investor presentation 13 february 2008 ceo presentation
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Investor Presentation 13 February 2008 CEO Presentation Strong - PDF document

Investor Presentation 13 February 2008 CEO Presentation Strong result based on growth strategy and prudent risk management Income EUR 7,886m (EUR 7,365m), up 8% on a comparable basis* Gap between income and cost growth of 2.0%-points*


  1. Growth Plan Sweden on track Income growth % � Continuous investments in Swedish % 10 advisory capacity 8 � Focus on services and product segments 6 7,3 with strongest growth potential 5,2 4 4,1 2 � Initiative continues in 2008 0 2007/2006 Jan-Sep 2007 � Converting 76 offices from Svensk Kassaservice to Nordic Banking Sweden Nordea branches Weighted average Swedish Peers (SEB, SHB, Swedbank) � Approx. 350 employees from Svensk Kassaservice 1200 1 023 will be offered employment and further training in 953 1000 Nordea 800 � To further strengthen sales capacity, additional 600 357 272 100 advisers will be recruited during 2008 400 200 0 2006 2007 Number of PBAs Number of Branches Svensk Kassaservice (76) 19

  2. Continued strong growth in Private Banking Average income per customer FY 2007 (Silver customer = 100) � Growth success of Private Banking 700 800 continued in 2007 600 3.5x � Net inflow of EUR 4.3bn 400 200 � 120 new adviser 200 100 25 � 13,000 new customers 0 � Multiple sources for volume growth Private Gold* Silver Bronze Banking � Increase volume with existing Private Banking Nordic Private Banking segment YoY (Jan-Dec) customers 7.7 % � Attract external capital from existing customers 16,3% 46 � Tapping the internal pool of potential Private 42 18.7% Banking customers, e.g. business owners 88 75 520 788 � External customer acquisition 664 No. of advisers AuM No. of customers (‘000) (EURbn) 20

  3. Focus on Capital Markets products to corporate customers � Customer driven demand for Capital Total revenues in Markets related to markets products continue to increase EURm Nordic Banking customers � Structured solutions offered to medium 500 and large corporates highly successful 478 +26% 400 � Corporate activity remained high throughout 379 2007 driven by financing and hedging needs 300 � Significant potential remains � Low product penetration 200 � Increased customer awareness � Opportunity to leverage Nordea’s highly 100 competitive offering 0 � Leading Corporate Risk Management offering 2006 2007 � Leading capabilities in debt and equity capital issuances 21

  4. Strong growth and well controlled risk exposure in New European Markets � Continued prudent credit policies in the New European Markets EURm Baltic countries enables Nordea to grow 90 with stable credit quality 80 83 � Total lending up 78%, excl. Orgresbank 70 68 60 � Increased number of Gold customers, up * 63 50 74% 40 39 � Creating value through market specific 30 36 31 20 organic growth strategies 10 � 40 new branches opened in Poland 0 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 � 12 new branches opened in the Baltic countries Total income � C/I improved to 57% (64%) – despite An increasingly important component investments in branch network and in the long-term growth strategy doubled number of FTEs * Orgresbank consolidated from Q2 2007 22

  5. Outlook for 2008 Turbulent development in international capital markets has significantly � increased uncertainty for 2008 Costs related to investments in growth areas are expected to amount to EUR � 100-120m 2008 Continued investments in growth areas and increased wage inflation is expected � to lead to somewhat higher cost increase in 2008, compared with 2007 If economic growth slows down more than now anticipated, Nordea will review � the level of growth investments Based on forecast for GDP growth for the Nordic region, as well as for interest � rates the risk-adjusted profit is expected to grow in the range of 5-10% 2008 Overall quality of the Nordea credit portfolio remains strong � For 2008 Nordea expects some net loan loss charges as reversals of previously � made provision likely to decrease 23

  6. CFO Presentation

  7. Income statement summary* EURm 2007 2006 Chg % Net interest income 4,282 3,869 11 Net fee and commission income 2,140 2,074 3 Net gains/losses on items at fair value 1,187 1,036 15 Equity method 41 68 -40 Other income 116 119 -3 Total operating income 7,766 7,166 8 Staff costs -2,388 -2,251 6 Other expenses -1,575 -1,485 6 Depreciation -103 -86 20 Total operating expenses -4,066 -3,822 6 Profit before loan losses 3,700 3,344 11 Loan losses 60 257 Operating profit 3,763 3,609 4 Net profit 3,042 2,954 3 * For comparison reasons two major non-recurring items have been excluded. For 2007 the refund from the Finnish deposit guarantee system of EUR 120m and for 2006 the capital gain from the IMB sale of EUR 199m 25

