Build A Better Life
Inv nves estor
- r Pr
Inv nves estor or Pr Prese sent ntation ation Ju June ne 20 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Inv nves estor or Pr Prese sent ntation ation Ju June ne 20 2020 20 Build A Better Life Dis isclaimer our business and investment strategy; current or future financing arrangements; and This presentation contains
Build A Better Life
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 related to management’s expectations about future conditions. Actual business, market or
management’s expectations and, accordingly, may affect our sales and profitability or other results and liquidity. Actual results may differ materially due to various other factors, including: economic changes either nationally or in the markets in which we
declines in employment, levels of volatility in mortgage interest rates and inflation; continued
increased downturn in the homebuilding industry; continued volatility and uncertainty in the credit markets and broader financial markets;
liquidity; our business operations; changes in
business and investment strategy; availability of land to acquire and our ability to acquire such land on acceptable terms or at all; availability, terms and deployment of capital; continued
increased disruption in the availability of mortgage financing or the number of foreclosures in the market; shortages
land or raw materials used in housing construction; delays in land development or home construction resulting from adverse weather conditions or
events
control; issues concerning our joint venture partnerships; the cost and availability of insurance and surety bonds; changes in, or the failure or inability to comply with, governmental laws and regulations; the timing of receipt of regulatory approvals and the opening of projects; the degree and nature of our competition; our leverage and debt service obligations; restrictive covenants relating to our operations in our current or future financing arrangements; and availability of qualified personnel and our ability to retain our key personnel. You should not rely upon forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Although our management believe that the expectations reflected in our forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot guarantee that the future results, levels of activity, performance
forward-looking statements will be achieved
speak only as of the date of this presentation. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking information contained in this presentation. Additional information concerning these and other factors may be found in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the “Risk Factors” in our most recent Annual Report
2
New gener eration ion homebu
ilder der foun unded d in 2009 2009
Focus
emier er loca cati tion
s
in high-growth, land-constrained markets; California focus with expansion into Arizona
Broa
nd flexible xible prod
uct capa pabil biliti ities s with an established
high-end segment and a recent emphasis on more affordable price segments
St Strong relat lation ionsh ships ips
with land sellers/developers and trade partners
Awar ward-wi winnin ing homes mes and nd comm mmunit nitie ies; s; expertise in
design and architecture
3
4
Average Selling Communities
Deliveries
Home Sales Revenue
5
ASP
Lots Owned & Controlled
Note: All data for last twelve months as of 3/31/2020.
Arizona Souther ern Califo lifornia ia Norther ern Calif lifornia ia
Note: All data as of 3/31/20. Home sales revenue for the last twelve months ended 3/31/20
Arizona Souther ern Calif ifornia ia Norther ern Calif ifornia ia
6
Active vely ly Selling ng Communiti unities s in Southern hern California nia, Northern n Calif ifor
nia, and Arizona
7
U.S. 3.4 U.S. 1.6
0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3
– 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
San Francisco East Bay San Jose Sacramento Phoenix San Diego Orange County Los Angeles Riverside
1
Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting. Note: Employment to permit ratio is defined as annual job growth divided by the number of building permits issued (both single-family and multi-family developments). Data is as
Note: Months of supply of homes for resale is defined as the current supply of homes divided by the average number of homes sold per month. Data is as of March 2020
Low level of resale homes and job creation are primary drivers of demand 6.8 6.3 4.1 3.1 2.7 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.2
– 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0
San Francisco San Jose San Diego Los Angeles Orange County Riverside East Bay Phoenix Sacramento 8
2
9
Nova, Rancho Cucamonga, CA
$2.5 $1.2 $1.1
$0.9 $0.9 $0.8 $0.6 $0.6 $0.6 $0.5 $0.5 $1.2 $0.5
$0.0M $0.5M $1.0M $1.5M $2.0M $2.5M $3.0M
2017 2019 1 - 2 Year Estimate
OC/SD/LA Bay Area Sacramento Inland Empire AZ
ASP in Millions
2
10
51% 42% 20%
27% 13% 5% 22% 24% 33% 11% 17% 9% 24%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
2017 2019 1 - 2 Year Estimate
OC/SD/LA Bay Area Sacramento Inland Empire AZ
% of Total Deliveries
2
11
Tidew ewat ater er (Lathr throp
, CA) $560k ASP
2
Pa Parson son (Corona
, CA) $460k ASP
12
$560k ASP Pa Park k View ew (Ro Rockl klin, n, CA) Pres eston
acavi aville, e, CA) $515k ASP
St Sterl rling ng (Ranc ncho ho Missi ssion
ejo,
$970k ASP
2
13
Silve ver r Crest t (Fol
som, , CA) $875k ASP
3
14
15
3
2 4 6 8 10 12
2018 2019 2020E
Entry Level 1st Move Up / Flat 2nd Move Up / Luxury
New Community Openings
16
3
2 4 6 8 10 12
2018 2019 2020E
Arizona Northern California Southern California
New Community Openings
4
57% 7%
Source: Company filings. (1) Data in the above graphs is as of respective 2019 fiscal years.
