Investor Presentation
March 2019
Investor Presentation Forward-Looking Information Certain matters - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
March 2019 Investor Presentation Forward-Looking Information Certain matters contained in this Presentation include forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of
March 2019
2 Certain matters contained in this Presentation include “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. We make these forward-looking statements in reliance on the safe harbor protections provided under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, included in this presentation including the prospects of our industry, our anticipated financial performance, our anticipated annual dividend growth rate, management's plans and objectives for future operations, planned capital expenditures, business prospects, outcome of regulatory proceedings, market conditions, and other matters, may constitute forward-looking statements. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that these expectations will prove to be correct. These forward-looking statements are subject to certain known and unknown risks and uncertainties, as well as assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in these forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause actual results to differ include, but are not limited to, our ability to generate sufficient cash flow from operations to enable us to pay our debt obligations and our current and expected dividends or to fund our other liquidity needs; any sustained reduction in demand for, or supply of, the petroleum products we gather, transport, process, market and store; the effect of our debt level on our future financial and operating flexibility, including our ability to obtain additional capital on terms that are favorable to us; our ability to access the debt and equity markets, which will depend
amount of cash distributions, capital requirements and performance of our investments and joint ventures; the consequences of any divestitures of non-strategic operating assets or divestitures of interests in some of our operating assets through partnerships and/or join ventures; the failure to realize the anticipated benefits of our acquisition of Meritage Midstream ULC and its midstream infrastructure assets through our joint venture SemCAMS Midstream ULC; the amount of collateral required to be posted from time to time in our commodity purchase, sale or derivative transactions; the impact of operational and developmental hazards and unforeseen interruptions; our ability to obtain new sources of supply of petroleum products; competition from other midstream energy companies; our ability to comply with the covenants contained in our credit agreements, continuing covenant agreement, and the indentures governing our notes, including requirements under our credit agreements and continuing covenant agreement to maintain certain financial ratios; our ability to renew or replace expiring storage, transportation and related contracts; the overall forward markets for crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; the possibility that the construction or acquisition of new assets may not result in the corresponding anticipated revenue increases; any future impairment of goodwill resulting from the loss of customers or business; changes in currency exchange rates; weather and other natural phenomena, including climate conditions; a cyber attack involving our information systems and related infrastructure, or that of our business associates; the risks and uncertainties of doing business outside of the U.S., including political and economic instability and changes in local governmental laws, regulations and policies; costs of, or changes in, laws and regulations and our failure to comply with new or existing laws or regulations, particularly with regard to taxes, safety and protection of the environment; the possibility that our hedging activities may result in losses or may have a negative impact on our financial results; general economic, market and business conditions; as well as other risk factors discussed from time to time in our each of our documents and reports filed with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements contained in this press release, which reflect management’s opinions only as of the date hereof. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to revise or publicly release the results of any revision to any forward-looking statements. We use our Investor Relations website and social media outlets as channels of distribution of material company information. Such information is routinely posted and accessible on our Investor Relations website at ir.semgroupcorp.com. We are present on Twitter and LinkedIn: SemGroup Twitter and LinkedIn
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2016 - 2018
Simplify | Transform
2019 & Beyond
Execute | Strengthen | Deliver
Gulf Coast
Completed In Focus
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Continue Deleveraging Efforts
Capture Growth Opportunities Complete Key Growth Projects Commercialization & Asset Optimization
BALANCE prudent capital management with CAPTURING strategic growth opportunities
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Experienced and reliable
Stable cash flows supported by credit-worthy customers Irreplicable sour gas processing and acid gas transfer solution Takeaway
via pipeline, truck & rail Facility interconnections provide
flexibility &
Asset footprint in prolific Montney and Duvernay plays
1) Includes growth projects under construction
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~1.1 bcf/d operational capacity
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260 mmcf/d under construction
Growth Projects Under Construction Canada Gathering & Processing Assets
Total Operating Capacity (1)
Potential Growth Projects
Operational Processing Capacity Operational Pipeline Capacity
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~700 miles of natural gas pipelines
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~60 miles of liquids pipelines
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Patterson Creek Plant Phase III - 200 mmcf/d (3Q 2019)