  8. Income statement summary EURm Q4/07* Q3/07 Chg % Q4/06 Chg % Net interest income 1,143 1,092 5 1,006 14 Net fee and commission income 526 531 -1 549 -4 Net gains/losses on items at fair value 314 264 19 310 1 Equity method 12 10 20 7 71 Other income* 27 17 59 26 4 Total operating income 2,022 1,914 6 1,898 7 Staff costs -615 -596 3 -606 1 Other expenses -429 -372 15 -391 10 Depreciation -29 -25 16 -19 53 -1,073 -993 8 -1,016 6 Total operating expenses Profit before loan losses 949 921 3 882 8 Loan losses 6 13 82 Operating profit 958 932 3 966 -1 Net profit 764 761 0 876 -13 * For comparison reasons the refund from the Finnish deposit guarantee system of EUR 120m has been excluded 26

  9. Net interest income 2007/2006 � Up 11% EURm � Double digit lending volume growth in all 1 200 1 143 major segments compensated for margin 1 092 1 100 pressure 1 043 1 006 1 004 1 000 Lending up 14% � 900 � Deposit volumes increased 12% 800 Strong inflow into savings accounts, up 21% � 700 reflecting increased demand for low-risk products and supported by Nordea’s competitive interest rates 600 500 � Improved deposit margins following higher market rates 400 300 Q4oQ3 � Up 5% - continued strong quarterly 200 improvement 100 0 � Solid lending growth with margins stable in Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 most segments � Increased deposit volumes and stable margins 27

  10. Robust volume growth continues in all segments % 2007/2006 Q4oQ3 Total Lending, excl. repos 14% 6% – New European Markets 112% 23% – Nordic mortgage 11% 2% – Nordic consumer 12% 2% – Nordic corporate 16% 5% Total Deposits, excl. repos 13% 9% – New European Markets 60% 16% – Nordic household 12% 2% – Nordic corporate 11% 5% 28

  11. Change in net interest income EURm YoY Q4oQ3 Volume driven 350 21 -Lending volumes 259 19 -Deposit volumes 91 2 Margin driven -71 2 -Lending margins -201 -13 -Deposit margins 130 15 Orgresbank 56 10 Other, net 78 18 Total 413 51 29

  12. Structural Interest Income Risk (SIIR) EURm, annualised effect on NII Q4/07 Q3/07 Q4/06 Increasing market rates, 100bp 235 249 220 Decreasing market rates, 100bp -267 -279 -249 � Relative interest sensitivity largely unchanged over time, approx. 3% of total income and 5-6% of net interest income � SIIR slightly lower in Q4 – strong net inflow into savings accounts SIIR is defined as the effect on net interest income (NII) in the next 12 months if market rates change by one percentage point. Figures are asymmetrical as interest rates on deposits from customers cannot be reduced below 0%. Figures are based on maturity and repricing structure, and the effect going forward will be subject to management decisions and the competitive situation in the market. 30

  13. Net commission income 2007/2006 � Up 3% EURm � Savings-related commissions up 7% 600 � Commission growth dampened by unchanged AuM 549 548 following switch from equity funds to savings accounts 535 531 526 500 � Double digit growth in Life insurance and Brokerage � Lending-related commissions up 12% 400 � Strong lending growth and increased guarantee fees 300 � Payment commissions up 5% � Card commission up 16% 200 � Volume and price pressure on domestic payments � Commission expenses up 17% 100 � Mainly investments in card offering and increased business volumes 0 Q4oQ3 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 � Down 1% � Lending commission income down due to lower activity within Acquisition Finance incl. M&As � Largely unchanged for Asset Management 31

  14. Net commission income – business trends EURm 1600 � Savings related commissions main driver for 1400 commission income 1408 1320 1200 � Accounts for approx 52% 1000 � Payment commission second most important factor for commission growth – close to 30% 800 776 with diverging underlying trend 738 600 � Strong increase in card commissions 400 � Price pressure on domestic payments 394 352 200 � Lending commission accounts for approx 172 156 0 15% Full year 06 Full year 07 � Strong correlation with lending growth – mainly Savings related Payments related corporate transactions Lending related Other Asset Mgmt Cards 32

  15. Increased revenues from customer driven financial transactions � Net gains up 15% YoY Net gains/losses on items at fair value EURm � Increased customer demand for risk 1500 management products – and increased 1 187 1250 penetration of existing corporate customer 1 036 base 1000 � Despite market turmoil revenue record in 750 Nordea Markets 2007 500 � Nordea Markets benefited from Nordea’s strong and stable liquidity position 250 � Successful position taking within Treasury and revaluation of OMX shares 0 Full year 2006 Full year 2007 33

  16. Net gains/losses – focus on customer business 2007/2006 EURm � Up 15%, despite challenging markets 350 � Up 10% in customer areas 300 288 300 � Increased demand for risk management 274 273 products among Nordic corporates 250 � Revenues in Nordic Banking up 17% 186 200 � Strong increase also in New European Markets � High activity level in all segments within 150 Capital Markets 100 78 � Strongest increase in FX, equity and structured products 37 50 30 17 14 � Stable return in Group Treasury excl OMX 0 Q4oQ3 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 � Up 19% Customer areas Other � Fixed income negatively effected by the turbulence in third quarter have recovered in fourth quarter 34

