Investor Presentation November 2017 Forward-looking statements - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation November 2017 Forward-looking statements - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation November 2017 Forward-looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject
Forward-looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
November 2017 | P1
Executive Summary
2017 – a year of strong delivery
Production
YTD
Production average ytd 76.6 kboepd Cost Base
YTD
Opex of $15.9/boe; FY capex guidance reduced to $300- 310m Disposals
YTD
Wytch Farm and Pakistan sales announced; other processes ongoing Catcher
YTD
FPSO arrived in the field - commissioning underway; positive drilling results Tolmount
YTD
HoT signed with infrastructure partner; draft FDP submitted to OGA Sea Lion
YTD
Negotiating funding packages Exploration
YTD
World class oil discovery at Zama-1, Mexico Net Debt Reduction
YTD
Positive cash flow in H1; ytd in line with forecast
November 2017 | P3
Full Year Target
FY Guidance remains to 75-80 kboepd
Full Year Target
Deliver FY guidance of
- pex c$16/boe and
capex of $300-310m
Full Year Target
Completion of Wytch Farm and Pakistan
Full Year Target
Deliver first oil by year end
Full Year Target
Progress for FID in H1 2018
Full Year Target
Progress financing and commercial initiatives
Full Year Target
Define appraisal and development plans for Zama
Full Year Target
Generate positive net cash flow post disposals and debt reduction
Production overview
Largest 5 fields account for c. 70% of production
November 2017 | P4
Development portfolio
>800 mmboe
- f discovered
but undeveloped reserves and resources
November 2017 | P5
Delivering on our strategy
- Opportunistic acquisitions
- $16/bbl
- Operated
- FPSO’s
- Partner-funded
- Proven basins
- Under drilled
- 77 kboepd
Value
Stakeholder Returns Debt Reduction
- Disposals – realising value
Production Costs Development Exploration Portfolio Management Acquisitions
November 2017 | P6
Future plans
Balance Sheet Management
Value
Stakeholder Returns Debt Reduction Production Operating Costs Development Exploration
- $15-$17/bbl
- Catcher
- Tolmount
- Sea Lion
- Zama
- Tuna
- High value,
near field
- Material upside
in Mexico and Brazil
- Continuing
growth
- Reserve life >10 yrs
- Free cash flow 2018-2022 reducing debt
- Net debt : EBITDA <3x
Portfolio Management – Acquisitions
- Disposals by majors
- Tax optimisation
Portfolio Management – Disposals
- Non core assets
- Mitigating risk
November 2017 | P7
Producing Portfolio
Chim Sáo, Vietnam (53.125%, operator)
20P 5IPST1
2017 ytd
- 15.0 kboepd
- High operating efficiency and strong
- Strong reservoir performance
- $9/boe operating cost
- 1st infill well completed and tied-in
Outlook
- Further infill well planned before year end
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Current Previous Improved Production Profile kboepd (gross)
59 mmboe reserves remaining
55 mmboe at sanction 57 mmboe produced to date November 2017 | P9
Natuna Sea Block A, Indonesia (28.67%, operator)
2017 ytd
- 12.7 kboepd, above budget
- Singapore demand above take or pay (49%
- f GSA vs 47% contractual share)
- High operating efficiency
- Opex of c.$8.7/boe
- Lama development well (WL-5X) tied into
production; producing 20-25 mmscf/d Outlook
- Singapore demand stable
- GSA1 market share increasing
- BIGP first gas 2019
20 40 60 80 100 5 10 15 20 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 NSBA Production net to PMO (kboepd) Market Share GSA1 (%)
BIGP
30% IRR
93 Bcf $340m gross capex
November 2017 | P10
Huntington, Central North Sea (100%, operator)
2017 ytd
- 13.5 kboepd, 23% above budget
− High FPSO operating efficiency − Strong reservoir performance − HoT agreed on lease extension and extended Shell term deal Outlook
- Maximise production
Currently producing ~15 kboepd
November 2017 | P11
Solan, West of Shetlands (100%, operator)
2017 ytd
- 6.2 kboepd
- Central reservoir on prognosis; Eastern
area of field under-performing Outlook
- P1 producing steadily on free flow
- P1 workover deferred
- Options to improve production being
evaluated; potential infill well 2019
P1 W2 P2 W1 500m
Top Solan Sand Depth Map
November 2017 | P12
Elgin-Franklin, Central North Sea (5.2%)
2017 ytd
- 5.5 kboepd, currently >7 kboepd
- Low opex of c.$8/boe
Outlook
- Long field life; production forecast
to continue until 2037
- 350 mmboe remaining reserves
- Ongoing infill drilling, well
intervention programme and exploration upside
November 2017 | P13
Portfolio Potential
September 2017 | P15
Catcher – on schedule for start up by year end
- Arrived in North Sea in
October
- Hook up and Commissioning
programme progressing well
- On schedule for 2017 first oil
- Important cornerstone of
Premier’s debt reduction
- All 12 wells planned pre-first oil now
complete confirming good quality oil
