FY 2016 Operating Results Outperforming even on upgraded guidance
16 January 2017
FY 2016 Operating Results Outperforming even on upgraded guidance - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FY 2016 Operating Results Outperforming even on upgraded guidance 16 January 2017 Disclaimer IMPORTANT: You must read the following before continuing. programme area figures may not be directly comparable to figures given in respect of any
16 January 2017
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1
2
Etalon Group delivered 420 ths sqm of NSA, exactly in line with the construction plan. This includes 15 buildings and 4.3 ths apartments Transfers to customers in 2016 amounted to 332 ths sqm, up 5% year-on-year Average price for apartments in FY 2016 was 107,959 RUB per sqm, up 6% year-on-year Cash collections increased by 54% and amounted to RUB 39.7 bln
420 ths sqm
deliveries
New contract sales surpassed Etalon’s upgraded and ambitious guidance, reaching 496 ths sqm and RUB 47.4 bln, up 29% and 35% year-on-year , respectively Both results set new records for annual sales in the Company’s 29-year history
new sales
+35% y-o-y
average apartment price
cash collections
+54% y-o-y
Balance sheet remains very strong, with net debt of RUB 7.8 bln, almost unchanged year-on-year despite active land acquisitions and dividend distributions
net debt / EBITDA ratio
3
2016 Key Deliveries Appendix
Operating Results
Prestige, 2014
14.1 18.3 23.7 30.2 40.0 35.1 47.4 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
102,258 107,959
2015 2016 25,845 39,723 2015 2016
35,080 47,443 2015 2016 385,252 496,008 2015 2016
New contract sales, sqm Cash collections, mln RUB
+29%
New contract sales, mln RUB 2016 new contract sales set a record in Etalon Group’s history
+35% +54%
Average price for apartments, RUB/sqm
5 Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix
New contract sales, bln RUB
Source: Company data
35.1 42.1 45.6 47.4 Actual FY 2015 Initial 2016 guidance Upgraded 2016 guidance Actual FY 2016
6 Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix
Source: Company data
+20% +30% +35%
New contract sales, bln RUB
3,457 2,634 1,886 2,069 3,001 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 +45% 9,632 10,571 9,286 8,744 11,123 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 15,774 12,860 10,284 10,575 13,725 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 174,767 135,003 100,599 106,661 153,745 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016
Cash collections, mln RUB New contract sales, sqm Number of contracts New contract sales, mln RUB
7 Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix
Source: Company data
+44% +30% +27%
20% 7% 7% 27% 8% 10% 6% 7% 8%
19% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 16%
Etalon City Emerald Hills Swallow’s Nest Tsar’s Capital Samotsvety House on Obruchevykh Other projects
Moscow (Summer Garden) and in St. Petersburg (Galactica)
reached 43%
Emerald Hills Swallow’s Nest Tsar’s Capital Landyshi Etalon City Other projects Moscow Gates
4Q 2015 New contract sales by project, sqm 4Q 2016 New contract sales by project, sqm
Samotsvety Golden Star Landyshi
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix
Moscow Gates
Significant portfolio diversification with growing share of prime location projects
838 ths sqm. Two residential buildings at the project were launched in late October 2016, with 123 new contracts signed in just two months.
Naberezhnaya Obvodnogo Kanala, just south
prestigious place for both living and doing
Frunzenskaya and Moskovskiye Vorota, can be reached by foot in just 10-15 minutes.
