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Higher Education and the Future of Wisconsin Presented to the Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System Milwaukee, Wisconsin June 7, 2007 National Center for Higher Education Management Systems National Center for Higher


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SLIDE 1

Higher Education and the Future of Wisconsin

Presented to the

Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System

Milwaukee, Wisconsin

June 7, 2007

National Center for Higher Education Management Systems National Center for Higher Education Management Systems

3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301-2251

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SLIDE 2

2

The Management Cycle

Strategic Management —The allocation of resources to programmed activities calculated to achieve a set of goals. Assessment Planning Resource Allocation

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SLIDE 3

3

The Management Cycle in a Public Institution

State Planning Institution State Institution Resource Allocation State Assessment Institution

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SLIDE 4

4

Strategic Planning at the State/System Level

Creating a “Public Agenda”— Identifying Those Key Issues Facing the State Which the System of Higher Education Can Help Address

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SLIDE 5

Relationship Between Educational Attainment, Personal Income, and Economic Strength

5

AL AZ AR CA CO CT DE I L I N I A KY LA MD MA MS NJ NY ND OK OR SC SD UT VA W A MN NH TN TX W V W I W Y $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000

15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Personal Income Per Capita, 2000 Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

MT HI AK GA KS ME NE NV NC OH PA VT I D MI MO NM RI FL US Low I ncom e, High Educational Attainm ent Low I ncom e, Low Educational Attainm ent High I ncom e, High Educational Attainm ent High I ncom e, Low Educational Attainm ent

State New Economy Index (2002) Top Tier Middle Tier Low Tier

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SLIDE 6

Relationship Between Educational Attainment and High Tech Employment

Source: State New Economy Index, U.S. Census Bureau

6

AK AZ AR DE GA HI I L I N I A KS LA ME MD MA MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD VT VA W A US AL CA CO CT FL I D KY MI MN MS MO NH NM TN TX UT W V W I W Y

3 6 9 12 15 20 25 30 35 40

High Tech Em ploym ent, High Educational Attainm ent High Tech Em ploym ent, Low Educational Attainm ent Low Tech Em ploym ent, High Educational Attainm ent Low Tech Em ploym ent, Low Educational Attainm ent

Percentage Employment in High Tech Occupations Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

Correlation = 0.76

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SLIDE 7

7

Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Health

Source: United Health Foundation, U.S. Census Bureau

Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher State Health Index, United Health Foundation

AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE GA HI I L I N I A KS KY LA ME MD MA MS MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD UT VT VA W A US FL I D MI MN MO NH NM TN TX W V W I W Y

  • 30
  • 15

15 30 10% 20% 30% 40% Correlation = 0.69

7

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SLIDE 8

8

Educational Attainment of Adults Age 18-64—Total U.S. Population vs. Prison Population (Percent)

4.5 9.6 29.3 22.6 34.0 12.3 31.6 43.1 10.1 2.9

10 20 30 40 50

Less than 9th Grade Grades 9-12 (No Diploma) High School Graduate (or Equivalent) Some College, No Degree College Graduate

  • r Higher

Total Population Prison Population

Source: U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics 2002 data, U.S. Census Bureau 2005 data

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SLIDE 9

9

Incarceration Rate by State in 2005—Prisoners Under Federal and State Jurisdiction per 100,000 Residents

410.4 153.1 823.2 514.8

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

Delaware Louisiana Texas Alaska Mississippi Oklahoma Alabama Arizona Connecticut South Carolina Georgia Missouri United States Florida Michigan Nevada Arkansas Hawaii Idaho California Kentucky Virginia Colorado South Dakota Tennessee North Carolina Wisconsin Maryland Wyoming Ohio Indiana Montana Oregon Illinois Pennsylvania New Mexico Rhode Island Vermont Kansas New York New Jersey Iowa West Virginia Washington Utah Nebraska North Dakota New Hampshire Minnesota Massachusetts Maine

Source: U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau

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SLIDE 10

10

The Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Employment in the Arts, 2005

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey

Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with Bachelor’s Degrees, 2005 Employment in Arts and Entertainment per 1,000 Employees

AK AZ AR DE GA HI I L I N I A KS LA ME MD MA MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD VT VA W A US AL CA CO CT FL I D KY MI MN MS MO NH NM TN TX UT W V W I W Y

4 8 12 16 20 15 20 25 30 35 40

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SLIDE 11

11

Strategic Decision Areas

Basic Mission Clientele Program/ Service Mix Comparative Advantage Assets Objectives Basic Purposes of the Enterprise and Its Guiding Principles for Behavior Target Audiences to Be Served Program Offerings and Priorities of the Enterprise “Differential Advantage” Sought Over Other Organizations Engaged in Similar Activities Changes Needed in Human, Physical, Information

  • r Intangible Assets of the Enterprise

What the Organization Must Accomplish in Order to Move from Existing to Desired State of Affairs

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SLIDE 12

12

Population

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SLIDE 13

13

Total Population, 2005

Wisconsin = 5,536,201 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

99,844 to 921,654 49,671 to 99,844 30,319 to 49,671 17,134 to 30,319 4,580 to 17,134

Marquette Green Lake Dodge Juneau Fond du Lac Calumet Ozaukee Sheboygan Adams Monroe Winnebago Lafayette Rock Walworth Jefferson Kenosha Racine Milwaukee Waushara Outagamie Manitowoc Buffalo Trempealeau Pepin Waukesha Washington Burnett Washburn Florence Forest Menominee Shawano Oconto Door Kewaunee La Crosse Vernon Portage Polk Bayfield Ashland Marinette Barron Brown Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Grant Green Iowa Iron Jackson Langlade Lincoln Marathon Oneida Pierce Price Richland Rusk Sauk Sawyer

  • St. Croix

Taylor Vilas Waupaca Wood

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SLIDE 14

14

Population Projections—Percent Change, 2000-25

13.5 24.2 93.3

20 40 60 80 100

N e v a d a A r i z

  • n

a F l

  • r

i d a T e x a s U t a h I d a h

  • N
  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a G e

  • r

g i a W a s h i n g t

  • n

O r e g

  • n

V i r g i n i a A l a s k a C a l i f

  • r

n i a C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • N

e w H a m p s h i r e M a r y l a n d D e l a w a r e S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a T e n n e s s e e M i n n e s

  • t

a U n i t e d S t a t e s H a w a i i A r k a n s a s N e w M e x i c

  • V

e r m

  • n

t M

  • n

t a n a N e w J e r s e y W i s c

  • n

s i n M i s s

  • u

r i K e n t u c k y M a i n e O k l a h

  • m

a I n d i a n a R h

  • d

e I s l a n d M a s s a c h u s e t t s K a n s a s C

  • n

n e c t i c u t A l a b a m a M i s s i s s i p p i M i c h i g a n I l l i n

  • i

s W y

  • m

i n g L

  • u

i s i a n a S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a N e b r a s k a P e n n s y l v a n i a N e w Y

  • r

k I

  • w

a O h i

  • W

e s t V i r g i n i a N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

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SLIDE 15

15

Population Projections, College-Age Residents (Age 18-24)— Percent Change from 2000 to 2025

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

74.1 67.3 48.4 41.8 38.9 36.2 35.9 32.6 31.6 26.4 26.4 23.2 22.3 19.9 19.0 15.2 14.1 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.5 6.9 6.4 6.1 3.9 3.5 3.4 2.6 1.2 0.6 0.1

  • 3.7
  • 4.6
  • 4.8
  • 5.0
  • 5.6
  • 6.1
  • 6.6
  • 6.9
  • 7.0
  • 9.4
  • 9.7
  • 10.7
  • 15.6
  • 16.3
  • 16.7
  • 16.7
  • 22.6
  • 22.9
  • 22.8
  • 4.1
  • 25

