Investor Presentation January 2018 Forward-looking statements This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation January 2018 Forward-looking statements This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation January 2018 Forward-looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to
Forward-looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
January 2018 | P1
Executive Summary
2017 – a year of strong delivery
Production
2017
Production 75.0 kboepd, in line with guidance Cost Base
2017
Opex of $16.5/boe; FY capex $305m below revised guidance Disposals
2017
Wytch Farm completed; Pakistan and ETS pipeline sales announced Catcher
2017
First oil delivered on 23 December. On schedule and c30% below budget Tolmount
2017
HoT signed with infrastructure partner; draft FDP submitted to OGA Sea Lion
2017
Negotiating funding packages; LOI signed with contractors Exploration
2017
World class oil discovery at Zama-1, Mexico Net Debt Reduction
2017
Positive cash flow in the year; deleveraging underway
2018 Target
Guidance 80-85 kboepd (Catcher ramp up and 2017 disposals)
2018 Target
FY guidance of opex c$17-18/boe and capex (ex-Abex) of $300m
2018 Target
Complete Pakistan and ETS sales; other processes ongoing
2018 Target
Deliver production ramp up to 60,000 bopd; complete wells
2018 Target
Progress for FID in 2018
2018 Target
Progress financing, fiscal and commercial initiatives
2018 Target
Appraise Zama in H2/early 2019 and define development plans
2018 Target
Generate positive net cash flow and target debt reduction to 3x Net Debt/EBITDA
January 2018 | P3
Production overview
Largest 5 fields account for c. 70% of production
January 2018 | P4
Development portfolio
>800 mmboe
- f discovered
but undeveloped reserves and resources
January 2018 | P5
Delivering on our strategy
- Opportunistic acquisitions
- c$16/bbl
- Operated
- FPSO’s
- Partner-funded
- Proven basins
- Under drilled
- 75 kboepd
Value
Stakeholder Returns Debt Reduction
- Disposals – realising value
Production Costs Development Exploration Portfolio Management Acquisitions
January 2018 | P6
Future plans
Balance Sheet Management
Value
Stakeholder Returns Debt Reduction Production Operating Costs Development Exploration
- $17-$18/bbl
- Catcher
- Tolmount
- Sea Lion
- Zama
- Tuna
- High value,
near field
- Material upside
in Mexico and Brazil
- Continuing
growth
- Reserve life >10 yrs
- Free cash flow 2018-2022 reducing debt
- Net debt : EBITDA <3x
Portfolio Management – Acquisitions
- Disposals by majors
- Tax optimisation
Portfolio Management – Disposals
- Non core assets
- Mitigating risk
January 2018 | P7
Producing Portfolio
Chim Sáo, Vietnam (53.125%, operator)
20P 5IPST1
2017
- 14.9 kboepd
- High operating efficiency and strong
reservoir performance
- $9/boe operating cost
- 2 infill wells completed; 6,500 boepd (gross)
production added
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Current Previous Improved Production Profile kboepd (gross)
59 mmboe reserves remaining
55 mmboe at sanction 57 mmboe produced to date January 2018 | P9
Natuna Sea Block A, Indonesia (28.67%, operator)
2017
- 12.9 kboepd, above budget
- Singapore demand above take or pay (49%
- f GSA vs 47% contractual share)
- High operating efficiency
- Opex of c.$8.7/boe
- Lama development well (WL-5X) tied into
production; producing 20-25 mmscf/d Outlook
- Singapore demand stable
- GSA1 market share increasing
- BIGP first gas 2019
20 40 60 80 100 5 10 15 20 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 NSBA Production net to PMO (kboepd) Market Share GSA1 (%)
BIGP
30% IRR
93 Bcf $340m gross capex
January 2018 | P10
Huntington, Central North Sea (100%, operator)
2017
- 13.0 kboepd, 28% above budget
− High FPSO operating efficiency − Strong reservoir performance − HoT agreed on lease extension and extended Shell term deal Outlook
- Maximise production
Currently producing ~13 kboepd
January 2018 | P11
Solan, West of Shetlands (100%, operator)
2017
- 5.9 kboepd
- Central reservoir on prognosis; Eastern
area of field under-performing Outlook
- P1 producing steadily on free flow
- P1 workover deferred
- Options to improve production being
evaluated; potential infill well 2019
P1 W2 P2 W1 500m
Top Solan Sand Depth Map
January 2018 | P12
Elgin-Franklin, Central North Sea (5.2%)
2017
- 5.4 kboepd
- Low opex of c.$8/boe
Outlook
- Long field life; production forecast
to continue until 2037
- 350 mmboe remaining reserves
- Ongoing infill drilling, well
