Investor Presentation
December 2018
Investor Presentation December 2018 DISCLOSURE The information - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation December 2018 DISCLOSURE The information contained in this document has been prepared by Diversified Gas & Oil PLC (the Company). This document is being made available for information purposes only and does
Investor Presentation
December 2018
DISCLOSURE
2
does not constitute an offer or invitation for the sale or purchase of securities or any of the assets described in it nor shall they, nor any part of them, form the basis of or be relied on in connection with, or act as any inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever or otherwise engage in any investment activity (including within the meaning specified in section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000).
be made and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by the Company or any of its officers, employees, agents or advisers as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of this document, and any such liability is expressly disclaimed. In particular, but without prejudice to the generality of the foregoing, no representation or warranty is given as to the achievement or reasonableness of any future projections, management estimates or prospects contained in this document. Such forward-looking statements, estimates and forecasts reflect various assumptions made by the management of the Company and their current beliefs, which may or may not prove to be correct. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the potential results discussed in such forward-looking statements, estimates and forecasts including: changes in general economic and market conditions, changes in the regulatory environment, business and operational risks and other risk factors. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
the Prospectus Directive (Directive 2003/71/EC). This document has not been approved by an authorised person for the purposes of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000.
to any additional information, or to update this document or any additional information, or to correct any inaccuracies in it or any omissions from it which may become apparent.
sell or an invitation to purchase securities in any jurisdiction.
3
Highlights Current Net Daily Production (a) 70 Mboe/d PDP Reserves (b) ~493 MMboe PDP PV-10 (b) ~$1.6 Billion Number of Wells ~60,000 2018PF ADJ EBITDA (hedged)(c) ~$144 Million Net Debt / EBITDA(d) ~ 1.8x Market Capitalisation(e) ~$733 Million Enterprise Value(f) ~$1,239 Million
gas producing assets in the Appalachian Basin
Overview 2018 Highlights
purchase price of $938 million. ― The acquisitions have increased DGOC’s daily net production 7x YTD from ~10 Mboe/d to ~70 Mboe/d and PV-10 from $225 mm to $1.6 billion.
– $439 mm in two public equity offerings – $53 mm private placement acquisition consideration(g)
traditional bank lenders
Strong Outlook
― Successful well management program ― Continued reduction in unit operating expense ― Pricing optionality from midstream expansion ― Enhanced organic growth opportunities
ABOUT DIVERSIFIED GAS & OIL
Footnotes: (a) Current Net Daily Production represents October 2018 volumes, inclusive of the recent Core acquisition effective 01Oct2018; b) PDP reserve volumes and PDP PV-10 value is inclusive of the Core acquisition; (c) YTD Actual Adj EBITDA through 30Sept2018 (~$73mm) plus 31Oct2018 Actual Adj EBITDA times 3 (~$23.6mm x 3 = $71mm) for a proforma 4Q18E that totals 2018PF Adj EBTIDA of ($73mm + $71mm =) ~$144mm, inclusive of settled hedges; (d) $507mm Net Debt at 30Nov2018 divided by annualized October 2018 Adjusted EBITDA (=23.6mm x 12 = $283.2mm); (e) Share price of 106p and an exchange rate of 1.2745 as
West Virginia Ohio Kentucky Pennsylvania Virginia Tennessee
Footnote:
BUSINESS MODEL: ACQUIRE, PRODUCE, DRILL
Create Value
Execute Low Risk, Low Cost Drilling Maximize Production; Minimize Costs Target PDP Acquisitions
Inorganic Ongoing Organic Result
Acquire and manage producing natural gas and oil properties to generate cash flow, providing stability and growth.
4
COMPANY HIGHLIGHTS
5
THE DIVERSIFIED ADVANTAGE
6
wells
Built For Efficiency
wells to remain low
petro-physicists, drilling engineers, chemical specialists & additional support required of drilling operators. DGOC is structured with a lower cost structure optimized to manage the type of assets owned.
reflation to which typical E&Ps are exposed.
