1
1
Investor Presentation
August 2019
Investor Presentation August 2019 1 1 Notice on Forward Looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation August 2019 1 1 Notice on Forward Looking Statements the financial condition of Seaspans customers, lenders, refund guarantors and other counterparties and their This presentation contains forward-looking statements (as
1
1
August 2019
2
2
This presentation contains forward-looking statements (as such term is defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the Exchange Act) concerning operations, cash flows, and financial position of Seaspan Corporation (“Seaspan”), including, in particular, the likelihood of its success in developing and expanding its business. Statements that are predictive in nature, that depend upon or refer to future events or conditions, or that include words such as “continue,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” “projects,” “forecasts,” “will,” “may,” “potential,” “should,” “guidance,” and similar expressions are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements represent Seaspan’s estimates and assumptions only as of the date of this presentation and are not intended to give any assurance as to future results. As a result, you are cautioned not to rely on any forward-looking statements. Forward- looking statements appear in a number of places in this presentation. Although these statements are based upon assumptions Seaspan believes to be reasonable based upon available information, they are subject to risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: future growth prospects and ability to expand Seaspan’s business; Seaspan’s expectations as to impairments of its vessels, including the timing and amount of currently anticipated impairments; the future valuation of Seaspan’s vessels and goodwill; potential acquisitions, vessel financing arrangements and other investments, and Seaspan’s expected benefits from such transactions; future time charters and vessel deliveries, including future long-term charters for certain existing vessels as well as the likelihood of consummating any such transactions; estimated future capital expenditures needed to preserve the operating capacity of Seaspan’s fleet including, its capital base, and comply with regulatory standards, its expectations regarding future dry-docking and
expectations about the availability of vessels to purchase, the time that it may take to construct new vessels, the delivery dates of new vessels, the commencement of service of new vessels under long-term time charter contracts and the useful lives of its vessels; availability of crew, number of off-hire days and dry-docking requirements; general market conditions and shipping market trends, including charter rates, increased technological innovation in competing vessels and other factors affecting supply and demand; Seaspan’s financial condition and liquidity, including its ability to borrow and repay funds under its credit facilities, to refinance its existing facilities and to obtain additional financing in the future to fund capital expenditures, acquisitions and other general corporate activities; Seaspan’s continued ability to meet its current liabilities as they become due; Seaspan’s continued ability to maintain, enter into or renew primarily long-term, fixed-rate time charters with its existing customers or new customers; the potential for early termination of long-term contracts and Seaspan’s potential inability to enter into, renew or replace long-term contracts; the introduction
conditions inherent in the operation of ocean-going vessels, including acts of piracy; acts of terrorism or government requisition of Seaspan’s containership during periods of war or emergency; adequacy of Seaspan’s insurance to cover losses that result from the inherent operational risks of the shipping industry; lack of diversity in Seaspan’s operations and in the type of vessels in its fleet; conditions in the public equity market and the price of Seaspan’s shares; Seaspan’s ability to leverage to its advantage its relationships and reputation in the containership industry; compliance with and changes in governmental rules and regulations
the financial condition of Seaspan’s customers, lenders, refund guarantors and other counterparties and their ability to perform their obligations under their agreements with us; Seaspan’s continued ability to meet specified restrictive covenants and other conditions in its financing and lease arrangements, its debt instruments and its preferred shares; any economic downturn in the global financial markets and export trade and increase in trade protectionism and potential negative effects of any recurrence of such disruptions on Seaspan’s customers’ ability to charter Seaspan’s vessels and pay for Seaspan’s services; some of Seaspan’s directors and investors may have separate interests which may conflict with those of its shareholders and they may be difficult to replace given the anti-takeover provisions in Seaspan’s
exemption from tax on U.S. source international transportation income; the ability to bring claims in China and the Marshall Islands, where the legal systems are not well-developed; potential liability from future litigation; and other factors detailed from time to time in Seaspan’s periodic reports. Forward-looking statements in this presentation are estimates and assumptions reflecting the judgment of senior management and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based upon a number of assumptions and estimates that are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond Seaspan’s control. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, these forward- looking statements should be considered in light of various important factors listed above and including, but not limited to, those set forth in “Item 3. Key Information—D. Risk Factors” in Seaspan’s Annual Report for the year ended December 31, 2018 on Form 20-F filed on March 26, 2019, and the “Risk Factors” in Reports on Form 6-K that are filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or the SEC, from time to time relating to our quarterly financial results. Seaspan does not intend to revise any forward-looking statements in order to reflect any change in Seaspan’s expectations or events or circumstances that may subsequently arise. Seaspan expressly disclaims any
information, a change in Seaspan’s views or expectations, or otherwise. You should carefully review and consider the various disclosures included in this Annual Report and in Seaspan’s other filings made with the SEC, that attempt to advise interested parties of the risks and factors that may affect Seaspan’s business, prospects and results of operations.
