ING Property Trust Annual results presentation May 2009 Peter - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
ING Property Trust Annual results presentation May 2009 Peter - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
ING Property Trust Annual results presentation May 2009 Peter Mence General Manager Stuart Harrison Chief Financial Officer Agenda Highlights and performance Financial overview Strategy Valuations Market
Agenda
» Highlights and performance » Financial overview » Strategy » Valuations » Market risks » Back to the future
Highlights
- The most diversified property vehicle listed on the New Zealand stock
exchange with a portfolio of 95 buildings valued at $1.1 billion. The Trust provides space solutions for over 290 tenants
- In a difficult leasing environment the property portfolio occupancy at year-
end was 98%
- A weighted average lease term of 4.2 years, providing strong rental security
- Net property income increased by $3.2m during the year and assessments
by the independent valuers show the portfolio is 7.9% under-rented providing some potential for rental growth in the year ahead
- The Trust’s average property size of $10m allows it to take advantage of the
continued demand for investment property assets under $20m with the sale
- f 17 properties for $116.2m
- Yield on market rental for the portfolio is 9.1%, which is 7.9% under-rented
- The sale of the stake in ING Medical Properties Trust for $16.5m, with the
proceeds used to repay debt
Financial performance
$23.4m $14.2m $(9.2)m Deferred taxation $(3.8m) $0.0m $(3.8m) (Loss)/gain on disposal of investment $(9.8m) $0.2m $(9.6m) (Loss)/gain on disposal of properties (IFRS) $(132.9m) $43.0m $(89.9m) Revaluations $(154.5m) $90.1m $(64.4m) Operating surplus/(deficit) (pre tax)
- 25.1%
$28.0m $35.0m Interest expense
- 29.3%
13.5 (12.2) Post tax earnings per units (cents) 3.8% $84.6m $87.8m Net rental income $71.7m $75.6m FY08 $(134.8m) 2.5% Change $(63.1m) $77.5m FY09 Operating surplus (post tax) Operating surplus (pre disposals, revals & tax)
Financial position
- 17.6%
$700.5m $577.1m Unitholders’ funds
- 5.3%
37.7% 39.7% Debt-to-total-assets ratio 3.0% 514.3m 529.7m Securities on issue
- 20.0%
136.2c 108.9c Net asset backing per unit (cents)
- 9.9%
$1,167.3m $1,051.6m Total property value 6.2% $457.3m $429.8m Bank debt FY08 Change FY09
Interest rate management
- Main facility was reduced post year end by $100m to $500m following the close-
- ut of $100m of interest rate swaps.
- Weighted duration of facilities of 1.45 years.
- Debt hedged 88.2% at 31 March 2009, reduced to 64.3% by 30 April 2009.
- Interest rate paid (incl margins and fees) in FY09 was 7.01% (compared with
7.20% in FY08).
- Duration of hedge portfolio was 5.1 years, reducing to 4.7 years by 30 April
2009.
Hedge expiry by calendar year
50.4% 10.8% 10.2% 7.2% 5.4% 16.1% 0.0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Average swap rate
7.3% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3% 7.1%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Covenants
2.14 x
- Equal or exceed 2.00 times
$79.7m
- Operating surplus
$37.3m
- Net interest expense
Interest cover ratio - based on 12 months - 40.5% Not to exceed 45% $1016.4m $411.3m
- Fair market value of properties
- Total money borrowed from ANZ
Loan to valuation ratio - based on - Bank loan facility - ANZ 39.7% Not to exceed 50% $ 1,081.8m
- Gross value of Trust fund
Borrowing limitation $429.8m Total money borrowed FY09 Trust Deed
Distributable income
$0.0m $3.8m Plus investment disposal $0.2m $4.5m Plus/minus derivative fair value adjustment $1.3m $1.3m Plus management rights amortisation
- 5.4%
9.95c 9.41c Gross distributable income per unit (cents) $(43.0m) $89.9m Plus revaluations losses/(gains) Adjust for: $52.9m $46.6m Gross distributable income
- $8.0m
- $7.3m
Current tax $90.9m $(64.4m) Profit before tax $44.9m $39.3m Net distributable income 5.2% 8.44c 8.00c Net distributable income per unit (cents) $3.5m FY08 Change $11.5m FY09 Plus property sales IFRS adjustment*
* The difference between gains on disposal of properties calculated under NZIFRS and old NZGAAP.
Distribution
The full year gross distribution target sustained at 8.0 cents per unit.