  17. Operating income EURm 2007/2006 2 200 2 022 � Up 8% 1 957 1 914 2 000 1 898 1 873 � Net interest income up 11% 1 800 � Net commission income up 3% 1 600 � Net gains/losses up 15% 1 400 Q4oQ3 1 200 � Up 6% 1 000 � Net interest income up 5% 800 600 � Strong increase in both lending and deposit volumes 400 � Strong inflow in household savings accounts 200 � Revenues in Nordea Markets back on 0 track Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 For comparison reasons two major non-recurring items have been excluded. For 2007 the refund from the Finnish deposit guarantee system of EUR 120m and for 2006 the capital gain from the IMB sale of EUR 199m 35

  18. Revenue growth in Nordea (EURm) 0.5% 8.4% 2.6% 36 7 766 186 1.8% 130 1.5% 1.2% 103 0.8% 87 58 7 166 Income 2006 Lending Savings Markets New Transaction Other Income 2007 (AM, Life European accounts and savings Markets accounts) 36

  19. Expenses 2007/2006 � Up 6% � Approx. half of the increase related to investments in growth areas incl. Orgresbank EURm 1,073 � The other approx. 3%-points relates to increased 1 100 1,016 1,008 993 992 business volumes and underlying inflation 29 1 000 19 25 24 25 � Staff costs up 6% reflecting increased 900 ambition level within growth areas 429 800 391 391 372 383 � Increased number of FTE’s 700 � Wage inflation 600 615 606 � Variable salaries 592 596 585 500 � Benefited from lower pension and social security costs in 400 Q4 300 � Other expenses up 6% 200 Q4oQ3 100 � Up 8% 0 � Seasonal Q4 effect Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 � Continued investments for growth Staff costs Other expenses Depreciation � Decelerating cost growth during the year 37

  20. Expense growth in Nordea 2.7% -1.5% 6.4% -57 104 1.6% 60 1.0% 0.8% 39 1.8% 30 68 4 066 3 822 7.9% Expenses Wage Higher Russia Investments Increased Efficiency Expenses 2006 increases variable in grow th business gains 2007 salaries and areas activity profit sharing 38

  21. Growth in staff costs 1.2% -0.5% 6.1% 1.1% 26 1.3% -12 25 3.0% 30 No. of recruited 68 FTEs: approx. Increased 3,100 number 2 388 of FTEs. No. of FTEs that 1,400 has left: approx. 2.000 2 251 Staff costs Wage Higher Increased Orgresbank Other Staff costs 2006 increases variable number of 2007 salaries and FTEs mainly in profit sharing grow th areas 39

  22. Number of FTEs 32 500 2007/2006 3 506 Number of FTE’s 31,721, up 8% or 3 180 � 2 970 30 000 2 798 2,500 1 775 New European Markets doubled to � 27 500 3,500 FTEs, including Russia � Close to 60 new branches in Poland and Baltic countries 25 000 28 215 28 148 27 893 27 584 27 473 Nordic Banking up 3% � � Growth plan Sweden 22 500 � Private Banking � Other Nordic growth initiatives 20 000 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Nordea excl. New European Markets New European Markets 40

  23. Cost/income ratio continues to improve % 70 64 63 60 60 Continued down to 52% in 2007 � 56 53 52 Income up 8% � 50 Costs up 6% � Strong growth in revenues combined � 40 with continuous focus on firm cost management 30 20 10 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 41

  24. Loan losses , net EURm 2007 0 � Positive at EUR 60m, reflecting -6 continued recoveries and limited new -13 -13 -20 provisions -28 � Strong credit quality in all markets -40 � No specific industry concern � Q4 effected by a decrease in global -60 transfer risk reserves and an increase of group wise provisions � Increase in group wise provisions e.g. related to -80 Baltic countries and leveraged finance in Nordic -82 Banking � Total group wise provisions for the Baltic -100 countries amounts to approx. EUR 80m Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 42

  25. Net profit 2007/2006 EURm Profit before loan losses up 11% on a � 876 900 852 comparable basis 816 761 800 Net profit up 3% on a comparable basis � 701 700 Lower loan loss recoveries � Lower tax rate in 2006 � 600 Q4oQ3 500 Slightly higher tax rate in Q4 and lower � 400 loan loss reversals 300 200 100 0 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 For comparison reasons two major non-recurring items have been excluded. For 2007 the refund from the Finnish deposit guarantee system of EUR 120m and for 2006 the capital gain from the IMB sale of EUR 199m 43

  26. Gap in line with outlook Income growth Gap 2.0%-points – in line with full year � % outlook 12 10,4 9,9 Gap guidance reached while investing in 10 � 8,4 future growth and despite turbulent 8 6,8 6,6 market 6 Solid performance in Q4 gave a positive � 4 gap in Q4 2 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2007 Expense growth GAP, %-points % % 8 4 7,0 6,7 3,4 6,4 6,3 3,2 5,6 6 3 2,0 4 2 1,0 2 1 0,5 0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2007 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2007 44

