July 2019
01 October 2018
Investor Presentation 01 October 2018 Highlights A commitment to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
July 2019 Investor Presentation 01 October 2018 Highlights A commitment to responsible behaviour Being a responisble operator is the right thing to do and is critical to achieve our strategic objectives and financial success Greenhouse Gas
01 October 2018
Highlights
July 2019
P1
Environment
Society
Governance
Being a responisble operator is the right thing to do and is critical to achieve our strategic objectives and financial success
Advocacy and supported initiatives
10 15 20 25 30 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Greenhouse Gas Intensity (op. assets)
(kg CO2e/boe production)
Highlights
July 2019
P2
Group production
kboepd
Catcher plateau production
kboepd (gross)
UK production
kboepd
Free cash flow
$m 25 50 75 100 2016 2017 2018 2019 ytd 25 50 75 Sanction Actual 25 50 75 2016 2017 2019 ytd 2021F 200 400 2017 2018 2019F
Production
2018 2019 July 2019
P3
Increased 2019 guidance
84 kboepd to end May
84 87 96 2018 1H 2018 2H 2019 YTD
Operating efficiency
%
UK SE Asia
Improved cash margins
$/boe (Operating cash flow/production)
30%
Higher margins 50 75 100
Group production profile (2018 to 2019 ytd)
kboepd Jan 2018 Jan 2019 2018 80.5 kboepd 2019 guidance: 75-80 kboepd
Increased 2019 guidance
75-80 kboepd
Finance
1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 YE2017 Bond Conv. 2018 FCF JV Cash* YE2018 YE2019
July 2019
P4
– Expect to be at upper end of $250m-$350m – Forecast significant headroom against YE19 3x covenant leverage ratio
after hedging
hedged at $69/bbl
Targeting leverage ratio of 1.5x over the cycle
Accounting net debt
$m
* includes FX movement
Point forward, at oil prices above
$35/bbl
cash flow positive for full year 2019
Finance
30%
Higher cash margins in 2019
July 2019
P5 26 73 50 237 234 190 38 46 100
100 200 300 400 2017 2018 2019F
Capital expenditure
$m
Abex P&D E&A
Capex
partnership with Kellas Midstream
with completion of Catcher
appraisal (Zama, Tolmount East)
be deferred
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2017 2018 2019F Lease costs Opex
Operating and lease costs
$/boe
Operating and lease costs
portfolio effects and disposals
and Chim Sáo FPSOs
Production
64 79 2013 2018 July 2019
P6
>90 kboepd
(gross, operated) 2021
64 74 2013 2017
15 47 >60 2013 2018 2021F 40 13 13 2013 2018 2019F 1.4 1.6 1.7 2013 2017 2021F
Growing production
kboepd
Reduced operating costs
US$/boe
Improved operating efficiency
%
Extending Basin life
mboepd
Reduced operating costs
US$/boe
Improved operating efficiency
% 26 15 2013 2017
>57 kboepd
(net) 2019 ytd
64 79 95 2013 2018 2019 ytd
1 Company, Oil & Gas UK estimates
Production
July 2019
P7
28 28
10 20 30 2013 2018
Stable production
kboepd
Low cost base
US$/bbl
High operating efficiency
%
10 6
4 8 12 2013 2018
80 96
50 100 2013 2018
2018 net cash flow
c.$230 million
Production
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
EXPLOIT
P8
DELIVER
Discovered Chim Sáo in 2006; acquired additional 25% stake for $72 million in 2009 Chim Sáo production
kboepd (gross)
At sanction
55 mmboe
Produced to date
77 mmboe
Remaining
45 mmboe
At sanction Actual / Forecast Reserves upgraded
July 2019
Continued field life
Chim Sáo South Central Chim Sáo field Chim Sáo South Central
Production
EXPLOIT
DELIVER
P9
Dominant position in the Natuna Sea delivering gas in Singapore under long term gas sales agreements Natuna Sea Block A GSA1 market share
% July 2019
YE2018 net 2P reserves
32 mmboe
2019 ytd GSA1 market share
52%
Bison Iguana Laba Laba Gajah Puteri Pelikan
10 km