25 50 75

Nevada Arizona Florida North Carolina Texas Georgia Alaska Virginia Maryland Colorado Hawaii Utah Washington California Tennessee Oregon United States Idaho Minnesota South Carolina New Jersey New Hampshire Massachusetts Arkansas Connecticut Missouri Delaware Oklahoma Kentucky Indiana Illinois

Nebraska New York Kansas Louisiana Michigan Alabama Wisconsin Rhode Island Ohio Pennsylvania Vermont New Mexico Mississippi South Dakota Iowa Maine Montana North Dakota Wyoming West Virginia

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SLIDE 16

16

Percent Change in Total Population, 2005-2025

Wisconsin = 12.8% Source: Wisconsin Department of Administration, Population and Household Projections 2000-30

16.1% to 39.3% 12.5% to 16.1% 9.4% to 12.5% 5.7% to 9.4%

  • 2.3% to 5.7%

Marquette Green Lake Dodge Juneau Fond du Lac Calumet Ozaukee Sheboygan Adams Monroe Winnebago Lafayette Rock Walworth Jefferson Kenosha Racine Milwaukee Waushara Outagamie Manitowoc Buffalo Trempealeau Pepin Waukesha Washington Burnett Washburn Florence Forest Menominee Shawano Oconto Door Kewaunee La Crosse Vernon Portage Polk Bayfield Ashland Marinette Barron Brown Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Grant Green Iowa Iron Jackson Langlade Lincoln Marathon Oneida Pierce Price Richland Rusk Sauk Sawyer

  • St. Croix

Taylor Vilas Waupaca Wood

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SLIDE 17

17

Projected Change in Wisconsin Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2000-20

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  • 106,304
  • 56,139
  • 161,566

189,220 282,442 39,126 11,764 24,224 38,281 23,980 14,765 4,870 20,325 24,726 13,362 32,242 9,257 21,772 22,864 12,469

  • 200,000
  • 100,000

100,000 200,000 300,000

0-17 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+

White African American Hispanic Other

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SLIDE 18

18

Total Minority Population, 2005

Wisconsin = 777,003 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

6,037 to 384,219 2,460 to 6,037 1,403 to 2,460 586 to 1,403 83 to 586

Marquette Green Lake Dodge Juneau Fond du Lac Calumet Ozaukee Sheboygan Adams Monroe Winnebago Lafayette Rock Walworth Jefferson Kenosha Racine Milwaukee Waushara Outagamie Manitowoc Buffalo Trempealeau Pepin Waukesha Washington Burnett Washburn Florence Forest Menominee Shawano Oconto Door Kewaunee La Crosse Vernon Portage Polk Bayfield Ashland Marinette Barron Brown Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Grant Green Iowa Iron Jackson Langlade Lincoln Marathon Oneida Pierce Price Richland Rusk Sauk Sawyer

  • St. Croix

Taylor Vilas Waupaca Wood

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SLIDE 19

19

Counties Where 80% of Minority Population Reside, 2005

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

1.5% to 100% 0.0% to 1.5%

Marquette Green Lake Dodge Juneau Fond du Lac Calumet Ozaukee Sheboygan Adams Monroe Winnebago Lafayette Rock Walworth Jefferson Kenosha Racine Milwaukee Waushara Outagamie Manitowoc Buffalo Trempealeau Pepin Waukesha Washington Burnett Washburn Florence Forest Menominee Shawano Oconto Door Kewaunee La Crosse Vernon Portage Polk Bayfield Ashland Marinette Barron Brown Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Grant Green Iowa Iron Jackson Langlade Lincoln Marathon Oneida Pierce Price Richland Rusk Sauk Sawyer

  • St. Croix

Taylor Vilas Waupaca Wood

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SLIDE 20

20

Economy and the Workforce

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SLIDE 21

21

Percent of Total Gross State Product by Industry and Comparison to U.S.

1.8 0.1 4.1 24.5 4.9 5.8 6.5 17.9 23.5 10.9 1.5 0.1 4.4 22.5 4.9 5.5 6.6 18.6 25.1 10.7 1.0 1.3 4.6 12.8 5.0 5.9 6.8 20.8 29.9 11.9

10 20 30

Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing Mining Construction Manufacturing

  • Transp. &

Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Finance, Insurance, Real Estate Services Government

Wisconsin 1997 Wisconsin 2004 U.S. 2004

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

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SLIDE 22

22

Employment in High-Technology Establishments as Share of Total Employment by State, 2004

3.7 2.4 9.7

2 4 6 8 10

Washington Colorado Massachusetts Virginia Kansas California Maryland Connecticut New Hampshire New Jersey Utah New Mexico Idaho Arizona Vermont Texas Oregon Minnesota Georgia Alabama Delaware Michigan Pennsylvania Rhode Island North Carolina Nebraska Missouri Illinois New York Florida Indiana Alaska Ohio North Dakota Maine Wisconsin Oklahoma Iowa Arkansas South Dakota West Virginia Tennessee South Carolina Kentucky Hawaii Montana Nevada Louisiana Mississippi Wyoming

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CFED

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SLIDE 23

23

Projected Percent Change in Occupations Requiring Some Postsecondary Training, 2002-2012

19.6 11.0 21.4 46.3

10 20 30 40 50

N e v a d a U t a h C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • I

d a h

  • V

i r g i n i a A r i z

  • n

a F l

  • r

i d a G e

  • r

g i a N e w H a m p s h i r e N e w M e x i c

  • N
  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a T e x a s C a l i f

  • r

n i a M a r y l a n d K e n t u c k y M

  • n

t a n a M i s s i s s i p p i A r k a n s a s U n i t e d S t a t e s T e n n e s s e e H a w a i i M i n n e s

  • t

a W a s h i n g t

  • n

W i s c

  • n

s i n S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a V e r m

  • n

t O k l a h

  • m

a R h

  • d

e I s l a n d D e l a w a r e A l a b a m a N e w J e r s e y M i s s

  • u

r i W y

  • m

i n g I

  • w

a S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a M a i n e I n d i a n a O h i

  • O

r e g

  • n

N e b r a s k a L

  • u

i s i a n a M i c h i g a n I l l i n

  • i

s A l a s k a N e w Y

  • r

k C

  • n

n e c t i c u t N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a P e n n s y l v a n i a K a n s a s W e s t V i r g i n i a

Note: Some college, Associate, Bachelor’s and higher. Source: ACINet, Career InfoNet

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SLIDE 24

24

Wisconsin Projected Occupation Growth, Top 25 Occupations 2004-2014

Source: Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development, Office of Economic Advisors

3,440 3,590 3,650 3,660 3,890 4,030 4,050 4,140 4,210 4,340 4,560 5,190 6,040 6,690 6,920 6,980 7,060 8,200 8,360 8,780 9,510 11,110 16,010 3,470 3,300

6,000 12,000 18,000

Truck Drivers, Light or Delivery Services Child Care Workers Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners Computer Software Engineers, Applications Executive Secretaries & Administrative Assistants Team Assemblers Elementary School Teachers, exc. Special Education General & Operations Managers Accountants & Auditors Teacher Assistants Sales Reps., Wholesale & Manufacturing, exc. Technical/Scientific Products Receptionists & Information Clerks Business Operations Specialists, All Other Carpenters Nursing Aides, Orderlies, & Attendants Waiters & Waitresses Truck Drivers, Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Home Health Aides Personal & Home Care Aides Combined Food Prep./Serving Workers, incl. Fast Food Customer Service Representatives Janitors & Cleaners, exc. Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners Retail Salespersons Registered Nurses Landscaping & Groundskeeping Workers

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SLIDE 25

25

Wisconsin Projected Occupation Growth, Top 25 Occupations Typically Requiring Postsecondary Education 2004-2014

Source: Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development, Office of Economic Advisors

1,250 1,270 1,310 1,350 1,420 1,610 1,640 1,660 1,830 1,890 1,930 2,020 2,470 2,520 2,660 2,830 3,650 4,030 4,050 4,140 4,210 5,190 6,690 1,250 1,230