3
3
Shoe Store
Liners load and unload goods across ocean routes just as couriers operate routes through land and air
4
4
Manufactured goods for distribution Land transport to distribution centers Loading of cargo at port terminals Unloading of cargo at port terminals Land transport to destination warehouse Delivery to customer
Seller Buyer
End buyer of shipments (importers / exporters)
Shipper Destination Warehouse Destination Port Consignee Origin Warehouse Origin Port
Shipping Line
Shipping voyage via container ships
Freight-Forwarder
5
5
Container Shipping’s first downturn since 1998 1.2% 1.6%
2000-2007 2011-2019F
2001: China joins WTO 2011: China becomes 2nd largest global economy
Container shipping accounts for 17% of global shipping by weight but 60% by value (over $12 trillion of goods)3
Global TEU Trade CAGR: 9.9% Global GDP2 CAGR: 3.4% TEU to GDP Multiple: 2.9x 3.9% 2.8% 1.3x 1.4x 1978: China Economic Reforms 1990: Social Market Economy of China (TEU, millions1)
1. Clarkson’s Research – July 2019 2. GDP Source: World Bank 3. Statista Container Shipping Statistics & Facts
4 12 66 69 75 83 95 104 116 128 133 121 137 148 153 160 168 171 179 189 197 204 '73 '83 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19F
6
6 Issued $345mn unsecured listed bond
13
# Vessels
23 29 35 42 55 65 69 71 77 85 87 89 112
SCLL, predecessor of Seaspan Corp, founded by Kyle Washington and two others Issued $250mn Series C Preferred Equity (1st U.S. listed preferred by containership lessor) Containership JV with The Carlyle Group Acquired Seaspan Management Services $600mn SSW IPO (largest ship leasing) Washington Family invested $180mn Completed $1.6bn GCI acquisition Secured $1.0bn investment from Fairfax
2000 2005 2010 2015 2019
Utilization
100% 99% 99% 99% 100% 99% 99% 99% 98% 99% 99% 96% 96% 98% 51 64 108 143 158 187 265 353 405 414 474 578 621 666 906 906 IPO 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2Q19 > 10,000 TEU 8,500 - 9,600 TEU 4,250 - 5,100 TEU < 3,500 TEU 112 98%
7
7
Average Utilization Since IPO3
4,800 employees
4,500 Seafarers 300 Corporate
Independent Containership Owner / Operator
~6.5 years
Average Age
~4 years
Average Remaining Charter Period
$4.3bn
Contracted Future Revenue2 Long-term Charters with
Leading Liners
Integrated with Global Trade Modern Fleet Strong Financial Profile
1. Trailing 12 months as at June 30, 2019 2. Minimum future revenues to be received on committed time charter party agreements and interest income from direct financing leases as of June 30, 2019. Minimum future revenues are based on 100% utilization, relate to committed time charter party agreements currently in effect, and assume no renewals or extensions 3. Average fleet utilization from 4Q05 to 2Q19
$1.2bn
Revenue1
8
8
New Leadership Team
Fairfax Investments
(leading Canadian insurance company) – $250mn debt investment funded in February 2018 and $250mn equity investment funded in July 2018 – Funded an additional $250mn equity investment and an additional $250mn of debt in January 2019
Acquisition of GCI
China Intermodal Investments LLC (GCI) in March 2018
and a ~$50mn issuance of Seaspan Series D preferred shares
customer base, and enhanced our fleet composition
David Sokol Bing Chen Ryan Courson Tina Lai Torsten Pedersen
9
9
rail transport, mining, and aviation
investment in 2009 during the recession
company with ~$71bn in assets1
Initial investment of $500mn ($250mn debt/$250mn equity) Additional 25mn warrants issued with strike price of $8.05 Second investment of $500mn in January 2019 ($250mn
debt/$250mn equity)
Current Shareholder Base1
New Chairman, CEO, and CFO have accessed new capital sources and strengthened commercial position with the acquisition of GCI
1. As of June 30, 2019
Washington Family 28% Fairfax 36% Others 36%
10
10
1. Common equity based on market value of equity as at August 7; Secured debt, unsecured debt, and capital lease amounts based on principal as at June 30, 2019 2. As at August 7, 2019; includes vessels for which collateral release documentation is pending; 16 vessels to be included in Project Clean
Selected Global Lenders Diversified Sources of Capital1
($ millions)
Significant Unencumbered Asset Pool
