Investor Presentation
As of August 2020
Investor Presentation As of August 2020 Disclaimer This document - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation As of August 2020 Disclaimer This document contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the current views, expectations, assumptions and information of the management, and are based on information
As of August 2020
Page 2 Investor Presentation August 2020
This document contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the current views, expectations, assumptions and information of the management, and are based on information currently available to the management. Forward-looking statements shall not be construed as a promise for the materialisation of future results and developments and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those described in such statements due to, among other things, changes in the general economic and competitive environment, risks associated with capital markets, currency exchange rate fluctuations, changes in international and national laws and regulations, in particular with respect to tax laws and regulations, affecting the Company, and other factors. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates assumes any obligations to update any forward-looking statements.
We all need electricity – children as well as adults, small companies as well as large ones. Wherever there is electricity, there is light, warmth and communication, production, medical care and mobility. Electricity is life.
August 2020 Investor Presentation
Page 4 Investor Presentation August 2020
Uniquely positioned to benefit from the energy transition Attractive growth opportunities in renewable energy Strict focus on value creation and shareholder return Strong commitment to sustainable development goals Highly motivated team incentivised to deliver strategic targets
Page 5 Investor Presentation August 2020
Supply & Trading Onshore wind/Solar
Core Coal/Nuclear
solutions
investments
business
Offshore wind
activities
Hydro/Biomass/ Gas
gas plants in Germany, UK, Netherlands
and plants
plants
power plants
EPZ (nuclear)
Carbon factor2 Share of coal in Group revenues g/kWh GW Installed capacity1
1 Pro rata installed capacity of core business. | 2 Calculated for pro forma generation portfolio of core business. | Note: Figures for FY 2019.
Target to achieve CO2 neutrality for our global generation portfolio by 2040 Fully supportive of Paris Climate Agreement Proven track record of carbon emission reductions 2012 2019 2030 2040 million tonnes CO2 Neutral
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 6
Page 7 Investor Presentation August 2020
Seven SDGs were defined as material in relation to our business activities
programme with focus on biodiversity
in renaturalised mining areas
women in 1st and 2nd management level1
2020 Bloomberg Gender Equality Index (GEI)
wind and solar with ~ ~9 GW installed capacity
flexible power plant portfolio
with workforce of more than 20,000 people
structural change and energy transition
to global climate goals
neutral by 2040
technologies to support the energy transition
Gründerfonds III since 2017
requirements with RWE’s Code of Conduct
Bettercoal to promote standards in hard-coal supply chain B (Climate Change) 68 out of 1002 A (from AAA to CCC) 54 out of 100 (12th out of 30 utilitites)
1 Below the Executive Board of RWE AG. | 2 Sustainalytics ESG Rating.
C+ (from A+ to D-)
August 2020, H1 Earnings call
August 2020 Investor Presentation
Page 9
RWE Group at €1.8bn
business and Group to be at the upper end of guidance
debt/core adj. EBITDA) at year end envisaged
acquired from Nordex
August 2020 Investor Presentation
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August 2020 Investor Presentation
European Markets with RWE Onshore Wind/Solar assets in
~1.8 GW Onshore and > 0.1 GW Solar development pipeline French support scheme: 20yrs index-linked 2-sided CfD
market with ambitious build-out targets by 2030
mostly based in France will join RWE upon completion
Poland across different development stages – commissioning of approx. 500 MW by 2025
receipt of customary approvals We strengthen our European market presence in Onshore Wind/Solar
~0.4 ~0.4
GW from Nordex development pipeline
~1.9 >0.01
Page 11 August 2020 Investor Presentation Note: pro forma adj. EBITDA according to new business segments and inclusion of assets acquired from E.ON for full FY2019.