Cost Advantaged
EBITDA margins that allow DGO to either:
Focus Financial Returns
$7.71 $19.36 $- $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00
Cash Costs Avg Realized Price
Per Boe (UnHedged)(a)
Operating G&A ~60% Margin $11.65
(a) Cost and Average Realized Price data reflects the month of October 2018
$1.29 $3.23 $- $1.00 $2.00 $3.00
Cash Costs Avg Realized Price
Per Mcfe (UnHedged)(a)
Operating G&A ~60% Margin $1.94
Mature Wells
Low-Risk political &
Low Decline Rates
Long Well Life Shallow Depth Significant Midstream Footprint
ASSET HIGHLIGHTS
7
U.S. Onshore producing gas and oil assets. (Average
production mix: 87% natural gas with recent growth increasing liquids production)
Provide stable and significant free cash flow. The majority
vintage, decline at ~5% per annum. Benefitting from: Low operating costs (Ongoing optimization) Low ongoing maintenance capex (~$5 mm annually) Averaging ~4,200 ft vertical wells into low permeability reservoirs sitting above the shale. >99% are conventional wells. Enhances the economics of upstream assets and provides meaningful additional revenue stream (low maintenance CapEx of
~$15 - $17mm annually)
Estimated from ~40 to 50+ years with significant well control.
One of DGOC’s fundamental objectives is to return previously unproductive wells to production.
MAXIMIZE PRODUCTION: REACTIVATING INACTIVE WELLS
CNX(a)
8
Perform light well maintenance (“workover”) Swab the well to remove fluid Repair flow lines Sell production to home or land owner Increase pressure with compression
The Process:
Wells Returned in last 90 days (a)
(a) These ~130 wells returned to production from 01Sep2018 to 30Nov2018 are incremental to the previously reported 524 wells returned to production from 01Jan2017 to 31Aug2018, increasing the total to over 650 wells.
Target Levels: 75% - 90%
Unhe nhedg dged Volum ume
Net PDP Reserves Hedging Overview (See Appendix for Hedge Portfolio Detail by Commodity)
Footnote: (a) Required by the Credit Facility agreement. Note that for acquisitions, for the minimum forecasted net PDP volume hedging requirements, 25% of the required volumes must be hedged within 30 days after closing the acquisition, 50% must be hedged within 60 days after closing, 75% must be hedged within 90 days after closing, and 100% of the 75% requirement must be hedged within 120 days after
Period Ave Downside Protection(b) Average Volume (MMBtu/day) 4Q18 $2.98 151,682 1Q19 $2.89 194,077 2Q19 $2.75 239.218 3Q19 $2.75 247,101 4Q19 $2.74 230,518 See appendix for hedging details beyond 2019 Period Ave Downside Protection Average Volume (Bbls/day) 4Q18 $38.28 505,499 1Q19 $38.78 512,790 2Q19 $36.38 506,415 3Q19 $36.25 500,280 4Q19 $36.76 494,383 See appendix for hedging details beyond 2019 Period Ave Downside Protection Average Volume (Bbls/day) 4Q18 $50.73 730 1Q19 $49.77 715 2Q19 $51.60 701 3Q19 $51.18 688 4Q19 $50.89 675 See appendix for hedging details beyond 2019
OIL NGL NATURAL GAS
Hedging Strategy Hedge Portfolio Target Levels
75% - 90% of net PDP reserves
1
Portfolio Duration
Opportunistically layer on hedges to achieve 12 rolling quarters of hedged production(a)
2
Preferred Structures
Only non-speculative and vanilla structures; costless collars; swaps; & puts
3
Fixed vs. Physical
Preference to have physical contracts but layer on financial contracts as physical market becomes illiquid
4
NYMEX + Basis
Primarily hedge at Henry Hub but use basis hedges when appropriate (Dom South & TETCO M2)
5
9
HEDGED TO PROTECT CASH FLOW & DIVIDEND
29th
A TRANSFORMATIONAL YEAR; DISCIPLINED GROWTH
31st 7th 14th 20th 27th 17th
$189MM
Equity Offering
JOINS DGO
$500MM
CreditFacility
$200MM
Borrowing Base
$250MM