- Subsea activities complete; short campaign
to support hook-up and commissioning
- perations post arrival of FPSO
Project capex down 29% on sanction
November 2017 | P15
Catcher Commissioning
- Where possible equipment was leak tested, commissioned and
systems accepted by operations in Singapore prior to sail away
- The voyage and movement of the vessel and equipment
requires them to be re-tested ahead of the introduction of hydrocarbons
- Tanker activities
– Testing of offloading hose connection – Final rotation test
- Topsides activities:
– Pipework: Nitrogen/helium testing; and Deluge testing – Tubing: Leak testing – Electrical & Instrumentation: Pig tail termination & tests; and Removed equipment reinstated and tested
- Subsea activities
– Completion of umbilical core flushing – Gas export riser dewatering – Tree & manifold valve function testing
- Ready for the introduction of hydrocarbons from Catcher field
Gas export line – commissioned prior to start up Teekay shuttle tanker
Cone Plug Removal
Arrival in the UK and Hook-Up 4-6 Weeks Commissioning 3-4 Weeks Harbour On location
Risers Umbilical's ESDV’s* Swivel Stack Reinstate- ment Commiss- ioning Pre-Commiss- ioning Buoy Hook-Up November 2017 | P16
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Daily Oil Potential (stb/d) Catcher Varadero Burgman
Catcher Commissioning & Production Profile
- Catcher is the initial field on production due to it’s ability to produce oil in a stable fashion for the first stages
- f the FPSO plant commissioning
- Each field will be brought on in the following manner
– Well clean up (initial clean up restricted by rig surface equipment) – Well test through the subsea multi-phase meters – Restricted rate to manage gas rates through commissioning period
- Following gas train commissioning completion and the introduction of Burgman fluids the plant will be run at
60 kbopd
Fuel Gas Import Catcher First Oil Oil Stabili- sation Fuel Gas Varadero First Oil Permeat. Comp Water Injection Gas Lift Gas Export Comm. Burgman First Oil Flash Gas Comp Primary Gas Handling Produced Water
November 2017 | P17
Improved production profile anticipated
Catcher – continuing positive drilling results
- 13 wells completed to date
– 4 on each of Catcher, Varadero and Burgman fields planned pre first oil – Phase 2 first well on Catcher
- Good test results:
– Net pay encountered by the 8 production wells > 30 % longer than forecast – Initial production delivery rate per well >40% higher than predicted on average
- Improved production profiles anticipated of
c.60 kboepd
- Review of FPSO capacity underway
Varadero Catcher Burgman
Plateau production up 20% on sanction
November 2017 | P18
Tolmount – infrastructure partnership
- Partnership with Dana Petroleum and CATS
Management Ltd (1)
- Dana and CML will jointly own:
– platform – export pipeline
- Tolmount gas will use the facilities
– LoF tariff
- Premier’s share of project capex $100m
- Premier retains 50% equity interest in the
licence
- Excellent project economics – IRR >50% at
gas price of 30p/therm
Estimated Tolmount Capex (Gross) $m Development Scope Gross Capex (Real, $mm) % pre 1st gas Platform 90 100% SURF (20” pipeline to beach) 100 100% Host Terminal modifications 150 85% Drilling (2) 140 64% PMT 70 92% Total 550
- High return
project robust down to low gas prices
PMO 19% Dana 50% CML 31%
Capex Split
(1) an Antin Infrastructure Partners portfolio company (2) Based on plan where one well is on-stream pre-1st gas
November 2017 | P19
Tolmount – progressing on schedule for FID in 1H 2018
- Initial phase: targeting 540 Bcf resources
- Peak production capacity 300 MMscfd
- FEED contracts awarded; engineering
underway
- Tendering of major project scopes underway;
pipeline, drilling rig and platform proposals received
- Draft FDP submitted to OGA
- Timing:
– Board approval Q4 &FID 1H 2018 – First gas 2020
Subsurface Depletion Plan
- 4 initial development wells in Tolmount
- Future phases TE , TFE & Mongour
Offshore Facilities
- NUI platform with 6 slots / 4 wells
- Offshore PWT treatment
- Riser / J-tube pre-investment for area development
- 20” x 48kn Gas Export pipeline
- 3” MeOH (and CI) import pipeline
Host Terminal
- Dimlington host
- New reception & condensate processing
- Shared gas processing & compression
Perenco Dimlington SNSPS (Cleeton / Ravenspurn) West Sole (connected to Perenco Easington) Tolmount Centrica Easington Rough & York
Dimlington Terminal >1 bcf gas processing capacity, 600 mmscfd installed compression capacity plus additional condensate processing Tolmount
Gassco Langeled Ormen Lange
November 2017 | P20
Tolmount – future phases planned
Tolmount East
- Subsea tie-back or small platform
- 2019 well planned to confirm resource
Tolmount Far East
- Subsea tie-back or small platform to
Tolmount or Tolmount East Mongour
