Inhibited applicant Bankrupted applicant ”Not to entrust” marked applicant
Other checks
Sever prejudicial elements (* ) Under observation positions (* ) Called positions (* ) Type of applicant Type of mortgage applicant age + mortgage duration equal or above 80 years Lien > 2 Mild prejudicial elements applicant’s total net financial assets > = 50% of mortgage Value of pledged securities (* * ) > = 50% of mortgage
(* * ) if pledged securities > = 100% of mortgage, final result always positive
Check of monthly value (internal model) Checking of counterparty rating Check of expected loss (%) resulting from counterparty PD and weighted average for all credit lines LGD
NOTE the disposable income used for all financial checks takes into consideration the cumulated income of applicant and potential loan guarantor. Loan guarantor income not
considered if there are prejudicial elements, negative rating (or negative CBS Score if without rating), or it’s not a relative of the applicant
40
Appraisal process of mortgage properties
Appraisal process before 2008: for mortgages of over €175,000, properties were assessed by
independent appraisers, managed by the Special Purpose Loans Group – Appraisals Office
The external appraiser sent a copy of the valuation to the Appraisals Office and to the proposing branch. The
branch sent the valuation together with the notary report to the Special Purpose Loans Group to complete the appraisal process
Appraisal of mortgage properties were required regardless of the amount if property were located outside the
territorial competencies of the branch, or other’s mortgage were already in place or for multiple properties
Appraisal process after January 2008: obligation to perform an appraisal process regardless of the
amount
All real estate appraisal are assigned to the “Evaluation Building” department of CRIF, which comprises
independent appraisers which use standardised and certified evaluation criteria. Key data and information from the appraisal are also used to perform periodic revaluation of the collateral
CRIF guarantees the appraisal values and is economically responsible for the evaluations provided The report received from CRIF is sent to the Special Purpose Loans Group to complete the mortgage request
process
41
Approving powers in the underwriting process
In the following table an example with the approving powers of the different competent bodies for one Bank
- f the Group
Committees and Management (EUR)
Board of Directors Over 30,000,000 Executive Committee Up to 30,000,000 Credit Committee Up to 20,000,000 Chief Executive Officer Up to 15,000,000 General Manager Up to 6,000,000
Credit Up to 8,000,000 Business Area Up to 2,500,000 Branches (excluding the London Branch) Up to 275,000
42
Servicing and delinquency management process
Source: Banco Popolare
Timing Actions
1st reminder letter Branch contact 2nd reminder letter Telephone contact 3rd day before the end of the month of the missed payment During the month from the missed payment
3rd day before the end of the month of the missed payment
During the following 15 days after the second missed payment For 30 days from the missed payment
Performed by
Automatic procedure
Automatic procedure Internal call centre Branch First unpaid (0 – 30 dd)
For 60 days from the missed payment
2nd missed payments (30 – 60 dd) 3rd missed payments (60 – 90 dd)
From 150 days to 180 days from the first missed payment At the missed payment for 15 dd
Head of Credit Dpt.
Returning to performing or transfer to Arrear/NPL
External recovery company 1
Status to arrear (incaglio) Branch contact
4th missed payment (90 – 120 dd) 6th missed payment (150 – 180 dd) Branch
Direct contact domicile 3rd reminder letter In the last 10 days of the calendar month of the 3rd missed payment
Branch
Following the Arrear Department valuation for 75 dd
External recovery company 2
Direct contact at domicile At the missed payment
9th missed payment (240 dd)
Proposal to NPL status Automatic procedure
Arrears dpt (incagli) -centralised (Area or head office) Partial promise to pay (150 – 180 dd)
43
Banco Popolare’s OBG Programme 2 Banco Popolare Group 8 Funding Strategy and Liquidity Profile 20 The I talian Mortgage Market 25 Banco Popolare’s Mortgage Business 32 Banco Popolare’s Underwriting Policies 37 Cover Pool Description 44
Annex 1: Summary of Programme Events 48 Annex 2: I talian OBG vs. European Covered Bond Framework 51 Annex 3: Additional I nformation on Banco Popolare 53
Table of Contents
44
Cover Pool Highlights
Current loan balance (EUR) Original LTV (%) Current LTV (%)
Balance (€) 4,623,894,888 Number of loans 45,086 Average loan balance (€) 102,557 WA seasoning (years) 2.17 WA remaining term (years) 19.38 Number of borrowers 44,975 WA CLTV 52.18% Percentage of floating rate mortgages 74.75% WA interest rate on floating rate loans (% ) 2.06% WA margin on floating rate loans (bps) 122.9 WA interest rate on fixed rate loans (% ) 5.32% Figures refer to volume of outstanding mortgages – Data as of 30 November 2010 7,27% 25,07% 28,88% 17,49% 13,30% 3,84% 1,73% 2,42% <50k 50k - 100k 100k - 150k 150k - 200k 200k - 300k 300k - 400k 400k - 500k >500k 0,30% 2,94% 6,92% 10,66% 13,54% 14,71% 18,10% 29,96% 2,50% 0,29% 0,08% <10 10 - 20 20 - 30 30 - 40 40 - 50 50 - 60 60 - 70 70 - 80 80 - 90 90 - 100 >100 1,06% 5,30% 9,24% 12,55% 14,39% 15,68% 19,21% 22,58% <10 10 - 20 20 - 30 30 - 40 40 - 50 50 - 60 60 - 70 70 - 80