  27. Profitability maintained at high level % 2007 25 23,6 22,7 RoE continue to meet target - 19.1% � 21,4 20,6 excl. deposit fund in Finland 19,1 20 18,0 � 19.6% incl. non-recurring item Somewhat lower return compared to � 15 last year � Lower loan loss recoveries 10 � Lower tax rate 2006 � Higher equity 5 Continued high profitability while � investing for future growth 0 * * 2005 2006 2007 RoE RaRoCar * For comparison reasons two major non-recurring items have been excluded. For 2007 the refund from the Finnish deposit guarantee system of EUR 120m and for 2006 the capital gain from the IMB sale of EUR 199m 45

  28. Strong increase in risk-adjusted EPS 1,4 1,21 1,20 1,17 1,14 1,2 1,0 0,93 0,81 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0,0 EPS, EUR* EPS, EUR reported EPS, risk adjusted, EUR* 2006 2007 * For comparison reasons two major non-reacurring items have been excluded. For 2007 the refund on Finnish deposit guarantee system EUR 105m and for 2006 capital gain from IMB sale of EUR 199m 46

  29. Earnings per share - rolling 12 months EUR 1,2 1,1 1,0 0,9 0,8 0,7 0,6 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0,0 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Q3/04 Q4/04 Q1/05 Q2/05 Q3/05 Q4/05 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Reported Risk adjusted 47

  30. Capital position

  31. Strong business growth well managed in Basel II � Basel I RWA up 17% YoY, driven mainly by EURbn growth in corporate lending 216 220 206 205 � Leveraging on Basel II framework 200 194 193 200 189 185 185 177 176 � Basel II RWA excl. transition rules down 3% 171 180 160 since end H1 to EUR 171bn despite volume 140 growth 120 � Lower impact from lending growth in Basel II 100 RWA compared to Basel I RWA 80 � Further improved sourcing of collaterals in 60 accordance with roll-out plan 40 � RWA incl. transition rules EUR 205bn, up 8% 20 since end H1 2007 0 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 � Basel II RWA is 21% lower than Basel I RWA Basel I RWA Basel II excl transition rules RWA Basel II � Approval of Retail portfolios will further reduce RWA – increased uncertainty on Pillar II 49

  32. Volume growth and still strong capital position % 9 8,3 7,9 7,7 8 � Tier 1 7.0% according to Basel II incl. 7,2 7,1 7,1 7,0 6,9 6,8 6,8 6,8 7 6,6 transition rules � During Q4 volumes towards counterparties with 6 100% risk weight has increased, leading to a 5 slight decrease in Tier I � Tier 1 according to Basel II, excl transition 4 rules has increased (8.3%) due to further 3 improved sourcing of collaterals 2 � Applying transition rules for 2008 (90% floor) 1 gives a Tier 1 of approx 7.3% 0 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Tier I Basel I Tier I Basel II excl. transition rules Tier I Basel II 50

  33. Business trends

  34. Total lending EURbn 245 260 239 230 240 222 214 220 201 199 191 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Corporate Housing loans Other loans Public sector 52

  35. Nordic household mortgages, volumes and margins EURbn % 90 1,6 85 1,5 80 1,4 82,8 81,1 75 78,5 1,3 76,5 70 74,6 72,4 1,2 65 69,4 67,6 1,1 60 1,0 55 0,9 50 45 0,8 40 0,7 35 0,6 30 0,5 25 0,4 20 0,3 15 0,2 10 0,1 5 0 0,0 1 / 0 6 2 / 0 6 3 / 0 6 4 / 0 6 1 / 0 7 2 / 0 7 3 / 0 7 4 / 0 7 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q 53

  36. Nordic consumer lending, volumes and margins EURbn % 18 4,5 17,8 17,5 16 16,9 16,5 4,0 15,9 15,1 15,1 14 14,2 3,5 12 3,0 10 2,5 8 2,0 6 1,5 4 1,0 2 0,5 0 0,0 1 / 0 6 2 / 0 6 3 / 0 6 4 / 0 6 1 / 0 7 2 / 0 7 3 / 0 7 4 / 0 7 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q 54

  37. Nordic corporate lending, volumes and margins EURbn % 110 1,4 1,3 100 101,9 1,2 97,5 90 94,7 92,1 1,1 88,0 80 84,1 1,0 83,5 80,4 0,9 70 0,8 60 0,7 50 0,6 40 0,5 0,4 30 0,3 20 0,2 10 0,1 0 0,0 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 55

  38. Shipping, Oil Services & International Division lending, volumes and margins EURbn % 12 1,5 1,4 11,1 1,3 10 10,3 1,2 10,1 9,9 9,4 1,1 9,1 9,1 8 1,0 8,6 0,9 0,8 6 0,7 0,6 4 0,5 0,4 0,3 2 0,2 0,1 0 0,0 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 56

  39. Lending New European Markets, volumes and margins* EURbn % 9 1,5 1,4 8 1,3 8,2 1,2 7 7,1 1,1 6 1,0 6,2 0,9 5 0,8 5,2 0,7 4,6 4 0,6 4,0 3,7 3 0,5 3,4 0,4 2 0,3 0,2 1 0,1 0 0,0 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 * Poland and Baltic countries 57