Galactica case study
Source: Company data
8
Summer Garden Galactica Golden Star
526 688 4Q 2015 4Q 2016 15% 23% 4Q 2015 4Q 2016
including Sberbank, VTB Group, Gazprombank, Raiffeisen Group and Absolut Bank
mortgage agencies to offer flexible financing options:
Healthy growth in primary market mortgage loans supported by a gradual decline in an average interest rate(1) Number of mortgage contracts Share of mortgage sales, %
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix
Source: Company data (1) Mortgage loans given to Russia residents for acquisition of apartments on the primary market. Source: CBR data
9
+31% 998 1,296 13.44% 12.62%
10.00% 11.00% 12.00% 13.00% 14.00% 15.00% 16.00% 17.00% 18.00% 19.00% 20.00% 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,40011M 2015 11M 2016
Volume of mortgage loans, bln RUB Average interest rate, %
+30%
Highlights
321 244
78 31.12.2015 inventory contracted in 12M 2016 new inventory 31.12.2016
Inventory of completed and available for sale apartments, ths sqm Average down payment 12M 2016 Highlights
58% 66% 66% 69% 71% 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016
31 December 2015 sold down during FY 2016
apartments accounted for 49% of all apartments contracted in FY 2016
amounted to 71% in 4Q 2016, up from 58% in 4Q 2015
inventory contracted in 12M 2016
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 10
Source: Company data
40% 60%
Local bonds Bank loans
at the end of 2015 to 12.71% at the end of 2016
7,397 7,844 31.12.2015 31.12.2016
Strong liquidity position unchanged Balanced gross debt composition (as of 31/12/2016) Highlights
19,414 18,050 12,017 10,206 31.12.2015 31.12.2016
Debt, mln RUB Cash and cash equivalents, mln RUB
Net debt, mln RUB
(1)
Source: Company estimates (1) Including bank deposits in ST Investments
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 11
Projects in St. Petersburg Metropolitan Area Projects in Moscow Metropolitan Area
7
Completed
4 1 2 5 8 9 2 6 3 4 1 3 6 5 10
Under construction Design stage Acquired in 2016
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 12
Project Status Total NSA (‘000 sqm) Unsold NSA (Etalon’s share) (‘000 sqm) (1) Unsold parking (lots), # OMV (mln RUB) Income from sales (mln RUB) (2) Construction budget (mln RUB) (3) Outstanding budget (mln RUB) (3) Current Projects
Construction 838.4 646.4 2,976 10,787 72,311 43,374 40,235
Completed in 2016 390.9 170.8 1,946 10,350 30,225 14,823 2,845
Completed in 2016 335.1 96.4 1,416 6,700 23,431 13,630 710
Construction 234.1 180.0 879 10,176 24,049 10,264 4,637
Construction 204.9 131.9 919 6,465 18,455 10,661 4,377
Completed 112.1 17.5 382 929 8,703 3,971 271
Construction 90.6 58.6 492 2,081 7,299 4,132 3,613
Design stage 61.3 61.3 363 1,103 6,002 3,571 3,089
Design stage 39.5 39.5 277 498 3,949 2,482 2,473
Design stage 6.0 6.0 35 167 610 362 331 Total SPMA 2,312.9 1,408.5 9,685 49,256 195,034 107,271 62,579 Moscow Metropolitan Area (MMA)
Construction 859.0 411.6 2,826 17,866 63,905 38,698 13,699
Construction 376.2 216.9 1,904 8,650 29,066 19,611 12,761
Construction 283.4 230.0 1,057 7,640 32,236 16,204 15,537
Design stage 182.9 169.6 2,160 7,810 24,977 8,780 8,637
Construction 84.9 63.7 325 4,540 11,009 5,040 4,228
Design stage 91.5 83.9 851 2,943 10,602 4,424 4,369 Total MMA 1,878.0 1,175.7 9,123 49,449 171,794 92,756 59,231 Total Current Projects 4,190.8 2,584.2 18,808 98,705 366,828 200,027 121,810 Completed Projects Residential property in completed projects 1,259.0 115.9 2,369 5,156 84,334 Completed stand-alone commercial properties 18.9 18.9 58 524 737 Total Completed Projects 1,278.0 134.8 2,427 5,680 85,070 All Projects Total Etalon Group Projects 5,468.8 2,719.1 21,235 104,384 451,898 200,027 121,810
Source: NSA of Galactica based on Company data, all other numbers based on JLL report as of 31.12.2015 (1) Including parking with average area c. 30 sqm
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 13
(2) Income from sales includes potential and received incomes as of 31.12.2015 (3) Excluding land acquisition costs
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 14
House on Kosmonavtov House on Obruchevykh street Summer Garden Galactica
The project is located on a 38-hectare land plot by Moskovsky prospect and Naberezhnaya Obvodnogo Kanala, just south of central St. Petersburg, which makes it a prestigious location for both living and business. Galactica will create an entirely new comfort-class residential district. The nearest metro stations, Frunzenskaya and Moskovskiye Vorota, are situated 10-15 minutes from the development. Located in the Moskovskiy district of
10-minutes’ walk from the Zvezdnaya metro station and has access to major roads, including Moskovskiy prospekt, Vitebskiy prospekt and Prospekt
close to a number
stores, educational, and sports facilities, as well as to Pulkovskiy park. The project is located within walking distance of the Polytekhnicheskaya and Akademicheskaya metro stations in a well-developed district, with stores, entertainment and fitness centres, as well as schools and kindergartens, all in close proximity. The Sosnovka and St. Petersburg Polytechnic University parks are both within walking distance of the development. The project is situated in a pleasant area close to Dmitrovsky Park and the Veteran Theme Park. The project can be easily accessed from Yahromsky passage and Dmitrovskoye highway. Seligerskaya metro station, for which construction recently started, is just 1.5 km from the complex, and there are plans to build another metro station adjacent to the site.
