FY16 Preliminary Results Presentation December 2016 Agenda Simon - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FY16 Preliminary Results Presentation December 2016 Agenda Simon - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FY16 Preliminary Results Presentation December 2016 Agenda Simon Cooper FY16 Highlights CEO Wendy Parry Financial Performance FY16 CFO Evolution of Key Drivers Simon Cooper Summary and Outlook CEO Q and A 2 Profit &
Agenda
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Evolution of Key Drivers Summary and Outlook
Simon Cooper CEO
Financial Performance FY16
Wendy Parry CFO
FY16 Highlights
Simon Cooper CEO
Q and A
Profit & Loss Account – UK Segment
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Strong growth year on year: Revenue +12.3% EBITDA +25.5% Efficient increase in our market traffic share
with marketing spend excluding offline as a %
- f revenue falling to 44.7%
Investment in place in supply function supports
increasing % of direct contracting and fixed and variable cost per booking dropped from 16.0% to 14.6% of Revenue
EBITDA % revenue at 35.8% in FY16 up from
32.0% in FY15
FY16 EBITDA growth of 25.5% in the UK
Profit and Loss Account - International
Investment continues in Sweden to build scale and brand
Success in international markets defined as
profitable performance within 2-3 years of launch at scale
OTB has invested to grow its share of market
both online and offline
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Profit and Loss Account - Group
External financing costs reduced significantly
through renegotiation of facilities post IPO
Shareholder loan interest and amortisation
- f acquired intangibles below underlying
profit before tax
Effective tax rate in FY15 affected by
disallowed shareholder interest
Note: Effective tax rate is based on corporation tax divided by retained earnings excluding deal fees and amortisation of intangibles
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Underlying profit before tax +47% increase YOY
Balance Sheet
All customer monies are paid into a trust account which is
effectively a debtor to the business
Net cash position has increased from £10.9m to £26.1m Bank loans repaid in full out of the Group’s existing cash
balances post IPO
Seasonal cash flow requirements are covered by a
revolving credit facility
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Cash Flow
Strong cash conversion at 90%
The Board recommends a dividend of 2.2p per share and
thereafter intends to adopt a progressive dividend policy
£3m of deal costs accrued in FY15 relating to the IPO
were paid in the first half of FY16
Source: Company Information
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Business Highlights
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Focus on profitable growth drove revenue per booking up 7.5% YOY Direct contracts achieving up to 70% of forward arrivals by month
Leverage £ Revenue
Continued investment in technology and talent increased the pace of innovation 77% increase in smartphone bookings YOY with 96% increase YOY in visitors logging in to site
Optimise Customer Proposition
A number of external events disrupted the overall holiday market OTB continued to grow share of market, growing daily unique visitors to site by 12.6% YOY
Structural Market Growth & Market Share Growth
47% YOY growth in Underlying Group PBT Strong growth in Sweden with Norway launch planned for December 2016
Drive Operational Leverage & Expand Internationally
Efficiencies in online marketing reduced spend as a % of revenue to 44.7% (FY15 48.6%) Offline investment continues to increase awareness of our brand nationally
Drive Efficient Share Growth & Strengthen Brand
OTB is disrupting the retail of beach holidays through innovative technology and customer value proposition
On the Beach has the product advantages of a tour operator with the model advantages of an OTA
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Disruptive retailer of beach package holidays Cost Base Risk Margin Product Range
HIGH HIGH HIGH NARROW LOW LOW LOW BROAD
Tour Operator OTA Specialist Generalist
Market FY16
The market backdrop in FY16 was unsettled by multiple external events
Overall short haul beach holiday volumes are resilient and online
penetration continues to increase
Dynamic packaging offers greater value and flexibility and steals share