Equity Offering
FIRST HALF 2018 SECOND HALF 2018
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct
(SelectedAssets)
JOINS DGO
(SelectedAssets)
JOINS DGO
Capital Markets Transaction Acquisition
JOINS DGO
Pro Forma Net Leverage(a): ~0.8x Pro Forma Net Leverage(b): ~2.1x Pro Forma Net Leverage(c): ~1.8x
11th
$1.0BN
CreditFacility
$600MM
Borrowing Base
$53MM
Private Placement (d)
$720MM
Combined Borrowing Base
10
(a) Net leverage is proforma for the APC/CNX acquisition (closed Mar2018) and assumes Net Debt of $58mm and Adj annualized EBITDA of ~75mm (b) Net Debt is proforma for the EQT acquisition that closed July 2018 and assumes net debt of $413mm and annualized Adj EBITDA of $216mm. (c) Net Debt as of 30Nov2018 ($507mm) over Annualized Oct 2018 Adj EBITDA (=$23.6 x 12 months = $283mm); (d) Represents the 35 million shares issued to the sellers of Core Appalachia
AN EXPERIENCED TEAM NEARLY 1,000 STRONG
Titan Employees
APC Employees
CORE Employees
EQT Employees
Legacy Employees
EACH ACQUISITION ADDED EXPERIENCED TEAMS
11
Rusty Hutson Jr
CEO and Co-Founder
Brad Gray
EVP & Chief Operating Officer
David Myers
Chief Information Officer
Bryan Berry
Vice President, Finance
Michael Garrett
Vice President, Accounting
Bill Smith
Vice President, HR
Maverick Bentley
SVP, Southern Ops
Bob Cayton
SVP, Northern Ops
Jack Crook
SVP, EHS
Bill Kurtz
SVP, Land & Resources
Dora Silvis
EVP, Integrations
Eric Williams
Chief Financial Officer
One Diversified
12
DGOC Northern Basin DGOC Southern Basin
CONSOLIDATED APPALACHIAN FOOTPRINT
Ohio Pennsylvania West Virginia
A transformational story of building a high-quality, long life portfolio of assets
LEGEND: EQT Assets Core Assets
OVERVIEW OF SOUTHERN MIDSTREAM APPALACHIA
13
transport cost
stream provides access to value enhancing processing plant
upside
crude oil prices.
NGL processing plants and
that specifically enhance the economics of natural gas production.
Map of Midstream Operations Opportunity
Legend
Midstream Assets: Acquired from Core
Ohio Virginia
Kentucky West Virginia
2 Kermit (owned) Langley Plant (utilised) 3 1 KSP (owned) Smokehouse (owned) 1 2 3 Acquired from EQT Processing Plants:
14
ORGANIC GROWTH OPPORTUNITY
~493 mmboe
PV-10 PDP Reserves
Actual Year-to Date Daily Production Growth(a)
(~420 MMCF/D)
Cash Flow Today Cash Flow Tomorrow
Note: Net Production, PDP PV-10 and PDP Reserves include Core acquisition (a) Beginning Daily Production for 2018 of 10.3 MBOEPD compared to current ~70 MBOEPD
PRODUCTION & RESERVES HIGHLIGHTS
NGL 12% Oil 1% Gas 87% PDP Commodity Mix
15
16
Demonstrated Commitment to Low Leverage Liquidity
Feature Current Facility Facility size $1 Billion Borrowing Base(a) $720 Available Capacity $213 Interest Spread Libor + ~3% Commitment Fee 44 bps Maturity March 2023
Footnotes: (a) DGO $600mm borrowing base + Core’s $120mm borrowing base (b) Includes Cash ($18mm) less pending dividend payment ($15mm) scheduled in early December.
Debt Maturity Summary
$1 BILLION LOW-COST CREDIT FACILITY
$- $- $507 $213
$- $200 $400 $600 $800 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Borrowings Available 30% Undrawn and Available to fund Non-Dilutive Growth
No Near-Term Maturities
Includes $93M from Core Appalachia
Available Net Cash(b) $3 Available on Credit Facility $213
Footnotes: Approximate values following the latest acquisition of Core Appalachia (a) Based on a share price of £1.06 and an exchange rate of 1.2745 as of 30 Nov 2018. Based on a share count of 542.6 million as of the 30 Nov 2018. (b) Current liquidity calculation is as of 30 Nov 2018 and exclude $1.75mm of Letters of Credit and $15mm reserved for the dividend payment scheduled for early December.