2,500 5,000 7,500 Middle School Teachers, exc. Special and Voc. Ed. Human Res., Training, & Labor Rel. Specs., All Child, Family, & School Social Workers Medical Transcriptionists Radiologic Technologists & Technicians Clergy Emergency Medical Technicians & Paramedics Licensed Practical & Licensed Vocational Nurses Computer Support Specialists Dental Hygienists Automotive Service Technicians & Mechanics Network & Computer Systems Administrators Hairdressers, Hairstylists, & Cosmetologists Network Systems & Data Communications Analysts Teachers & Instructors, All Other Preschool Teachers, exc. Special Education Secondary Teachers, exc. Special & Vocational Ed. Computer Systems Analysts Computer Software Engineers, Applications Elementary Teachers, exc. Special Education General & Operations Managers Accountants & Auditors Teacher Assistants Business Operations Specialists, All Other Nursing Aides, Orderlies, & Attendants Registered Nurses 16,010

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SLIDE 26

26

Projections of Working-Age Population (Age 18-64)— Percent Change from 2000 to 2025

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

76.4 68.9 49.3 38.9 38.9 36.8 31.2 29.8 28.7 25.3 24.6 21.4 19.6 18.6 17.6 17.2 17.1 16.5 15.8 14.4 14.0 11.0 9.6 7.2 7.0 6.6 5.7 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.2 0.3 0.3

  • 1.4
  • 1.8
  • 2.0
  • 2.3
  • 3.3
  • 3.7
  • 4.2
  • 10.9
  • 9.7

3.1

  • 40
  • 20

20 40 60 80

Nevada Arizona Florida Texas Utah Idaho North Carolina Georgia Washington Oregon California Virginia New Hampshire Maryland Minnesota Alaska Colorado United States Delaware Tennessee South Carolina Arkansas New Jersey Wisconsin Missouri Hawaii Vermont Kentucky Rhode Island Indiana Montana Michigan Oklahoma Mississippi New Mexico Massachusetts Kansas Maine Illinois Connecticut Alabama Louisiana

Pennsylvania South Dakota Nebraska New York Ohio Iowa Wyoming West Virginia North Dakota

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SLIDE 27

27

Percent of Civilian Population Participating in the Workforce, 2004

71.8 66.0 54.7 74.6

25 50 75

Minnesota Nebraska South Dakota Colorado North Dakota Wisconsin Kansas Wyoming Alaska New Hampshire Utah Vermont Iowa Maryland Missouri Idaho Washington Massachusetts Georgia Virginia Texas Indiana Nevada Ohio Montana Rhode Island Connecticut Delaware Illinois Oregon Maine Michigan United States North Carolina New Jersey California Arizona South Carolina Hawaii Pennsylvania Oklahoma New Mexico Tennessee New York Alabama Arkansas Florida Kentucky Mississippi Louisiana West Virginia Source: U.S. Census Bureau

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SLIDE 28

28

Percent of Civilians Age 25-64 Not in the Workforce By Education Attainment, 2005

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, PUMS (based on 2000 Census)

U.S. Wisconsin Less than High School 43.2 31.3 High School 27.0 20.5 Some College 20.7 17.2 Associate Degree 17.3 12.6 Bachelor’s Degree 15.4 14.2 Graduate/Prof. Degree 12.4 12.8

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SLIDE 29

29

Percent of Civilian Population Participating in the Workforce, 2004

Wisconsin = 70.8% Source: State of Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development

75% to 80% 70% to 75% 65% to 70% 60% to 65% 53% to 60%

Marquette Green Lake Dodge Juneau Fond du Lac Calumet Ozaukee Sheboygan Adams Monroe Winnebago Lafayette Rock Walworth Jefferson Kenosha Racine Milwaukee Waushara Outagamie Manitowoc Buffalo Trempealeau Pepin Waukesha Washington Burnett Washburn Florence Forest Menominee Shawano Oconto Door Kewaunee La Crosse Vernon Portage Polk Bayfield Ashland Marinette Barron Brown Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Grant Green Iowa Iron Jackson Langlade Lincoln Marathon Oneida Pierce Price Richland Rusk Sauk Sawyer

  • St. Croix

Taylor Vilas Waupaca Wood

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SLIDE 30

30

Educational Attainment and Rank Among States— Wisconsin, 2005

29th 26th 9th 13th 7th

10 20 30 40 50

Age 25-64 with Graduate/Prof. Degree Age 25-64 with Bachelor's or Higher Age 25-64 with Associate Degree Age 25-64 with High School Diploma Age 18-24 with High School Diploma 84.4% 8.7% 91.8% 10.1% 27.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey (ACS)

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31

Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group— Wisconsin, the U.S. and Leading OECD Countries, 2004

Source: Education at a Glance 2005, OECD

53.3 51.6 49.1 42.3 40.7 40.4 39.2 39.0 41.4 47.0 45.1 33.5 35.7 32.3 28.9 34.1 39.4 38.8 41.4 32.7 16.4 32.9 25.2 21.5 29.4 40.7 35.2 34.5 19.2 9.7 27.3 20.0 15.7 23.2 36.2 35.2

10 20 30 40 50 60

Canada Japan Korea Sweden Belgium Ireland Norway U.S. Wisconsin

Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55-64

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SLIDE 32

32

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an Associate Degree

  • r Higher, 2005

37.4 25.0 37.4 48.7

10 20 30 40 50

Massachusetts Connecticut Colorado New Jersey Minnesota New Hampshire Vermont Maryland New York Virginia North Dakota Washington Rhode Island Hawaii Nebraska Illinois California Utah Kansas South Dakota Iowa United States Wisconsin Oregon Maine Delaware Pennsylvania Florida Montana Alaska North Carolina Michigan Georgia Arizona Wyoming Idaho Ohio New Mexico South Carolina Missouri Texas Oklahoma Indiana Alabama Tennessee Mississippi Nevada Kentucky Louisiana Arkansas West Virginia

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS

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SLIDE 33

33

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree

  • r Higher, 2005

27.3 29.2 18.7 40.3

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Massachusetts Connecticut New Jersey Colorado Maryland Virginia Vermont New Hampshire New York Minnesota Rhode Island Illinois Washington California Kansas Hawaii Nebraska Delaware North Dakota United States Oregon Georgia Utah Pennsylvania Alaska Montana Wisconsin South Dakota Maine North Carolina Michigan Florida Iowa Arizona Missouri Texas New Mexico Ohio Wyoming Idaho South Carolina Oklahoma Tennessee Alabama Indiana Louisiana Nevada Kentucky Arkansas Mississippi West Virginia Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS

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34

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with at Least a Bachelor’s Degree, 2000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

23.3% to 43.5% 19.2% to 23.3% 16.7% to 19.2% 14.2% to 16.7% 10.1% to 14.2%

Marquette Green Lake Dodge Juneau Fond du Lac Calumet Ozaukee Sheboygan Adams Monroe Winnebago Lafayette Rock Walworth Jefferson Kenosha Racine Milwaukee Waushara Outagamie Manitowoc Buffalo Trempealeau Pepin Waukesha Washington Burnett Washburn Florence Forest Menominee Shawano Oconto Door Kewaunee La Crosse Vernon Portage Polk Bayfield Ashland Marinette Barron Brown Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Grant Green Iowa Iron Jackson Langlade Lincoln Marathon Oneida Pierce Price Richland Rusk Sauk Sawyer

  • St. Croix

Taylor Vilas Waupaca Wood

Dane = 43.5 Wisconsin = 24.9 Menominee = 10.1

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SLIDE 35

35

Educational Attainment of Young Workforce (Age 25-34) in Wisconsin—Indexed to Most Educated Country, 2005

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS; OECD

Females Males

White

Females Males

African-American

Females Males

Hispanic/ Latino

Females Males

Native American/ AK Native

Females Males

Asian/ Pacific Islander

Bachelor's Degree

  • r Higher

All College Degrees (Associate or Higher)