intervention programme and exploration upside
January 2018 | P13
Portfolio Potential
September 2017 | P15
Catcher – first oil achieved 23 December
- Arrived in North Sea in October
- Hook up and Commissioning
programme executed in c. 2 months
- First Oil from Catcher field
achieved 23 December and from Varadero on 12 January
- Phased ramp up of production
underway
- Important cornerstone of
Premier’s debt reduction
- All 12 wells planned pre-first oil completed
confirming good quality oil
- Subsea activities complete including short
campaign to support hook-up and commissioning
- perations post arrival of FPSO
Project capex down 29% on sanction
January 2018 | P15
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Daily Oil Potential (stb/d) Catcher Varadero Burgman
Catcher Final Commissioning & Production Profile
- Catcher is the initial field on production due to it’s ability to produce oil in a stable fashion for the first stages
- f the FPSO plant commissioning
- Each field will be brought on in the following manner
– Well clean up (initial clean up restricted by rig surface equipment) – Well test through the subsea multi-phase meters – Restricted rate to manage gas rates through commissioning period
- Following gas train commissioning completion and the introduction of Burgman fluids the plant will be run at
60 kbopd
Fuel Gas Import Catcher First Oil Oil Stabili- sation Fuel Gas Varadero First Oil Permeat. Comp Water Injection Gas Lift Gas Export Comm. Burgman First Oil Flash Gas Comp Primary Gas Handling Produced Water
January 2018 | P16
Improved production profile anticipated
Catcher – continuing positive drilling results
- 14 wells completed to date
– 4 on each of Catcher, Varadero and Burgman fields planned pre first oil – Phase 2 drilling on Catcher underway
- Good test results:
– Net pay encountered by the 8 production wells > 30 % longer than forecast – Initial production delivery rate per well >40% higher than predicted on average
- Improved production profiles anticipated of
c.60 kboepd
- Review of FPSO capacity underway
Varadero Catcher Burgman
Plateau production up 20% on sanction
January 2018 | P17
Tolmount – infrastructure partnership
- Partnership with Dana Petroleum and CATS
Management Ltd (1)
- Dana and CML will jointly own:
– platform – export pipeline
- Tolmount gas will use the facilities
– LoF tariff
- Premier’s share of project capex $100m
- Premier retains 50% equity interest in the
licence
- Excellent project economics – IRR >50% at
gas price of 30p/therm
Estimated Tolmount Capex (Gross) $m Development Scope Gross Capex (Real, $mm) % pre 1st gas Platform 90 100% SURF (20” pipeline to beach) 100 100% Host Terminal modifications 150 85% Drilling (2) 140 64% PMT 70 92% Total 550
- High return
project robust down to low gas prices
PMO 19% Dana 50% CML 31%
Capex Split
(1) an Antin Infrastructure Partners portfolio company (2) Based on plan where one well is on-stream pre-1st gas
January 2018 | P18
Tolmount – progressing on schedule for FID in 1H 2018
- Initial phase: targeting 540 Bcf resources
- Peak production capacity 300 MMscfd
- FEED contracts awarded; engineering
underway
- Evaluation of proposals received for major
project scopes (including platform and pipeline) underway
- Draft FDP submitted to OGA
- Timing:
– FID 2018 – First gas 2020
Subsurface Depletion Plan
- 4 initial development wells in Tolmount
- Future phases TE , TFE & Mongour
Offshore Facilities
- NUI platform with 6 slots / 4 wells
- Offshore PWT treatment
- Riser / J-tube pre-investment for area development
- 20” x 48kn Gas Export pipeline
- 3” MeOH (and CI) import pipeline
Host Terminal
- Dimlington host
- New reception & condensate processing
- Shared gas processing & compression
Perenco Dimlington SNSPS (Cleeton / Ravenspurn) West Sole (connected to Perenco Easington) Tolmount Centrica Easington Rough & York
Dimlington Terminal >1 bcf gas processing capacity, 600 mmscfd installed compression capacity plus additional condensate processing Tolmount
Gassco Langeled Ormen Lange
January 2018 | P19
Tolmount – future phases planned
Tolmount East
- Subsea tie-back or small platform
- 2019 well planned to confirm resource
Tolmount Far East
- Subsea tie-back or small platform to
Tolmount or Tolmount East Mongour
- Subsea tie-back or extended reach
well from Tolmount East 3rd party business potential
- A new hub with 20+ year life
Tolmount Mongour Tolmount East Tolmount Far East
Tolmount area ~ 1 Tcf
Indicative production profile