CAPITAL HIGHLIGHTS
~542M ~106M
£1.06 £0.65
~$733M ~$ 86M ~$216M ~$ 30M ~ 1.8X ~ 2.7X ~$1,239M ~$ 80M
TODAY IPO
Share Price (+63%) Market Cap(a) (~7.5x) Shares (~5.1x) Liquidity(b) (~6.2x) Leverage (~33%) Firm Value(a) (~14.5x)
TODAY IPO
17
18
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
efficiency and realized pricing
combined commitments (DGOC and Core RBLs)
million
consistent, stable production and cash flows
years remaining well life
realizations
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
FREE CASH FLOW POSITIVE STABLE, LONG-LIFE ASSET BASE STRONG BALANCE SHEET SIGNIFICANT SCALE DISCIPLINED GROWTH OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCIES
MBoe/d)
(~2-2.5x)
APPENDIX
20
The Journey
Founded
‘01 ‘16 ‘10 ‘14 ‘15
‘18
~200% Gross Production CAGR from 2014
to 2018 Acquired assets
Resources Inc. for$5.2mm Assets located in WestVirginia January: Raised $180mm net equity proceeds to fully fund two, transformative acquisitions in March, March: Acquired Alliance Petroleum ($95mm) and assets from CNX ($85mm). Reduced interest rate on borrowings by >50% through refinancing of existing debt while creating significant, low-cost access to add'l debt available to fund without add'l equity dilution acquisitions of ~$100mm
4x cashflow June: Increased borrowing baseto $600mm July: Acquired EQT conventional Appalachian assets for $575mm October: Acquired Core Appalachia for $130mm cash and 35m shares, a total market value of $183mm. EnteredOhio Acquired producing wells from AB Resourcesfor $14.5mm Acquired producing wells from Deep Resources, for $5.5mm Acquired producing wells from Operated Equity Investment (Fund 1)for $4.3mm Successfully listed bond on ISDX Growth Market, which raised £10.6mm Acquired producing wells from Broadstreet Energy for$2.6mm Acquired producing wells and equipment from Texas Keystone for $725m Acquired producing wells from Eclipse Resources for $4.8mm Acquired producing wells and pipeline assets from Seneca Resources for $7.0mm February: Floated on AIM raising $50mm – largest UK O&G IPO since April 2014 April: Acquired producing wells in Ohio and Pennsylvania for$1.75mm June: Acquired producing wells from Titan for $72.8mm; Raised additional $35mm through secondary offering onAIM September: Closed on the remaining Titan wells held within public partnership structures (incl. 29 Hz wells) for$11.4mm December: Acquired producing wellsfrom NG O for$3.1mm
544,000
Gross Mcfe/d
108,000
Gross Mcfe/d
26,000
Gross Mcfe/d
11,000
Gross Mcfe/d
‘17 6,000
Gross Mcfe/d
7,000
Gross Mcfe/d
HIGHLIGHTS OF RECENTLY COMPLETED ACQUISITIONS
21
APC ACQUISITION HIGHLIGHTS
22
$
Well Map – Alliance Petroleum
Administrative Office
~13,000 Number of Wells Net Daily Production of ~8,800 Boe/d (+86%) PDP Reserve Volumes of ~49 MMBoe (+90%) STATES: Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia Increased QUALITY OF SKILLED LABOR Closed in MARCH 2018 Purchase Price $95.0 MILLION
Ohio Pennsylvania West Virginia
CNX (ASSETS) ACQUISITION HIGHLIGHTS
23
Purchase Price $85.0 MILLION
$
Well Map – CNX Petroleum ~11,000 Number of Wells Net Daily Production of ~9,000 Boe/d (+87%) PDP Reserve Volumes of ~69 MMBoe (+127%) STATES: Pennsylvania, West Virginia Increased Scale Closed in MARCH 2018
Ohio Pennsylvania West Virginia
EQT (ASSETS) ACQUISITION HIGHLIGHTS
24
Purchase Price $575.0 MILLION (~43% equity)
$
Well Map – EQT & DGO ~11,350 Number of Wells Net Daily Production of ~32,000 Boe/d (+114%) PDP Reserve Volumes ~233 MMBoe (+127%) STATES : Kentucky, West Virginia & Virginia Addition of Significant Midstream Assets ~ 6,400 Miles of Pipeline Closed in July 2018
Legend