Wind earnings to high level in H1
strengthen earnings at Onshore Wind/Solar
due to GB capacity payments
+9%
Core adj. EBITDA H1 2020 vs. H1 2019 pro forma, € million
490 585 244 273 221 324 461 322 H1 2020 core adj. EBITDA H1 2019 core adj. EBITDA pro forma
Supply & Trading
Other/Consolidation Hydro/Biomass/Gas Onshore Wind/Solar Offshore Wind 1,377 1,497
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August 2020 Investor Presentation
Wind/Solar installed capacity increases to 8.9 GW and further 3.1 GW under construction/FID H1 2020
Installed capacity 31 Mar 20 1.1 Installed capacity 31 Dec 19 1.3 0.2 Changes COD 2020 0.9 COD 2021 0.9 COD 2022 Residual target Target 2022 8.7 >13.0 8.9
Projects under construction/FID
1.2 Onshore 0.1 Solar 0.4 Onshore 0.5 Solar 0.9 Offshore
GW pro rata
Note: Additional 30 MW installed capacity from batteries as well as battery projects of 109 MW under construction/FID. | Excluding capacity addition from the Nordex development pipeline. Rounding differences may occur.
(196 MW), with co-located storage (40 MW). Expected COD 2021
Battery projects in NL, PL, IE taken
Awel y Môr Offshore wind farm (300 MW)
Ireland fast tracked. Expected COD 2026
31 Dec 2019 30 Jun 2020
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1 Gradual commissioning process: Raymond East, 200 MW expected COD Q4 2020, Raymond West, 240 MW expected COD Q1 2021. | Note: Construction including pre-construction/preparation works.
August 2020 Investor Presentation
Project
Country Expected COD Status Comments Capacity pro rata
Triton Knoll
Q1 2022 Construction –
Offshore construction
cables, substations and foundations all progressing in advance of turbine installation in 2021 509 MW
Kaskasi
Q4 2022 342 MW Preparation Phase Contracts signed with main suppliers; offshore construction works to start in Q3 2021
Clocaenog Forest
Q3 2020 96 MW Commissioning Phase All turbines generating, final wind farm testing and final COD
Limondale
Q1 2021 249 MW Commissioning Phase Registration has been received by the grid operator and the hold point testing as well as final commission- ning process is commencing
Cranell
Q3 2020 220 MW Commissioning Phase Grid availability has been achieved
Big Raymond
Q4 2020 and Q1 20211 440 MW Construction – slightly delayed Construction work
long lead time balance of plant equipment and material is on site. COVID-19 related supply chain issue
turbine supply
Scioto Ridge
Q4 2020 250 MW Construction –
Construction work
erection is
availability has been achieved and turbine commis- sioning will begin shortly
Offshore Wind Onshore Wind Solar
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1 General tax rate of 15% for the planning horizon is based on a blended calculation of local tax rates, the use of loss carry forwards and low taxed dividend income, e.g. from E.ON and Amprion.
August 2020 Investor Presentation
million as well as losses in financial asset portfolio from Q1 and negative mark-to-market valuation of FX
discount rates of mining provisions
in line with the expected mid-term tax level at RWE Group1
wind/solar projects, adjusted for minorities stemming from discontinued operations
H1 2020
1,807 795
1,088
H1 2020
H1 2020
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1 Excludes nuclear provisions since utilisation is not net debt effective and will be refinanced via financial debt.
restructuring provisions among others
capital’ mainly from receipt of GB capacity market payments for the years 2018 (pro rata) and 2019 as well as reduction of gas inventories
dividend in Q2 Reconciliation to adj. operating cash flow, € million H1 2020
August 2020 Investor Presentation
437 Adj. EBITDA
Changes in provisions/ (Non-) Cash items1 Cash financial result 76 Changes in
working capital Cash taxes Adj.
cash flow 2,060 1,807
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1 Adjustment of approx. -€0.1bn from retroactive adjustment to the initial consolidation of the renewable energy business acquired from E.ON in 2019. | 2 Includes pension and wind provisions but excludes
nuclear provisions as they are not part of adj. operating cash flow. | Note: Rounding differences may occur.
