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Higher Education and the Future of Wisconsin Presented to the Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System Milwaukee, Wisconsin June 7, 2007 National Center for Higher Education Management Systems National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301-2251

The Management Cycle Planning Resource Assessment Allocation Strategic Management —The allocation of resources to programmed activities calculated to achieve a set of goals. 2

The Management Cycle in a Public Institution State Planning Institution State State Resource Assessment Allocation Institution Institution 3

Strategic Planning at the State/System Level Creating a “Public Agenda”— Identifying Those Key Issues Facing the State Which the System of Higher Education Can Help Address 4

Relationship Between Educational Attainment, Personal Income, and Economic Strength $30,000 High I ncom e, Low Educational Attainm ent High I ncom e, High Educational Attainm ent CT State New Economy Index (2002) Top Tier Middle Tier NJ Low Tier MA MD $25,000 CO VA NH NY DE MN Personal Income I L W A CA AK Per Capita, 2000 NV MI RI US FL HI W I GA OH OR PA VT KS I N NC AZ $20,000 MO I A ME NE TN TX W Y SC AL UT KY ND I D OK SD NM MT LA AR W V MS Low I ncom e, Low Educational Attainm ent Low I ncom e, High Educational Attainm ent $15,000 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher 5

Relationship Between Educational Attainment and High Tech Employment 12 High Tech Em ploym ent, Low Educational Attainm ent High Tech Em ploym ent, High Educational Attainm ent MA CO NH Correlation = 0.76 9 CA Percentage Employment VA in High Tech NJ MN Occupations CT W A MD UT OR VT 6 I D NM AZ TX NY NE GA I L SD US PA NC RI FL I A KS MO OH W I I N DE ME AL 3 MI OK NV TN ND SC AR KY W V AK HI MS MT LA W Y Low Tech Em ploym ent, Low Educational Attainm ent Low Tech Em ploym ent, High Educational Attainm ent 0 15 20 25 30 35 40 Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Source: State New Economy Index, U.S. Census Bureau 6

Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Health 30 MN NH VT Correlation = 0.69 UT HI MA ND 15 CT W I I A ME NE CO RI State Health W A Index, United KS NJ SD VA I D Health Foundation OR PA CA AZ AK OH MT W Y I L 0 NY I N US DE MI MD TX MO NV NM KY OK NC FL W V AL GA AR SC TN -15 MS LA -30 10% 20% 30% 40% Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Source: United Health Foundation, U.S. Census Bureau 7 7

Educational Attainment of Adults Age 18-64—Total U.S. Population vs. Prison Population (Percent) 50 Total Population 43.1 Prison Population 40 34.0 31.6 29.3 30 22.6 20 12.3 10.1 9.6 10 4.5 2.9 0 Less than Grades 9-12 High School Some College, College Graduate 9th Grade (No Diploma) Graduate No Degree or Higher (or Equivalent) Source: U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics 2002 data, U.S. Census Bureau 2005 data 8

9 Maine Massachusetts 153.1 Minnesota New Hampshire North Dakota Incarceration Rate by State in 2005—Prisoners Under Nebraska Federal and State Jurisdiction per 100,000 Residents Utah Washington West Virginia Iowa New Jersey New York Kansas Vermont Rhode Island New Mexico Pennsylvania Illinois Oregon Montana Indiana Ohio Wyoming Maryland Wisconsin North Carolina 410.4 Tennessee Source: U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau South Dakota Colorado Virginia Kentucky California Idaho Hawaii Arkansas Nevada Michigan Florida United States 514.8 Missouri Georgia South Carolina Connecticut Arizona Alabama Oklahoma Mississippi Alaska Texas Louisiana Delaware 823.2 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0

The Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Employment in the Arts, 2005 20 Employment in Arts and Entertainment per 1,000 Employees NY CA 16 CT OR NV UT VT CO RI MA FL W A NM 12 NJ HI GA US MN NH ME MT MI MD W I I L VA AK MO PA TN TX AZ I N SC OH NC KS OK I D NE LA 8 W V MS DE W Y KY AR AL I A ND SD 4 15 20 25 30 35 40 Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with Bachelor’s Degrees, 2005 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey 10

Strategic Decision Areas Basic Purposes of the Enterprise and Its Guiding Basic Mission Principles for Behavior Target Audiences to Be Served Clientele Program Offerings and Priorities of the Enterprise Program/ Service Mix “Differential Advantage” Sought Over Other Comparative Organizations Engaged in Similar Activities Advantage Changes Needed in Human, Physical, Information Assets or Intangible Assets of the Enterprise What the Organization Must Accomplish in Order Objectives to Move from Existing to Desired State of Affairs 11