Total NSA 283 ths sqm Launched in March 2016 Total NSA 42 ths sqm Launched in August 2016 Total NSA 838 ths sqm Launched in October 2016 Total NSA 26 ths sqm Launched in December 2016
Construction started in August 2016 Construction started in December 2016 Total NSA 42 ths sqm
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 15
Project on Krapivniy Pereulok House on Kosmonavtov Project in the Kalininskiy district House on Obruchevykh street
The project is located in the Kalininskiy district of St. Petersburg and will include a 20-storey residential building containing 765 flats, a parking garage, and a pre-school. The land plot is located within walking distance of the Polytekhnicheskaya and Akademicheskaya metro stations in a well-developed district. The Sosnovka and Polytechnic University parks are both within walking distance of the development. The project will comprise a 9-storey building with 110 apartments, an 83- place parking garage, and a pre-school. The site is located near the historic centre of St. Petersburg and the Neva embarkment, on a quiet side street on the border of the Vyborgskiy and Petrogradskiy districts. Grenaderskiy Sad and Sampsonievskiy Sad are just around the corner. Vyborgskaya metro station is within 5-minutes’ walk. Located in the Moskovskiy district of
25-storey building with 312 apartments, underground parking and a pre-school. It is 10-minutes’ walk from the Zvezdnaya metro station and has access to major roads, including Moskovskiy prospekt, Vitebskiy prospekt and Prospekt
close to a number of stores, educational, and sports facilities, as well as to Pulkovskiy park. The project will comprise a 12-storey building with a 550-place parking
is 96 ths sqm, including 68 ths sqm of residential area. The site is located on a 5-hectare land plot within walking distance of two metro stations and four kilometres from central St. Petersburg, in an area with well-developed infrastructure.
Total NSA 96 ths sqm Construction to start in 2017 Total NSA 26 ths sqm Total NSA 14 ths sqm Construction to start in 2017
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 16
Project near Ryazanskiy Prospekt Project in the Nizhegorodskiy district Project in the Perovo district Project in the Mytishchinskiy district
The new comfort-class residential project is located in the Mytishchinsky district of the Moscow region, six kilometres from the Moscow Ring Road. The project will include four low-rise buildings up to three stories high, containing 780 flats, a detached parking garage, a pre-school and a primary school for 105 and 215 students, respectively. The project will include 113 ths sqm of residential area, 1,700 parking places, a school, and two pre-schools. It is located 10-15 minutes’ walking distance from the Nizhegorodskaya metro station, with schools, pre- schools, stores and several shopping malls in close proximity. Central Moscow is a 20-minute car ride from the development. The project will include 53 ths sqm of residential area, 864 parking places and a pre-school. It is located in the Nizhegorodskiy region
the South-Eastern administrative district of Moscow. The project will have good transport accessibility: central Moscow can be reached in 15 minutes by car, and the nearest metro station, Novokhokhlovskaya, is within just 10 minutes’ walk. The new project will include 105 ths sqm of residential area, 1,500 parking places, a pre-school, and a school. The land plot is located in an area with well-developed infrastructure, and is approximately 1 km from Izmaylovsky
transport accessibility: central Moscow can be reached in 20 minutes by car or by metro from the nearest station, Shosse Entuziastov, which is within just 10 minutes’ walk.