45
Cover Pool Highlights
Base index for floating rate loans (%) Current interest rates (%) Interest rate on fixed rate loans (%) Margin on floating rate loans (bp)
Figures refer to volume of outstanding mortgages – Data as of 30 November 2010 0,67% 1,57% 6,97% 7,92% 5,42% 2,17% 0,50% 0,04% <4.0 4.0 - 4.5 4.5 - 5.0 5.0 - 5.5 5.5 - 6.0 6.0 - 6.5 6.0 - 6.5 >7.0 0,10% 2,13% 26,00% 19,21% 14,53% 5,80% 6,38% 0,27% 0,22% 0,10% <50 50 - 75 75 - 100 100 - 125 125 - 150 150 - 175 175 - 200 200 - 225 225 - 250 >250 Euribor 3m 30,97% Euribor 6m 2,03% Euribor 1m 67% 38,56% 25,99% 9,47% 0,58% 0,59% 1,60% 7,00% 7,96% 5,49% 2,22% 0,50% 0,04% <2.0 2.0 - 2.5 2.5 - 3.0 3.0 - 3.5 3.5 - 4.0 4.0 - 4.5 4.5 - 5.0 5.0 - 5.5 5.5 - 6.0 6.0 - 6.5 6.5 - 7.0 >7.0
46
Cover Pool Highlights
Geographical distribution (% ) Regional distribution (%) Remaining term (years) Loan seasoning (years)
Figures refer to volume of outstanding mortgages – Data as of 30 November 2010
0,03% 0,08% 2,72% 13,66% 0,59% 8,30% 7,24% 0,16% 0,30% 7,52% 0,57% 0,38% 3,62% 14,37% 0,71% 0,71% 0,31% 13,09% 25,63% Basilicata Calabria Campania Emilia Romagna Friuli Venezia Giulia Lazio Liguria Lombardia Marche Molise Piemonte Puglia Sardegna Sicilia Toscana Trentino Alto Adige Umbria Valle d'Aosta Veneto
North 68,76% South & Isles 7,69% Centre 23,54%
6,96% 10,16% 8,86% 2,26% 6,16% 65,60% 1yr - 2yr 2yr - 3yr 3yr - 4yr 4yr - 5yr 5yr - 6yr >6yr 2,19% 11,90% 17,81% 23,03% 18,86% 24,94% 1,27% <5yr 5yr - 10yr 10yr - 15yr 15yr - 20yr 20yr - 25yr 25yr - 30yr >30yr
47
Banco Popolare’s OBG Programme 2 Banco Popolare Group 8 Funding Strategy and Liquidity Profile 20 The I talian Mortgage Market 25 Banco Popolare’s Mortgage Business 32 Banco Popolare’s Underwriting Policies 37 Cover Pool Description 44
Annex 1: Summary of Programme Events 48 Annex 2: I talian OBG vs. European Covered Bond Framework 51 Annex 3: Additional I nformation on Banco Popolare 53
Table of Contents
48
I ssuer Event of Default
I ssuer event
- f default
Enforcement of the CB Guarantee Failure for a period of 7 days or more to pay any principal or redemption amount or any interest
- n the Covered Bond of any series or tranche when due for a period of more of 14 days
Breach of any material obligations under or in respect of the covered bonds or any of the
transaction documents to which it is a party and such failure remains unremedied for 30 days after the representative of the covered bondholders has given written notice
Following the delivery of a breach of test notice, the tests are not cured within 30 days The pre-maturity test is breached on a pre-maturity test date falling within 12 months prior to
the maturity date and the breach has not been cured before the earlier of (i) 15 business days from the date that the issuer is notified of the breach of the pre-maturity test and (ii) the maturity date
An insolvency event of the issuer An article 74 (Italian banking act) event The representative of the covered bondholders will serve a notice to pay on the issuer and
guarantor stating that an issuer event of default has occurred
Upon the service of a notice to pay: –
each series or tranche of covered bonds will accelerate against the issuer and they will rank pari passu amongst themselves against the issuer
–
the guarantor will pay any amounts due under the covered bonds on the due for payment date in accordance with the provisions of the covered bond guarantee
–
the mandatory tests shall continue to be applied and the amortisation test shall be also applied
–
The Guarantor shall (only if necessary in order to effect timely due payments under the Covered Bonds), direct each Servicer to sell the Receivables respectively assigned by in accordance with the provisions of the Cover Pool Administration Agreement
Note: These pages contain a summary/overview of the Priority of Payments and Tests. For the official wording please refer to the Base Prospectus
49
Guarantor Event of Default
Guarantor event of default Acceleration notice Failure by the guarantor for a period of 7 days or more to pay any principal or redemption
amounts of principal, and/or for a period of 14 days or more to pay any amounts of interest, due for payment in respect of the covered bonds
Breach of the amortisation test Breach by the guarantor of any material obligations under or in respect of the covered bonds or
any of the transaction documents to which it is a party, with such failure remaining unremedied for 30 days after the Representative of the Covered Bondholders has given written notice thereof to the issuer
An insolvency event of the guarantor The Representative of the Covered Bondholders shall serve a notice on the guarantor that a
guarantor event of default has occurred, unless an extraordinary resolution is passed resolving
- therwise
Upon the service of the acceleration notice, all covered bonds will become immediately due and
