INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 2019 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This - - PDF document
INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 2019 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This - - PDF document
INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 2019 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This document contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. These forward-looking statements include, among
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
This document contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. These forward-looking statements include, among others, the Company’s prospects, expected revenues, expenses, profits, expected developments and strategies for its operations, and other expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about possible future events, conditions, results of
- perations or performance. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such
as “anticipate,” “achieve”, “achievable,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend”, “plan”, “planned”, and other similar terms and phrases. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. These risks and uncertainties include: fluctuating prices for crude oil and natural gas; changes in drilling activity; general global economic, political and business conditions; weather conditions; regulatory changes; and availability of products, qualified personnel, manufacturing capacity and raw materials. If any of these uncertainties materialize, or if assumptions are incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those expected.
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TRICAN & INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
INVESTMENT SUMMARY
- Largest Canadian pressure pumping company
- Industry-leading fracturing and cementing service lines
- Focused on top quartile return on invested capital
- Capital disciplined investments
- Investments must exceed ROIC hurdle rate
- Cash flow in 2018 used to repay debt and re-purchase shares
- Shareholder returns through NCIB
- Repurchased approximately 16% of the Company’s shares from October 2017
to present
- Continue to invest into repurchasing shares into Q2 2019
- Very strong balance sheet
- Net debt of approximately 38 million at year end. (debt less cash)
- Non cash working capital balance of 108 million
- Focused on lowering costs in competitive environment
- Approximately $55 million of annualized cost savings since Canyon acquisition
in June, 2017
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INVESTMENT SUMMARY
- Existing idle equipment provides opportunity for
incremental returns upon a market recovery (minimal investment required for reactivations – just staffing)
- Substantial leverage on existing infrastructure and fixed cost
structure
- Monetized $17.6 million of idle non-core assets in 2018
- Strong loyal customer base that supports the company
through the downturn
- Experienced and motivated work force supported by an
executive leadership team with extensive experience managing oilfield services cycles
- Trading substantially below tangible book value and
replacement cost
- Opportune time to invest in cyclical business
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INVESTMENT SUMMARY
- Company valuation approaching cyclical low valuation – opportune
time to invest in a cyclical business
- Company has significantly improved asset coverage relative to 2015
cyclical low – exit 2018 debt lower than 15% of tangible equity value
0.0x 0.2x 0.4x 0.6x 0.8x 1.0x 1.2x 1.4x 1.6x 1.8x 2.0x
- 0.20
0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18
Price to Tangible Book Value Debt / Tangible Equity
Price to Tangible Book Value vs. Leverage Profile
Debt to Tangible Equity (LHS) Price to Tangible Book (RHS)
6
- Trican is a Canadian-
focused, energy services company, which provides an array of specialized products, equipment and services for the drilling and completions cycle of
- il and gas
exploration and development.
Customer Full Cycle Technical Expertise
Engineering Support Reservoir Expertise Laboratory Services
Drilling Cycle
Cementing Services
Completion Cycle
Fracturing Coil Tubing Nitrogen Fluid Management Acidizing
Production Cycle
Coil Tubing Acidizing Pipeline Services Industrial Services Chemical Services Remedial Cementing
WHAT WE DO
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Market Leading Positions
- Canadian market leader in fracturing services (based
- n adjusted EBITDA margin and market share)
- Canadian market leader in cementing services
(based on market share – no competitor margin data available)
- Supporting service lines: coil tubing, nitrogen, acid,
water management services, pipeline and industrial services Strong Financial Position
- 2018 revenue of $900 million
- Market capitalization $431 million (April 5, 2019)
- Total debt of $46 million (net debt of 38 million) at year
ended 2018
OUR CANADIAN MARKET AND FINANCIAL POSITION
Trailing 12 Month Revenues: Service Line Breakdown
Hydraulic Fracturing, 69% Cementing, 16% Coil, Nitrogen, Acid, 9% Fluid Management, 4% Industrial, 2% 8
OUR FOCUS To achieve top quartile ROIC in our sector
- Maintain market leading position in Fracturing and Cementing service lines
- Strengthen auxiliary service lines (Coiled Tubing, Nitrogen, Water Management)
- Growth in existing or complimentary, less capital intensive, less cyclical
services lines (i.e. Production & Pipeline Services)
- Leverage strong technical expertise into additional markets or services
- Disciplined investment into future growth – ensure ROIC hurdle rates are met
- Return value to shareholders through Normal Course Issuer Bid (share
buyback program)
- Reduce costs for ourselves and our clients through efficiency improvements and
scale Strengthen Existing Business Growth Share- holder Return Cost Control & Efficiency Gains