from traditional package
2016 was disrupted by multiple external events
Short haul beach online versus offline (UK)
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2 3 4
- 10%
- 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Traditional Package Dynamically Packaged
Traditional package versus dynamic package
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Short haul beach offline Short haul beach online
+5% +7%
On the Beach sells high margin tour operator style product with a lightweight OTA style fixed cost base
Competitive Landscape and Barriers to Success
Tour operator short haul volumes (m pax) UK Short Haul Beach Online - Estimated Market Share
FOCUS SCALE AGILITY EXPERTISE BRAND
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JET2
TUI Thomas Cook Jet2holidays Cosmos Holidays Olympic Holidays On The Beach Travel Republic Low Cost Holidays Love Holidays Easyjet Holidays Other OTA Other tour operator 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
- 7%
Key Drivers of Growth
Innovate through investment in talent & technology
Continued investment into in-house technology extends our ability to out innovate the competition
Service management, monitoring and alerting Management information system
Technology platform Data aggregation
Basket CMS
Personalisation
CRM Services Geolocation Search Service Order Processing Manage Your Booking API app Recommendat ion engine Hotels app Flights app Deals app Backoffice App Currency App
Data acquisition
myOTB 13
Technology platform architecture
Continued investment in our technology capability will allow us to
innovate at an increasing pace
Team is currently 75 specialists Evolution to an ever more agile way of working New features building on our existing platform
- 500,000
1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 4,500,000 FY15 FY16
Optimise Customer Proposition
Our ambition is to drive a fully personalised cross-device experience for all users on all devices
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Smartphone Bookings FY16 vs FY15
Revenue per booking Conversion Revenue per unique visitor
Increases to Revenue per UV driven through multiple projects: Device level Log in and cross device optimisation Real time personalisation Off site personalisation Traffic shaping
The features we are developing are supported by the infrastructure that has been built into the heart of our platform over a number of years
Logged in visitors FY16 vs FY15
- 20,000
40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 FY15 FY16
+13%
Increase in mobile RPUV
Leverage Increased £ Revenue
We have scaled our supply function to achieve significant incremental net margin contribution
Investment made in FY14 and FY15 to scale our supply function Direct contracting hotels performs ahead of expectations Future opportunities include: Product: Expand product offering to address long haul and luxury
segments
Exclusivity: See over Investments made to technology to optimise point of sale margin
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Direct contracting - share of monthly arrivals FY14 to FY17 Revenue per product type FY15 vs FY16
Hotels (3rd party) Hotels (direct contract) Transfers (direct contract) Flights Other 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% Jan 14 Mar 14 May 14 Jul 14 Sep 14 Nov 14 Jan 15 Mar 15 May 15 Jul 15 Sep 15 Nov 15 Jan 16 Mar 16 May 16 Jul 16 Sep 16 Nov 16 Jan 17 Mar 17 May 17 Jul 17
70%
Target exclusivity
Driving an increasing % of exclusivity presents a huge margin opportunity
Independent hoteliers want to spread their distribution B2B airlines need a distribution partner without aircraft We can drive incremental volume and higher margin at point of sale ‒ With exclusive programme of flying ‒ By driving UK OTA rate and total exclusivity in hotels ‒ By ringfencing last room availability Whilst maintaining a risk-free model
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3-4% 6% 10% >10%
HIGH LOW
Sales Volume and Margin Opportunity
UK OTA exclusivity UK OTA rate exclusivity Standard direct contracts – disintermediate 3rd parties Long tail 3rd party stock Total UK exclusivity
Hotels: Incremental volume / margin opportunity
Ringfenced last room availability TARGET AREA
£0.00 £0.20 £0.40 £0.60 £0.80 £1.00 £1.20 £1.40 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Drive Efficient Market Share Growth