Development of net debt continuing operations, € billion H1 2020
August 2020 Investor Presentation
RWE continuing
31 Dec 191 1.0
Dividend
cash flow 0.5 Net cash investments 1.5 Other changes in net financial debt
Changes in provisions2 RWE continuing
30 Jun 20 6.9 7.8
Core adj. EBITDA: ~€2.15 – 2.45bn
August 2020 Investor Presentation
~€2.7 – 3.0bn
~€1.2 – 1.5bn
~€0.85 – 1.15bn Dividend target: €0.85 per share
March 2020, Capital Market Day
August 2020 Investor Presentation
Global commodity trading & commercial asset
Global analyst platform is key to our success Commodity solutions for GW in hydro, biomass and gas plants Thereof GW pumped storage/batteries bcm of gas storage
Strong wind and solar business Experienced operator
Leading commercial platform GW installed wind and solar capacity No.
global player GW develop- ment pipeline
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 19 Note: Pro rata installed capacity. Figures as of 31 Dec 2019.
blue chip customers
1 Pro rata, excluding storage. | 2 Excluding storage. | 3 Including Feed-in tariffs (FiTs), contracts for difference (CfDs), fixed certificates and PPAs/Tax credits.. | 4 Includes assets in operation and under construction
with CfDs/FiTs, fixed certificates, PPAs/Tax credits. | Note: Figures as of 31 Dec 2019. Rounding differences may occur.
Installed capacity by technology1 Installed capacity per country1 Pro forma EBITDA 2019 70% 28% Offshore Onshore 2% Solar 8.7 GW 16% 24% 5% Italy Germany Poland 4% UK 3% US Netherlands Spain 5% 38% 3% ROW 8.7 GW Increasing capacity2
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 20
GW Projects under construction 69% 22% 9% €1.4 bn Offshore Wind Onshore Wind/ Solar Americas Onshore Wind/ Solar Europe & APAC Regulated
Years weighted average remaining contracted tenor4 High level of earnings stability
Significant growth in wind & solar Build-out of batteries and research in new technologies Green power commercialisation 2019 Target 2022
storage facility under construction in Ireland
pilot project of liquid salt storage charged by wind and sun power
to build 105 MW power-to- gas pilot project 15 year PPA for Nysäter project covering 18 TWh - one of the largest
15 year tailored PPA with Honda for 120 MW offtake from a 150 MW wind farm in Oklahoma, US Commercialisation of electricity generated by Belgian Northwester 2 wind farm
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 21
GW pro rata
Note: Installed capacity excluding storage. As of 31 Dec 2019.
5 year offtake agreement for portion
7 year supply agreement to take 3 TWh of green energy
1 Under construction. | 2 Before asset rotation. | 3 2012 prices. | 4 €46.6 per MWh was the average strike price achieved in the auction. | Note: As of 31 Dec 2019.
Secured near-term capacity build-out Further projects in development, GW pro rata
4.9 Triton Knoll 2019 Kaskasi 0.5 1.4 2026 Sofia 0.3 0.2 Dunkerque 2.5
1
Country Exp. COD CfD strike price (per MWh) 2022 2022 2026 2026 £74.75 3 >€46.6 4 €44 £39.65 3 Delta Nordsee Pre-emption right 0.5 GW Nordsee Two&Three Pre-emption right 0.1 GW Rampion Extension option 0.4 GW Gwynt y Môr Extension option 0.3 GW Greater Gabbard Extension option 0.3 GW Galloper Extension option 0.1 GW Dublin Array Development project 0.3 GW Sharco II, IV & V Development project 1.5 GW Baltic II Development project 0.3 GW Södra Midsjöbanken Development project 1.6 GW 5.4 GW
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 22
2
GW pro rata
1 CfD: Contract for Difference. | 2 LGC: Large Scale Generation Certificates (Green certificates for large producers in Australia). | Note: Installed capacity excluding storage. | As of 31 Dec 2019.