9
FOCUSED GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE
Horn River Shale Montney Shale Bakken Shale Cardium Tight Oil Viking Tight Oil Lower Shaunavon Tight Oil
GRANDE PRAIRIE WHITECOURT
HINTON
FORT ST. JOHN NISKU LLOYDMINSTER RED DEER BROOKS ESTEVAN
British Columbia Alberta Saskatchewan
Deep Basin Duvernay Shale
DRAYTON VALLEY CALGARY
Manitoba
Spearfish
MEDICINE HAT
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CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS – INCREASING WELL INTENSITY
- 2018 well count 37% below 2014 levels
- 7,000 – 8,000 wells today equates to 2014 well count levels in terms of fracturing equipment demand
- We expect well service intensity to remain flat in 2019 to 2018 levels;
- Tonnes of proppant placed per / meter grew by approximately 25% in 2018 relative to 2017;
- 1.5 tonnes/metre in 2018 vs. 1.2 tonnes/metre in 2017
- 2018 data weighted to higher well service intensity wells
Source: Canadian Discovery Source: GMP First Energy 10,924 5,376 3,963 6,959 6,940 5,600
- 2,000
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E
WCSB - Wells Drilled
647 813 1,329 1,384 1,855 2,851
- 500
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
WCSB - Tonnes / Well
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CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS – FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data, and internal estimates
Hydraulic Horsepower (HHP) Capacity Idled Available Active Crewed Trican 671,850 90,000 581,850 340,000 Competitor A 355,000 28,000 327,000 327,000 Competitor B 297,500 72,500 225,000 225,000 Competitor C 270,000
- 270,000
250,000 Competitor D 250,000
- 250,000
250,000 Competitor E 240,000
- 240,000
240,000 Competitor F 80,000
- 80,000
50,000 Competitor G 50,000
- 50,000
50,000 2,214,350 108,600 2,023,850 1,732,000
- Estimated industry demand of ~ 1,400,000 HHP in Q1 2019
- Internal estimate of 20% - 25% of equipment in Canada is not suited for higher
well service intensity plays (Montney and Duvernay)
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CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS – TRICAN’S COMPETITIVE POSITIONING
- More than 50% of Trican’s fleet is continuous duty
pumps, most efficient style of fracturing pump, designed for higher well service intensity plays:
- Approximately 122,000 HHP dual fuel capability
- Positions Trican to service growing, higher well service
intensity plays
- Supports Trican’s continued leading Canadian fracturing
market position as measured by both market share and margin
- Allows Trican to continue to efficiently operate in the highest
well service intensity resource plays: Montney, Duvernay and Deep Basin (estimated to account for ~ 80% of the required HHP demand in Canada)
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OPERATING ENVIRONMENT – PRICING, LABOUR & REPAIRS EXPENSE
Pricing:
- Q4 2018 pricing dropped slightly sequentially
as activity decreased in the quarter
- Experienced further pricing concessions in
the first quarter of 2019 relative to Q4 2018
- Demand improvements, or supply
contraction, will be required for pricing to improve:
- Increased customer budgets
- Improvement in commodity prices and / or
Canadian commodity price differentials
- West Coast LNG
Indexed to 2014 pricing levels. Based on equipment revenue per tonne of proppant pumped.
- 80
- 70
- 60
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Pricing Index
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OPERATING ENVIRONMENT – PRICING, LABOUR & REPAIRS EXPENSE
Labour Wage Rates for Field Staff:
- Labour wage rates in-line with
industry
- We have and will further adjust field
labour levels going forward to match
- ur utilization
- Variable pay for field staff in 2019
- Well size and operating efficiencies
allow more efficient labour rates
Indexed to 2014. Based on personnel expenses per tonne of proppant pumped (component of ‘cost of sales – other’ within the statement of income).
- 60
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Labour Index
15
- 100
- 90
- 80
- 70
- 60
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
R&M Index
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT – PRICING, LABOUR & REPAIRS EXPENSE
Repairs and Maintenance Expense:
- Increased intensity equals increased
expense, built into our pricing models
- Stainless steel fluid ends are expensed,
not depreciated
- Reduced 2018 annual capital
expenditures by $22 million
- Decreases fracturing gross margins by
4%
- Only Canadian company expensing fluid
ends (estimate that > 80% of US listed public pressure pumping companies expense fluid ends)
Indexed to 2014. Based on repairs and maintenance expense per tonne of proppant pumped, a component of ‘cost of sales – other’ within the statement of income.
Changed to cash expense
- f fluid ends, previously
depreciation 16
PERFORMANCE – ROIC and ADJUSTED EBITDA %
- Corporate Adjusted EBITDA margin of 18% or
greater supports corporate level ROIC hurdles
- To improve adjusted EBITDA margins:
- Continue to optimize costs
- Recovery in utilization of existing fracturing fleet:
adjusted EBITDA margin improvement when utilization at >80%
- Generate revenue from idled equipment
- Leverage existing IP and technology into new
- pportunities: sell chemicals and technology in US
and internationally
- Modest pricing improvements
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OUTLOOK & TRICAN ADVANTAGE
Q1 2019
- Slower start to 2019
- Rig count approximately 35% below Q1 2018
- Uncertainty surrounding commodity prices, especially differentials,
and the impact of production cuts in late 2018 slowed customer plans at start of the year
- Ran 10 fracturing crews in the quarter vs. 11 crews in 2018
- 10 crews fully booked from mid January to mid March
- Crews smaller this year: running 340,000 HHP in Q1 2019 vs.