40+ global lenders, including North American, European, and Asian financial institutions 43 unencumbered vessels2
TEU Class Vessel Count2 2,500 12 3,500 2 4,250 20 8,500 2 9,600 2 10,000 2 13,100 1 14,000 2 Total 43
Unsecured Revolver (Undrawn) $150 Secured Revolver (Undrawn) $126 Secured Debt $2,656 Capital Leases $622 Unsecured Debt $580 Perpetual Preferred Stock $881 Common Equity $2,152
11
11
Liner Companies
Liner Responsibilities:
Fleet of 112 Containerships Operating Lessor
Lessor Responsibilities:
Charter Rate + Term
Fixed-Rate Charter Contract
Charter Rate Vessel & Crew + Services
12
12
2,500 TEU 12 Vessels 3,500–4,250 TEU 26 Vessels 4,500–5,100 TEU 9 Vessels 8,500–9,600 TEU 12 Vessels 10,000–11,000TEU 30 Vessels 13,000–14,000 TEU 23 Vessels Regional Trades Workhorses of Global Fleet Operating Scale and Efficiency For Long- Haul Trades
68% of fleet is >10,000 TEU in size with an average age of approximately four years1
1. Weighted by TEU
13
13
Feeder Class Mid-Sized VLCS / ULCS
TEU 2,500 3,500 4,250 5,100 8,500 9,600 10,000 13,100 14,000 Intra‐Asia
Africa
Australia—NZ
Latin America
Europe—NA
Far East—ME
Far East—NA
Far East—Europe
The ideal ship size varies by route, port capacity, and charter needs
Seaspan’s Vessel Trading Activity
14
14 906 829 546 528 449 449 398 387 354 330 314 228 219 216 209 199 199 203 200 175 Shoei Kisen Costamare Zodiac Maritime BoCom Leasing Eastern Pacific Shg (EPS) Offen, Claus Peter Peter Döhle/Hammonia Danaos Minsheng Financial Leasing Ship Finance International Norddeutsche R.H. Schuldt MPC Group Zeaborn Navios Group Global Ship Lease Schulte Group Nissen Kaiun China Merchants Bank CIMC Financial Leasing
Barriers to Entry Top 20 Containership Lessors1
TEU (000s)
Customer Relationships Operational Track Record and Experience Scale of Service Increasing Regulation Access to Financing
Scale creates meaningful barriers to entry
Primarily a financial lessor (i.e. limited/no vessel management services)
2
1. Alphaliner Monthly Monitor – June 2019. Chart of top 20 containership lessors includes current vessels and vessels under construction 2. Shipowning arm of Imabari Shipbuilding
15
15
VESSEL DESIGN VESSEL UPGRADES VESSEL OPERATIONS VESSEL MANAGEMENT
Bulbous Bow modifications to improve hull hydrodynamics Enhanced cargo care practices to safely carry more containers Trim optimization to
and fuel efficiency
In-House Design & Engineering Teams
strong relationships with leading shipyards
construction, conversions and marine engineering
Fleet Utilization Rates
Impact of Hanjin bankruptcy and drydock
Fleet Management Commercial Services
maintenance
300
Corporate & Operations
4,800
People Employed Globally
>7,900
2018 Port Calls
4,500
Seafarers
charter profile drives high utilization rates
several recent awards
99% 100% 99% 99% 99% 98% 99% 99% 96% 96% 98% FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
16
16
Cash flow stability from future contracted charter payments of ~$4.3 billion1 with an average remaining contract duration of ~4.0 Years
Percentage of Contracted Revenue by Year1
Majority of charter expirations post 2022 are modern 10,000+ TEU vessels
1. Minimum future revenues to be received on committed time charters and to be earned related to interest income from direct financing leases as of June 30, 2019. Minimum future revenues to be received on committed time charters assume 100% utilization, extensions only at the Company’s unilateral option and sole discretion and no renewals 2. 2019 includes actual YTD revenue and minimum future contracted revenue for the remainder of the year
101% 92% 80% 56% 42% 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2
DL to check
17
17
Other
1. Rank based on market share per Alphaliner as of June 2019 2. Number of Seaspan’s vessels and TEU of vessels chartered to each liner as of August 1, 2019 3. Credit ratings represent MOL and K-Line, respectively
Seaspan works with a select group of leading liner companies with a focus on long-term charters
(by % of total TEU)
29% 24% 16% 8% 7% 7% 6% 2%
Charterer World Ranking1