Development pipeline Near-term capacity build-out and development by the end of 2022
0.6 4.4 Selected projects Capacity COD Support scheme Support expiry Offtake partner Clocaenog Forest 96 MW Q1 2020 Two-sided CfD1 2035 n.a. Alarcos 45 MW Q2 2020 PPA n.a. Audax Renovables Limondale 249 MW Q3 2020 LGC2 2030 n.a. Eekerpolder 63 MW Q4 2020 One-sided CfD1 2035 Market/Government Zukowice 33 MW Q4 2020 Two-sided CfD1 2035 n.a. Nysäter 95 MW Q4 2021 Firm hedge + Green certificates 2036 Energy company Under construction 0.8 Installed capacity 2019 0.8 Near-term growth ambition Estimated installed capacity 2022 2.9 4.5
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 23
GW pro rata GW pro rata
~5.0
Development pipeline Near-term capacity build-out and development by the end of 2022
~9.7 5.1 4.6 Major projects Capacity COD ISO Offtake product Offtake tenor Offtake partner Cranell 220 MW Q2 2020 ERCOT Firm hedge hub 12 years Undisclosed LSE1 Peyton Creek 151 MW Q1 2020 ERCOT Self-structured hedge 10 years Multiple trading counterparties Vauxhall & Hull 47 MW Q2 2020 AESO UC2 PPA node Mid-term3 Consumer staples Big Raymond 440 MW Q4 2020 ERCOT UC2 PPA + Firm hedge 12 years Austin Energy + Banking sector Scioto Ridge 250 MW Q4 2020 PJM Firm hedge hub Long-term4 Service sector Boiling Springs 148 MW Q4 2020 SPP UC2 PPA hub 15 years Honda Cassadaga 126 MW Q4 2020 NYISO Firm hedge node Long-term4 Utility Near-term growth ambition Installed capacity 2019 1.4 Under construction 0.6 Estimated installed capacity 2022 3.4 5.4
1 LSE: Load serving entity. | 2 UC: Unit contingent. | 3 Mid-term: 6-10 years. | 4 Long-term: 11-20 years. | Note: PTC: Production Tax Credits. | Note: As of 31 Dec 2019.
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 24
GW pro rata GW pro rata
1 Includes pro forma combined renewables portfolio. | Note: Based on full load hours under normal weather conditions and achievement of government renewables targets. Excluding plants in security reserve.
Production in 2038 refers to first year post closure.
Coal as % of total capacity 44.6% 30.4% <25.0% <10.0% 0% Coal as % of total production 62.4% 38.4%1 <35.0% <20.0% 0% Coal – installed capacity 2012 2019 2023 2030 2038
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 25
<10.0 GW 4.3 GW 0.0 GW 23.2 GW 12.7 GW
Page 26 Investor Presentation August 2020 Note: 2019 pro forma adj. EBITDA includes approx. €0.5 bn outperformance of RWE Supply & Trading.
Outlook for adjusted EBITDA for RWE’s core business 2019 pro forma 2020e 2022e Hydro/Biomass/Gas Onshore Wind/Solar Offshore Wind Supply & Trading 2.7 ~2.15 – 2.45 ~2.55 – 2.85 ~8% p.a. Offshore Wind Contribution of Triton Knoll 2021/2022 Onshore Wind/Solar Contribution from new net capacity of ~3.5 GW Hydro/Biomass/Gas Declining GB capacity payments expected to be partly offset by increasing generation spreads Supply & Trading Return to normalised level after exceptionally high earnings in 2019 € bn
RWE’s core capex programme 2020 – 2022 Gross growth capex by region and technology
Offshore Wind Onshore Wind/Solar Americas Onshore Wind/Solar Europe & APAC Net growth capex Asset rotation & divestments Gross growth capex Maintenance in core business ~5 ~0.5 ~8-9 ~3-4 ~45% ~30% ~25%
Germany UK Other Europe Americas APAC Offshore wind Onshore wind Solar & storage ~10% ~30% ~5% <5% <5% ~10% ~20% <5% ~ 5% ~10% <5% Remaining pipeline ~1/3 Committed (FID taken) ~1/3
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 27
€ bn Close to FID ~1/3
Investor Presentation August 2020
IRR requirements for wind/solar projects
approach with project IRR typically exceeding base renewables WACC by 100 to 300 bps
project risk profile (technology, regulatory and remuneration risk)
for management support and new markets scouting
profiles and sensitivity analysis
performance Offshore Wind Mature markets New markets Onshore Wind/Solar Europe US New markets 5.5% 8.5% 7.0% 10.0% 4.5% 8.0% 5.5% 8.0% 6.5% 9.5%
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August 2020
Investor Presentation
New definition of net debt (€ million) 31 Dec 2019 Financial assets 9,098 Financial liabilities (incl. hybrid capital adjustment) 5,179 Net financial assets (incl. hybrid capital adjustment) 3,919 Provisions for pensions and similar obligations 3,293 Provisions for nuclear waste management 6,723 Provisions for dismantling wind farms 951 Net debt of continuing operations 7,048
1 Net debt/pro forma core adj. EBITDA; pro forma: new business segmentation and inclusion of E.ON‘s acquired assets for full fiscal year 2019.
