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GEODEMOGRAPHICSAND SPATIAL MICROSIMULATION: USING SURVEY DATA TO - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
GEODEMOGRAPHICSAND SPATIAL MICROSIMULATION: USING SURVEY DATA TO - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Jens Kandt UCL Geography 16 April 2015 GEODEMOGRAPHICSAND SPATIAL MICROSIMULATION: USING SURVEY DATA TO INFER HEALTH MILIEU GEOGRAPHIES HEALTH BEHAVIOURS IN LONDON Smoking: Physical inactivity: London Health Commission(2014) THE
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THE GEOGRAPHY OF HEALTH ‘BEHAVIOURS’
Behaviour vs. practice
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UNDERSTANDING SOCIETY LONGITUDINAL STUDY
- Lifestyle survey
- Panel with
n > 40,000
- Since 2009
- Whole UK
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THE HEALTH MILIEUS
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THE HEALTH MILIEUS
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THE HEALTH MILIEUS
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THE HEALTH MILIEUS
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INFERRING MILIEU GEOGRAPHIES
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SPATIAL MICROSIMULATION
Matching (‘constraint’) variables
1. education 2. age 3. job status 4. tenure 5. hh.composition 6. marital status 7. NSSEC status 8. health 9. cars
- 10. hh.size
- 11. disability
- 12. ethnicity
- 13. children
- 14. unpaid care
- 15. sex
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GEOGRAPHY OF HEALTH MILIEUS
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‘INTERNAL’ VALIDATION
var age car children disability econ.active education ethnicity hh.comp. marital NSSEC tenure C.E.(%) 11.7 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 6.6 0.0 6.8
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LOAC category X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7 X8 X9 X10
- A. Intermediate Lifestyles
1.14 1.12 0.99 1.06 0.78 0.77 0.82 0.95 1.45 0.99
- B. High Density & High Rise Flats
1.30 1.21 1.07 1.09 0.65 0.87 0.72 1.01 1.28 0.88
- C. Settled Asians
1.12 0.92 1.24 0.99 0.79 0.64 0.92 1.39 0.86 1.01
- D. Urban Elites
0.76 0.90 0.83 0.77 1.51 1.76 1.20 0.69 0.60 0.95
- E. City Vibe
0.92 0.99 0.89 0.95 1.21 1.30 1.11 0.83 0.88 0.94
- F. London Life Cycle
0.62 0.79 0.84 0.86 1.49 1.29 1.40 0.82 0.71 1.16
- G. Multi-Ethnic Suburbs
1.21 1.16 1.03 1.05 0.69 0.77 0.74 1.24 1.16 0.92
- H. Ageing City Fringe
0.75 0.83 1.00 1.17 1.14 0.85 1.24 0.91 0.97 1.18 Milieus
‘EXTERNAL’ VALIDATION: LONDON OAC (Longley & Singleton 2014)
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CONCLUSIONS
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CONCLUSIONS
Milieu approach vs. conventional geodemographics
dimension milieu segmentation conventionalgeodemographics analytical unit individual area theory social theory ecological reasoning spatial patterns hypothesisgiven zonal‘evidence’ ecological description ecological output continuousdegrees discrete classes dynamic extension direct indirect
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