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

Norway U.S. Index = 81%

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

Canada U.S. Index = 72%

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SLIDE 36

36

Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of U.S. Average—Wisconsin, 1960-2000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey (1960, 1970, 1980, 1990, and 2000)

97.3 99.8 92.7 99.2 95.6 80 90 100 110 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 U.S. Average

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SLIDE 37

37

Wisconsin Median Earnings Age 25-64 by Degree Level, 2005

28,333 35,672 40,768 45,965 61,151 77,458 45,864 21,199 29,557 35,162 38,729 49,635 61,151 36,691 25,480 30,576 34,652 38,729 45,864 57,075 36,691

$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000

Less than High School High School Some College, No Degree Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate/Prof. Degree All Levels

Top State United States Wisconsin

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File

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SLIDE 38

38

Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and an Associate Degree—Population Age 18-64, 2005

7,134 10,192 3,058 14,269

$0 $3,000 $6,000 $9,000 $12,000 $15,000

A l a s k a C a l i f

  • r

n i a N e w J e r s e y M a r y l a n d T e x a s A r i z

  • n

a M i c h i g a n V i r g i n i a I d a h

  • D

e l a w a r e G e

  • r

g i a M i s s

  • u

r i U n i t e d S t a t e s N e w M e x i c

  • S
  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a C

  • n

n e c t i c u t A l a b a m a C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • F

l

  • r

i d a K e n t u c k y O r e g

  • n

T e n n e s s e e W a s h i n g t

  • n

I l l i n

  • i

s H a w a i i M a s s a c h u s e t t s N e v a d a W y

  • m

i n g L

  • u

i s i a n a U t a h M a i n e I n d i a n a M i n n e s

  • t

a N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a O h i

  • O

k l a h

  • m

a P e n n s y l v a n i a V e r m

  • n

t W i s c

  • n

s i n N e w H a m p s h i r e R h

  • d

e I s l a n d N e w Y

  • r

k A r k a n s a s K a n s a s M i s s i s s i p p i N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a W e s t V i r g i n i a N e b r a s k a I

  • w

a M

  • n

t a n a

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File

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SLIDE 39

39

Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and a Bachelor’s Degree—Population Age 18-64, 2005

15,288 20,384 10,192 25,480

$0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000

C a l i f

  • r

n i a A l a s k a V i r g i n i a C

  • n

n e c t i c u t N e w J e r s e y G e

  • r

g i a M a r y l a n d M i c h i g a n T e x a s W a s h i n g t

  • n

N e w Y

  • r

k A r i z

  • n

a U n i t e d S t a t e s I l l i n

  • i

s A l a b a m a A r k a n s a s C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • M

a s s a c h u s e t t s M i n n e s

  • t

a O r e g

  • n

N e w M e x i c

  • N

e w H a m p s h i r e I d a h

  • I

n d i a n a M i s s

  • u

r i N e v a d a O h i

  • P

e n n s y l v a n i a R h

  • d

e I s l a n d D e l a w a r e F l

  • r

i d a H a w a i i N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a T e n n e s s e e U t a h K a n s a s K e n t u c k y N e b r a s k a O k l a h

  • m

a W i s c

  • n

s i n M a i n e M i s s i s s i p p i L

  • u

i s i a n a W e s t V i r g i n i a V e r m

  • n

t W y

  • m

i n g I

  • w

a M

  • n

t a n a N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File

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SLIDE 40

40

The Education Pipeline

slide-41
SLIDE 41

41

Key Transition Points in the Education Pipeline

■ Complete High School ■ Enter College ■ Finish College ■ Enter the Workplace

slide-42
SLIDE 42

42

Student Pipeline, 2004

91.3 57.3 42.0 27.3 69.7 38.8 26.9 18.4 78.0 45.6 33.5 23.7 42.3 29.7 28.8

20 40 60 80 100

Graduate from High School Directly Enter College Enroll in Second Year Graduate Within 150% of Program Time Age 25-44 with Bachelor's Degree Best Performing State United States Wisconsin

Source: NCES Common Core Data, IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey, IPEDS Enrollment Survey, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

Of 100 9th Graders, How Many…

slide-43
SLIDE 43

43

Percent of Racial/Ethnic Groups at Each Stage of the Education Pipeline, 2004—Wisconsin

83.0 88.0 85.9 84.8 7.4 5.1 4.4 5.0 3.7 4.7 3.0 2.7 2.8 2.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 2.5 2.9 3.0 2.6 2.3 85.5

15 30 45 60 75 90

18-Year-Olds High School Graduates First-Time Freshman All Other Undergraduates Completers

White Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic Hispanic Native American Asian

Source: U.S. Census Bureau; WICHE High School Graduates; NCES College Participation and Completion

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SLIDE 44

44

High School Graduation Rates—Public High School Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years Earlier, 2004

78.0 69.7 50.7 91.3

20 40 60 80 100 N e w J e r s e y U t a h N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a I

  • w

a N e b r a s k a M i n n e s

  • t

a V e r m

  • n

t S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a I d a h

  • M
  • n

t a n a P e n n s y l v a n i a W i s c

  • n

s i n M a i n e M i s s

  • u

r i K a n s a s O h i

  • C
  • n

n e c t i c u t N e w H a m p s h i r e I l l i n

  • i

s A r k a n s a s W y

  • m

i n g M a s s a c h u s e t t s O k l a h

  • m

a M a r y l a n d C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • V

i r g i n i a W e s t V i r g i n i a O r e g

  • n

R h

  • d

e I s l a n d C a l i f

  • r

n i a W a s h i n g t

  • n

I n d i a n a U n i t e d S t a t e s M i c h i g a n L

  • u

i s i a n a T e x a s D e l a w a r e H a w a i i K e n t u c k y A r i z

  • n

a N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a T e n n e s s e e A l a s k a N e w Y

  • r

k N e w M e x i c

  • A

l a b a m a M i s s i s s i p p i F l

  • r

i d a G e

  • r

g i a S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a N e v a d a Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity (rev. 071106)

slide-45
SLIDE 45

45 45

slide-46
SLIDE 46

46

Public High School Graduates, 2002-2003

Wisconsin = 67,057 Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration

1,366 to 8,957 715 to 1,366 438 to 715 226 to 438 59 to 226

Marquette Green Lake Dodge Juneau Fond du Lac Calumet Ozaukee Sheboygan Adams Monroe Winnebago Lafayette Rock Walworth Jefferson Kenosha Racine Milwaukee Waushara Outagamie Manitowoc Buffalo Trempealeau Pepin Waukesha Washington Burnett Washburn Florence Forest Menominee Shawano Oconto Door Kewaunee La Crosse Vernon Portage Polk Bayfield Ashland Marinette Barron Brown Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Grant Green Iowa Iron Jackson Langlade Lincoln Marathon Oneida Pierce Price Richland Rusk Sauk Sawyer

  • St. Croix

Taylor Vilas Waupaca Wood

slide-47
SLIDE 47

47

Projections of High School Graduates to 2018 By Race/Ethnicity—Wisconsin

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 White (52,835 to 46,155) Hispanic (1,557 to 6,643) Black, Non-Hispanic (2,835 to 3,156) Asian/Pacific Islander (1,567 to 2,286) American Indian/Alaskan Native (547 to 637)

Source: WICHE Projections of High School Graduates

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SLIDE 48

48

College-Going Rates—First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of High School as a Percent of Recent High School Graduates, 2004

58.5 55.5 68.8 42.6

25 50 75

South Dakota New York North Dakota South Carolina Minnesota North Carolina Georgia Massachusetts New Jersey Indiana Iowa New Mexico Kansas Connecticut Alabama Mississippi Nebraska Pennsylvania Wyoming Michigan Maryland Wisconsin Montana Colorado Virginia Kentucky Arkansas Rhode Island United States New Hampshire Illinois Nevada Louisiana Delaware Florida West Virginia Oklahoma Ohio Missouri Texas Hawaii Maine Arizona Tennessee Idaho Oregon Alaska California Vermont Washington Utah

Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity (2004 data update 02-06-07)

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SLIDE 49

49

Percent of First-Time Freshmen Who Attend College Within Their Reported State of Residence, Fall 2004

83.3 84.1 42.4 93.4

20 40 60 80 100

Mississippi Utah Texas California Louisiana North Carolina Michigan Oklahoma Florida Alabama Arizona South Carolina Kentucky Arkansas Iowa Indiana Georgia Kansas West Virginia Ohio Pennsylvania Missouri United States Tennessee Colorado Nevada Wisconsin New York Nebraska Oregon New Mexico Virginia Minnesota Illinois Washington Idaho South Dakota Montana North Dakota Massachusetts Delaware Wyoming Maryland Hawaii Rhode Island Maine New Jersey Connecticut Alaska New Hampshire Vermont Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2004 Enrollments; ef2004c Final Release Data File

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SLIDE 50

50

Out-of-State Institutions Attended by Wisconsin First-Time Degree/Certificate Seeking Undergraduate Students, Fall 2004

University of Minnesota-Twin Cities MN Public 4-Year 1,333 Winona State University MN Public 4-Year 485 University of Minnesota-Duluth MN Public 4-Year 243 Northern Michigan University MI Public 4-Year 230 Michigan Technological University MI Public 4-Year 184 Century Community and Technical College MN Public 2-Year 156 Saint Cloud State University MN Public 4-Year 148 Minnesota State College-Southeast Technical-Winona MN Public 2-Year 143 Minnesota State University-Mankato MN Public 4-Year 110 Lake Superior College MN Public 2-Year 106 University of St Thomas MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 95 Martin Luther College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 92 Brown College MN Private For-Profit 4-Year 90 University of Iowa IA Public 4-Year 84 Luther College IA Private Non-Profit 4-Year 80 Saint Olaf College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 74 Wyo Tech WY Private For-Profit 2-Year 74 Arizona State University at the Tempe Campus AZ Public 4-Year 73 Loyola University Chicago IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 67 Northwestern University IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 64 Purdue University-Main Campus IN Public 4-Year 64 Iowa State University IA Public 4-Year 59 Bethel University MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 59 Saint Louis University-Main Campus MO Private Non-Profit 4-Year 56 Dakota County Technical College MN Public 2-Year 54

  • No. of

Students Institution State Sector

(continued)

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SLIDE 51

51

Out-of-State Institutions Attended by Wisconsin First-Time Degree/Certificate Seeking Undergraduate Students, Fall 2004

(continued)

Columbia College Chicago IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 53 Northwestern College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 52 University of Phoenix-Online Campus AZ Private For-Profit 4-Year 50 Valparaiso University IN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 49 Depaul University IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 48 American Intercontinental University GA Private For-Profit 4-Year 46 Gogebic Community College MI Public 2-Year 45 University of Notre Dame IN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 43 Rochester Community and Technical College MN Public 2-Year 42 University of Colorado at Boulder CO Public 4-Year 41 Indiana University-Bloomington IN Public 4-Year 40 North Central University MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 40 Kaplan University IA Private For-Profit 4-Year 40 Northeast Iowa Community College-Calmar IA Public 2-Year 37 Minneapolis Business College MN Private For-Profit 2-Year 37 University of North Dakota-Main Campus ND Public 4-Year 37 The Illinois Institute of Art IL Private For-Profit 4-Year 36 University of Dubuque IA Private Non-Profit 4-Year 35 Macalester College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 35 Saint Paul College - A Community and Technical Col MN Public 2-Year 35 Trinity International University IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 33 Drake University IA Private Non-Profit 4-Year 33 Vermilion Community College MN Public 2-Year 33 Hamline University MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 31 Minnesota State University-Moorhead MN Public 4-Year 31

Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2004 Enrollments; ef2004c Final Release Data File

  • No. of

Students Institution State Sector

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SLIDE 52

52

First-Time Freshmen Net Imports by Institution Type for Wisconsin, Fall 2004

Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2002 Enrollments, Residency and Migration File

Proprietary Private Non-Profit Other Private Non-Profit 2-Year Private Non-Profit 4-Year Private Non-Profit Research Public Other Public 2-Year Public 4-Year Public Research

  • 757
  • 52
  • 103
  • 186

120

  • 89
  • 655

849

  • 440
  • 1,000
  • 750
  • 500
  • 250

250 500 750 1,000

slide-53
SLIDE 53

53

New Entering College Students as a Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2006

Note: High school graduates are 2002-03. Wisconsin = 34.4% Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration

36.9% to 55.8% 32.7% to 36.9% 29.8% to 32.7% 25.7% to 29.8% 10.8% to 25.7%

Marquette Green Lake Dodge Juneau Fond du Lac Calumet Ozaukee Sheboygan Adams Monroe Winnebago Lafayette Rock Walworth Jefferson Kenosha Racine Milwaukee Waushara Outagamie Manitowoc Buffalo Trempealeau Pepin Waukesha Washington Burnett Washburn Florence Forest Menominee Shawano Oconto Door Kewaunee La Crosse Vernon Portage Polk Bayfield Ashland Marinette Barron Brown Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Grant Green Iowa Iron Jackson Langlade Lincoln Marathon Oneida Pierce Price Richland Rusk Sauk Sawyer

  • St. Croix

Taylor Vilas Waupaca Wood

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SLIDE 54

54

Two-Year New Entering Students as a Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2004

9.1% to 35.5% 5.6% to 9.1% 2.5% to 5.6% 0.8% to 2.5% 0.0% to 0.8%

Note: High school graduates are 2002-03. Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration

Marquette Green Lake Dodge Juneau Fond du Lac Calumet Ozaukee Sheboygan Adams Monroe Winnebago Lafayette Rock Walworth Jefferson Kenosha Racine Milwaukee Waushara Outagamie Manitowoc Buffalo Trempealeau Pepin Waukesha Washington Burnett Washburn Florence Forest Menominee Shawano Oconto Door Kewaunee La Crosse Vernon Portage Polk Bayfield Ashland Marinette Barron Brown Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Grant Green Iowa Iron Jackson Langlade Lincoln Marathon Oneida Pierce Price Richland Rusk Sauk Sawyer

  • St. Croix

Taylor Vilas Waupaca Wood

Richland = 35.5 Wisconsin = 5.2 Kenosha = 0.15

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SLIDE 55

55

Four-Year New Entering Students as a Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2004

32.2% to 44.1% 26.5% to 32.2% 24.1% to 26.5% 21.2% to 24.1% 10.8% to 21.2%

Marquette Green Lake Dodge Juneau Fond du Lac Calumet Ozaukee Sheboygan Adams Monroe Winnebago Lafayette Rock Walworth Jefferson Kenosha Racine Milwaukee Waushara Outagamie Manitowoc Buffalo Trempealeau Pepin Waukesha Washington Burnett Washburn Florence Forest Menominee Shawano Oconto Door Kewaunee La Crosse Vernon Portage Polk Bayfield Ashland Marinette Barron Brown Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Grant Green Iowa Iron Jackson Langlade Lincoln Marathon Oneida Pierce Price Richland Rusk Sauk Sawyer

  • St. Croix

Taylor Vilas Waupaca Wood

Vilas = 44.1 Wisconsin = 29.2 Iron = 10.8

Note: High school graduates are 2002-03. Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration

slide-56
SLIDE 56

56

Associate Degrees Awarded per 100 High School Graduates Three Years Earlier, 2004

17.5 23.4 12.6 47.7

10 20 30 40 50 F l

  • r

i d a W y

  • m

i n g W a s h i n g t

  • n

R h

  • d

e I s l a n d N e w Y

  • r

k I

  • w

a M i s s i s s i p p i U t a h H a w a i i A r i z

  • n

a N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a C a l i f

  • r

n i a S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a O r e g

  • n

K a n s a s C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • M

i n n e s

  • t

a N e w H a m p s h i r e U n i t e d S t a t e s N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a I l l i n