Population 12

Total Population, 2005 Douglas Bayfield Iron Ashland Vilas Sawyer Burnett Florence Washburn Oneida Price Forest Marinette Rusk Barron Polk Lincoln Langlade Taylor Chippewa St. Croix Menominee Dunn Oconto Marathon Shawano Door 99,844 to 921,654 Clark Eau Claire Pierce Pepin Kewaunee Portage 49,671 to 99,844 Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown 30,319 to 49,671 Jackson Outagamie Buffalo Manitowoc Waushara 17,134 to 30,319 Winnebago Monroe Adams Calumet 4,580 to 17,134 Green Lake La Crosse Juneau Fond du Lac Marquette Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee Sauk Richland Washington Crawford Waukesha Dane Iowa Jefferson Milwaukee Grant Racine Rock Green Walworth Lafayette Kenosha Wisconsin = 5,536,201 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates 13

14 a t o k a D h a t r i o n N g i r V i t Population Projections—Percent Change, 2000-25 s e W o i h O a w o k I r o Y w a i e n N a v l y s n n e P a k s a a r t b o e k N a D h t u o S a n a i s u i o L g n i m o y W s o i n i l l I n a g i h c i i M p p i s s i s s i M a m a b a t l u A c i t c e n n o C s s a s t t n e s a K u h c a s d s n a a M l s I e d o h R a n a i d n a I m o h a l k O e n i a M y k c u t n e K i r u o s s i M n i s n o c s y W i e 13.5 s r e J w e N a n a t n o M t n o m o r e c i V x e M w e N s a s n a k r A i a i w s e a t H a t S d e t i n a U 24.2 t o s e n n i M e e s s e a n n i n l e o T r a C h t u o S e r a w a l e D d n a e l r y i h r s a M p m a H w e N o d a r o l o C a i n r o f l i a C a k s a A l a n i i g r V i n Source: U.S. Census Bureau o g e n r O o t g n i h s a W a i g a r n o i e l o G r a C h t r o N o h a d I h a t U s a x e T a d i r o l F a n o z i r A a d a v e 93.3 N 100 80 60 40 20 0

15 West Virginia -22.9 Population Projections, College-Age Residents (Age 18-24)— Wyoming -22.8 North Dakota -22.6 Montana -16.7 Maine -16.7 Iowa -16.3 South Dakota -15.6 Mississippi -10.7 New Mexico -9.7 Vermont -9.4 Pennsylvania -7.0 Ohio -6.9 Rhode Island -6.6 Wisconsin -6.1 Alabama -5.6 Michigan -5.0 Louisiana -4.8 Kansas -4.6 New York -4.1 Nebraska -3.7 Illinois 0.1 Indiana 0.6 Kentucky 1.2 Oklahoma Percent Change from 2000 to 2025 2.6 Delaware 3.4 Missouri 3.5 Connecticut 3.9 Arkansas 6.1 Massachusetts 6.4 New Hampshire 6.9 New Jersey 9.5 South Carolina 9.6 Minnesota 9.8 Idaho 10.0 United States 14.1 Oregon 15.2 Tennessee 19.0 California 19.9 Washington 22.3 Utah 23.2 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Hawaii 26.4 Colorado 26.4 Maryland 31.6 Virginia 32.6 Alaska 35.9 Georgia 36.2 Texas 38.9 North Carolina 41.8 Florida 48.4 Arizona 67.3 Nevada 74.1 75 50 25 0 -25

Percent Change in Total Population, 2005-2025 Douglas Bayfield Iron Ashland Vilas Sawyer Burnett Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Rusk Barron Polk Lincoln Langlade Taylor Chippewa St. Croix Menominee Dunn Oconto Marathon Shawano Door Clark Eau Claire Pierce Pepin Kewaunee Portage 16.1% to 39.3% Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Jackson Outagamie 12.5% to 16.1% Buffalo Manitowoc Waushara 9.4% to 12.5% Winnebago Monroe Adams Calumet 5.7% to 9.4% Green Lake La Crosse Juneau Fond du Lac -2.3% to 5.7% Marquette Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee Sauk Richland Washington Crawford Waukesha Dane Iowa Jefferson Milwaukee Grant Racine Rock Green Walworth Lafayette Kenosha Wisconsin = 12.8% Source: Wisconsin Department of Administration, Population and Household Projections 2000-30 16

Projected Change in Wisconsin Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2000-20 282,442 White African American Hispanic Other 300,000 189,220 200,000 100,000 39,126 38,281 32,242 24,224 24,726 22,864 23,980 21,772 20,325 14,765 13,362 11,764 12,469 9,257 4,870 0 0-17 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ -56,139 -100,000 -106,304 -161,566 -200,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 17