  40. Total deposits EURbn 142 150 135 140 133 126 126 130 119 119 113 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Of which household deposits 58

  41. Nordic household deposits, volumes and margins EURbn % 65 2,4 60 61,2 2,2 59,8 55 57,9 55,7 2,0 54,7 54,2 50 53,3 51,4 1,8 45 1,6 40 1,4 35 1,2 30 1,0 25 0,8 20 0,6 15 0,4 10 0,2 5 0 0,0 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 59

  42. Nordic corporate deposits, volumes and margins EURbn % 50 1,6 48,9 45 46,8 1,4 45,0 44,7 44,1 40 41,4 40,6 1,2 37,9 35 1,0 30 25 0,8 20 0,6 15 0,4 10 0,2 5 0 0,0 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 60

  43. Deposits Shipping, Oil Services & International Division, volumes and margins EURbn % 7 1,5 1,4 6,7 1,3 6 6,2 1,2 5,6 1,1 5 1,0 4,8 4,7 4,5 0,9 4,5 4 0,8 4,1 0,7 3 0,6 0,5 2 0,4 0,3 1 0,2 0,1 0 0,0 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 61

  44. Deposits New European Markets, volumes and margins* EURbn % 3,5 1,5 1,4 1,3 3,0 3,1 1,2 2,8 1,1 2,7 2,5 1,0 2,4 2,3 0,9 2,0 2,1 0,8 1,9 0,7 1,8 1,5 0,6 0,5 1,0 0,4 0,3 0,5 0,2 0,1 0,0 0,0 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 * Poland and Baltic countries 62

  45. Nordic Banking, profit before loan losses 2007/2006 EURm Up 11%, driven by top line growth � 800 750 � Income up 8% 761 760 752 700 � Expenses up 4% 650 686 688 600 Double digit volume growth in most � 550 business areas 500 450 C/I ratio continued to improve and � 400 dropped to 50% (52%) 350 300 Execution of growth strategy � 250 200 150 100 Key ratios 50 2007 2006 0 C/I ratio, % 50 52 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 RaRoCar, % 26 25 63

  46. Nordic Banking Denmark Finland Norway Sweden EURm 2007 Chg 2007 Chg 2007 Chg 2007 Chg 1,707 6% 1,696 12% 801 6% 1,717 7% Total income -824 5% -749 4% -450 4% -940 2% Total expenses Profit before loan losses 883 6% 947 19% 351 9% 777 14% Operating profit 884 -10% 1,007 22% 358 -16% 751 11% 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 RaRoCar, % 27 26 38 33 18 19 24 23 C/I ratio, % 48 48 44 48 56 57 55 58 Lending, bn 63 55 48 42 37 30 60 55 Deposits, bn 32 28 30 26 19 17 29 28 � Double digit growth of profit before loan losses in Finland and Sweden � Double digit income growth also in Sweden excl. hedge effect 64

  47. Institutional & International Banking, profit before loan losses 2007/2006 EURm Up 13% on a comparable basis 140 � 132 High business activity and solid growth in � 120 122 all divisions – lending in New European 115 Markets up 77% (excl Orgresbank), 100 105 100 Shipping and Offshore up 18% 80 Profitability remains at high level despite � market turmoil 60 � Effect on Shipping business from weak USD approx EUR 10-15m 40 20 Key ratios 2007 2006 0 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 C/I ratio, % 45 45 RaRoCar, % 38 43 65

  48. Institutional & International Banking Shipping, Oil services New European Financial Institutions & International Markets EURm 2007 Chg 2007 Chg 2007 Chg 104% Total income 339 9% 237 8% 255 2% 11% 80% -174 -50 -146 Total expenses 165 187 109 Profit before loan losses 17% 7% 148% 165 189 108 Operating profit 17% 6% 177% 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 64 54 38 43 23 19 RaRoCar, % C/I ratio, % 51 55 21 20 57 65 Lending, bn 1.9 1.5 11.1 9.4 9.8 4.6 Deposits, bn 20.3 13.0 6.7 4.5 3.7 2.3 66

  49. New European Markets Poland Baltic countries Russia Total EURm 2007 Chg 2007 Chg 2007 2007 Chg 104% 89 107 63 255 Total income 32% 63% -53 13% -46 44% -39 -146 80% Total expenses Operating profit 35 72% 60 111% 25 108 177% 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2007 2006 Lending, bn 2.7 1.6 5.5 3.0 1.6 9.8 4.6 Deposits, bn 1.7 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.6 3.7 2.3 � Strong business trend in New European Markets continued throughout 2007 � Prudent credit policy enables Nordea to continue to grow business volumes � In fourth quarter annualised lending growth slowed down somewhat in the Baltic countries � Lending volumes in Russia were close to four times higher end 2007 than end 2006 67