455,000 HHP in Q1 2018
- Utilization on active equipment this year approximately 75% per as
compared to 90% last year; more move and rig-up days
- Cementing activity is down approximately 30% from Q1 2018
levels correlating to the decrease in rig count
- Coil services is operating at comparable levels to 2018 with 2
additional units active
- Pricing has stabilized
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Q2 2019
- Approximately 30% of fracturing fleets booked in
April and May (weather permitting)
- Approximately 70% of fracturing fleets booked in
June (weather permitting)
- Cementing will follow rig count
- 30% below last year
- Coiled tubing has stronger activity than last year
- Still have tenders outstanding for May and June
to increase work scope
- Focus on lowering costs in Q2
- Labour costs reduced
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OUTLOOK – SECOND HALF OF 2019
- Visibility past the second quarter is still limited as customers
have not confirmed second half budgets
- Approximately 70% of crewed fracturing equipment committed to
clients in the second half of 2019
- Additional bids are currently being tendered that could fill second half
commitments
- Potential for increased spending by our clients if current
commodity prices hold
- Approximately 340,000 HHP active but not staffed (6 large
fleets)
- We’ll adjust active staffed equipment to meet customer
demand as second half programs are finalized
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CAPITALIZATION – POSITIONED FOR OPPORTUNITIES
- Strong balance sheet allows for opportunistic
investment:
- Keane Monetization: December 2018 monetization of
Keane for approximately $72 million further strengthens our financial position
- Continued return to shareholders, active NCIB:
repurchased 50.4 million (approximately 15%) of the
- utstanding Trican shares from October 2017 through
February 20, 2019
- Fleet upgrades: can further strengthen our
market leading fracturing fleet through selective upgrades
- Invest in supporting service lines: target increased
market share in coil and other supporting service lines
- M&A Opportunities: low leverage levels allow
cost effective funding options for acquisition opportunities
- 0.10
0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18
Debt / Tangible Capital
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COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE – PERSONNEL DEVELOPMENT
- Over one third of employees with more than 5 years of experience
- Career progression is an attraction to entry level employees
- Employee experience key to training and customer service
Technical, Support
- r Administrative
Position Manager Level Position Field Supervisor Field Technical Field Entry Level
23 0 to 1 Years 15% 1 to 3 Years 36% 3 to 5 Years 9% 5+ Years 39% Employee Headcounts by Years of Service
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE - PEOPLE AND CUSTOMER SERVICE
Leveraging more than 20 years of Canadian expertise:
- Safety: LTI rate of 0.14
- Efficiency: Working to increase fracturing pumping
hours per day to 16-20 from 10-12 hours per day
- Development: Industry-leading training programs
- Total Training Hours;
- 2017: 75,837
- 2018: 101,656
- Canadian geographic focus: Canadian focus
allows potential for expansion of existing service lines or adding services lines within
- ur current infrastructure
- Improving our operating leverage: Building
- n our existing infrastructure and adding
- perationally focused personnel while
maintaining G&A support levels
Dec-15 5.5 Dec-16 4.4 Dec-17 6.5 Dec-18 8.2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18
Field and Shared Service / SG&A Employee
Field & Shared Service / G&A Yearly Avg Field & Shared Service / G&A
- Expon. (Field & Shared Service / G&A)
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COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE – INNOVATION
Leveraging innovation for new opportunities:
- Scale allows targeted investment into internally developed
IP and new technologies
- Patented MVP
TM fracturing fluids; case studies indicate:
- 30% increased production in the Montney
- 20% increased production in the Cardium
- Global technology reputation allows new markets for IP
and technology
- Initial licensing agreement signed in the US for MVP Frac
TM
- CleanTRACK
TMpatented dust control product field tested and
will be commercial in 2019
- 3rd party interest in customer facing applications platform
- International technical service agreement opportunities
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SUMMARY
- Capital disciplined company focusing on ROIC
- Strong financial position to:
- Withstand near-term cyclical weakness
- Evaluate opportunistic growth
- Return capital to shareholders
- Continued focus on reducing costs to gain a
competitive advantage
- Largest Canadian pressure pumping company
with broad range of services
- Existing equipment complement provides
- pportunity for substantial incremental returns
upon a market recovery
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APPENDIX
APPENDIX 1: EQUIPMENT AS OF DECEMBER 2018
Service Line Total Equipment Active, Manned Active, Maintenance, Unmanned Idled ~ Market Share Fracturing (HHP) 672,000 340,000 242,000 90,000 30% Cementing (trucks) 69 32 8 29 37% Coil Tubing (units) 28 8 4 16 n/a Nitrogen (units) 80 17 24 39 n/a
- Given the industry slow down, increased amount of fracturing hydraulic horse power is
expected to be parked
- We will explore opportunities to monetize equipment that is no longer anticipated to be
competitive in the WCSB
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