- Subsea tie-back or extended reach
well from Tolmount East 3rd party business potential
- A new hub with 20+ year life
Tolmount Mongour Tolmount East Tolmount Far East
Tolmount area ~ 1 Tcf
Indicative production profile
42/28d-12 NE SW Tolmount Tolmount East
Tolmount Far-East Gas water contact
November 2017 | P21
ENSCO 8503 Flat Spot
- Major hydrocarbon discovery in shallow water, offshore Mexico
- Initial gross oil in place estimates are 1.2 – 1.8 Bnbbls (unrisked
P90-P10 resources of 400-800 mmboe), exceeding pre-drill estimates
- Contiguous gross oil bearing interval of over 335m, with over
200m of net oil bearing reservoir
- Light oil : 28-30° API
Full stack reprocessed seismic data in depth E W Zama-1 Well Good conformance of seismic amplitude with structural contours
Zama-1 oil discovery - volume estimates
Gross oil bearing interval to scale
November 2017 | P22
Potential to leverage Mexican fabrication capability
Zama – illustrative development scenario
Location of Zama discovery Indicative development metrics Resources 400-800 mmboe1 Daily peak production 100-150 kbopd Capex +/- $1.8 billion Appraisal 2018-19 First oil 2022-23 Block 7 prospect map Zama
(1) Including the extension onto the neighbouring block Amoca
Zama
Hokchi
November 2017 | P23
2017 ytd
- FEED substantially completed
- Breakeven reduced to c$45/bbl
− Capex to first oil reduced to $1.5bn − Field opex reduced to $15/bbl − Indicative FPSO cost of $10/bbl (LoF) Outlook
- Positive commercial and fiscal
engagement with FIG
- Positive engagement with contractor
market and export credit government funding sources
- Licence extension to May 2020
Sea Lion, Falkland Islands (60%, operator)
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 5 10 15 20 Annual average oil rate (mbopd) Years from first production Phase 2 Phase 1
November 2017 | P24
Tuna, Indonesia (65%, operator)
Highlights
- Discovered in 2014 by the Singa
Laut-1 and Kuda Laut-1 wells >90 mmboe
- Evaluation of potential development
scenarios ongoing
- Government agreement signed with
Vietnam and Indonesian governments re: connection to existing infrastructure in Vietnam
- Granted 3 year extension to exploration
period of licence
November 2017 | P25
Ceara Basin, Brazil – exploration
- Largest acreage holder in the Ceara basin
- 4,000 km2 of fast-track seismic data across all 3
blocks received in 2016
- Final depth migrated broadband seismic data
received in April 2017
- Well locations to be selected during 2017
- Licence extensions received for all 3 blocks
- Drilling operations planned for 2019
CE-M-661 CE-M-665 CE-M-717 Excellent imaging on new broadband seismic
- f Upper Cretaceous
turbidite channel sands
Maraca K40 Ganza K40 Pecem K40 Berimbau Up-dip pinch out and fault offset Berimbau Pecem K50 discovery 1-CES-158 1-CES-112 SW NE
CE-M-717
Data Proprietary to PGS Investigacoa Petrolifera Limitada
8km
November 2017 | P26
Financials
Net debt and hedging
Drawn Debt Total Facilities (incl cash)
Cash & Undrawn
$4.0 bn
Facilities confirmed 1
$3.4 bn 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Previous Revised
Maturities extended 1
1 FX as at when facilities entered into
Net debt
- Net debt of $2.8bn
- Cash flow positive for FY including planned
disposals; debt reduction accelerating once Catcher on-stream
- Average cost of debt c7% going forward
- Targeting Net Debt/EBITDAX <3x by end 2018
Comprehensive refinancing completed Other key amended terms
- Covenant profile re-set with headroom
- Enhanced economics (~1.5%) to lenders
- A warrant package to lenders
- Convertible bond re-priced
- Corporate governance controls
November 2017 | P28
Q4 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 Oil hedges % Hedged Price ($/bbl) % Hedged Price ($/bbl) % Hedged Price ($/bbl) Fixed price oil hedges 19% 52.4 30% 53.5 16% 55.7 Oil option sales 22% 51.1 20% 54.7
- UK gas hedges
% Hedged Price (p/therm) % Hedged Price (p/therm) % Hedged Price (p/therm) Fixed price 40% 49.2 34% 48.4 13% 43.2
Liquids and UK gas hedging as at 31 October
Capex
2014-2017
- Reduced from over $1.0bn pa. to $300-310m
in 2017
- Reduced forward commitments
2018-2020
- Maintain at current run rate depending on new
projects
- Disciplined approach to capital allocation
Operating Costs
2014-2017
- Down from c$20/boe to c$16/boe
- Over $300m of absolute cost savings
delivered since 1/1/2015
2018-2020
- Stable operating cost base at current levels
$15-17/boe
Net debt
2014-2017
- Increased due to investment and weakness
in oil price
- Reducing by end 2017
2018-2020
- Leverage ratio below 3.0x and falling
- Priority remains reduction in absolute levels of
net debt
Portfolio management
2014-2017
- Over $350m realised from disposals
- Significant value created through E.ON
acquisition
2018-2020
- Further disposals to accelerate deleveraging
Financial outlook
November 2017 | P29