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Getting there from here: Governing climate change through experimentation? Matthew Hoffmann University of Toronto The Multilateral (non)Response Multilateral Challenges Uncertainty Divergent, Entrenched, Powerful Interests Short


  1. Getting there from here: Governing climate change through experimentation? Matthew Hoffmann University of Toronto

  2. The Multilateral (non)Response

  3. Multilateral Challenges  Uncertainty  Divergent, Entrenched, Powerful Interests  Short Term, Concentrated Costs vs Long Term, Diffuse Benefits

  4. The Multilateral (non)Response

  5. You’re telling me what you need. I’m telling you what we have to work with at this point. - Scene from Apollo 13 (1995) — engineer speaking to an astronaut in the simulator

  6. Self- Organized … Not Anarchy

  7. Governance Models  Multilateral  Experimental  Focus: Emissions  Focus: Decarbonization? Reductions 1. Experiment (do things) 1. Negotiate a Global Treaty 2. Political/Economic/Soci al Change follows 2. Implement nationally and locally (do things) 3. Negotiate a Global Treaty (or Treaties?) 3. Political/Economic/Soci al Change follows

  8. Possibilities …  Providing the conditions for a tipping point  Reimagining the Global Response and role of Multilateral Treaties

  9. Towards Tipping  Catalyzing  Breaking the Decarbonization Deadlock?  Normalization  Capacity Building  Coalition Buidling

  10. Possibilities …  Providing the conditions for a tipping point  Reimagining the Global Response and role of Multilateral Treaties

  11. And Challenges  Illusion of Movement  Scaling  Impact

  12. Scaling  Simple  Mimetic  Self-Organizing

  13. Getting Bigger Spreading

  14. Building Niches

  15. And Challenges  Illusion of Movement  Scaling  Impact

  16. Thanks!  mjhoff@utsc.utoronto.ca  http://matthewhoffmann.wordpress.com

  17. Conditions • Experimentation • Transformative Potential • Scaling • Impact and • Normalization Transformation? • Simple • Capacity Building • Modular/Isomorphic • Coalition Building • Self-Organized Conditions Conditions

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