  50. Asset Management product result 2007/2006 Income and product result up 4% � EURm Strong net inflow in Private Banking � 120 110 � Number of customers up 16% 113 100 Net outflow from fund products driven by 103 � 100 90 94 increased demand for savings accounts 80 83 Largely unchanged assets and negative � 70 mix effect reduced income margin 60 Q4oQ3 50 Seasonal improvement, incl performance � 40 fees - although lower than Q4 2006 30 20 10 Key ratios 2007 2006 0 C/I ratio, % 50 50 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 AuM, EURbn 157 158 68

  51. Assets under management EURbn 2007/2006 180 � Down EUR 1bn or 0.6% YoY 165 163 163 158 157 160 � Overall net outflow EUR 2.4bn 140 � Asset appreciation EUR 1.4bn 120 � Net outflow in Retail funds EUR -2.7bn 100 � Customers moving assets from funds to savings accounts following increased interest rates and 80 financial market turmoil 60 � Successful growth strategy in Private 40 Banking 20 � Net inflow EUR 4.3bn of which EUR 3.7bn relates 0 to Nordic Private Banking Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Q4oQ3 Nordic Retail funds European Fund Distribution � Strong asset growth in Private Banking – Nordic Private Banking International Private Banking Institutional customers Life & Pensions net inflow EUR 1.2bn 69

  52. Net flows savings Net flows AuM (EURbn) � Net outflow in AuM of EUR 2.4bn 2007 4 2.6 2.0 3 -1.3 � Outflow from Retail funds EUR 2.7bn -1.7 2 � Customers reducing their market exposure and -2.0 1 moving assets from funds into savings accounts -1 -2 � Net inflow to Private Banking -3 -4 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Nordic Retail funds European Fund Distribution Nordic Private Banking International Private Banking Institutional customers Life & Pension � Inflow to savings accounts more than Accumulated net flows (EURm) compensated – net inflow EUR 7.2bn 8000 2007 6000 � Inflow continued also in Q4 - net inflow of EUR 4000 1.5bn or 4% 2000 � Strong development also in Private Banking 0 -2000 -4000 Saving deposits Retail Funds 70

  53. Life insurance, product result 2007/2006 � Product result up 13% EURm � New all-time high level 100 � Result driven by strong fee contribution and profit sharing 90 91 � MCEV EUR 3,189bn up 11% 80 � Value of new business EUR 194m – despite 70 74 regulatory changes in Sweden eg. removal of 67 60 “Kapital Pension” 58 58 50 � Satisfactory financial buffers in all markets 40 Q4/Q3 30 � Up 57% 20 � Driven by increased fee contribution and return on shareholders equity 10 Key ratios 0 2007 2006 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Inv return, % 3.6 4.7 Financial buffers, % 10.0 10.4 71

  54. Markets, product result 2007/2006 EURm � Up 14% - despite challenging markets 154 160 � Continued successful penetration of the corporate 149 segment 140 140 133 � Strong demand from corporate customers for risk management products 120 � Strongest increase from FX-products, Equity and Structured products 100 84 � Strong result in Q4 80 � Corporate customers hedging requests 60 � Issues of structured products � Supported by Nordeas’ strong and stable liquidity 40 position 20 � Successful unwinding of credit related instruments 0 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 72

  55. Summary – full year result 2007 � Strong result – based on growth strategy and prudent risk management culture � Risk-adjusted profit up 15% � Return on equity 19.7% � Income up 8% on a comparable basis � Continued efficiency gains – C/I 52% down from 53% � Full year gap guidance met � Volume growth and still strong capital position – Tier I 7.0% 73

  56. CRO Presentation

  57. Well diversified lending portfolio Share of total lending, end of 2007 Household 44% � Well-diversified lending mix measured by customer segments Corporate 56% and industry � Stable over time Lending to companies by industry, end of 2007 EUR 133,3bn Other Renting, 8% Consulting Real estate 29% and other services 11% Construction 3% Finance 9% Agriculture & Fishing 5% Transp. & Communicatio Manufacturing n 15% Trade and Shipping & 5% services Offshore 10% 5% 75

  58. Well diversified revenues streams Well diversified revenue streams, FY 2007 � Four well balanced Nordic markets � Increased revenue proportion from European and Global monoline New European Markets 4.0% in 2007 business New European 10% Markets � Different business cycles in the four 4% Norway Nordic countries 12% Finland Denmark 24% 25% Sweden 25% 76

  59. Strong lending growth in the Baltic countries... Growth total lending Selective growth strategy for the Baltic % � 70 65 65 countries 60 50 Prudent credit policy from start of � 50 41 38 40 operations enables Nordea to grow 25 30 business volumes with intact credit 20 11 quality 6 10 0 Total lending in the Baltic countries � 2005 2006 2007 Q407 stands for 2% of Nordea’s loan portfolio Total market Nordea Growth total deposits % 50 43 36 40 33 30 25 23 20 13 10 0 2005 2006 2007 Total market Nordea 77 Volumes excl finance company