coal phaseout liabilities
(net debt/core adj. EBITDA) of ≤3.0x
rating with target of at least
Page 29
X
Investor Presentation
coal phaseout total €4.6 bn
compensation payment of €2.6 bn payable over 15 annual instalments
financial portfolio. Financial portfolio currently consists of
recognised in ‘financial result’) 4.6 E.ON stake Receivables against GER government Financial portfolio Mining provisions 31 Dec 2019 2.6
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 30
€ bn Funding of coal phaseout liabilities
Elements of dividend policy
growth in core business
short-term volatility of trading business and weather effects
between ~40% and ~60% of adjusted net income 0.85 0.80 2020 2019 €/share Steady growth, in line with core business
August 2020 Investor Presentation
1 2
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1 Subject to AGM approval. | 2 Management target.
Investor Presentation August 2020
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t/o non-recurring items Depreciation
t/o non-recurring items Gross cash investments1 585
401
490
299
+95
+102
€ million H1 2020 change
Investor Presentation
Key financials H1 - Offshore Wind Stronger performance on the back of above average wind speeds in Q1 2020 H1 2020 vs. H1 2019 pro forma Normalised weather conditions for the remainder
Outlook 2020 vs. FY 2019 pro forma
pro forma
H1 2019 Gross cash divestments1 +83 n.a. n.a.
Outlook 2020 €900 – 1,100m
Core
1 Gross cash (di-)investments: Sum of (di-)investments in (in-)tangible and financial assets, loans to non-consolidated affiliates and capital measures. | Note: pro forma - new business segments and inclusion of
assets acquired from E.ON for full FY2019.
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t/o non-recurring items Depreciation
t/o non-recurring items Gross cash investments1 273
85
244
76
+29
+9
€ million H1 2020 change
Investor Presentation
Key financials H1 - Onshore Wind/Solar Increased capacity in Onshore Wind/Solar, Europe and US Higher earnings in Europe from above average weather conditions in Q1 2020 H1 2020 vs. H1 2019 pro forma Increased capacity in Onshore Wind/Solar in Europe and US Normalised weather conditions for the remainder of the year assumed versus low wind levels in 2019 Construction delays, mainly at US assets due to Covid-19 Outlook 2020 vs. FY 2019 pro forma
pro forma
H1 2019 Gross cash divestments1 +21 n.a. n.a.
Outlook 2020 €500 – 600m
Core
1 Gross cash (di-)investments: Sum of (di-)investments in (in-)tangible and financial assets, loans to non-consolidated affiliates and capital measures. | Note: pro forma - new business segments and inclusion of
assets acquired from E.ON for full FY2019.
H1
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t/o non-recurring items Depreciation
t/o non-recurring items Gross cash investments1 324
155
221
62
+103
+93
€ million H1 2020 change
Investor Presentation
Key financials H1 - Hydro/Biomass/Gas Income from GB capacity payments (+€74 million)2 H1 2020 vs. H1 2019 pro forma FY 2020 GB capacity payments of ~€160 million; 2019 includes one-off payment2 for 2018
Fire at Eemshaven power plant leading to a temporary stoppage of biomass co-firing Outlook 2020 vs. FY 2019 pro forma
pro forma
H1 2019
Outlook 2020 €550 – 650m
Core
1 Gross cash (di-)investments: Sum of (di-)investments in (in-)tangible and financial assets, loans to non-consolidated affiliates and capital measures. | 2 Resumption of GB capacity payments in Q4 2019 after
including hydro and biomass activities from innogy, excluding German hard coal activities and including 37.9% stake in Kelag.