1.0x 0x
1.4x
Lo Lots Optio Optioned d as as a a % % of
Wholly Own Owned ed Lo Lots (1)
(1)
– 20% 40% 60% HOV DHI MHO CCS NWHM PHM WLH TOL MTH MDC KBH LEN BZH TPH TMHC
42% 2% 37% 7%
17
2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019
➢ Com
➢ Supp
➢ Evaluat
5
($ in Millions)
(1) Excludes joint venture management fees.
206 537 644 820 600 309 Deliveries
18
(1) Includes wholly owned, fee building and homebuilding unconsolidated joint ventures for the last twelve months as of 3/31/2020. Excludes land development unconsolidated joint ventures.
5
19
20
(1) For reconciliation of this non-GAAP financial measure, see appendix.
21
Q1 2020 Q1 2019 YoY Growth % Operating Statistics
Monthly Absorption
2.0 1.7 18%
Net Orders
132 112 18%
Deliveries
107 99 8%
Deliveries ASP
$894k $1,002k (11%)
(Dollars in millions)
Financial Statistics
Home Sales Revenue
$95.7 $99.2 (4%)
Land Sales Revenue
$0.1
Fee Revenue
$36.2 $19.7 84%
Total Revenue
$132.0 $118.8 11%
LTM Operating Cashflow
$150.8 ($122.5) +$273.3
LTM Debt Reduction / (Increase)
$99.1 ($80.6) +$179.7
(1) For reconciliation of this non-GAAP financial measure, see appendix. (2) Adjusted homebuilding GM% excludes interest in COS and impairments, if any. For reconciliation of this non-GAAP financial measure, see appendix..
22
LTM Q1 2020 LTM Q1 2019 YoY Growth % Operating Statistics
Monthly Absorption
2.2 2.1 5%
Net Orders
552 507 9%
Ending Community Count
22 22 0%
Backlog
174 204 (15%)
Backlog ASP
$748k $1,042k (28%)
Deliveries
582 513 13%
Deliveries ASP
$909k $1,021k (11%)
(Dollars in millions)
Financial Statistics
Home Sales Revenue
$528.8 $523.8 1%
Land Sales Revenue
$41.8
Fee Revenue
$111.9 $139.4 (20%)
Total Revenue
$682.5 $663.2 3%
Homebuilding GM% (excl. imp.) 1
11.6% 13.4% (180 bps)
16.8% 17.4% (60 bps)
SG&A% (excl. restructuring)
11.3% 12.1% (80 bps)
Adjusted EBITDA 1
$41.5 $42.0 (1%)
(Dollars in millions)
Mar 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Assets Cash
$88.3 $79.4
Inventory
$399.0 $433.9
JV Investment
$29.2 $30.2
Total Assets
$579.9 $603.2
Liabilities & Equity Revolver
$300.5 $304.8
Total Debt
$300.5 $304.8
Total Liabilities
$357.6 $370.4
Total Equity
$222.2 $232.6
➢ $303M senior notes due Mar ’22
Q1’19
➢ $130M unsecured revolving
credit facility
(1) For reconciliation of this non-GAAP financial measure, see appendix. (2) Excludes Joint Venture investment
23
Mar 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Change
Metrics Debt-to-Capital
57.5% 56.7%
80 bps Net Debt-to-Capital (1)
48.8% 49.2%
(40 bps) Debt-to-LTM Adj. EBITDA(1)
7.2x 7.4x (0.1x)
Net Debt-to-LTM Adj. EBITDA(1)
5.1x 5.4x (0.3x)
LTM Interest Coverage
1.5x 1.4x 0.1x
Cash & Inventory to Debt(2)
1.6x 1.7x (0.1x)
24
25
(1) Homes not closed as of March 31, 2020 (2) Actual revenue may vary
26
ASP Remaining Future Revenue(2)
($ in 000's)
Homes(1)
($ in millions)
Agave Brea $690 80 25 $17 Cobalt Rancho Mission Viejo $610 72 17 $10 Marywood Orange $1,960 40 14 $27 Parson Corona $460 88 50 $23 Promontory Bluffs San Diego $1,180 40 11 $13 Promontory Heights San Diego $830 93 42 $35 Nova Rancho Cucamonga $400 135 135 $54 Seabluff Playa Vista $1,240 75 10 $12 Seville Ontario $600 75 21 $13 Sky Ranch Ladera Ranch $3,020 28 4 $12 Sterling Rancho Mission Viejo $970 60 60 $58 Whitney Corona $630 41 20 $13 $700 $700 827 827 4 409 $288 $288