DGO Assets EQT Assets Ohio Kentucky West Virginia Virginia Maryland Pennsylvania
LocationUpstream Assets Overview
and ~11,350 gross wellbores in Appalachia
for PDP wells) and favorable net revenue interest (~78% for PDP wells)
production stream
profile
shallow, conventional reservoirs
Midstream Assets Overview
expenses
including TCO, TGP Zone 2, and DTI
party gas
development
Transaction Overview
EQT Asset Acreage Ohio Kentucky West Virginia Virginia
Overview Map of Operations
EQT (ASSETS) DETAIL
25
Footnotes: Dekatherm (“DTH”) per day – Dekatherm equals one million British Thermal Unit (“BTU”); (b) Trillion Cubic Foot of equivalent
CORE ACQUISITION HIGHLIGHTS
26
Purchase Price $183.0 MILLION (a) (~30% equity)
$
~5,000 Number of Wells Net Daily Production of ~11,000 Boe/d (+19%) PDP Reserve Volumes ~100 MMBoe (+25%) STATES : Kentucky, West Virginia & Virginia Enlarges EQT Midstream Assets ~4,100 Miles of pipeline Closed in October 2018 Well Map – CORE & DGO
BOLT ON
“EQT PART II”
(a) Purchase price of $183.0 million does not include hedge adjustment
Legend
DGOC Assets Core Assets
27
Overview Map of Operations
CORE ACQUISITION DETAIL
Upstream Assets Overview
Appalachia (across Kentucky, West Virginia, and Virginia) Interlocks with recent EQT transaction
per annum
significant NGL marketing upside
improved differential over Dominion South
conventional reservoirs
Midstream Assets Overview
and eliminates third party gathering expenses ~4,100 miles of gathering pipeline ~47,000 horsepower of compression
pipeline economics (Revenue of ~$5MM(a))
gathering assets in Kentucky and Southern West Virginia with over ~10,500 miles of pipeline
Transaction Overview
$130MM in cash 35MM shares issued (subject to an 8-month lockup)
Reserve value includes assumed decommissioning PV10% ~$7MM(d) Purchase price is ~72% of PDP PV10%
~$5 – 10MM of field level synergies in the immediate and near-term
27
Ohio Virginia
Kentucky West Virginia
EQT Assets Core Assets
Footnotes: (a) Represents 1H18 annualized; (b) Excludes value of the acquired hedges; (c) Based on Management internal estimates prepared using Society of Petroleum Engineer standards. Reserves assume a 1 Oct 2018 effective date and strip prices as of 30 Sep 2018; (d) Assumes P&A liability of $30k per well in Kentucky and $22.5k per well in West Virginia and Virginia and 10 wells per year for years 1-5, 15 wells per year for years 6-15 then ramping in years 16-30 to a terminal rate of 92 wells per year until all wells are plugged.
Acquired As
CORE ACQ: ANTICIPATED SYNERGIES TO BE REALISED
Synergies Description Expected Results
NGL Uplift
Processing (connected and ready to move gas over – all facilities in place)
can be immediately redirected to Langley processing plant, producing an estimated ~$7.0 million of incremental NTM EBITDA
could reduce SG&A costs substantially ― Assuming ~$7.0 million in SG&A reduction
facility reduction, and potential sale of facilities could bolster revenue further
DGOC will control a vast majority
Kentucky and Southern West Virginia with over >10,500 miles of pipe
Personnel Redundancy
due to overlapping job duties/processes with the recently acquired EQT Southern Appalachian assets
likely accept severance packages versus changing companies or relocating
Facility Redundancy
miles of DGOC field office
Midstream Revenue
entirety of the acreage position
~47,000 horsepower of compression
purchases enhances pipelines
✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ Total estimated synergies of $10 - $15 million
28
LATEST REPORTED FINANCIALS
(HALF YEAR 2018 RESULTS)
29
~700%
Daily Production From YE-17 to Oct-18
0.6 1.8 3.5 10.6 3.5 9.9 19.3 58.6 70.0