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Smoke Lake Plant - 60mmcf/d (4Q 2019)
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Pipestone Pipeline (4Q 2019)
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Montney-to-Market NGL Pipeline (current open season)
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Meritage Patterson Creek Plant Phase IV Processing
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Pipestone Plant (regulatory permit received)
Wapiti Pipestone Pipeline System Patterson Creek Smoke Lake KA Fox Creek K3 WWC Wapiti Pipeline System Existing Under Construction Patterson Creek SemCAMS Permitted Growth Proposed Montney-to-Market
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Assets located in prolific liquids-rich Montney play
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Acreage Dedication & MVCs provide cash flow stability
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Existing 195 mmcf/d processing capacity to double
(estimated completion 3Q 2019)
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Producer development plans to support future growth
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Service offerings continue to expand as producers accelerate development
growing in Western Canada
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Largest producers are private equity sponsored E&P’s highly incentivized to continue delineation of acreage and enhance value
Patterson Creek Overview Patterson Creek Footprint Patterson Creek Overview
Gas Processing Capacity Existing: 195 mmcf/d Under Construction: 200 mmcf/d ~3Q 2019 Miles of Pipelines 101 miles of gas gathering pipelines; 38 miles
and gas lift pipelines Interconnects Residue Gas: TCPL and Alliance Raw Gas: CNRL Liquids: Pembina Peace Pipeline
Patterson Creek Assets
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Gas Water Condensate Acid Gas NGLs
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99% 97% 99% 100% 92% 97% 95% 100% 100% 96% 100% 99% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2007T 2008 2009T 2010 2011 2012T 2013T 2014 2015 2016 2017T 2018T YTD
1) Includes KA and K3 plants; excludes planned outages (plant turnarounds) 2) SemCAMS volumes include total processed volumes - K3, KA and West Fox Creek facilities 3) Scheduled plant turnaround at KA 4) Scheduled plant turnaround at K3
Plant Reliability (1) Average Processing Volume (2) (mmcf/d)
(4)
Customers
(3)
T = Turnaround Years
Historical reliability of >98%, excluding planned outages
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Source: RBC Capital Markets, Government Data
“Western Canada will likely remain short condensate for the foreseeable future supporting its premium vs. Edmonton condensate and rough parity with WTI (C$)” - RBC
“Condensate demand in western Canada is expected to outstrip domestic supply, with imports bridging the gap and rail playing a bigger role.” - RBC
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 MMBpd Forecast Condensate Demand Implied Condensate Imports Condensate Production
Premium Condensate Market Supply and Demand
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2017 Demand Forecast (Current) 2016 Demand Forecast 2017 Supply Forecast (Current) 2016 Supply Forecast
96 32 30 22 11 17 18 11 12 8 8 8 10 5 7 5 5 15 61 19 17 20 23 7 3 10 3 6 4 4 1 5 1 16 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2017 2018 YTD
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Montney production continues to grow, deep inventory of potential new build infrastructure projects across the fairway
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SemCAMS’ liquids processing and sour plant experience are clear competitive advantages as Montney operators continue to be focused on liquids-rich opportunities
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Producers have increasingly encountered sour gas in new emerging areas
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Cenovus Pipestone Montney acreage recently acquired by NuVista
Wapiti Pipestone Montney Mineral Rights
Source: GeoScout
2017–18 Wapiti/Montney Drilling Activity by Producer SemCAMS Montney Customers
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SemCAMS’ existing area infrastructure, technical expertise, and operational track record are competitive advantages as
solutions
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Operators are increasingly encountering sour production in the Duvernay and estimate that as much as 25% of Duvernay could be sour
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Major Duvernay producers in the Kaybob area continue to flow sour production to our KA facility
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Smoke Lake plant under construction located north of KA to process incremental sour gas production
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Duvernay Mineral Rights
Source: GeoScout.
2017–18 Duvernay Drilling Activity by Producer
32 16 15 6 44 8 15 17 17 10 22 15 1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Chevron Encana Murphy Paramount Shell XTO Energy Other 2017 2018 YTD 12
2019 Operational Guidance Assumptions
Guidance Capacity Notes
Canada: SemCAMS Midstream JV
K3, KA & West Fox Creek Plants (mmcf/d) 390 - 410 695 Legacy volumes Wapiti Plant (mmcf/d) (3) 100 - 110 200 Volumes ramp - Exit 4Q19 >150 mmcf/d Smoke Lake Plant (mmcf/d) 25 60 First volumes Nov 2019 at ~25 mmcf/d Patterson Creek Plant (mmcf/d) 140 - 150 195 Volumes ramp - Exit 4Q19 ~160 mmcf/d; capacity 395 mmcf/d
Key Growth Projects Expected Completion Estimated 2019 Capex Total Spend (1) EBITDA Multiple (2) Canada: SemCAMS Midstream JV
Wapiti Plant (3) In service Jan 2019 $46 $250 ~7x Patterson Creek Plant Phase III 3Q 2019 $100 $210 (4) ~5-8x Smoke Lake Plant 4Q 2019 $30 $50 ~6x Pipestone Pipeline 4Q 2019 $24 $40 ~7x
1) Total project spend reflects 100% basis for SemCAMS Midstream JV 2) Assumes developed multiple target 3) Wapiti plant volumes ramp through 2020, estimated utilization of 75% by year-end 2019 and full capacity by mid-year 2020 4) Includes USD $110 million of 2018 capex spent prior to close
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$/USD