Homes Southern California Location Project
ASP Remaining Future Revenue(2)
($ in 000's)
Homes(1)
($ in millions)
Bristol Vacaville $590 64 48 $29 Gala Davis $620 120 67 $42 Canyon View Rocklin $810 92 41 $33 Ellison Park Milpitas $1,230 114 17 $21 Oxford Vacaville $620 80 63 $39 Park View Rocklin $560 60 36 $20 Preston Vacaville $520 87 76 $40 Sheffield Vacaville $560 120 110 $62 Silver Crest Folsom $880 108 108 $95 Tidewater Lathrop $600 131 28 $17 $670 $670 976 976 5 594 $397 $397 Belmont Gilbert $1,140 53 4 $5 Icon Scottsdale $1,880 24 12 $23 $1,690 77 77 16 16 $27 $27
Arizona Northern California Location Homes Project
27
(1) Homes not closed as of March 31, 2020 (2) Actual revenue may vary
(1) Actual base pricing may vary.
Base Price(1)
($ in 000's)
Nuvo at Piemonte Attached Ontario Q3'21 $420 72 Nuvo at Parkside Paseo Detached Ontario Q3'21 $400 90 Nuvo at Parkside 2 Story Sm Detached Ontario Q3'21 $360 51 Nuvo at Parkside 2 Story Lrg Detached Ontario Q3'21 $410 111 Nuvo at Parkside 8 Pack Detached Ontario Q3'21 $450 52 $410 $410 376 376 Artisan Square Attached Natomas Q2'20 $320 74 Gold Hill Detached Folsom Q3'21 $790 77 $560 $560 151 151 Mosaic Row Towns Attached Gilbert Q2'20 $280 87 Mosaic Backyard Towns Attached Gilbert Q2'20 $330 69 Mosaic Flats Attached Gilbert Q2'20 $310 66 Mariposa Cottages Detached Chandler Q3'20 $430 57 Mariposa Courts Detached Chandler Q3'20 $360 36 Mariposa Towns Attached Chandler Q3'20 $310 106 Centella at Estrella Detached Goodyear Q3'20 $300 80 Element at Eastmark Detached Mesa Q1'21 $310 135 $320 $320 636 636 $380 $380 1163 1163
Homes Estimated Opening Arizona Northern California Project Location Product
28
Remaining Homes(1)
Como Single-Family 85 16 Como Ext Single-Family 127 121 Lago Courtyard 123 58 Terra Single-Family 135 56 Verdi Courtyard 95 34 Vivo Courtyard 149 52 Ravello Single-Family 152 118 866 866 455 455 Marin Courtyard 157 9 Marin Ext. Courtyard 167
324 9
Los Olivos
Barcelona Courtyard 169 111 Highland Single-Family 168 155 Hillside Single-Family 152 137 Bluffs Single-Family 153 132 473 473 424 424 Ebb Tide Courtyard 61 33 Great Park Single-Family 38 38 99 99 71 71
Total
1,070
Other Eastwood Homes Project Product Type Orchard Hills Portola Springs
29
(1) Homes not closed as of March 31, 2020
($ in Millions, except Delivery ASP and Homebuilding GM per Delivery)
(1) For reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures, reference the appendix. (2) Includes homebuilding, land sales and JV investment impairments
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Net New Orders
79 174 253 412 536 532
Active Community Count
4 10 15 17 20 21
Deliveries (Homebuilding)
53 148 250 341 498 574
Delivery ASP (000s)
$1,058 $1,893 $2,032 $1,645 $1,012 $927
Home Sales Revenue
$56.1 $280.2 $507.9 $560.8 $504.0 $532.4
Growth %
57% 400% 81% 10%
6%
Land Sales Revenue
Fee Building Revenue
$93.6 $149.9 $186.5 $190.3 $163.5 $95.3
Total Revenue
$149.7 $430.1 $694.5 $751.2 $667.6 $669.3
Growth %
80% 187% 61% 8%
0%
Homebuilding GM
$9.3 $45.0 $72.0 $85.4 $57.5 $54.5