  60. …with limited risk exposure Growth total lending EURbn 14,5 16 Nordea’s market share of new lending � 14 13% (full year 2007) 10,7 12 8,6 10 Nordea’s market share of deposits 6% � 8 (full year 2007) 6 2,9 4 1,9 0,9 0,6 0,5 2 0 2005 2006 2007 Q4/07 Total market EURbn Nordea EURbn Growth total deposits EURbn 5,7 5,6 6 5 3,6 4 3 2 1 0,3 0,2 0,2 0 2005 2006 2007 Total market EURbn Nordea EURbn 78 Volumes excl finance company

  61. Latvia In the forth quarter Nordea’s lending � Growth total lending % growth slowed down somewhat in the 90 83 Baltic countries 80 70 61 56 The Q4 growth rate in Latvia was 52% 60 � 50 compared to 98% in the period until 36 40 end September 30 20 17 17 20 11 10 11 7 5 10 0 2006 2007 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Total market Nordea EURbn Growth total lending 6 5,6 5 4 3,6 3 1,7 2 1,6 1,3 1 1 0,3 0,3 0,2 0,2 0,2 0,2 0 2006 2007 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total market Nordea 79 Volumes excl finance company

  62. Impaired loans and total allowances EURm Q4 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2006 Impaired loans, gross, individually assessed 1,321 1,344 1,616 Allowances for individually assessed loans 603 632 764 Impaired loans, net, individually assessed 719 712 852 Impaired loans, net / lending (%) 0,30 0.30 0.40 Allowances, individually assessed / Impaired loans, gross, (%) 46 47 47 Allowances for collectively assessed loans 355 293 354 Total allowances / Impaired loans, gross individually assessed (%) 72 69 69 Total allowances 958 925 1,118 Provisions for off balance sheet items 54 125 59 Total allowances and provisions 1,012 1,050 1,177 80

  63. Impaired loans EURm. End of Q4/07 Gross Provisions Net Household customers 362 133 229 Manufacturing 354 181 173 Trade and services 181 81 100 Other companies 19 23 -4 Real estate 86 33 53 Renting, Consulting and other services 131 72 59 Agriculture & Fishing 29 14 15 Construction 47 18 29 Transport, communication 61 21 40 Public sector 2 1 1 Shipping 1 2 -1 Financial operations 41 15 26 Credit institutions 8 8 0 Total 1,321 602 719 81

  64. Loan losses 2007/2006 EURm Recoveries maintained at high level � 299 330 and limited new provisions Nordea is confident in the overall � 151 180 126 quality of its credit portfolio 101 98 Q4 effected by a decrease in global � 30 transfer risk reserves and an increase -6 -13 -13 -28 of group wise provisions -120 -82 -111 � Increase in group wise provisions e.g. -129 -140 -157 related to Baltic countries and leveraged finance in Nordic Banking -270 � Total group wise provisions for the Baltic countries amounts to approx. EUR 80m -381 -420 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Gross Reversals Net 82

  65. Possible effects on lending margins from market turmoil Risk awareness – increasing default rates � � Increased interest rates and volatility – increased cost of capital � Improved risk adjusted prices expected Exposure EURm 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 S 6+ 6 6- 5+ 5 5- 4+ 4 4- 3+ 3 3- 2+ 2 2- 1+ 1 1- 0+ 0 0- Q4 2007 Q4 2006 83

  66. Concluding remarks – full year result 2007 � Strong result – based on growth strategy and prudent risk management � Limited effects on Nordea from financial market turmoil � Full year gap target met – 2%-points � Risk-adjusted profit up 15% a good start for the long term target � Continued strong volume growth despite increasing uncertainty � Overall quality of the Nordea credit portfolio remains strong 84

  67. Facts & figures

  68. Credit quality

  69. Loan portfolio by customer category* EURbn 140 133 129 130 123 119 120 113 105 105 110 101 100 97 100 93 91 84 90 83 80 79 80 83 82 80 70 76 74 71 68 60 66 65 63 60 58 50 56 55 53 50 40 30 20 24 24 23 23 22 21 21 20 20 19 19 18 17 17 17 10 16 0 Q1/04 Q2/04 Q3/04 Q4/04 Q1/05 Q2/05 Q3/05 Q4/05 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Corporate lending Housing loans Other loans * Excluding public sector 87

  70. Lending to household customers End of Q4/07 EUR 107.1bn Other loans comprise � Other loans Consumer credits � 22,6% Investment credits � � Car financing Overdraft facilities � Credit cards � � Home equity credits Housing loans 77,4% 88

  71. Loan portfolio in figures EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Household customers 107,1 106.0 102.6 98.7 96.4 Real estate 36,8 34.5 32.5 31.6 30.7 Construction 4,6 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.4 Transport, communication 6,9 6.0 6.3 6.7 5.9 Trade and services 13,1 12.5 11.8 12.6 11.1 20,7 18.6 19.4 17.5 15.0 Manufacturing Finance 12,3 14.0 13.2 12.7 12.7 Renting, Consulting and other services 14,7 14.6 13.9 12.4 12.5 Other companies/public sector 14,8 15.4 13.1 13.9 14.2 Agriculture & Fishing 7,3 7.0 6.7 6.6 6.4 Shipping & Offshore 6,5 6.0 6.1 5.9 5.7 Total 244,7 238.7 229.6 222.2 214.0 89