Natuna Sea Block A Gajah Baru Naga Benkantan On production Under development Potential 10 20 30 40 50 60 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Anoa
Production
25 50 75 July 2019
P10
Discovered in 2010, increased stake via EnCore acquisition in 2012
DELIVER
EXPLOIT
Catcher Area oil production profile (gross)
kbopd 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Yr 1 Yr 5 Yr 10 Sanction Current / Forecast Upside
Catcher oil rate (2018 to 2019 ytd)
kbopd (gross) Catcher Varadero Burgman
2019 ytd OE
99%
Since Nov 2018
>68 kboepd
Final acceptance certificate issued
Jan 2018 Jan 2019
Production
DELIVER
EXPLOIT
P11
Acquired through Oilexco (2009), subsequently increased stake via partner defaults (2015) and E.ON acquisition (2016)
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2016 2017 2018 2019
Huntington production
kboepd At Sanction Actual / Forecast July 2019 Voyageur Spirit
Production
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2020 2025 2030
P12
Acquired as part of the $120 million E.ON acquisition in 2016
DELIVER
, 4 infills and alignment with operator)
EXPLOIT
Elgin Franklin production profile
kboepd (gross) At acquisition Actual / Forecast July 2019
Continued field life
Development
Fully appraised Infill drilling Near field additions Exploration upside Third party business Materiality
Tolmount Main Zama Sea Lion Tuna
Well intervention Infill drilling Near field additions Exploration upside Third party business Field life extension
Catcher Elgin Franklin Solan Huntington Chim Sáo NSBA
July 2019
P13
Appraisal required NA
Delivering value via infrastructure led operations and growth projects
Development
July 2019
P14
Progressing as planned
First Steel Cut at Rosetti’s Ravenna yard Centrica’s Easington Terminal Offshore installation (Heerema’s Sleipner) Ensco 123 Pipelay (Saipem’s Castoro Sei)
Partner sanction Detailed engineering Onshore construction Modifications Offshore installation Drilling Production Jul 18 Dec 18 Jul 19 Dec 19 Jul 20 Dec 20 Jul 21
Development
Gross Peak Production
58 kboepd
Net Capex
$120 m
Net Cash Flow
>$1 Bn
Payback
<1 year
Tolmount Main Free Cash Flow profile (net to Premier)*
$m July 2019 P15
Acquired 50% operated interest through E.ON acquisition in 2016; sanctioned August 2018
*Assumes 60p/therm
50 100 150 200 250 300 2020 2025 2030
Continued field life
Development
for first gas in 2023
Capex
$7/boe
Payback
<1 year
42/28d-12 NE SW Tolmount Tolmount East
Gas water contact
July 2019 P16
Indicative development
Tolmount East Tolmount Main
Development
50 100 150 200 250 300 2025 2030 2035 2040
P17 Tolmount Tolmount Far East Tolmount East Mongour
Greater Tolmount Area – indicative production profile
mmscfd
July 2019
High value tie-backs with low tariff rates
Gross potential resource
>1 Tcf
Seismic acquisition Tolmount Main Tolmount East Upside
Development
July 2019
P18
– Contractor financing matured – Preparing formal application for senior debt
Gross resource Phase 1
220 mmboe
Phase 1 cash breakeven
~$45/bbl
Phase 1 pre-first
$1.5bn
Carry arrangements restructured in 2016 for Sea Lion Phase 1
Total Basin potential
~1 bn bbls
Appraisal
July 2019 P19 Zama South PDUQ Zama North PDUQ FSO Shuttle tanker
Significant resource upgrade
expectation
– Higher net-to-gross ratio – Better porosity – Increased hydrocarbon saturation
productivity and well connected sands
and testing programme
P50-P10 resource (gross)
Peak production (gross)
Indicative development concept
Development planning underway
development concept
Exploration
Seismic over Greater Tolmount Area completed Tolmount East spud (Jul 2019) 3D Seismic over Block 30 (Q2 2019) 3D Seismic over Andaman II completed