Vessels² Total TEU² Major Shareholders Credit Rating COSCO 3 38 265,750 Government chAAA / Lianhe Yang Ming 8 16 220,000 Government twBBB / Taiwan CR ONE3 6 19 142,900 Widely-held (BBB / NR) / (BBB- / NR) CMA CGM 4 12 76,250 Family-owned B1 / B+ MSC 2 7 67,750 Family-owned (N/A) Hapag Lloyd 5 8 62,750 Widely-held B1 / B+ Maersk 1 8 53,500 Widely-held Baa3 / BBB Other
17,000 – – Total 112 905,900
18
18
Fully Integrated Operating Platform Long-Term, Fixed- Rate Charters Creditworthy Customers
stable, predictable cash flows
Seaspan’s differentiated business model allows it to capitalize on challenges currently facing the containership leasing industry and provide best-in-class service
Commoditization Short-Term Focus Weak Credit Profiles Challenges to Containership Industry
Seaspan’s Model
Size & Scale
savings
Fragmentation
19
19
Market Share 20191 Top 8 Liners Grew Market Share from 55% to >85% in 5 Years1
APM‐Maersk, 18% MSC, 15% CMA CGM, 10% Evergreen, 5% COSCON, 5% Hapag‐Lloyd, 4% APL, 4% Hanjin Shg, 4% CSCL, 4% MOL, 4% OOCL, 3% Hamburg Süd, 3% NYK, 3% Yang Ming, 2% K Line, 2% Hyundai M.M., 2% Others, 11%
1. Alphaliner Monthly Monitor – June 2019
Market Share 2013
Maersk+H.Sud, 20% MSC, 16% COSCO + OOCL, 13% CMA CGM, 13% Hapag+UAS C, 8% ONE, 7% Evergreen, 6% Yang Ming, 3% PIL, 2% Others, 12%
20
20
Shoei Kisen, 7% Costamare, 4% Zodiac Maritime, 4% BoCom Leasing, 4% Eastern Pacific Shg (EPS), 4% Offen, Claus Peter, 3% Peter Döhle/Hammonia, 3% Danaos Shg, 3% Minsheng Financial Leasing, 3% Norddeutsche R.H. Schuldt, 3% Other, 54%
The fragmented landscape leaves significant room and benefit for consolidation
scale and barriers to entry
benefits
and reduced cost of capital , 7%
1. Alphaliner Monthly Monitor – June 2019; includes current vessels and vessels under construction
Opportunity for Consolidation Containership Lessor Market Share1
21
21
lowest idle fleet since Spring 2018
2019, and continuing restraint on newbuild ordering
by the need for replacement tonnage
expect sale and purchase activity to pick up
1. Clarksons Research – July 2019
Charter Rate Improvement1 Historical Containership Asset Value1
2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 (40%) (20%) – 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 2,600 - 2,900 TEU 3,200 - 3,600 TEU 8,500 - 9,100 TEU (40%) (20%) – 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 2,500 TEU 3,500 TEU 4,400 TEU 9,000 TEU
22
22
(15%) (10%) (5%) – 5% 10% 15% 20% – 5 10 15 20 25 30 TEU (mllions) Fleet Capacity (TEU) Throughput Growth Capacity Growth
supporting trade growth in developing economies
uncertainty
positive in OECD regions
2019 Growth Rates by Region2
rates
and 2020
to scrubber retrofits
Annual Capacity and Throughput Growth1
– – Capacity Growth 2.1% 2.4% 1.0% 3.1% 5.4% 7.7% 2.9% 6.0% 2.5% 4.9% 5.4% Transpacific FE-Europe Other ME/ISC-Asia ME/ISC-Europe ME/ISC-N.Am Latin America Africa Oceania Intra-Asia Other Mainlane East-West Non-Mainlane East- West North-South Intra-Regional
1. Alphaliner Monthly Monitor – June 2019; global port throughput includes empty container and transshipment cargo 2. Clarksons Research – Container Intelligence Quarterly Q2 2019
23
23
1. Clarksons Research – July 2019 2. Alphaliner Monthly Monitor – June 2019
Idle Fleet Continues to Decline (% TEU)1,2 Orderbook at Historically Low Levels1,2
driving idle fleet reduction, supporting rate improvement
and <3,000 TEU primarily lessor-owned
fuel regulations
Historical Demolition Volumes2
providers will continue to temper supply growth
0% 25% 50% 75% 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Idle (%) 11.2% 1.4% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 450 900 1,350 1,800 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Idle % TEU (000's) Total Idle TEU Idle Fleet as % of Total Fleet 18 22 26 30 200 400 600
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 YTD
Average Age (yrs) TEU (000's)
TEU Scrapped Other Deletions Average Age (Scrapped Units)
24
24
Focus on Capital Allocation
business, and have strong risk-adjusted returns on capital
Seaspan Well-Positioned for the Future
consolidation in the containership industry
Other Capital Allocation Opportunities
adjusted returns
Improving Industry Dynamics
25
25
1
Operational Excellence
Customer Partnerships
Financial Strength and Stability
Pursuit of Growth Opportunities
Capital Allocation
2 3 4 5