payable by the guarantor at their early redemption amount, together with any accrued interest and they will rank pari passu amongst themselves
Note: These pages contain a summary/overview of the Priority of Payments and Tests. For the official wording please refer to the Base Prospectus
50
Banco Popolare’s OBG Programme 2 Banco Popolare Group 8 Funding Strategy and Liquidity Profile 20 The I talian Mortgage Market 25 Banco Popolare’s Mortgage Business 32 Banco Popolare’s Underwriting Policies 37 Cover Pool Description 44
Annex 1: Summary of Programme Events 48 Annex 2: I talian OBG vs. European Covered Bond Framework 51 Annex 3: Additional I nformation on Banco Popolare 53
Table of Contents
51
Name of debt I nstrument Special Banking Principle Supervision Substitute Collateral Protection Against Mismatching Mandatory over- collateralisation Voluntary over- collateralisation is protected Fulfils UCI TS 22(4) Italy Obbligazioni bancarie garantite (OBG) No Bank of Italy Up to 15% Net-present value cover required No Yes Yes Obligations Foncières (OF) Yes Commission Bancaire and special supervisor Up to 15% Not compulsory; but all OFs benefit from additional contractual features No Yes Yes Germany Hypothekenpfand-briefe, Öffentliche Pfandbriefe, Schiffspfandbriefe No Bundesanstalt für Finanz- dienstleistungsaufsicht and independent trustee Up to 10% Net-present value cover required 102% Yes Yes Cédulas Hipotecarias (CH) 125% (CH) No Banco de Espana Not applicable Coverage by nominal value Yes Yes Spain Cédulas Territoriales (CT) 143% (CT) Obligations de financement de l’ habitat (OFH) Yes Commission Bancaire and special supervisor Up to 15% Not compulsory; but OFHs also benefit from additional contractual features like OFs No Yes Yes French Structured Covered Bond No Commission Bancaire and special supervisor Up to 15% Contractual obligation to neutralise interest and currency
- risk. Also, downgrade triggers
for swap counterparties and different tests to ensure adequate cash flows Subject to asset coverage test Yes T.B.D. Netherlands Dutch Covered Bonds No De Nederlandsche Bank and independent auditor Up to 10% Exposure to interest rate and currency risk is neutralised. In addition, downgrade triggers for swap counterparties, and various tests ensure cash-flow adequacy Subject to asset coverage test Yes From 1 July 2008
- nwards
Portugal Obrigações Hipotecárias , Obrigações sector público Optional Banco de Portugal Up to 20% Net-present value cover required; in addition, limitation
- f liquidity risk
105% Yes Yes France
European Overview on Covered Bond Framework
52
Banco Popolare’s OBG Programme 2 Banco Popolare Group 8 Funding Strategy and Liquidity Profile 20 The I talian Mortgage Market 25 Banco Popolare’s Mortgage Business 32 Banco Popolare’s Underwriting Policies 37 Cover Pool Description 44
Annex 1: Summary of Programme Events 48 Annex 2: I talian OBG vs. European Covered Bond Framework 51 Annex 3: Additional I nformation on Banco Popolare 53
Table of Contents
53
P&L highlights
BP Standalone results
Net income reaches €275m at
30/09/10 up 43% y/y.
Net interest income decreases
6.6% y/y mainly driven by the trend in the euribor rates.
Net commissions up 8.5% y/y. Net financial income up 54.3%
y/y.
Operating costs fall 2.0% y/y. Cost of credit risk remains under
control and stands at 76bps (annualised).
2,800.1 2,775.6 2,638.4 1,398.5 1,369.2 1,466.8 956.8 947.5 873.4 398.3 400.2 259.4 (1,798.4) (1,733,8) (1,768.9) 357.0 490.1 491.7 105.7 (221.4) (262.4) 1,001.7 1,041.8 869.6 (608.4) (520.0) (436.9) 467.1 274.7 192.3
BP Standalone BP Standalone Group
30/09/10 30/09/09
TOTAL REVENUES:
- /w: net interest income
- /w: net commissions
- /w: net financial result
OPERATI NG COSTS PROFI T FROM OPERATI ONS Net Write-downs on impairment of loans I NCOME BEFORE TAXES Taxes on income NET I NCOME OF THE GROUP €/ m
9M 2010 Group’s results are not directly comparable with 9M 2009 figures, considering that Banca Italease is consolidated starting only from 1 July 2009.
54
Note: Nine-month 2010 results are not directly comparable with 9M 2009 figures, considering that Banca I talease entered into the Group’s scope of consolidation only starting from 1 July 2009.
Group consolidated net income reaches €467.1m in 9M 2010; this result is influenced by various extraordinary items (detailed on Slide 9): Net income of Banco Popolare ‘standalone’: + €274.7m Net contribution of Banca I talease: + €192.3m (-€9.1m excluding - €84.4m of PPA and
+ €285.8m of deferred tax assets)
‘Normalised’ Group net income (net of Fair Value Option, PPA, write-downs on treasury securities and deferred tax assets) comes in at €260.3m. Commercial performance of the branch franchise:
- Household mortgage loans (granted):
+ 15% y/ y
- Personal loans:
+ 13% y/ y
- Financing to snall businesses:
+ 15% y/ y
- I nvestment products: + 10% y/ y
Good progress in the turnaround of Banca Popolare di Lodi: net income of + €60.2m in 9M 2010. Derisking process of Banca I talease well on track: the aggregate amount of NPLs and watchlist loans of the Release portfolio decreased €1.7bn YTD, resulting in a reduction of 46% in the stock (from €3.65bn at year-end 2009 to €1.97bn as at 30 September 2010).
