INVESTOR PRESENTATION
November 2019
INVESTOR PRESENTATION November 2019 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
INVESTOR PRESENTATION November 2019 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This document contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. These forward-looking statements include, among
November 2019
This document contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. These forward-looking statements include, among others, the Company’s prospects, expected revenues, expenses, profits, expected developments and strategies for its operations, and other expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about possible future events, conditions, results of
as “anticipate,” “achieve”, “achievable,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend”, “plan”, “planned”, and other similar terms and phrases. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. These risks and uncertainties include: fluctuating prices for crude oil and natural gas; changes in drilling activity; general global economic, political and business conditions; weather conditions; regulatory changes; and availability of products, qualified personnel, manufacturing capacity and raw materials. If any of these uncertainties materialize, or if assumptions are incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those expected.
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Investment Summary Near Term Market Outlook Canadian Industry Overview and Trican’s Competitive Positioning Company Overview and Ongoing Business Transformation
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a highly trained workforce dedicated to safety and
provide a comprehensive array
services using equipment required for the exploration and development of oil and gas reserves
in western Canada for more than 23 years
to 70% of a typical well cost
Engineering Support Reservoir Expertise Laboratory Services
Cementing Services
Fracturing Coil Tubing Fluid Management
Coil Tubing Acidizing Pipeline Services Industrial Services Chemical Services Remedial Cementing
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Strengthen Existing Business Growth Share- holder Return Cost Control & Efficiency Gains
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Having safe, efficient, customer- focused operations is always priority #1. Beyond safety and
strategic priorities remain intact:
to take decisive action
Trican to weather and take advantage of near-term North American energy market turbulence
Restructure Refocus Right Size Returns
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improved asset coverage relative to 2015 cyclical low
assets
investment in North American energy market
costs to improve resiliency during a down cycle
streams and cash flow resiliency through the cycles
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See non-GAAP measure Adjusted EBITDA as more fully described in Trican’s MD&A.
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800
0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 Total Debt (millions) Debt / Tangible Capital
Debt / Tangible Capital
Total Debt (RHS) Debt / Tangible Capital (LHS) $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Canadian Results ($ millions)
Revenue Adjusted EBITDA
Market Leading Positions
(based on market share)
pipeline and industrial services Strong Financial Position
Hydraulic Fracturing, 68% Cementing, 18% Coil Services, 7% Fluid Management, 4% Industrial Services, 1% Other, 2%
Trailing 12 Month Revenues: Business Unit Breakdown
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customers
cost structure and customer efficiency
customers
to help reduce well costs and GHGs
provide fuel savings, result in less engine hours, and reduce GHGs
maintenance costs
repairs and extend equipment life through data management
fluid systems
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most efficient style of fracturing pump, designed for higher well service intensity plays:
stacked and requires no capex to activate
resource plays: Montney, Duvernay and Deep Basin (accounts for ~80% of the required HHP demand in Canada)
145,000 HHP of natural gas bi-fuel pumps
Fracturing Fleet Type of Pump Pump (#) HHP % of Fleet Continuous Duty 2,700 / 3,000 HHP 126 344,700 59% Mid Tier 2,500 HHP 95 237,500 41% Total Fracturing Fleet 221 582,200
See MD&A for definition of Fracturing Fleet terms; Dual fuel HHP includes delivery of 10 retrofitted pumps for September / October
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* Smaller crews not suitable for all higher intensity plays Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data, and internal estimates
anticipated
continues to drop
improve
(~30% increase in activity)
Hydraulic Horsepower (HHP) Capacity Active Crewed Fleets Trican 582,200 297,000 8 Competitor A 305,000 193,000 5 Competitor B 298,000 225,000 6 Competitor C 170,000 128,000 3 Competitor D 250,000 140,000 3 Competitor E 263,000 175,000 5 Competitor F* 80,000 75,000 4 Competitor G* 50,000 50,000 4 1,998,200 1,283,000 38
Canadian market dynamics and lower average well counts:
improved low-cycle returns
further business optimization
property and equipment at values approximating net book value
late 2018
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count of ~ 5,000 wells
count)
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Dec-15, 5.5 Dec-16, 4.5 Dec-17, 7.7 Dec-18, 8.3 Sep-19, 9.4 2 4 6 8 10 12
Field and Shared Services / SG&A Employee Ratio
incremental returns upon a market recovery
and fixed cost structure upon recovery
(200,000 HP)
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Service Line Total Equipment Active, Manned Idled Fracturing (HHP) 582,200 297,000 285,200 Cementing (trucks) 62 22 40 Coil Tubing (units) 23 9 14
quartile ROIC in our sector
million to shareholders
ways to return funds to shareholders
current NCIB
repurchases as the best way to return money to shareholders
Company’s shares since October 2017
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50,000 75,000 100,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
200,000 300,000 400,000
Dividends and Share Repurchases, 2006 - 2019
Cumulative Dividend (RHS) Cumulative NCIB (RHS) Annual (LHS) Cumulative (RHS)