20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0
4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
1H17 2H17 1H18 1H18PF(a) Oct 2018
MBOEPD MMBOE Net Production Net Daily Production
Footnote: (a) 1H18PF results assumes APC, CNX, and EQT acquisition as of Jan 1, 2018;
~95%
Sequential Increase from 2H17 to 1H18
30
~27
MBOEPD Jun-18 Exit Rate
~70
MBOEPD Oct-18 Exit Rate
MULTIPLYING PRODUCTION
31
Recurring G&A(c) Commodity Revenue(b) (Unhedged; $MM)
$10.2 $29.4 $56.7 $180.4 $17.56 $16.14 $16.19 $18.46
$10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $- $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0 $140.0 $160.0 $180.0 $200.0
1H17 2H17 1H18 1H18PF(a)
MBOE
Commodity Revenue Realized Price per BOE(b)
$2.64 $1.84 $1.51 $1.19
$- $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 1H17 2H17 1H18 1H18PF(a)
Lease Operating Expense(c)
$8.13 $6.62 $7.01 $4.52
$1.00 $2.00 $4.00 $8.00 1H17 2H17 1H18 1H18PF(a)
BOE
Footnotes: (a) 1H18PF results includes the APC, CNX and EQT acquisitions as if they closed on 01Jan2018; (b) Commodity revenue is unhedged and excludes other revenue. See appendix for Non-GAAP reconciliation. (c) LOE and Recurring G&A are presented on a Non-IFRS basis. LOE excludes gathering and transportation expenses and production taxes; G&A excludes certain non-recurring expenses. See Non-GAAP reconciliations in Appendix for calculations.
REVENUE AND EXPENSE HIGHLIGHTS
Higher Realized Price
Lower G&A Pro Forma Lower LOE Pro Forma
Fueling Higher Margins
$3.9 $12.1 $23.3 $108.3 $0.04 $0.08 $0.09 $0.21 $- $0.05 $0.10 $0.15 $0.20 $0.25 1H17 2H17 1H18 1H18PF(a) $- $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0 $ Per Share $MM Adjusted EBITDA Per Share
32
a
Adj EBITDA(b) (Unhedged; in Millions) Strong Adj EBITDA Margins (Unhedged)
Footnotes: (a) Proforma results includes the APC, CNX and EQT acquisitions as if they closed on 01Jan2018; (b) See Non-GAAP reconciliations in Appendix for calculation of Adjusted EBITDA; (c) Revenue per BOE includes other revenue.
$12.03 $10.34 $9.93 $7.61 $19.03 $17.73 $16.46 $18.65
37% 42% 40%
59%
$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 1H17 2H17 1H18 1H18PF(a) Per Boe
G&A G&T Prod Tax LOE Revenue Margin
133%
Total Revenue(c) $19.03 $17.73 $16.46 $18.65 G & A $2.64 $1.84 $1.51 $1.19 G & T
1.21 1.52 Prod Taxes 1.25 0.34 0.20 0.37 LOE 8.13 6.62 7.01 4.52 Total OpEx $9.38 $8.49 $8.42 $6.40 Cash Costs 12.03 10.34 9.93 $7.60 Cash Margin $7.00 $7.39 $6.54 $11.05 Margin % 37% 42% 40% 59%
A B C C C D = C E = D + B F = A - E
=
/
A F
EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
Total
$23 $50 $15
$- $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 Dividends Paid IPO Funds Raised In Millions Paid Dec-18 1.99¢ 1.99¢ 3.45¢ 1.73¢ 2.80¢ 3.98¢ 3.98¢ 6.90¢ 6.90¢ 11.20¢
4.8% 7.0% 5.9% 9.0%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 0.00¢ 2.00¢ 4.00¢ 6.00¢ 8.00¢ 10.00¢ 12.00¢ 2H16 1H17 2H17 1Q18 2Q18 Annualised Yield Dividend per Share Dividend Implied Annual Dividend Annualised Yield %
62%
33 Period Declare Ex-Div Pay
Q1 June September September Q2 September November December Q3 December March March Q4 March June June
75%
Higher Dividend Payouts(b)
Transitioned to Quarterly Dividends
Cumulative Dividend Payouts(a)
Footnote: (a) Includes the declared December 2018 dividend of ~$15 million; (b) 1H17 yield based on average price of 64.86 pence from 3 Feb 2017 (IPO date) to 30 Jun 2017, 2H17 yield based off average price of 74.77 pence from 1 Jul 2017 to 31 Dec 2017, 1Q18 yield based off average price of 84.76 pence from 1 Jan 2018 to 31 Mar 2018 and 2Q18 yield based on average price of 91.26 pence from 1 April 2018 to 30 June 2018.