Highlights: Banco Popolare Group results
55
9M 2010 Reclassified income statement - €/ m Banco Popolare Group (PPA line-by-line) Banco Popolare (standalone) Banca I talease PPA I talease Net interest income 1,367.3 1,369.2 59.4 (61.3) Profit (loss) on equity investments carried at equity 31.1 35.6 (4.4) Net interest, dividend and similar income 1,398.5 1,404.8 54.9 (61.3) Net commissions 956.8 947.5 9.2 Other revenues 46.6 23.0 23.6 Net financial income 398.2 400.2 4.4 (6.4) Other operating income 1,401.5 1,370.8 37.1 (6.4) Total income 2,800.0 2,775.6 92.1 (67.7) Personnel expenses (1,124.6) (1,098.4) (26.2)
- Other administrative expenses
(577.3) (547.1) (30.2)
- Amortization and depreciation
(96.5) (88.3) (8.2)
- Operating costs
(1,798.4) (1,733.8) (64.6)
- Profit from operations
1,001.6 1,041.8 27.5 (67.7) Net write-downs on impairment of loans, guarantees and commitments (608.2) (520.0) (88.3)
- Net write-downs on impairment of other financial transactions
(35.2) (35.9) 0.7
- Net provisions for risks and charges
(12.8) (1.4) (11.3)
- Impairment of goodwill and equity investments
(0.8) (0.8) (0.0)
- Profit (loss) on disposal of equity and other investments
12.5 6.5 33.8 (27.9) I ncome before tax from continuing operations 357.0 490.1 (37.6) (95.6) Tax on income from continuing operations 105.7 (221.4) 296.2 30.9 Income (Loss) after tax from non-current assets held for sale 17.4 16.0 21.8 (20.3) Minority interest (12.9) (9.9) (3.7) 0.7 Net income for the period 467.1 274.7 276.7 (84.4) 9M 2010
Consolidated 9M 2010 income statement: breakdown
€192.3m
Banco Popolare Group
56
Reclassified income statement - €/ m 9M 2010 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2009 Net interest income 1,367.3 1,481.6 1,540.9 1,626.6 Profit (loss) on equity investments carried at equity 31.1 57.4 31.1 57.4 Net interest, dividend and similar income 1,398.5 1,539.0 1,572.1 1,684.0 Net commissions 956.8 877.5 956.8 877.5 Other revenues 46.6 170.4 76.6 10.0 Net financial income 398.3 202.2 404.7 259.3 Other operating income 1,401.7 1,250.1 1,438.1 1,146.8 Total income 2,800.1 2,789.1 3,010.1 2,830.7 Personnel expenses (1,124.6) (1,095.2) (1,124.6) (1,095.2) Other administrative expenses (577.3) (581.5) (577.3) (581.5) Amortization and depreciation (96.5) (116.3) (93.4) (113.2) Operating costs (1,798.4) (1,793.0) (1,795.3) (1,789.9) Profit from operations 1,001.7 996.1 1,214.8 1,040.8 Net write-downs on impairment of loans, guarantees and commitmen (608.4) (485.9) (608.4) (485.9) Net write-downs on impairment of other financial transactions (35.2) (16.7) (35.2) (16.7) Net provisions for risks and charges (12.8) (36.0) (12.8) (36.0) Impairment of goodwill and equity investments (0.8) (3.1) (0.8) (3.1) Profit (loss) on disposal of equity and other investments 12.5 115.0 45.9 117.2 I ncome before tax from continuing operations 357.0 569.5 603.5 616.4 Tax on income from continuing operations 105.7 (230.8) 26.3 (309.1) Income (Loss) after tax from non-current assets held for sale 17.4 (26.5) 43.4 (20.9) Minority interest (12.9) 4.2 (20.3) (10.9) Net income for the period excluding PPA 467.1 316.4 652.9 275.6 PPA impact after tax
- (185.8)
40.9 Net income for the period including PPA 467.1 316.4 467.1 316.4 I NCLUDI NG PPA line-by-line EXCLUDI NG PPA line-by-line
Consolidated 9M 2010 income statement: accounting data
The two sets of results are not directly comparable considering that Banca Italease Group is consolidated starting only from 1 July 2009. Of which PPA ex-BPI: (101.5) Of which PPA Italease: (84.4)
Banco Popolare Group
57
Relevant impacts on the P&L in 9M 2010
9 months 2010
Of which:
Pre-tax Post-tax 261.1 176.7
€/m 285.8 285.8
- 103.3
- 69.9
157.8 106.8
Q1 2010
19.3 13.0
- 13.2
- 9.0
6.1 4.0 Q2 2010
239.7 162.2 285.8 285.8
- 103.7
- 70.2
136.0 92.0 Q3 2010
2.1 1.5 + 13.6 + 9.3
15.7 10.8
Gross cumulative FVO at 30/09/2010 amounts to + €284.8m, of which + €23.7m are the residual part of 2009.
FAI R VALUE OPTI ON DEFERRED TAX ASSETS WRI TE-DOWNS ON GOVERNMENT BOND PORTFOLI O
(Income statement item: Income taxes) (Income statement item: Net financial income) (Income statement item: Net financial income)
Total impact on Net Financial I ncome
Tax credits resulting from the entry of Banca Italease into the consolidated fiscal perimeter of Banco Popolare Group.