  • i

s S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a O k l a h

  • m

a N e w M e x i c

  • K

e n t u c k y I n d i a n a A l a b a m a M i c h i g a n N e v a d a M i s s

  • u

r i N e b r a s k a I d a h

  • V

i r g i n i a P e n n s y l v a n i a O h i

  • M

a s s a c h u s e t t s G e

  • r

g i a T e n n e s s e e W e s t V i r g i n i a W i s c

  • n

s i n T e x a s A r k a n s a s V e r m

  • n

t N e w J e r s e y M

  • n

t a n a M a r y l a n d M a i n e D e l a w a r e A l a s k a C

  • n

n e c t i c u t L

  • u

i s i a n a Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE

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SLIDE 57

57

Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded per 100 High School Graduates Six Years Earlier, 2004

50.6 51.8 21.2 97.4

25 50 75 100 R h

  • d

e I s l a n d M a s s a c h u s e t t s D e l a w a r e C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • N

e w Y

  • r

k A r i z

  • n

a N e w H a m p s h i r e N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a U t a h V e r m

  • n

t F l

  • r

i d a P e n n s y l v a n i a M i s s

  • u

r i N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a I n d i a n a O r e g

  • n

I

  • w

a K a n s a s G e

  • r

g i a N e b r a s k a M i c h i g a n V i r g i n i a T e n n e s s e e U n i t e d S t a t e s C

  • n

n e c t i c u t W i s c

  • n

s i n M a r y l a n d M

  • n

t a n a A l a b a m a O k l a h

  • m

a S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a W a s h i n g t

  • n

M i n n e s

  • t

a O h i

  • L
  • u

i s i a n a S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a I l l i n

  • i

s C a l i f

  • r

n i a H a w a i i M a i n e W e s t V i r g i n i a K e n t u c k y M i s s i s s i p p i T e x a s N e v a d a N e w M e x i c

  • N

e w J e r s e y A r k a n s a s I d a h

  • W

y

  • m

i n g A l a s k a Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE

slide-58
SLIDE 58

58

Three-Year Graduation Rates at Two-Year Colleges, 2005 (Percent)

34.6 63.1 13.3 29.3

10 20 30 40 50 60 70

South Dakota Alaska Wyoming Arizona California Utah Pennsylvania Colorado Florida Nevada Nebraska Montana Kansas Wisconsin Washington Maine North Dakota Minnesota Missouri Iowa West Virginia New Hampshire Tennessee Louisiana United States Idaho Ohio Georgia Oklahoma Indiana Vermont Oregon Illinois New York Kentucky Virginia Arkansas Alabama Hawaii New Mexico North Carolina Mississippi Massachusetts Texas Rhode Island Maryland Connecticut Michigan South Carolina New Jersey Delaware

Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

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SLIDE 59

59

Six-Year Graduation Rates at Four-Year Colleges, 2005 (Percent)

58.5 55.8 20.3 67.7

10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Massachusetts Delaware Maryland Rhode Island Pennsylvania Iowa Washington New Hampshire Connecticut California Virginia Vermont New Jersey Illinois Wisconsin North Carolina Minnesota Wyoming Maine South Carolina New York United States Oregon Michigan Nebraska Arizona Indiana Ohio Missouri Florida Colorado Kansas Texas Mississippi Tennessee North Dakota Alabama Georgia South Dakota Utah Kentucky Idaho Oklahoma West Virginia Arkansas Montana Louisiana Hawaii New Mexico Nevada Alaska

Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

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SLIDE 60

60

Science and Engineering Degrees as a Share of Higher Education Degrees Conferred by State, 2004-05

29.3 26.3 37.8 20.4

10 20 30 40

South Dakota North Dakota Maine Maryland Nebraska Texas West Virginia Louisiana Alaska Kentucky Wisconsin Virginia Montana Colorado Indiana Pennsylvania New Mexico North Carolina Tennessee Ohio Mississippi Wyoming Idaho Oklahoma Michigan Arkansas Alabama United States South Carolina Minnesota Illinois Kansas Georgia Iowa Delaware Massachusetts Utah New Jersey Oregon Missouri California New Hampshire Arizona Connecticut Washington Hawaii Florida Nevada New York Vermont Rhode Island Note: Science and Engineering include Agricultural Sciences, Biological and Biomedical Sciences, Physical Sciences, Science Tech, Health Sciences, Computer Science, Mathematics and Statistics, Engineering, and Engineering Tech. Degrees include Associate, Bachelor’s, Masters and Doctorate Degrees. Source: NCES, IPEDS 2005 Completions File; c2005_a Final Release Data File

slide-61
SLIDE 61

61

Net Migration by Degree Level and Age Group— Wisconsin

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files

22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds

2,054

  • 225
  • 13,263

486 3,740 4,824 6,492

  • 15,000
  • 10,000
  • 5,000

5,000 10,000 30,963 527 4,306 518 6,911 9,283 9,418 8,000 16,000 24,000 32,000

Less than High School High School Some College Associate Bachelor’s Graduate/ Professional Total

slide-62
SLIDE 62

62

Wisconsin Occupations with High Net Imports and Exports, 1995-2000—Residents Age 22-29 with College Degrees

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files

  • 1,620
  • 1,171
  • 1,113
  • 1,048
  • 992
  • 844
  • 561
  • 548
  • 524

68 73 74 75 81 89 134 195 201 669

  • 1,144
  • 2,000
  • 1,500
  • 1,000
  • 500

500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Primary, Secondary, & Special Education Teachers Financial Specialists Computer Specialists Business Operations Specialists Engineers Advertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel. & Sales Mgrs. Sales Representatives, Services Media & Communication Workers Supervisors, Sales Workers Other Management Occupations Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching/Distributing Media & Communication Equipment Cooks & Food Preparation Workers Other Office & Administrative Support Material Moving Other Transportation Librarians, Curators, Archivists Motor Vehicle Operators Nursing, Psychiatric, Home Health Aides Postsecondary Teachers

slide-63
SLIDE 63

63

Wisconsin Occupations with High Net Imports and Exports, 1995-2000—Residents Age 30-64 with College Degrees

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files

  • 663
  • 663
  • 455
  • 387
  • 251
  • 200
  • 192
  • 183
  • 170

265 300 351 357 439 498 595 776 871 1,174

  • 594
  • 1,500
  • 1,000
  • 500

500 1,000 1,500

Information & Record Clerks Operations Specialties Managers Top Executives Computer Specialists Art & Design Mathematical Science Occupations Other Office & Administrative Support Physical Scientists Sales Representatives, Wholesale & Manufacturing Secretaries & Administrative Assistants Metal Workers & Plastic Workers Other Teachers & Instructors Business Operations Specialists Supervisors, Office & Administrative Support Other Production Occupations Postsecondary Teachers Retail Sales Advertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel. & Sales Mgrs. Primary, Secondary, & Special Education Teachers Other Management Occupations

slide-64
SLIDE 64

64

Percent of Residents Age 25-64 with an Associate Degree Born In-State, 2005

73.8 52.4 76.8 8.8

20 40 60 80

P e n n s y l v a n i a M i c h i g a n I

  • w

a O h i

  • W

i s c

  • n

s i n N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a M i n n e s

  • t

a M a s s a c h u s e t t s L

  • u

i s i a n a I n d i a n a I l l i n

  • i

s K e n t u c k y N e w Y

  • r

k M i s s i s s i p p i A l a b a m a N e b r a s k a W e s t V i r g i n i a R h

  • d

e i s l a n d M a i n e M i s s

  • u

r i S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a K a n s a s U t a h C

  • n

n e c t i c u t N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a S t a t e A v e r a g e A r k a n s a s T e n n e s s e e H a w a i i T e x a s V e r m