ACCRETIVE ACQUISITIONS ENHANCING DIVIDENDS
2.1x 1.7x 1.8x $56 $136 $507 $- $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600
.0x .5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 31Dec17 30Jun18 30-Nov-18 $MM
Net Debt / Adj EBITDA
Leverage Multiple Net Borrowings
34
Gas and Oil Properties & Midstream Assets, net Cash and Liquidity (in Millions) Leverage; Borrowings Total Equity
$10 $3 $54 $213 30-Jun-18 30-Nov-18
Cash Credit Availability
$90 $302 $552
$- $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600
31Dec17 30Jun18 30Jun18PF(a)
$MM
30Jun18 PF(a) 30Jun18 31Dec17 30Jun17
$64 MM $216 MM
236% 82% 238% 118% 155%
Footnotes: 30Jun2018PF assumes that the APC, CNX and EQT acquisitions were completed on 01Jan2018; (b) 30Nov2018 liquidity reflects $18mm of cash reduced by $15mm for scheduled December dividend payment plus $213mm available on the current revolving credit facility; (c) Net Debt / Adj EBITDA for 30Jun2018 includes net debt less the $57.5MM deposit for the EQT acquisition that closed in July 2018 and 1H18 Adj EBITDA (Pre-EQT) annualized; 30Nov2018 Leverage of 1.8x is based on October 2018 adjusted EBITDA annualized ($23.6mm x 12 months = $283.2mm).
BALANCE SHEET HIGHLIGHTS
ADDITIONAL HEDGES DETAIL
35
Deferred Premium Puts
Footnote: (a) Hedge contracts as of mid November 2018; Overall weighted averages for both physical and financial natural gas basis hedges, basis hedges primarily couple with financial NYMEX hedges to establish a net realized price, many fixed physical contracts establish an ‘all-in’ price and therefore include the effect of a basis hedge. (b) FY21 values are for Jan21 – Jul21 only. There are no hedges in the portfolio beyond Jul21, though the Company is presently adding hedges through Dec21.
36
Hedge Contract Structure
Financial Hedges
~$2.80 Wtd. Avg. Floor (before Basis Differentials)
Utilize mix of financial hedges and fixed physical contracts to protect cash flow. Fixed Physical Contracts include basis differentials and represent the all-in price received. Financial Hedges fix the NYMEX price and will be reduced by basis differentials, which are hedged at an average of ~$0.50.
Natural Gas Basis Hedges(a) Natural Gas Financial Hedges(a) Physical Contracts
~$2.30 Wtd. Avg. Floor (All-in Price; incl. Basis) $2.98 $2.89 $2.75 $2.75 $2.74 $2.66 $2.67 $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50
80,000 120,000 160,000 200,000 240,000 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 FY20 FY21(b) NYMEX Hedge Volume (MMBtu/day) Wtd Avg Floor Price ($/MMBtu) ($0.36) ($0.40) ($0.43) ($0.56) ($0.56) ($0.56) ($0.47) ($0.75) ($0.50) ($0.25) $0.00
40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 FY20 FY21(b) Volumes (MMBtu/day) Wtd Avg Basis Price ($/MMBtu)
Fixed Physical Contracts(a)
$2.38 $2.51 $2.32 $2.35 $2.34 $2.33 $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00
50,000 75,000 100,000 125,000 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 FY20 FY21(b) Physical Sales Volume (MMBtu/day) Fixed Price ($/MMBtu)
52% 45% 3% Costless Collars Swaps
3%
HEDGED TO PROTECT CASH FLOW AND DIVIDEND
37
Financial Contracts Physical Contracts Combined Contracts
Footnote: Hedge Contracts as of Mid November 2018; (a) FY21 values are for Jan21 – Jul21 only. There are no hedges in the portfolio beyond Jul21, though the Company is presently adding hedges through Dec21.