Homebuilding GM %
16.5% 16.1% 14.2% 15.2% 11.4% 10.2%
Adjusted Homebuilidng GM (1)
$9.8 $47.5 $79.7 $98.7 $86.2 $89.1
Adjusted Homebuilidng GM % (1)
17.4% 16.9% 15.7% 17.6% 17.1% 16.7%
Homebuilding GM per Delivery (000s)
$174.5 $303.9 $288.2 $250.5 $115.5 $94.9
Adjusted Homebuilding GM per Delivery (000s) (1)
$184.6 $320.9 $318.9 $289.4 $173.0 $155.2
Impairments (2)
$2.2 $30.0 $13.7
Fee Building GM
$4.5 $10.2 $8.4 $5.5 $4.4 $2.1
Fee Building GM %
4.8% 6.8% 4.5% 2.9% 2.7% 2.2%
JV Income
$8.4 $13.8 $7.7 $0.9
SG&A
$16.4 $34.0 $52.6 $59.0 $62.0 $62.1
SG&A as a % of Home Sales Revenue
29.2% 12.1% 10.4% 10.5% 12.3% 11.7%
Adjusted EBITDA (1)
$6.6 $46,209.0 $43.1 $50.1 $39.9 $41.4
Pretax Income
$5.0 $33.9 $33.9 $32.5
Net Income
$4.8 $21.7 $21.0 $17.2
30
The following table reconciles the Company’s ratio of debt-to-capital to the ratio of net debt-to-capital. We believe that the ratio of net debt-to-capital is a relevant financial measure for management and investors to understand the leverage employed in our operations and as an indicator of the Company’s ability to obtain financing.
(1)The ratio of debt-to-capital is computed as the quotient obtained by dividing total debt by the sum of total notes payable plus equity, exclusive of noncontrolling interest. (2)The ratio of net debt-to-net capital is computed as the quotient obtained by dividing net debt (which is notes payable less cash to the extent necessary to reduce the debt balance to zero) by net total capital, exclusive of noncontrolling interest. The most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is the ratio of debt-to-capital. We believe the ratio of net debt-to-net capital is a relevant financial measure for investors to understand the leverage employed in our operations and as an indicator of our ability to obtain
provides useful information as the ratio of debt-to net capital does not take into account our liquidity and we believe that the ratio net of cash provides supplemental information by which our financial position may be considered. Investors may also find this to be helpful when comparing our leverage to the leverage of our competitors that present similar information.
March 31, December 31, 2020 2019 Total Debt 300,479 $ 304,832 $ Equity, exclusive of non-controlling interest 222,224 232,647 Total capital 522,703 $ 537,479 $ Ratio of debt-to-capital (1) 57.5% 56.7% Total Debt 300,479 $ 304,832 $ Less: cash. cash equivalents and restricted cash 88,287 79,431 Net debt 212,192 225,401 Equity, exclusive of non-controlling interest 222,224 232,647 Total capital 434,416 $ 458,048 $ Ratio of net debt-to-capital (2) 48.8% 49.2% (Dollars in thousands)
31
See the table below reconciling this non-GAAP financial measure to homebuilding gross margin, the nearest GAAP equivalent.
(1)Homebuilding gross margin before impairments and adjusted homebuilding gross margin are non-GAAP financial measures. We believe this information is meaningful as it isolates the impact that home sales impairments and leverage have on homebuilding gross margin and permits investors to make better comparisons with our competitors who also break out and adjust gross margins in a similar fashion.