fracturing capacity in Canada (approximately 18 crews)
10,000 15,000
Canadian Well Count Well Count Market Shift – New Frac Market Equilibrium ~7,000 wells Well Count Market Shift – Old Frac Market Equilibrium ~10,000 wells
Source: Baker Hughes GE Rig Count Source: Petroleum Services Association of Canada and Internal Estimates
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100 200 300 400 500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
12 Month Trailing Average Canadian Rig Count
Source: Canadian Discovery Source: GMP First Energy
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10,853 10,924 5,376 3,963 6,959 6,781 4,478 4,375
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E
WCSB - Wells Drilled
616 777 1,285 1,335 1,823 3,045 2,700
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
WCSB - Tonnes / Well
Horn River Shale Montney Shale Bakken Shale Cardium Tight Oil Viking Tight Oil Lower Shaunavon Tight Oil
GRANDE PRAIRIE WHITECOURT HINTON FORT ST. JOHN NISKU RED DEER BROOKS ESTEVAN
British Columbia Alberta Saskatchewan Deep Basin Duvernay Shale
CALGARY
Manitoba Spearfish
MEDICINE HAT
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Market Leading Positions
services (crewed HHP)
services (based on rig count)
nitrogen, acid, pipeline and industrial services
approximately 60% to 70% of resource well AFE costs
drilling rig activity
requirements, but longer laterals and increased cement requirements has counter- acted this requirement
amongst four primary players
in this service line over the past decade
100 200 300 400 500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
12 Month Trailing Average Canadian Rig Count
Source: Baker Hughes GE Rig Count
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now running 9 units
market with little capital investment required
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IP and new technologies for reduced product costs
and increase production
which will provide fuel savings, result in less engine hours, and reduce GHGs
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data management
Low industry activity cycle cash flow management: Current Cycle
Assets generated $183 million in adjusted EBITDA1 in 2017: Recent Cycle
Trican will continue to evaluate asset divestiture opportunities or
Other Financial Levers
incremental $22 million in Q4 2019 / Q1 2020
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1 See non-GAAP measures as more fully described in Trican’s MD&A. 2 See non-GAAP measures as more fully described in Appendix 2 of this presentation.
year over year as our customers are more active compared to the industry
December will have normal seasonal slow-down
December slow-down
units activated
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to tangible book value
what Trican sold 12-19-year-old equipment for ($160 / HHP)
significant torque upon recovery in the industry
0.0x 0.2x 0.4x 0.6x 0.8x 1.0x 1.2x 1.4x 1.6x 1.8x 2.0x
0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 Price to Tangible Book Value Debt / Tangible Equity Price to Tangible Book Value vs. Leverage Profile
Debt to Tangible Equity (LHS) Price to Tangible Book (RHS)
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discipline focused
improvement and cost reductions for sustainable cash flow generation
return money to shareholders
pressure pumping company with broad service offering
customer base
Trican to withstand near-term weakness
coverage
provides opportunity for incremental returns upon a market recovery
to grow business
growth required to balance market
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Safety
not typical in most office workplace environments; therefore it is imperative we remain committed to safety.
performance is Lost Time Injury Rate (LTIR)
has dropped by nearly 50%
People Development
hours of training time into our people
environment that results in quality service is training our people
required to be trained as Class 1 driver trainers
us to maintain our driver trainer status despite significantly increased regulations
efficiency program will see a number of our people positioned to receive their green
see the benefit of our lean initiatives
Environment
strict environmental regulation and compliance.
compliance of environmental rules and regulations
Trican is committed to finding economically and environmentally responsible ways to reduce our environmental footprint
fracturing pumps. Dual fuel fracturing pumps provide several benefits to our customers and the environment, including 27% reduced GHGs (source: U.S. EIA)
reduce engine idle times, fuel consumption and therefore GHGs
Our Annual Information Form provides more detail on our policies and governance surrounding social and environmental matters. Our primary initiatives in these areas are as follows:
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IFRS and therefore, is considered non-GAAP measures and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers.
From Operating Activities” for applicable financial periods, being the most directly comparable measure calculated in accordance with IFRS. Management relies on Free Cash Flow as an additional performance measure used as indicators of our ability to service and repay debt, make investments and return capital to investors, through stock repurchases. A surplus of Free Cash Flow provides management with information to determine if funds might be available for incremental financing activities, including repurchase of shares and / or repayment of debt. A deficit of free cash flow indicates management may require
loans and borrowings or asset divestitures. Changes in non-cash working capital are excluded from the calculation as these changes are less reflective of the current periods “Results From Operating Activities”
Flow From Operating Activities” (as stated in our Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows) reduced by capital expenditures and adjusted for changes in non- cash working capital.
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2019 $ Millions Cash Flow From Operating Activities $30.7 Change in non-cash working capital ($14.3) Purchase of property and equipment ($30.1) Free Cash Flow ($15.2)
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November 2019