2.375 0.345 2.030 September 2.375 0.0 2.375 FY08 June 1.148 0.363 0.440 Imputation Credits 9.850 2.550 2.550 Gross Distribution 8.702 2.187 2.110 Cash Distribution March Total December Distribution (cpu) 2.242 0.300 1.942 September 2.592 0.417 2.175 FY09 June 1.408 0.394 0.297 Imputation Credits 9.408 2.335 2.239 Gross Distribution 8.000 1.941 1.942 Cash Distribution March Total December Distribution (cpu)
Gearing
ING Property - Gearing Movment
from 30 September 2008 to 31 March 2009 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 Opening Property sales IMP sale Reval Capex Closing Gearing %
Investment properties - profile
Total Retail Commercial Industrial 4.65 3.77 3.60 5.03 2008 4.24 4.51 3.74 4.64 2009 Weighted average lease term 99.1% 99.3% 99.5% 98.1% 2008 97.8% 97.8% 93.4% 99.0% 2009 Occupancy 1.27% 6.63% 1.27% 5.20% Minimum 11.34% 9.94% 11.34% 11.27% Maximum 8.51% 7.92% 8.66% 8.91% Average Contract capitalisation rate 9.18% 8.58% 9.82%. 9.12% Average Market capitalisation rate
Unit price
60 70 80 90 100 110 120 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Gross Prices Indexed to 100 ING Property Trust NZ Property Gross Index NZX 50 Index
Strategy
- Risk mitigation – both income and value
- Capital management – debt reduction
- Portfolio structuring for the future
The Trust’s strategy, while unchanged in the long term, has been revised in the more immediate term. The current strategy is focused on three key areas:
Risk mitigation
Diversification by location and sector
71% 3% 16% 10% Auckland Hamilton Wellington Regional
Assets by sector Assets by region
35% 34% 31% Office Industrial Retail
Risk mitigation
Strong occupancy and weighted average lease term
90% 92% 94% 96% 98% 100% Office Industrial Retail Total
Occupancy by sector WALT by sector
1 2 3 4 5 6 Office Industrial Retail Total
Diversification by tenant
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0%
H o me and Leisure Gro up N o el Leeming Gro up F o nterra C o Operative Gro up Limited T o nkin & T aylo r Limited Ezibuy Limited T ruck Leasing Limited (Esanda) H P P ackaging N ew Wave Lo gistics (A ustralia) P ty Limited A mco r P ackaging IB M N ew Z ealand Limited P eter B aker T ranspo rt Limited T e P uni Ko kiri Easy Lo gistics Limited KM A R T A N Z B ank (N Z ) Limited D eutsche P o st Wo rld N et B unnings Limited T he Wareho use Limited B risco es Gro up Limited D epartment o f Internal A ffairs
Risk mitigation
Diversification by lease maturity
2.41% 10.22% 3.67% 5.31% 4.19% 5.84% 11.74% 18.13% 10.98% 11.70% 15.80% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 18.00% 20.00% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Capital management – debt reduction
- 17 property sales for $116.2m
- Liquidity under $20m
- Activity from high net worth individuals, syndicators and owner
- ccupiers
- Little quality stock on the market in the right price range
- Enquiry levels have improved
- $100m target for FY2010
- $46m of conditional sales contracts
Capital management
- Assets held at realistic values – backed up by sales
- Liquidity in market for assets under $20m
- Unitholder dilution issues
- Debt issues can be managed by sales without requirement to raise
capital
- Loan to value target is 35%
- Intention to sell $100m of property in current financial year
Valuations
- Decline of 8.3% at year end, including 1.3% interim decline
- Liquid part of the market – less than $20m
- Current market activity suggests values to be stable at this level
- Little quality stock on the market has helped sales activity
- Yield on market rentals over 9.1%
- Valuations completed by DTZ New Zealand, Jones Lang LaSalle
and Colliers International
Rent reviews – rental growth
6.10% 7.60% 10.20% 8.40%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 2006 2007 2008 2009
Growth of rentals actually reviewed during the year.
… leaving supply as the major vacancy driver
Previous Cycles – Supply vs Demand
Auckland CBD Office Supply vs Absorption
- 40,000
- 20,000
20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 D e c
- 8
5 D e c
- 8
6 D e c
- 8
7 D e c
- 8
8 D e c
- 8
9 D e c
- 9
D e c
- 9
1 D e c
- 9
2 D e c
- 9
3 D e c
- 9
4 D e c
- 9
5 D e c
- 9
6 D e c
- 9
7 D e c
- 9
8 D e c
- 9
9 D e c
- D
e c
- 1
D e c
- 2
D e c
- 3
D e c
- 4
D e c
- 5
D e c
- 6
D e c
- 7
D e c
- 8
sqm
Supply Absorption Source: CBRE Research & Consulting
CBRE market forecasts
CBRE Composite Property Component Investment Returns
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 1 9 8 7 1 9 8 8 1 9 8 9 1 9 9 1 9 9 1 1 9 9 2 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 Annual Return (%)
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 Annual Return (%)
Capital return based on yield change Capital return based on rent change Income return Total return
Conclusion
- The market remains uncertain.
- Occupancy issues remain key
- The ING Property Trust portfolio is in good shape and relatively well
positioned
- Average size $10m – big advantage in this market in sales and leasing
- Strong diversification – gives good risk profile
- Current unit price factors in substantial negatives
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by ING Property Trust Management Limited. The details in this presentation provide general information only. It is not intended as investment or financial advice and must not be relied upon as such. You should obtain independent professional advice prior to making any decision relating to your investment or financial needs. This presentation is not an offer or invitation for subscription or purchase of securities or other financial
- products. Past performance is no indication of future performance. All