Superior customer proposition delivers increased margins and fuels market share growth
The business has historically invested c.50% of growing revenue in
marketing to drive share
A multi-channel strategy supported by sophisticated in house bid
modelling and attribution tool allows efficient share growth
‒ Advantage maintained through continued Investment into: ‒ Cross device attribution through login ‒ Econometric attribution of offline advertising ‒ Data management platform integration
Growing share cost effectively
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Online Marketing spend as % of Revenue 46.0% 50.7% 49.9% 48.6%
% Revenue spent on online marketing – monthly evolution
44.7%
35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep FY14 FY15 FY16 +£0.24 EBITDA per daily UV +£0.36 Revenue per daily UV +£0.18 Marketing cost per daily UV
Strengthen Brand
Continued investment offline has strengthened awareness of our brand
FY16 offline campaign was fully national Repeat purchase volume and rates continues to increase
Repeat booking volumes and % of overall business
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Repeat as % of all bookings
Prompted Brand Awareness FY13 to FY16
58% CAGR
10.4% 25.6% 18.0% 32.5%
15% 16% 18% 19% 29% 31%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Low Cost Holidays Travel Republic First Choice On the Beach Thomas Cook Thomson
First / All Mentions – Beach Holidays
First mention All mentions
37.1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% FEB '13 APR '14 DEC '14 FEB '15 DEC '15 FEB '16 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
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£ Fixed / Variable Cost Per Booking
We continue to drive further operational leverage of a lightweight cost base
Drive Operational Leverage
Fixed / Variable costs as % Revenue FY12 to FY16
OTB fixed and variable cost per booking is well below tour operator
competitors
OTB fixed and variable costs as a % of revenue are reducing through
- perational leverage
7X OTB 8X OTB
0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 50 100 150 200 250 OTB TUI TC
£0.00 £0.20 £0.40 £0.60 £0.80 £1.00 £1.20 £1.40 £1.60 FY15 FY16 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 FY15 FY16 Brand UVs Non-Brand UVs
Expand model internationally
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We remain encouraged with the improvement to KPIs being achieved in Sweden
Sweden has the a number of characteristics which make it
attractive for our international expansion
Driving improvement in 3 KPIs will determine success in new source
markets
Our objective in Sweden remains to deliver a positive return within
3 years of launch
113% 14.7% 19.6%
Branded share
Traffic and brand growth in Sweden FY16 YOY Cost per UV FY16 YOY
- 20%
50%
Summary & Outlook
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We have enjoyed a strong start to the new FY and performance is in line with the Board’s expectations
Target increasing % of direct supply and drive exclusivity Ringfence peak season capacity in key Western Mediterranean destinations
Leverage £ Revenue
Continue to invest in our technology talent and infrastructure to out innovate the competition
Optimise Customer Proposition
Addressable market growth with increasing online penetration Risk capacity in market being downsized
Structural Market Growth & Market Share Growth
Drive significant PBT growth in the UK Leverage capabilities to breakeven in Sweden and launch in Norway
Drive Operational Leverage & Expand Internationally
Increased offline investment to further drive brand awareness Auction dynamics have improved post LCTG failure
Drive Efficient Share Growth & Strengthen Brand
Appendix
200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 Passenger numbers
2007 250,000 passengers First round private equity investment 2009-11 Technology team recruited, web development and support insourced, complete platform rebuild 2005-6 First version website launched, paid search visibility increased 2004 Excess charter supply Growing online penetration Simple ,
- utsourced DP
technology 2008-10 Executive and senior management team recruited – CMO, CFO, CTO End 2011 Tech and MI platforms relaunched end 2011 2013-14 Investment to launch offline advertising and scale direct contracting 2013 2nd round private equity investment 2015 Ebeach.se launched IPO 28th September 2015 2016 Drive flight and hotel exclusivity, grow offline share