Pre-tax Pre-tax Pre-tax Post-tax Post-tax Post-tax
Banco Popolare Group
58 Reclassified income statement - €/m Accounting data PPA (ex-BPI + BIL) Accounting data excluding PPA Fair Value Option Write-downs
- n
Government securities Deferred tax assets Normalized Income statement excluding Net interest income 1.367,3 (173,6) 1.540,9
- 1.540,9
Profit (loss) on equity investments carried at equity 31,1 31,1
- 31,1
Net interest, dividend and similar income 1.398,5 (173,6) 1.572,1
- 1.572,1
Net commissions 956,8 956,8
- 956,8
Other revenues 46,6 (30,0) 76,6
- 76,6
Net financial income 398,3 (6,4) 404,7 261,1 (103,3) 246,9 Other operating income 1.401,7 (36,4) 1.438,1 261,1 (103,3) 1.280,3 Total income 2.800,1 (210,0) 3.010,1 261,1 (103,3) 2.852,3 Personnel expenses (1.124,6) (1.124,6)
- (1.124,6)
Other administrative expenses (577,3) (577,3)
- (577,3)
Amortization and depreciation (96,5) (3,0) (93,4)
- (93,4)
Operating costs (1.798,4) (3,0) (1.795,3)
- (1.795,3)
Profit from operations 1.001,7 (213,0) 1.214,8 261,1 (103,3) 1.057,0 Net w rite-dow ns on impairment of loans, guarantees and commitments (608,4) (608,4)
- (608,4)
Net w rite-dow ns on impairment of other financial transactions (35,2) (35,2)
- (35,2)
Net provisions for risks and charges (12,8) (12,8)
- (12,8)
Impairment of goodw ill and equity investments (0,8) (0,8)
- (0,8)
Profit (loss) on disposal of equity and other investments 12,5 (33,5) 45,9
- 45,9
Income before tax from continuing operations 357,0 (246,5) 603,5 261,1 (103,3) 445,7 Tax on income from continuing operations 105,7 79,4 26,3 (84,4) 33,4 285,8 (208,5) Income (Loss) after tax from non-current assets held for sale 17,4 (26,1) 43,4 43,4 Minority interest (12,9) 7,4 (20,3) (20,3) Net income for the period 467,1 (185,8) 652,9 176,7 (69,9) 285,8 260,3
Consolidated 9m 2010 ‘normalized’ income statement
In the fourth quarter of 2010, the PPA impact is expected to be about -€34m. On an annual basis, the PPA impact is expected to decrease to about -€107m in 2011, to about -€47m in 2012 and to about -€27m in 2013.
Banco Popolare Group
59
Highlights: ‘standalone’ results
Net income reaches €275m at 30/ 09/ 2010; ‘normalized’ net income comes in at €269m. Net interest income decreases 6.6% y/ y and is down slightly q/ q (-1.4% ). Net commissions reach €947.5m, with a growth of 8.5% y/ y and a decrease of 3.7% q/ q, but in any case showing a healthy growth of 7.7% over Q3 2009. Net financial income reaches €400.4m. Excluding the impact of the FVO (+ €261.1m), temporary write- downs on the Government securities portfolio and related derivatives (-€103.3m) and commercial transactions (-€22.6m), it amounts to €265.2m, thanks also to the positive contribution of Banca Aletti (+ €193.8m). Operating costs fall 2.0% y/ y and increase 0.8% q/ q; in particular:
- Personnel costs rise 1.6% y/ y and 1.4% q/ q; excluding €8.9m of severance costs, they
increase only 0.8% y/ y, while decreasing 1.1% q/ q.
- Non-personnel expenses fall 7.7% y/ y and increase 1.2% q/ q.
Cost of credit risk: 76bps in the first 9 months of 2010 (annualised).
Banco Popolare ‘standalone’
60
Reclassified income statement - €/ m 9M 2010 9M 2009 % Chg. 9M 2010 9M 2009 % Chg. Net interest income 1,369.2 1,466.8 (6.6%) 1,481.5 1,579.7 (6.2%) Profit (loss) on equity investments carried at equity 35.6 57.4 (38.0%) 35.6 57.4 (38.0%) Net interest, dividend and similar income 1,404.8 1,524.1 (7.8%) 1,517.1 1,637.1 (7.3%) Net commissions 947.5 873.4 8.5% 947.5 873.4 8.5% Other revenues 23.0 (18.5) n.a. 53.0 12.5 324.0% Net financial income 400.2 259.4 54.3% 400.2 259.4 54.3% Other operating income 1,370.8 1,114.3 23.0% 1,400.8 1,145.4 22.3% Total income 2,775.6 2,638.4 5.2% 2,917.9 2,782.5 4.9% Personnel expenses (1,098.4) (1,080.6) 1.6% (1,098.4) (1,080.6) 1.6% Other administrative expenses (547.1) (574.6) (4.8%) (547.1) (574.6) (4.8%) Amortization and depreciation (88.3) (113.7) (22.3%) (85.3) (110.6) (22.9%) Operating costs (1,733.8) (1,768.9) (2.0%) (1,730.8) (1,765.8) (2.0%) Profit from operations 1,041.8 869.6 19.8% 1,187.1 1,016.7 16.8% Net write-downs on impairment of loans, guarantees and commitment (520.0) (436.9) 19.0% (520.0) (436.9) 19.0% Net write-downs on