  72. Lending by geographical area End of Q4/07 EUR 244.7bn Latin America Asien 0,6% USA 0,7% 0,8% Nordic countries and Other OECD Poland, Baltics and 0,4% Russia 93,3% Other Other non OECD 6,8% 0,6% EU countries 3,7% Nordic countries and Poland, Baltics and Russia, EUR 228.2bn � Denmark 65.3 � Sweden 62.5 � Finland 47.7 � Norway 42.8 � Poland 2.3 � Baltics 6.0 � Russia 1.6 90

  73. Economic capital

  74. Economic capital (EC) EURbn End 11 December 10,9 10,5 10 10,3 EC per business area (EURm) 2007 9,9 9,6 9 Nordic Banking 7,686 8 IIB 1,368 7 Savings & Life Products 1,136 6 Treasury 510 5 4 Private Banking 46 3 GST 117 2 Other 0 1 Total 10,863 0 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 92

  75. Economic capital – distribution End of Q4/07 Group Services & Technology Group Treasury Life risk 1% 5% 1% Savings & Life Operational risk Products 9% Business risk 11% 9% Institutional & International Banking 13% Market risk 15% Credit risk 66% Nordic Banking 70% 93

  76. Nordic Banking

  77. Nordic Banking lending and deposit volumes Lending, EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Denmark 62.7 59.4 57.6 56.5 54.5 51.1 50.8 Finland 47.5 45.7 45.0 43.5 42.4 41.4 40.4 Norway 37.2 36.3 34.8 32.0 31.3 30.2 28.7 Sweden 59.8 58.1 55.6 56.2 52.8 52.3 51.4 Deposits, EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Denmark 31.6 31.0 29.8 29.3 28.1 27.4 28.1 Finland 30.4 28.4 27.2 26.4 26.4 25.6 25.6 Norway 18.8 19.3 18.4 17.5 17.1 16.6 16.1 Sweden 29.3 27.9 27.5 27.1 27.1 25.3 24.8 95

  78. Nordic Banking breakdown of lending Denmark, EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Corporate 27.5 26.1 25.8 25.1 23.9 21.4 21.6 Household mortgages 24.9 24.3 23.7 23.1 22.5 21.8 20.8 Consumer lending 7.3 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.0 Finland, EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Corporate 23.5 22.2 22.1 21.4 21.2 20.4 20.2 Households mortgages 19.1 18.7 18.2 17.6 17.2 16.5 16.0 Consumer lending 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.1 4.5 96

  79. Nordic Banking breakdown of lending Norway, EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Corporate 19.1 18.6 17.6 15.9 15.3 14.8 13.9 Household mortgages 17.1 16.8 16.1 15.2 15.2 14.6 13.9 Consumer lending 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 Sweden, EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Corporate 31.8 30.6 29.2 29.7 27.6 27.5 27.8 Household mortgages 21.6 21.4 20.5 20.7 19.7 19.4 18.7 Consumer lending 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.5 97

  80. Nordic Banking breakdown of deposits Denmark, EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Corporate 12.6 12.3 11.1 11.3 10.5 10.1 10.8 Households, current 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.4 accounts Households, savings 15.6 15.4 15.3 14.8 14.2 14.0 13.9 accounts Finland, EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Corporate 10.4 9.4 8.9 8.6 8.5 8.0 8.1 Households, current 9.4 9.5 9.9 9.7 10.0 9.9 10.1 accounts Households, savings 10.6 9.4 8.3 8.2 7.9 7.7 7.5 accounts 98

  81. Nordic Banking breakdown of deposits Norway, EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Corporate 12.1 12.6 12.1 11.6 11.0 10.4 10.2 Households, current 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.3 accounts Households, savings 4.5 4.6 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.7 accounts Sweden, EURbn Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Corporate 13.8 12.5 12.9 13.2 14.1 12.1 12.3 Households, current 5.4 5.4 5.6 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.4 accounts Households, savings 10.1 10.0 8.9 8.5 7.5 7.7 7.1 accounts 99

  82. Nordic Banking margins % Q4/07 Q3/07 Q2/07 Q1/07 Q4/06 Q3/06 Q2/06 Q1/06 Lending to Corporate 0.86 0.88 0.91 0.90 0.93 0.94 0.98 1.00 Mortgages, households 0.51 0.52 0.57 0.55 0.57 0.63 0.69 0.76 Consumer loans, 3.04 3.17 3.15 3.29 3.29 3.41 3.56 3.64 households Deposits, SME’s 0,99 0,98 0.96 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.89 0.88 Deposits, households 1,83 1,82 1.81 1.77 1.72 1.67 1.65 1.62 100

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