Mexico
United Kingdom
Indonesia
450 mmboe of net prospective resource to be drilled (excluding appraisal)
July 2019 P20 Brazil
Significant resource upgrade at Zama 2 well Tuna appraisal programme 4D seismic over Catcher Area (2020 1H)
Exploration
July 2019
P21
B Flat Spot A
Secured 30% interest via Mexico’s Round 3.1 in April 2019, most contested block
Block resource potential
300-400 mmbbls
Structure Map WAHOO CABRILLA
Exploration
July 2019 P22
Awarded 40% interest in the 2017 Indonesian Licence Round
PGS Apollo
TIMPAN HALWA MUSKAT SELATAN CANAI BARAT MUSKAT UTARA GAYO 20km
Targeting
>2 TCF
Exploration
July 2019
P23
matured for drilling – Berimbau/Maraca (Block 717) – Itarema/Tatajuba (Block 661)
for 2020
Secured acreage in Ceara basin via Brazil’s 11th Round
2 well campaign
>500 mmbbls
Block 661 (Premier, 30%) Block 717 (Premier, 50% operator) MARACA BERIMBAU
Summary
July 2019
P24
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Indicative production profile
kboepd
Summary
July 2019
P25
At $65/bbl, the business will deliver
2018-2019 allocation
Reinvestment will be measured against cash returns to shareholders
Net Operating cash flow Debt reduction Producing assets Abandonment New projects Exploration
100% 30% 10% 10% 40% 10%
Appendix
July 2019
P26
80.5 kboepd achieved, up 7% on 2017 and a record year for the Group Production averaged 92 kboepd, ahead of forecast, in Nov / Dec
Production
Opex of $16.9/boe, below 17-$18/boe guidance Capex of $353m, also below guidance
Cost base
Production at increased rates of 66 kbopd (gross) Averaged 69 kboepd in Nov/Dec with 97% operating efficiency
Catcher Area
Tolmount Main sanctioned, platform construction started High value Tolmount East appraisal well to spud mid-year
Tolmount Main
Operating cash flows of $777m, up 64% on 2017 Post tax profit of $133m, after a post tax loss in 2017
Return to profit Increased cash flow
Captured highly prospective acreage (Mexico, Indonesia) Initial results from 1st Zama appraisal well (Zama-2) encouraging
Exploration and appraisal
YE18 net debt $2.3bn, below forecast, and a $393m reduction on 2017 Leverage ratio of 3.1x vs covenant of 5.0x
Net debt reduction
No serious injuries, spills or process safety events
HSE
Appendix
March 2019
P27
Return to profit Increased operating cash flow Low and stable cost base Capital discipline maintained Increased free cash flow Strengthening balance sheet
100 200 2016 2017 2018 5 10 15 20 2016 2017 2018 200 400 600 800 2016 2017 2018 200 400 600 800 2016 2017 2018
400 2016 2017 2018 2 4 6 8 2016 2017 2018
Net profit ($m) Operating cash flow ($m) Total capital expenditure ($m) Operating cost (incl. leases) ($/boe) Free cash flow ($m) Covenant leverage ratio (Net debt/EBTIDA)
Appendix
March 2019
P28
FY 2018 FY 2017 Production (kboepd) 80.5 75.0 P&L ($m) Sales revenue 1,438 1,102 Operating costs (497) (448) EBITDA 882 590 Profit/(loss) before tax 184 (348) Net profit/(loss) 133 (254) Cash flow ($m) Operating cash flow 777 475 Interest and fees (229) (310) Capex (inc. decom pre-funding) (370) (318) Disposals 73 202 Net cash flow 251 71 Balance sheet Accounting net debt ($m) 2,331 2,724 Covenant leverage ratio 3.1x 6.0x 2018 2017 Oil (pre hedge) ($/bbl) 67.9 52.9 Oil (post hedge) ($/bbl) 63.5 52.1 UK gas (p/therm) 57 47 Indonesia gas ($/mmscf) 11.2 8.4
Catcher increased oil rates delivered a step up in operating cash flow and profits in the second half of 2018 Realised pricing
100 200 300 400 2018 1H 2018 2H
Net cash flow
$m
Premier Oil Plc 23 Lower Belgrave Street London SW1W 0NR T: +44 (0)20 7730 1111 E: premier@premier-oil.com www.premier-oil.com