impairment of other financial transactions (35.9) (16.7) 115.5% (35.9) (16.7) 115.5% Net provisions for risks and charges (1.4) (34.7) (96.0%) (1.4) (34.7) (96.0%) Impairment of goodwill and equity investments (0.8) (3.1) (73.4%) (0.8) (3.1) (73.4%) Profit (loss) on disposal of equity and other investments 6.5 113.6 (94.3%) 12.1 115.8 (89.6%) I ncome before tax from continuing operations 490.1 491.7 (0.3%) 641.1 641.0 0.0% Tax on income from continuing operations (221.4) (262.4) (15.6%) (269.9) (312.0) (13.5%) Income (Loss) after tax from non-current assets held for sale 16.0 (32.1) n.a. 21.7 (26.5) n.a. Minority interest (9.9) (4.9) 102.3% (16.6) (12.6) 32.2% Net income for the period excluding PPA 376.2 290.0 0.3 PPA impact after tax
- (101.5)
(97.7) 0.0 Net income for the period including PPA 274.7 192.3 42.9% 274.7 192.3 42.9% I ncluding PPA line-by-line Excluding PPA line-by-line
‘Standalone’ 9m 2010 income statement: accounting data
Net Financial Income for the first 9 months of 2009 was negatively influenced by the FVO (-€333.3m) and benefited from a capital gain of about €120m deriving from interest rate hedging positions. Furthermore, the nine-month 2009 results benefited from income from the disposal of equity & other investments for a total of €115.0m, of which €106.5m related to the Eracle real estate Fund. Memo 2009
Banco Popolare ‘standalone’
61
Reclassified income statement - €/m Accounting data PPA (ex-BPI + BIL) Accounting data excluding PPA Fair Value Option Write-downs on Government bonds portfolio Normalized Income statement excluding PPA Net interest income 1,369.2 (112.3) 1,481.5
- 1,481.5
- Profit (loss) on equity investments carried at equity
35.6 35.6
- 35.6
Net interest, dividend and similar income 1,404.8 (112.3) 1,517.1
- 1,517.1
Net commissions 947.5 947.5
- 947.5
Other revenues 23.0 (30.0) 53.0
- 53.0
Net financial income 400.2 400.2 261.1 (103.3) 242.4 Other operating income 1,370.8 (30.0) 1,400.8 261.1 (103.3) 1,243.0 Total income 2,775.6 (142.3) 2,917.9 261.1 (103.3) 2,760.1 Personnel expenses (1,098.4) (1,098.4)
- (1,098.4)
Other administrative expenses (547.1) (547.1)
- (547.1)
Amortization and depreciation (88.3) (3.0) (85.3)
- (85.3)
Operating costs (1,733.8) (3.0) (1,730.8)
- (1,730.8)
Profit from operations 1,041.8 (145.3) 1,187.1 261.1 (103.3) 1,029.3 , Net w rite-dow ns on impairment of loans, guarantees and commitments (520.0) (520.0)
- (520.0)
Net w rite-dow ns on impairment of other financial transactions (35.9) (35.9)
- (35.9)
Net provisions for risks and charges (1.4) (1.4)
- (1.4)
Impairment of goodw ill and equity investments (0.8) (0.8)
- (0.8)
Profit (loss) on disposal of equity and other investments 6.5 (5.6) 12.1
- 12.1
Income before tax from continuing operations 490.1 (150.9) 641.1 261.1 (103.3) 483.3 Tax on income from continuing operations (221.4) 48.5 (269.9) (84.4) 33.4 (218.9) Income (Loss) after tax from non-current assets held for sale 16.0 (5.7) 21.7
- 21.7
Minority interest (9.9) 6.7 (16.6) (0.1) (16.6) Net income for the period 274.7 (101.5) 376.2 176.6 (69.9) 269.5
‘Standalone’ 9M 2010 ‘normalized’ income statement
In the fourth quarter of 2010, the PPA impact is expected to be about -€22m. On an annual basis, the PPA impact is expected to decrease to about -€75m in 2011, to about -€31m in 2012 and to about -€19m in 2013. Change in the bank’s
- wn creditworthiness.
Banco Popolare ‘standalone’
62
30/06/10 Accounting Ratios Disposal of Factorit & Caripe Capital increase of € 2bn (approved on 14.12.10) Tremonti Bond redemption for € 1.45bn 30/06/10 Pro forma Ratios
6.1% 7.6% 10.3% + 31bps + 216bps
- 155bps
7.0% 8.5% 11.2% Pro-forma ratios do not include: possible conversion of SMCN (max. + 110 bps on Core Tier 1 ratio)* benefits from possible disposal of other non-core assets
Disposal of Factorit finalized on 29/7/10. Disposal of Caripe finalized on 31/12/10. Reduction of RWA due to the disposal of Factorit (€1.9bn) and Caripe (€ 0.9bn)
RWA: € 92.7bn
Core Tier 1 Tier 1 Total capital
* The €1.0bn ‘Soft Mandatory’ convertible notes, issued at the end of March 2010, are convertible after 18 months after the issue date, both at the request of the bondholders and of the issuer.