42/28d-12 NE SW Tolmount Tolmount East
Tolmount Far-East Gas water contact
January 2018 | P20
ENSCO 8503 Flat Spot
- Major hydrocarbon discovery in shallow water, offshore Mexico
- Initial gross oil in place estimates are 1.2 – 1.8 Bnbbls (unrisked
P90-P10 resources of 400-800 mmboe), exceeding pre-drill estimates
- Contiguous gross oil bearing interval of over 335m, with over
200m of net oil bearing reservoir
- Light oil : 28-30° API
Full stack reprocessed seismic data in depth E W Zama-1 Well Good conformance of seismic amplitude with structural contours
Zama-1 oil discovery - volume estimates
Gross oil bearing interval to scale
January 2018 | P21
Potential to leverage Mexican fabrication capability
Zama – illustrative development scenario
Location of Zama discovery Indicative development metrics Resources 400-800 mmboe1 Daily peak production 100-150 kbopd Capex +/- $1.8 billion Appraisal 2018-19 First oil 2022-23 Block 7 prospect map Zama
(1) Including the extension onto the neighbouring block Amoca
Zama
Hokchi
January 2018 | P22
Project status
- FEED substantially completed
- Breakeven reduced to c$45/bbl
− Capex to first oil reduced to $1.5bn − Field opex reduced to $15/bbl − Indicative FPSO cost of $10/bbl (LoF)
- LOIs signed with contractors
Outlook
- Positive commercial and fiscal
engagement with FIG
- Positive engagement with contractor
market and senior debt providers
- Licence extension to May 2020
Sea Lion, Falkland Islands (60%, operator)
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 5 10 15 20 Annual average oil rate (mbopd) Years from first production Phase 2 Phase 1
January 2018 | P23
Tuna, Indonesia (65%, operator)
Highlights
- Discovered in 2014 by the Singa
Laut-1 and Kuda Laut-1 wells >90 mmboe
- Evaluation of potential development
scenarios ongoing
- Government agreement signed with
Vietnam and Indonesian governments re: connection to existing infrastructure in Vietnam
- Granted 3 year extension to exploration
period of licence
January 2018 | P24
Ceara Basin, Brazil – exploration
- Largest acreage holder in the Ceara basin
- 4,000 km2 of fast-track seismic data across all 3
blocks received in 2016
- Final depth migrated broadband seismic data
received in April 2017
- Well locations to be selected during 2017
- Licence extensions received for all 3 blocks
- Drilling operations planned for 2019
CE-M-661 CE-M-665 CE-M-717 Excellent imaging on new broadband seismic
- f Upper Cretaceous
turbidite channel sands
Maraca K40 Ganza K40 Pecem K40 Berimbau Up-dip pinch out and fault offset Berimbau Pecem K50 discovery 1-CES-158 1-CES-112 SW NE
CE-M-717
Data Proprietary to PGS Investigacoa Petrolifera Limitada
8km
January 2018 | P25
Financials
Net debt and hedging
Drawn Debt Total Facilities (incl cash)
Cash & Undrawn
$4.0 bn
Facilities confirmed 1
$3.4 bn 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Previous Revised
Maturities extended 1
1 FX as at when facilities entered into
Net debt
- Net debt of $2.7bn
- Positive cash flow in 2017 including disposals;
debt reduction accelerating as Catcher production ramps up
- Average cost of debt c7% going forward
- Targeting Net Debt/EBITDAX <3x by end 2018
Comprehensive refinancing completed Other key amended terms
- Covenant profile re-set with headroom
- Enhanced economics (~1.5%) to lenders
- A warrant package to lenders
- Convertible bond re-priced
- Corporate governance controls
January 2018 | P27
Liquids and UK gas hedging as at 31 December
- 40% of 2018 oil production hedged:
- 10% with options, floor price $55/bbl
- 30% swaps and fixed term sales, average
price $57/bbl
- 24% of 2018 UK gas production hedged at
47p/therm
Capex
2014-2017
- Reduced from over $1.0bn pa. to $305m in
2017
- Reduced forward commitments
2018-2020
- Maintain at current run rate depending on new
projects
- Disciplined approach to capital allocation
Operating Costs
2014-2017
- Down from c$20/boe to c$16/boe
- Over $300m of absolute cost savings
delivered since 1/1/2015
2018-2020
- Stable operating cost base at current levels
$17-18/boe
Net debt
2014-2017
- Increased due to investment and weakness
in oil price
- Reducing by end 2017
2018-2020
- Leverage ratio below 3.0x and falling
- Priority remains reduction in absolute levels of
net debt
Portfolio management
2014-2017
- Over $350m realised from disposals
- Significant value created through E.ON
acquisition
2018-2020
- Further disposals to accelerate deleveraging
Financial outlook
January 2018 | P28