Share of online short haul beach 9% 16% 17% 14% 13%
OTB history
20%
Business Model (3 year CAGR)
£ Revenue per booking Conversion Unique visitors Revenue per unique visitor OTB share of market traffic Online penetration Revenue Marketing as %
- f Revenue
EBITDA
Fixed and Variable Costs Unique visitors Marketing spend per unique visitor Short haul beach holidays dynamically packaged
OPTIMISE CUSTOMER PROPOSITION & LEVERAGE £ REVENUE DRIVE EFFICIENT SHARE GROWTH & STRENGTHEN BRAND STRUCTURAL MARKET GROWTH & MARKET SHARE GROWTH SCALE DRIVES OPERATIONAL LEVERAGE
ADDRESSABLE MARKET
+15% +7% +23% +27% 24
OTB’s business model is centred on driving efficient growth in market share while
maintaining and improving both conversion and £ revenue per booking
Our strategic initiatives are focused on driving the performance of all of these levers EBITDA growth is the cumulative effect of improvements in performance of all of the
levers individually
- 5%
- 3%
Cash Flow – Flow of funds
On The Beach provides clear and comprehensive consumer protection
* £1,200 holiday for 2 people via low deposit scheme includes 2 bags and assumes a direct debit card. £4.95 fee each balance payment, so in the example it is paid three times
Trust account – funds flow for a £1,200 holiday
The trust protects all customer payments
until after the provision of holiday services
All customer receipts are paid into the trust
account in full before the holiday departure date
These payments are held in the trust
account until the service is provided
On The Beach does not therefore use
customer pre-payments to fund its business
- perations
If booked more than 45 days in advance of
departure, customers can secure booking with a deposit which is a percentage of flight cost plus hotel deposit
Customer Pays Deposit £226.95
£550 Flights
Customer returns from holiday
£600 Hotel
Receive full balance 14 days before departure £652.95 Hotel, Bed bank and ancillary supplier paid £516.00
ATOL Trust Fund (Protected) Checkout stage Immediately after booking Holiday build up Return date CUSTOMER £1,214.85* SUPPLIER
Transfer to On the Beach
- f flight sales
value on receipt into trust from customer £226.95 Transfer to On the Beach of balance of sales value £654.95 Airline paid in full by On the Beach on booking £539.00
Booking stage
£50 Coach Transfer Receive flight balance 28 days post booking £332.95 Transfer to On the Beach
- f flight sales
value on receipt into trust from customer £332.95
OTB £MPB £159.85
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Cash Flow - Seasonality
Peak booking trading period between January and June and travelled June and August
Booked by month
Revenue is recognised on a booked basis The period prior to Christmas is quiet, particularly November and
December
Traffic volumes ramp up immediately following Christmas as
customers start to research and book their holidays for the following summer period
Travelled by month
Peak departure months are July and August
Funds Flow
- Invest in marketing and low deposits to drive bookings but
margin and cash are earned on a travelled basis
Source: Company Information
5.8% 4.3% 4.1% 15.5% 11.1% 10.4% 10.0% 9.6% 8.2% 8.1% 7.2% 5.6%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
% FY16 Booked by month
9.7% 2.4% 2.3% 1.8% 2.7% 4.8% 7.2% 12.1% 13.8% 15.1% 16.3% 11.7%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
% FY16 Travelled by month
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- £20.00
- £15.00
- £10.00
- £5.00
£0.00 £5.00 £10.00 £15.00 £20.00 £25.00 10/15 10/15 11/15 12/15 01/16 02/16 03/16 04/16 05/16 06/16 07/16 08/16 09/16
Millions
- 20.00
- 18.00
- 16.00
- 14.00
- 12.00
- 10.00
- 8.00
- 6.00
- 4.00
- 2.00
0.00 09/15 10/15 11/15 12/15 01/16 02/16 03/16 04/16 05/16 06/16 07/16 08/16 09/16
Millions
Cash Flow: Seasonality and cash profile
Facility used to fund low deposits during peak trading periods between January and June
Source: Company Information
Annual cash cycle sees
investment into working capital as bookings are achieved in Jan
- June, with cash unwinding
from the trust as customers travel
Facility available in FY16 was
£35m, maximum drawdown was £13.5m
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