  • n

t N e w J e r s e y O k l a h

  • m

a M

  • n

t a n a C a l i f

  • r

n i a N e w M e x i c

  • W

a s h i n g t

  • n

G e

  • r

g i a I d a h

  • O

r e g

  • n

N e w H a m p s h i r e V i r g i n i a M a r y l a n d D e l a w a r e C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • W

y

  • m

i n g F l

  • r

i d a A r i z

  • n

a A l a s k a N e v a d a

Source: 2005 ACS

slide-65
SLIDE 65

65

Percent of Residents Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Born In-State, 2005

58.3 41.7 64.4 8.3

10 20 30 40 50 60 70

L

  • u

i s i a n a P e n n s y l v a n i a M i c h i g a n M i s s i s s i p p i O h i

  • I
  • w

a N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a W i s c

  • n

s i n W e s t V i r g i n i a S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a N e b r a s k a I n d i a n a K e n t u c k y N e w Y

  • r

k A l a b a m a I l l i n

  • i

s M i n n e s

  • t

a O k l a h

  • m

a M i s s

  • u

r i A r k a n s a s M a s s a c h u s e t t s K a n s a s U t a h R h

  • d

e i s l a n d T e x a s T e n n e s s e e M

  • n

t a n a H a w a i i S t a t e A v e r a g e M a i n e S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a C

  • n

n e c t i c u t N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a N e w J e r s e y C a l i f

  • r

n i a G e

  • r

g i a W a s h i n g t

  • n

N e w M e x i c

  • I

d a h

  • O

r e g

  • n

W y

  • m

i n g V e r m

  • n

t M a r y l a n d V i r g i n i a D e l a w a r e C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • N

e w H a m p s h i r e F l

  • r

i d a A r i z

  • n

a A l a s k a N e v a d a

Source: 2005 ACS

slide-66
SLIDE 66

66

Innovation Assets

slide-67
SLIDE 67

67

Development Report Card for the States, 2007— Wisconsin

Source: Development Report Card for the States, Corporation for Enterprise Development (CFED) STRENGTHS (Top 10 Rank) Rank Measure

2 Disparity between Rural and Urban Areas 2 Voting Rate 5 Bridge Deficiency 5 Royalties and Licenses 6 Income Distribution 7 Loans to Small Businesses 8 Uninsured Low-Income Children 9 Working Poor 9 Affordable Urban Housing 43 Conversion of Cropland to Other Uses 43 Business Created Via University R&D 44 Employment Growth: Long Term 45 Employment Growth: Short Term 46 Change in Energy Costs 46 New Companies 48 Private Sector Layoffs

WEAKNESSES (Bottom 10 Rank)

Rank Measure Employment D Earnings and Job Quality B Equity A Quality of Life A Resource Efficiency B Competitiveness/Existing Businesses A Entrepreneurial Energy C Human Resources C Financial Resources C Infrastructure Resources A Amenity Resources and Natural Capital C Innovation Assets C

Performance Business Vitality Development Capacity

A B B

slide-68
SLIDE 68

68

Overall State Scores on Measures of Innovation Assets, 2004

2.9 25.5 41.2

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

South Dakota Arkansas South Carolina West Virginia Kentucky Mississippi Louisiana Tennessee Wyoming Alaska Oklahoma Nevada Maine Florida Nebraska Missouri Alabama Idaho Montana Indiana Iowa Georgia Hawaii Kansas Wisconsin North Dakota Texas Illinois Arizona New Mexico Ohio Oregon Michigan North Carolina New Jersey Minnesota Pennsylvania Vermont Utah Delaware Washington New Hampshire Virginia New York Colorado Connecticut Maryland Rhode Island California Massachusetts

Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED

slide-69
SLIDE 69

69

Academic Research and Development per $1,000 Gross State Product, 2004

4.6 3.7 1.7

$0 $1 $2 $3 $4 $5 $6 $7

Maryland North Dakota Massachusetts Montana New Hampshire Vermont Utah Iowa Hawaii New Mexico Nebraska Pennsylvania Rhode Island Wisconsin Mississippi North Carolina Missouri Alaska Alabama Colorado Michigan California Oregon New York United States Indiana Georgia Connecticut Louisiana Washington South Carolina Kansas Arizona Illinois Kentucky Texas Ohio Tennessee Idaho West Virginia Virginia Oklahoma Wyoming Minnesota Arkansas Delaware Florida Maine New Jersey South Dakota Nevada

9.8 Source: National Science Foundation; Bureau of Economic Analysis

slide-70
SLIDE 70

70

Wisconsin Rank—Federal Research and Expenditures Per Capita, 2005

24th 17th 21st 15th 15th 17th

10 20 30 40 50

Engineering Physical Science Computer Science Life Science Medical Science Total

Source: National Science Foundation; U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

$110.50 $38.33 $66.69 $3.19 $7.82 $11.66

slide-71
SLIDE 71

71

Wisconsin Rank—Federal Research and Expenditures, 2005

20th 18th 17th 18th 16th 16th 15th

10 20 30 40 50

Population Engineering Physical Science Computer Science Life Science Medical Science Total

Source: National Science Foundation; U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

$610,819 $211,893 $368,651 $17,642 $43,209 $64,437 5,336

(Values in Thousands)

slide-72
SLIDE 72

72

Number of Doctorates per 1,000 Workers— Science and Engineering, 2004

2.7 1.2 9.1

2 4 6 8 10

N e w M e x i c

  • M

a s s a c h u s e t t s M a r y l a n d N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a D e l a w a r e R h

  • d

e I s l a n d C

  • n

n e c t i c u t V e r m

  • n

t V i r g i n i a C a l i f

  • r

n i a C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • W

a s h i n g t

  • n

H a w a i i N e w Y

  • r

k N e w J e r s e y P e n n s y l v a n i a O r e g

  • n

N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a M i n n e s

  • t

a M

  • n

t a n a N e w H a m p s h i r e U t a h I l l i n

  • i

s I d a h

  • O

h i

  • A

l a s k a M i c h i g a n T e n n e s s e e M a i n e T e x a s I n d i a n a M i s s

  • u

r i I

  • w

a A r i z

  • n

a K a n s a s G e

  • r

g i a O k l a h

  • m

a W i s c

  • n

s i n A l a b a m a L

  • u

i s i a n a S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a W e s t V i r g i n i a K e n t u c k y S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a M i s s i s s i p p i W y

  • m

i n g A r k a n s a s F l

  • r

i d a N e v a d a N e b r a s k a

Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED

slide-73
SLIDE 73

73

Dollar Value of SBIR Grants Per Worker, 2004

6.6 0.2

$0 $10 $20 $30 $40

Massachusetts Maryland New Hampshire Colorado Virginia New Mexico Hawaii California Delaware Connecticut Rhode Island Washington Alabama Montana Vermont New Jersey Maine Oregon Ohio Pennsylvania New York West Virginia Arizona Utah Nevada Texas Wyoming Minnesota Michigan Oklahoma Wisconsin North Carolina Nebraska Idaho Florida North Dakota Georgia Arkansas Illinois Indiana Kentucky Kansas Missouri Tennessee South Carolina Mississippi Iowa Louisiana South Dakota Alaska Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED

81.8

slide-74
SLIDE 74

74

Gross License Income Per Worker, 2004

Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED

13.4 0.0

$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35

Massachusetts New York Arizona Minnesota Wisconsin California Utah Washington Michigan Iowa Florida North Carolina Georgia Louisiana Missouri Rhode Island Pennsylvania Tennessee Texas Indiana Ohio North Dakota Maryland Virginia Nebraska Oregon Illinois Kansas Oklahoma Colorado Alabama New Hampshire South Carolina New Jersey Hawaii Delaware Arkansas Connecticut Kentucky Mississippi Maine Vermont New Mexico Montana Idaho Nevada Alaska South Dakota West Virginia Wyoming

