Integrating Population Dynamics into Urban Development Plans: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
KEMENTERIAN PERENCANAAN PEMBANGUNAN NASIONAL/ BADAN PERENCANAAN PEMBANGUNAN NASIONAL Keynote Speech Integrating Population Dynamics into Urban Development Plans: Sustainable Cities, Human Mobility and International Migration Deputy Minister for
KEMENTERIAN PERENCANAAN PEMBANGUNAN NASIONAL/ BADAN PERENCANAAN PEMBANGUNAN NASIONAL
Tuesday, November 28th 2017
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20.000 10.000 10.000 20.000 0-4 10-14 20-14 30-34 40-44 50-54 60-64 70-74 Thousand Female Male
1971
119.2 millions 55.1 years 14.6% Total Population Life expectancy Urban population
Source: Census 1971 & 2010, Intercensal Survey 2015, Statistics Indonesia
237.6 millions 69.8 years 49.7%
20.000 10.000 10.000 20.000 0-4 10-14 20-24 30-34 40-44 50-54 60-64 70-74 80-84 Thousand Female Male
2010
Total Population Life expectancy Urban population 255.1 millions 70.8 years 53.1%
20.000 10.000 10.000 20.000 0-4 10-14 20-24 30-34 40-44 50-54 60-64 70-74 80-84 Thousand Female Male
2015
Total Population Life expectancy Urban population
based family planning program in 1970s
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Urban population is estimated to rise from 53,1% in 2015 to 69,1% in 2035 In 2045, we project that development of economic centers will create more urban and “more developed” rural outside Java Island
135 247 237 264 727 817 1.037 1.263 1.188 1.339 15.478
5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000
Indonesia Riau Islands Lampung NTT Bali East Java Central Java Banten DIY West Java DKI Jakarta
Source: Statistics Indonesia (2017)
(per sq.km)
Urbans with highest population density are in Java island. Projected Population per Island in 2045 Provinces with Highest Population Density in 2016
Source: UN Population Prospect 2010-2085 Source: Perhitungan Proyeksi Penduduk Indonesia 2010-2045, Bappenas (2017)
Large disparities
population between western and eastern part
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0,67% 1,21% 2,18% 2,24% 3,08% 6,55% 16,20% 19,15%
Sarbagita Mamminasata Kedungsepur Mebidangro Bandung Raya Gerbangkertosusilo DKI Jakarta Jabodetabek Contribution of Metropolitan Areas to GDP in 2015
More than 90% of the richest Indonesians reside in Jabodetabek, controlling more than 50% of financial wealth All metropolitan areas have contributed more than one third of National GDP in 2015 Almost half of the urban contribution to the National GDP comes from DKI Jakarta
Source: Boston Consulting Group (2017)
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Source: Salim et al. (2015)
have affected the characteristics of consumers & producers.
working population, consumption pattern has evolved, for example more consumers goods, fuel for transportation, or even tourism demand.
for the ageing population, low fertility, low mortality, and more dynamic population mobility within and outside the country.
to lead the policy into more balance population growth and mobility.
9 Sources: BPS (2016), Ministry of Transportation (2016), JICA (2014)
Massive land conversion in urban areas
density areas.
converted into residential areas Slow development of mass transportation in urban areas
is not as fast as urban population growth
interconnected transportation system More population vs waste management system Urban poverty and income inequality More migration from rural areas due to climate change
Drivers
development Pressures
consumption
Outcomes
environmental support
insecurity
and inequality
and security threat
Responses Sustainable urbanization
Future Challenges
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Access to drinking water: 92,44% Access to Sanitation : 90,42% (14% already included safe category according to the World Bank (2013)) Open defecation : 11.08% (28.8 million people)
Data Source : Susenas 2007-2016. Indonesia Statistics
In 2016, Jakarta still has conventional type of sewerage system 40,54% Households do not own house
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Liveable Smart and Competitive Green and Resilient City with Local Identity Integrated between Cities and Regions Transparent, Accountable and Responsive Governance
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consumption and production in urban and rural areas
health insurance coverage
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Provision of Basic Services, especially for the poorest 40% in urban areas Subsiding construction of basic service facilities in slums area Public – private partnerships in building the public areas to improve the sanitation system and access to drinking water Increasing understanding on the importance of sanitation and healthy lifestyle Build mass transportation based road, rail, and intermoda to increase public transport share in urban areas Developing Mass-Rapid-Transportation, Light-Rail-Transit, and Bus- Way at the urban areas: Jakarta-Cibubur, Jakarta-Bekasi, Palembang, Bandung, Surabaya Increasing capacity of commuter system between cities Developing inter-moda transportation system from the airport to reduce congestion from and to the cities as well as to reduce fuel use Improving the capacity and quality of urban rail-road network Transforming to cleaner and more energy efficient public transportation Transformation of metropolitan and big cities to SMART CITY for more efficient energy utilization and environmentally friendly infrastructure Building smart city with six principles: Smart Governance, Smart Economy, Smart Mobility, Smart Environment, Smart People, and Smart Living Strengthening public, private, and community partnerships to build soft and hard infrastructure in developing smart cities
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Improving technical skills and competence of working age population to adopt with new technology Partnerships with industries to develop curriculum for the formal education, vocational, and training system Establishing and/or adopting national or international standard of competencies in urban priority sectors Partnerships with industries for mentoring program and entrepreuneur aprenticeships
Critical Link of Population Dynamics and Sustainable Development
Source: Salim et al. (2015)
Population Dynamics: Demographic Dividend & Urbanization Capacity Building & Knowledge Management Productivity Growth Sustainable Development INNOVATIONS
development
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