(approved on 11/12/2010 by the EGM)
Capital adequacy ratios
Banco Popolare Group
63 Banco Popolare Banco Popolare 91.4% NewCo Due Net cust. loans (* * ): €4.8 bn BPER, BPS, BPM BPER, BPS, BPM 67.2% NewCo Uno gross impaired loans: 20.0% BPER, BPS, BPM BPER, BPS, BPM Banca I talease I mpieghi Lordi: € 20,8mld Banca I talease I mpieghi Lordi: € 20,8mld Banco Popolare Banco Popolare
Reorganisation
Banca I talease I mpieghi lordi: € 9,9mld Banco Popolare Banco Popolare NewCo 1: Release NewCo 2: Alba BPER, BPS, BPM BPER, BPS, BPM 80.0% (* ) €3.9 bn BPER, BPS, BPM BPER, BPS, BPM Banca I talease I mpieghi Lordi: € 20,8mld Banca I talease Net customer loans: €17.2 bn Banco Popolare Banco Popolare 88.1% Post PTO Banca I talease Net customer loans: €7.0 bn
* Participation held by Banca Italease in NewCo 1 post conferments and after the company’s share capital increase. * * Includes (i) the conferment of a credit portfolio of € 2.4bn and (ii) loan securitisations for a total of €2.4 bn. * * * The figures in brackets indicate the receivables portfolio (leasing+ mortgages) as at 30 September 2010.
Banca Italease POST- conferments + NewCo1
consolidated on a line- by-line basis
The 32.8% stake in NewCo 2 consolidated
with the equity method
POST-conferments PRE-conferments
Starting from 31 Dec. 2009
- / w:
net impaired loans: €3.0 bn 32.8%
- / w:
€1.5 bn factoring Post CAP I NCREASE
On July 2010 90.5% stake of Factorit has been sold to BPS anc BPM
Data as of 31/12/2009.
(now: €5.8 bn)* * * (now: €3.2 bn)* * * (now: €2.2 bn)* * * (€5.1 bn as at June 2010)
- 08 July 2009
Banca I talease: reorganisation completed
: closure of the Public Tender Offer on Banca Italease with a 88.127% stake held by Banco Popolare; since 30 September 2009, Banca Italease is
consolidated on a line-by-line basis.
- 31 December 2009: legal effectiveness of the Banca Italease reorganisation. Transfer of business units to Newco 1 and Newco 2.
- 08 January 2010: €1.2bn capital increase finalised. Banco Popolare increased its stake in Banca I talease from 88.127% to 91.397% , following the
exercise of option rights on 30 December 2009.
- 8-26 March 2010: Mandatory offer on remaining Banca Italease shares (159,362,216) pursuant to art. 108, paragraph 2, of TUF (“Purchase Obligation”), at €0.797 per
- share. Following the total shares tendered (138,116,651) Banco Popolare’s stake in Banca italease rose above the 95% threshold (98.853%), allowing it to
proceed with the buy-out of still outstanding shares.
- 8 April 2010: de-listing of Banca I talease.
- 29 July 2010: sale of 90.5% stake of Factorit to BPS and BPM
- December 2010: merger by incorporation of I talease Network in Banca I talease
64
AUTO 1% AERONAVAL 4% EQUIPMENT 7% MORTGAGES 17% REAL ESTATE 71% 3,967 104 899 1,071 817 1,076 92 556 874 3,239 653 1,063
NPLs Watchlist Restructured Past Due Performing TOTAL
Gross Net
Receivables portfolio (leasing+ mortgages) as at 30/ 09/ 2010 Receivables portfolio by product category
Coverage
38% 18% 20% 11% 1%
18% 89% of corporate mortgage loans are guaranteed by real estate assets.
Gross NPLs:
- 38.5%
Gross watchlist loans:
- 51.0%
Banca I talease: Release loan portfolio analysis
€/m
- NPLs are provisioned against by €343m (38%) including also the collateral the coverage rises to 106%.
- Watchlist loans are provisioned against by €197m (18%) including also the collateral the coverage rises to 100%.
- Restructured loans also have a considerable level of provisions, equal to €163m (including also the collateral, the coverage
rises to 109%), of which €127m are related to Statuto group.
Derisking of the Release portfolio % change YTD
- f which €599m gross are related to Statuto
group which is showing a regular performance.
65
NPLs Watchlist Restructured Past Due Performing TOTAL TOTAL GROSS LOANS AS AT 31/12/09 1.463 2.186 184 92 925 4.850 % Comp. 30% 45% 4% 2% 19% Repossession of RE assets
- 112
- 573
- 685
Reclassification
- 517
- 390
655 244
- 7
Credit exctinctions
- 23
- 23
Other changes - remaining portfolio 83
- 91
29 21
- 150
- 109
TOTAL GROSS LOANS AS AT 30/06/10 917 1.109 868 113 1.019 4.026 % Comp. 23% 28% 22% 3% 25% Repossession of RE assets
- 58
- 58
Reclassification
- 54
54 Credit exctinctions
- 37
- 37
Total Gross Loans 917 1.017 809 113 1.074 3.930 Exchange of loans with Alba Leasing 7 98 3 108 Disposal of non RE NPLs <€250,000
- 66
- 66
Other changes - remaining portfolio 41
- 45
7
- 9
- 5
TOTAL GROSS LOANS AS AT 30/09/10 899 1.071 817 104 1.076 3.967 % Comp. 23% 27% 21% 3% 27%
€/m
Release: portfolio evolution
Agreements finalised with Big Tickets during Q3 2010 Agreements finalised with Big Tickets during H1 2010
- Strong delivery in the de-risking process NPLs and watchlist loans down by €1.7bn since year-end 2009 (-
46% ).
- Agreement with Coppola group finalised in October Further reduction of €126m in watchlist loans, with a
repossession of three RE assets (two of which are rented with rental income of about €3.3m on a yearly basis, while
- ne is currently not rented).
- Initiatives aimed at further reducing the risk exposure are under way.