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t/o non-recurring items Depreciation
t/o non-recurring items Gross cash investments1 322
300
461
441
€ million H1 2020 change
Investor Presentation
Key financials H1 - Supply & Trading Strong trading performance as well as good result for gas & LNG business; however, earnings contribution below exceptionally high level in the previous year H1 2020 vs. H1 2019 pro forma Exceptionally high earnings contribution in 2019 due to outstanding trading performance and strong contribution from gas and LNG Outlook 2020 vs. FY 2019 pro forma
pro forma
H1 2019
Outlook 2020 €150 – 350m
Long-term average earnings of ~€250 million, including stable earnings contribution from gas storage Core
1 Gross cash (di-)investments: Sum of (di-)investments in (in-)tangible and financial assets, loans to non-consolidated affiliates and capital measures. |
Note: pro forma - new business segments. Includes gas storage activities acquired from E.ON for full FY2019.
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August 2020 Investor Presentation
Hedging outright position2 2020 2021e 2022e 2023e Volume3 Hedge margin4 70-75 TWh ~27 €/MWh 70-75 TWh ~32 €/MWh 55-60 TWh ~32 €/MWh 40-45 TWh ~26 €/MWh
Fully hedged Implicit fuel hedge Open position
Higher realised generation margin for outright position Production plan updated after lignite phaseout agreement H1 2020 vs. H1 2019 pro forma Higher realised generation margin for outright position, ~+3 EUR/MWh in 2020 Production plan updated after lignite phaseout agreement Outlook 2020 vs. FY 2019 pro forma
>90% >90%
t/o non-recurring items Depreciation
t/o non-recurring items Gross cash investments1 310
155
148
+162
+178
€ million H1 2020 change
pro forma
H1 2019
1 Gross cash (di-) investments: Sum of (di-) investments in (in-) tangible and financial assets, loans to non-consolidated affiliates and capital measures. | 2 Outright: Lignite and Nuclear. | 3 Financial hedged
hard coal and nuclear minorities for full FY2019.
Outlook 2020 €500 – 600m % >90% >90% Hedge ratio
Driver Segment Type Sensitivity Group impact1
August 2020 Investor Presentation Page 38
Wind levels Offshore Wind P&L +/- 10% production +/- €150 million CO2 prices RWE Group P&L +/- €1/t Hedged until 2030 Pension provisions RWE Group Germany B/S +/- 0.1%3
Nuclear provisions RWE Group B/S +/- 0.1%3
Mining provisions RWE Group B/S +/- 0.1%3
RWE Group abroad B/S +/- 0.1%3
1 All figures are rounded numbers. P&L figures refer to adjusted EBITDA. | 2 Earnings impact on unhedged position. For 2020 we have already hedged a significant amount of our merchant production volumes. | 3 Change in real discount rate (net effect from change in nominal discount rate and escalation rate). | 4 Gross effect of changes in present value of defined benefit obligations. No offsetting effect from
development of plan assets included. | Note: as of end of Nov 2019.
Onshore Wind/Solar P&L +/- 10% production +/- €100 million Power prices Offshore Wind and Onshore Wind/Solar P&L +/- 10% +/- €60 million2 Main f/x (USD & GBP) RWE Group P&L +/- 10% +/- €125 million
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August 2020 Investor Presentation
Financial Calendar Important Links Contacts for Institutional Investors & Analysts
thomas.denny@rwe.com
Tel.: +49 201 5179-3117 martin.vahlbrock@rwe.com
Tel.: +49 201 5179-3118 burkhard.pahnke@rwe.com
lenka.zikmundova@rwe.com
jerome.hoerdemann@rwe.com
susanne.lange@rwe.com
charline.hessling@rwe.com
Contact for Private Shareholders
http://www.rwe.com/ir/reports
http://www.rwe.com/ir/investor-and-analyst-conferences
http://www.rwe.com/ir/presentations
http://www.rwe.com/ir/videos
http://www.rwe.com/ir/consensus-estimates ADR programme available Further information on our homepage RWE shares/ADR Contact for ADR-holders at BNY Mellon shrrelations@cpushareownerservices.com +1 201 680-6255 (outside from the US) 1-888-269-2377 (within the US)
Interim statement on the first three quarters of 2020
Annual Report for fiscal 2020
Annual General Meeting
Dividend payment
Interim statement on the first quarter of 2021
holger.perlwitz@rwe.com