32
Quarter Ended December 31, 2020 % 2019 % Home sales revenue 95,659 $ 100.0% 99,186 $ 100.0% Cost of home sales 84,722 88.6% 86,569 87.3% Homebuilding gross margin 10,937 11.4% 12,617 12.7% Add: Home sales impairment
Homebuilding gross margin before impairments (1) 10,937 11.4% 12,617 12.7% Add: interest in cost of home sales 6,146 6.4% 4,852 4.9% Adjusted homebuilding gross margin 17,083 $ 17.9% 17,469 $ 17.6%
Year Ended December 31, 2019 % 2018 % 2017 % 2016 % 2015 % 2014 % Home sales revenue 532,352 $ 100% 504,029 $ 100% 560,842 $ 100% 507,949 $ 100% 280,208 $ 100% 56,094 $ 100% Cost of home sales 477,857 89.8% 446,530 88.6% 475,413 84.8% 435,909 85.8% 235,231 83.9% 46,843 83.5% Homebuilding gross margin 54,495 10.2% 57,499 11.4% 85,429 15.2% 72,040 14.2% 44,977 16.1% 9,251 16.5% Add: Home sales impairment 8,300 1.6% 10,000 2.0% 2,200 0.4% 2,350 0.5%
Homebuilding gross margin before impairments (1 62,795 11.8% 67,499 13.4% 87,629 15.6% 74,390 14.6% 44,977 16.1% 9,251 16.5% Add: interest in cost of home sales 26,311 4.9% 18,678 3.7% 11,052 2.0% 5,331 1.0% 2,511 0.9% 532 0.9% Adjusted homebuilding gross margin 89,106 $ 16.7% 86,177 $ 17.1% 98,681 $ 17.6% 79,721 $ 15.7% 47,488 $ 16.9% 9,783 $ 17.4%
A reconciliation of net income attributable to us to adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin percentage and the ratio of adjusted EBITDA to total interest incurred is provided in the following table: 33
LTM March 31, Quarter Ended March 31, 2020 2019 2020 2019
($ in Thousands) ($ in Thousands)
Net income (14,490) $ (15,566) $ (8,476) $ (1,987) $ Add: Interest amortized to cost of sales and other expense 29,246 $ 20,766 6,864 4,852 Provision for income taxes (13,088) $ (5,879) (9,937) (664) Depreciation and amortization 8,146 $ 8,265 1,845 2,656 Amortization of equity-based compensation 2,283 $ 2,814 589 566 Cash distributions of income from unconsolidated joint ventures 114 $ 260
Severance charges
1,788
Non-cash impairments & adandonments 24,325 $ 10,176 14,036 5 Less: Gain from early extinguishment of debt (624) $ (417) 123 (417) Gain from notes payable principal reduction
5,624 $ 19,804 1,937 (184) Adjusted EBITDA 41,537 $ 42,011 $ 6,981 $ 6,875 $ Total Revenue 682,534 $ 663,183 $ 132,033 $ 118,848 $ Adjusted EBITDA margin percentage 6.1% 6.3% 5.3% 5.8% Interest Incurred 27,438 $ 29,422 $ 6,380 $ 7,761 $ Ratio of adjusted EBITDA to total interest incurred 1.5x 1.4x 1.1x 0.9x
A reconciliation of net income attributable to us to adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin percentage and the ratio of adjusted EBITDA to total interest incurred is provided in the following table: 34
Year Ended December 31, 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
($ in Thousands) ($ in Thousands)
Net income (8,001) $ (14,230) $ 17,141 $ 20,926 $ 21,378 $ 4,757 $ Add: Interest amortized to cost of sales and other expense 27,234 19,908 11,057 5,331 2,511 532 Provision for income taxes (3,815) (6,075) 15,390 13,024 12,533 246 Depreciation and amortization 8,957 6,631 449 511 473 381 Amortization of equity-based compensation 2,260 3,090 2,803 3,471 3,884 2,322 Cash distributions of income from unconsolidated joint ventures 374 715 1,588 3,742 18,477 6,040 Severance charges 1,788
10,294 10,206 2,583 4,080 635 754 Less: Gain from early extinguishment of debt (1,164)
3,503 19,653 (866) (7,691) (13,767) (8,443) Adjusted EBITDA 41,430 $ 39,898 $ 50,145 $ 43,144 $ 46,125 $ 6,589 $ Total Revenue 669,349 $ 667,566 $ 751,166 $ 694,456 $ 430,099 $ 149,657 $ Adjusted EBITDA margin percentage 6.2% 6.0% 6.7% 6.2% 10.7% 4.4% Interest Incurred 28,819 $ 28,377 $ 21,978 $ 7,484 $ 4,722 $ 1,857 $ Ratio of adjusted EBITDA to total interest incurred 1.5x 1.4x 2.3x 5.8x 9.8x 3.5x
35