Comments:
66
AUTO 2% AERONAVAL 6% EQUIPMENT 19% OTHER 0.5% MORTGAGES 16% REAL ESTATE 57% 114 98 154 146 306 458 6,207 5,029 151 133 161 352 5,857 4,962
NPLs Watchlist Restructured Past Due Past Due >90 days Performing TOTAL
Gross Net
Receivables portfolio (leasing+ mortgages) as at 30/ 09/ 2010
Banca I talease: ‘Residual’ portfolio analysis*
* Receivables portfolio after the transfer of the leasing and mortgage business units to Release and Alba, excluding Factorit.
Coverage
Receivables portfolio by product category Comments Maturities Equipment Leasing:
- To be reduced by ca. 75% by year-end 2012 and by
- ca. 94% by year-end 2015.
Provisions & Coverage
- Non-performing loans are provisioned against by
€145m (47% ) including also the collateral the coverage rises to 111% .
- Watchlist loans are provisioned against by €106m
(23% ) including also the collateral the coverage rises to 102% .
47% 23% 14% 9% 1% 1%
6% 90% of corporate mortgage loans are guaranteed by real estate assets. €/m
€1,194m €371m €139m €3,472m €1,002m €29m
67
NPLs Watchlist Restructured Past Due Performing TOTAL TOTAL GROSS LOANS AS AT 31/12/09 307 497 90 6.423 7.317 % Comp. 4% 7% 0% 1% 88% Repossession of RE assets
- 49
- 49
Reclassification
- 70
- 79
99 50 Credit exctinctions
- 5
- 5
Other changes - remaining portfolio 47 47 2 39
- 718
- 583
TOTAL GROSS LOANS AS AT 30/06/10 235 460 101 129 5.755 6.679 % Comp. 4% 7% 2% 2% 86% Repossession of RE assets
- 80
- 80
Total Gross Loans 235 380 101 129 5.755 6.600 Exchange of loans with Alba Leasing 30 65 4 9
- 216
- 109
Disposal of non RE NPLs <250K
- 10
- 10
Other changes - remaining portfolio 51 13 10 9
- 357
- 274
TOTAL GROSS LOANS AS AT 30/09/10 306 458 114 146 5.183 6.207 % Comp. 5% 7% 2% 2% 84%
€/m
‘Residual’ Banca I talease: portfolio evolution
- Total loans decrease by 15.2% since year-end 2009 and by -7.1% in Q3 2010.
- Strengthening of credit collection activity:
- Creation of an internal task force made up of 13 people dedicated fully to the collection of loans higher than
€250K: the task force intervenes immediately upon the first unpaid instalment, ignoring the phone collection phase. Such
initiative is already delivering satisfactory results.
- Externalisation to specialised credit collectors of loans < €250K: speeding-up of the recovery process, anticipating
the home collection phase.
Comments:
Agreements finalised with Big Tickets during Q3 2010 Agreements finalised with Big Tickets during H1 2010
68
This document has been prepared by Banco Popolare solely for information purposes and for use in presentation of the Group’s strategies and financials. The information contained herein is derived from sources believed by Banco Popolare to be reliable but has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. The provisions of information should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product or transaction. Neither the company, its affiliates, directors, employees, its advisors and/ or agents or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The forward-looking information contained herein has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect and, accordingly, actual results may vary. I n addition, not all relevant events or conditions may have been considered in developing such assumptions. Accordingly, actual results may vary and the variations may be material. You should understand such assumptions and evaluate whether they are appropriate for your purposes. There is no guarantee that any of the estimates or projections made will be achieved. This document is not intended to forecast or predict future events. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. Any estimates and opinions included herein constitute the subjective judgment of Banco Popolare as of the date hereof and are subject to change without any notice. Banco Popolare undertakes not obligation to update these forward-looking statements for events or circumstances that occur subsequent to such dates or to update or keep current any of the information contained herein. As Banco Popolare is not providing you with investment, legal, tax, financial or accounting advice, such matters should be discussed with your independent advisors. The ultimate decision to proceed with any transaction rests solely with you. Banco Popolare is not acting a your fiduciary, advisor or agent and is not managing your account. Therefore, prior to entering into any proposed transaction, you should determine, without reliance upon Banco Popolare, the economic risks and merits, as well as the legal, tax and accounting characterizations and consequences of the transaction, and that you are able to assume these risks. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any shares, bonds, notes or other financial instruments and no part of it shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. The distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. Recipients of this presentation should inform themselves about and observe such restrictions. The information herein may not be distributed, reproduced, published, quoted or referred to, in whole or in part, for any purpose, or distributed to any other party. By accepting this document you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations. The manager responsible for preparing the company’s financial reports Dott Gianpietro Val Director in charge of Accounting of Banco Popolare, declares, pursuant to paragraph 2 of Article 154 bis of the Consolidated Law on Finance, that the accounting information contained in this presentation corresponds to the document results, books and accounting periods.
Disclaimer
69
Maurizio Faroni, CFO Office: + 39 0458 675 067 m.faroni@bancopopolare.it
Contacts
Anna Di Paolo, Head of ALM & Asset Back Funding Mobile: + 39 371 591 376 an.dipaolo@bancopopolare.it Daniela Antonini, Head of ABS & Covered Bonds Mobile: + 39 371 591 327 daniela.antonini@bancopopolare.it Alberto Basadonna, Head of Finance Mobile: + 39 371 580 373 a.basadonna@bancopopolare.it Tom Lucassen, Investor Relations Office: + 39 0458 675 537 tom.lucassen@bancopopolare.it