NATURAL GAS HEDGE DETAIL(a)
38
Price Protection of ~$36.62/Bbl for ~36 months(b) Hedge Contract Structure
Footnote: Hedge Contracts as of Mid November 2018. The Company generally hedges NGLs for over an 18-month period vs. 36 months for natural gas and oil; (a) FY21 values are for Jan21 – Jul21 only. There are no hedges in the portfolio beyond Jul21; (b) Price protection per Bbl is presented as a simple average over 36 months.
$38.28 $38.78 $36.38 $36.25 $36.76 $35.95 $33.98
$0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $25.00 $30.00 $35.00 $40.00 $45.00
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 FY20 FY21
BBL per Day
NGL Hedges
NYMEX Hedge Volume (BBL/day) Wtd Avg Floor Price ($/bbl)
100% Swaps
NGL HEDGES (a)
39
Price Protection of ~$51.15/Bbl for ~36 months(b) Hedge Contract Structure
Footnote: Hedge Contracts as of Mid November 2018; (a) FY21 values are for Jan21 – Jul21 only. There are no hedges in the portfolio beyond Jul21, though the Company is presently adding hedges through Dec21; (b) Price protection per Bbl is stated as a simple average over 36 months.
$50.73 $49.77 $51.60 $51.18 $50.89 $48.43 $55.49
$0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 FY20 FY21
BBL Per Day
Crude Oil Hedges
NYMEX Hedge Volume (BBL/Day) Wtd Avg Floor Price ($/bbl)
19% 81% Swaps Costless Collars
OIL HEDGES (a)
PLUGGING & ABANDONMENT
40
3,150 1,846 4 18,357 17,460 8,027 8,811 5,398 2,125 Pennsylvania Coal West Virginia Ohio Kentucky Pennsylvania Non-Coal Misc.
41
Commentary Well Map(a) Well Count
(b)
DECOMMISSIONING PORTFOLIO CONSIDERATIONS
Location
Legend
Horizontal Wells Kentucky Misc. Ohio PA Coal PA Non-Coal Virginia West Virginia
Average Depth (ft)
3,621’ 4,284’ 4,173’ 4,188’ 3,621’ 5,321’
Average Cost ($k)
$25.0 $22.5 $20.0 $30.0 $20.0 $20.0-$30.0, $60.0(d)
Footnotes: (a) Map does not include wells acquired in Core acquisition; (b) lighter shaded areas represent increase in well count from the Core acquisition; (c) Includes deep vertical and horizontal wells; (d) Represents estimated P&A cost for ~600 deep vertical and horizontal wells
(c)
Newly acquired wells
plug. The higher cost, horizontal wellbores are among the younger wells that DGO possesses thus will be plugged towards the end of its program (beyond 2090). DGO has plugged 41 wells to date through 30Nov18 at an average plugging cost of ~$23,800/well plugged in 2018.
42
ESTIMATED PLUG PROGRAM
firm multi-year plugging agreements with the states in which it operates. ― Years 1-5 assume 90 wells plugged per year ― Years 6-15 assume 130 wells plugged per
year
variability and the risk of the liability being pulled forward. ― ~33% of DGO’s P&A PV10% capture in years 1 – 15
DGO assumes a linear increase in wells plugged per year between years 15 – 30 ― Thereafter, the company anticipates plugging ~1,100 per year
Cumulative PV10% Graph Commentary
15 year plugging program
DGO expects to negotiate long term, ~15 years plugging agreements with the states in which it operates.
PV-10% = $53MM >16% wells remain productive
43
ACCOUNTING DECOMMISSIONING LIABILITY
Footnote: (a) The Livingston Survey June 2018.
$53 $151 $36 $62
Reserve Report at PV10% Inflation factor
Discount Rate
Balance Sheet Entry
PV Bridge
used in the reserve report was adjusted for the balance sheet, as recommended in accounting guidance ASC 410-20 & IAS 37.
require the ARO liability to be risked and discounted using a credit-adjusted risk- free rate. The credit- adjusted risk-free rate is calculated using observable rates of interest of other
inflation factor should be considered.
adjusted risk-free rate to be 8.0% (which is set when the ARO is valued and left unchanged), and used a 2.2%(a) inflation factor.
Commentary