46.5

slide-75
SLIDE 75

75

Number of Patents Issued Per $1,000 Gross State Product

Source: 2004/2005 Economic Vision 2010 Report Card, Indiana Chamber

11.3 9.1 1.3

5 10 15 20 25

I d a h

  • V

e r m

  • n

t M i n n e s

  • t

a C a l i f

  • r

n i a O r e g

  • n

N e w H a m p s h i r e M a s s a c h u s e t t s C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • M

i c h i g a n W i s c

  • n

s i n C

  • n

n e c t i c u t W a s h i n g t

  • n

N e w J e r s e y O h i

  • U

t a h A r i z

  • n

a U n i t e d S t a t e s D e l a w a r e I n d i a n a P e n n s y l v a n i a R h

  • d

e I s l a n d T e x a s I l l i n

  • i

s N e w Y

  • r

k M a r y l a n d N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a I

  • w

a N e w M e x i c

  • O

k l a h

  • m

a F l

  • r

i d a K a n s a s S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a G e

  • r

g i a T e n n e s s e e N e v a d a M i s s

  • u

r i M

  • n

t a n a V i r g i n i a M a i n e N e b r a s k a K e n t u c k y N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a W y

  • m

i n g A l a b a m a S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a W e s t V i r g i n i a L

  • u

i s i a n a A r k a n s a s M i s s i s s i p p i H a w a i i A l a s k a

45.8

slide-76
SLIDE 76

76

Venture Capital—Financing Per $1,000 Gross State Product, 2003

Source: 2004/2005 Economic Vision 2010 Report Card, Indiana Chamber

1.7 0.2 0.0

1 2 3 4 5 6

M a s s a c h u s e t t s C a l i f

  • r

n i a C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • N

e w H a m p s h i r e N e w J e r s e y I d a h

  • W

a s h i n g t

  • n

U n i t e d S t a t e s M a r y l a n d T e x a s C

  • n

n e c t i c u t U t a h P e n n s y l v a n i a N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a V i r g i n i a R h

  • d

e I s l a n d G e

  • r

g i a M i n n e s

  • t

a O r e g

  • n

N e w Y

  • r

k N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a I l l i n

  • i

s M i s s

  • u

r i O k l a h

  • m

a F l

  • r

i d a W e s t V i r g i n i a N e v a d a A r i z

  • n

a S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a T e n n e s s e e M a i n e H a w a i i M i c h i g a n V e r m

  • n

t O h i

  • W

i s c

  • n

s i n A l a b a m a L

  • u

i s i a n a S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a I n d i a n a N e w M e x i c

  • K

e n t u c k y I

  • w

a K a n s a s A r k a n s a s M i s s i s s i p p i N e b r a s k a M

  • n

t a n a D e l a w a r e A l a s k a W y

  • m

i n g

8.3

slide-77
SLIDE 77

77

Number of Initial Public Offerings—Financing Per $1,000 Gross State Product, 2002

Source: 2004/2005 Economic Vision 2010 Report Card, Indiana Chamber

5.2 25.6 0.3 65.1

10 20 30 40 50 60 70

W a s h i n g t

  • n

C

  • n

n e c t i c u t N e w Y

  • r

k M a s s a c h u s e t t s M i s s

  • u

r i C a l i f

  • r

n i a G e

  • r

g i a I l l i n

  • i

s T e x a s V i r g i n i a C

  • l
  • r

a d

  • I
  • w

a N e w J e r s e y O k l a h

  • m

a M a r y l a n d U n i t e d S t a t e s P e n n s y l v a n i a M a i n e F l

  • r

i d a R h

  • d

e I s l a n d I n d i a n a O r e g

  • n

M i n n e s

  • t

a D e l a w a r e N e w M e x i c

  • A

r i z

  • n

a K a n s a s M i c h i g a n U t a h N e v a d a N e w H a m p s h i r e K e n t u c k y T e n n e s s e e O h i

  • V

e r m

  • n

t N

  • r

t h D a k

  • t

a N

  • r

t h C a r

  • l

i n a W i s c

  • n

s i n A l a s k a S

  • u

t h C a r

  • l

i n a M i s s i s s i p p i N e b r a s k a L

  • u

i s i a n a W e s t V i r g i n i a A l a b a m a A r k a n s a s M

  • n

t a n a I d a h

  • H

a w a i i W y

  • m

i n g S

  • u

t h D a k

  • t

a

slide-78
SLIDE 78

78

The Fiscal Environment

slide-79
SLIDE 79

79

State Tax Capacity and Effort—Wisconsin Indexed to U.S. Average

Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO)

0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1 9 9 2 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 Tax Effort (Effective Tax Rate) Tax Capacity (Total Taxable Resources Per Capita)

U.S. Average

slide-80
SLIDE 80

80

State Tax Capacity and Effort—Wisconsin Indexed to U.S. Average

Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO)

AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE GA HI I L I NI AKS KY LA ME MD MA MS MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD UT VT VA W A US FL I D MI MN MO NH NM TN TX W V W I W Y

0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4

State Tax Capacity (Total Taxable Resources Per Capita) State Tax Effort (Effective Tax Rate)

slide-81
SLIDE 81

81

Projected State and Local Budget Surplus (Gap) as a Percent of Revenues, 2013

Source: NCHEMS; Don Boyd (Rockefeller Institute of Government), 2005

  • 0.5
  • 1.0
  • 1.0
  • 1.6
  • 2.1
  • 2.3
  • 2.8
  • 2.9
  • 3.0
  • 3.3
  • 3.8
  • 3.9
  • 4.2
  • 4.2
  • 4.3
  • 4.3
  • 4.4
  • 4.4
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 5.1
  • 5.2
  • 5.2
  • 5.3
  • 5.6
  • 5.6
  • 5.7
  • 5.7
  • 5.7
  • 5.8
  • 5.8
  • 5.9
  • 6.2
  • 6.3
  • 6.5
  • 6.7
  • 6.8
  • 6.9
  • 7.0
  • 7.0
  • 7.4
  • 8.0
  • 8.2
  • 8.9
  • 9.3
  • 9.3
  • 9.8
  • 10.5
  • 10.7
  • 12
  • 9
  • 6
  • 3

Utah Montana New Hampshire Delaware New Jersey Maine Maryland Massachusetts Wisconsin Vermont Ohio North Dakota Connecticut Kansas Arkansas Virginia Nebraska Oklahoma Minnesota Colorado West Virginia Kentucky Michigan Arizona New York Georgia Hawaii Illinois Pennsylvania Alaska Rhode Island United States New Mexico California Iowa Indiana North Carolina Florida Idaho South Carolina South Dakota Missouri Washington Oregon Texas Nevada Tennessee Mississippi Louisiana Alabama

slide-82
SLIDE 82

82

Summary Observations

■ Expansion and Diversification of State’s Economy ■ Variations in:

► Regional Access ► Access and Success of Minorities

■ Revitalizing Milwaukee ■ ???

Key Issues Facing Wisconsin

slide-83
SLIDE 83

83

Conditions for Developing and Pursuing a Public Agenda ■

A Process for Creating—and Building Consensus Around—the Short List of State Priorities that the State’s “System” of Higher Education Should Be Addressing

A Mechanism for Keeping the Focus on this Agenda Over an Extended Period of Time

Accountability Measures that Allow Monitoring Progress Toward Achieving Priority Goals

An Approach to Resource Allocation that Creates Incentives (and Removes Disincentives) for Pursuing Priority Goals

A Regulatory Environment Consistent with Objectives

slide-84
SLIDE 84

84

Given the Criteria for Success, What Might the Board of Regents Expect Over the Next Several Months?

Deep Involvement in Identifying Key Issues to Be Addressed and Building Coalitions Supportive of the Agenda

Participation in Development of an Appropriate Accountability Mechanism

Requests to Change the Financing and Resource Allocation Mechanisms to Better Align Them with Goals

A Review of State and University of Wisconsin System Policies, Regulations, and Statutes to Identify Barriers to Progress