Total NSA 173 ths sqm Construction to start in 2018 Total NSA 86 ths sqm Construction to start in 2018 Total NSA 60 ths sqm Construction to start in 2017 Total NSA 185 ths sqm Construction to start in 2018
Emerald Hills 3rd stage, 2016
Income from sales* RUB 30,225 mln Open Market Value* RUB 10,350 mln
Total NSA 391 ths sqm
December 2016 December 2015
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 18
*JLL estimate as of 31.12.2015
December 2016 December 2015
Income from sales* RUB 24,049 mln Open Market Value* RUB 10,176 mln
Total NSA 234 ths sqm
*JLL estimate as of 31.12.2015
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 19
December 2016 December 2015
Income from sales* RUB 63,905 mln Open Market Value* RUB 17,866 mln Moscow region Total NSA 859 ths sqm
*JLL estimate as of 31.12.2015
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 20
December 2016 December 2015
Income from sales* RUB 29,066 mln Open Market Value* RUB 8,650 mln Moscow Total NSA 376 ths sqm
*JLL estimate as of 31.12.2015
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 21
Near Rostral Columns, 2006
Presence in Russia’s largest markets
estate in Moscow metropolitan area (MMA) and St. Petersburg metropolitan area (SPMA)
2016(1) Strong delivery track record
development experience
True vertical integration
value-added segments of property development enables the Company to control costs, quality and timing
49 cities Diversified projects portfolio
within both SPMA and MMA Liquidity and credit ratings
by pre-sales cash collections model
EBITDA(3)
Corporate governance
professionals with broad range of experience and expertise, ensuring that the interests of all groups of shareholders are appropriately represented
quarterly trading updates and semi- annual financial reporting
new contract sales
to 50% of IFRS net profit semi- annually
(1) Company operating results; (2) JLL land bank valuation report as of 31.12.2015; (3) IFRS financial statements as of 31 December 2015 and company estimates
for 12M 2016
(4) 'B+' long-term & ‘B’ short-term corporate credit ratings of SSMO
LenSpetsSMU (last reconfirmed on 03.06.2016).
50% 45% 5% Projects under development Projects at design stage Projects completed
LSE ticker ETLN:LI Share price USD 3.92 (13.01.2017) Market capitalisation USD 1,145 mln (13.01.2017) Portfolio valuation (by JLL) RUB 104,384 mln (31.12.2015)
57% 43% SPMA MMA
Portfolio composition (2)
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 23
Etalon Group operates in every part of property development process
(1) Brick plant and concrete products plant. Own production only for “bottleneck” construction materials (2) 62 tower cranes (Liebherr and Wolff). Data as of 31.12.2016
Design Land Acquisition and Permits Construction Materials (1) Sales and Marketing Construction Contracting and Commissioning Tower Cranes (2)
Independence from suppliers, but only in crucial areas
Ongoing Maintenance and Service Understanding of customer needs (sales network throughout the country) Business stability and lower risk of dependence on counterparties Control over costs, quality and timely delivery of projects
Funding Effective Capital Recycling
24 Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 24
Region Share of total contracts Leningrad region 3.5% Khanty-Mansiysk AD 2.1% Krasnoyarski krai 1.5% Murmansk region 1.3% Yakutia 1.0% Khabarovski krai 1.0% Kamchatski krai 0.9% Yamalo-Nenets AD 0.8% Other Russian regions 19.3% Foreigners 1.2% Total 32.6% 1.1x 1.1x 1.2x 1.2x 1.3x 1.3x 1.3x 1.3x 1.4x 1.5x 1.5x 1.5x 1.8x 1.8x 2.2x Russia average Murmansk region Sverdlovsk region Khabarovski krai Yakutia Tyumen region Kamchatski krai
Moscow region Khanty-Mansiysk AD Magadan region Chukotka Sakhalin region Yamalo-Nenets AD Moscow Nenets AD
Etalon Group’s sales offices / representatives
nationwide
Regional income per capita to Russia average(2)
Petropavlovsk- Kamchatskiy Magadan Uzhno-Sakhalinsk Khabarovsk Norilsk Noviy Urengoy Nizhnevartovsk Surgut Murmansk SPMA MMA Vladivostok Irkutsk Yakutsk Mirniy Established relationships / partnerships with local sales agencies Blagoveshchensk Novosibirsk Apatity Omsk Krasnoyarsk
Powerful sales network across the country
Regional population actively buys apartments in Moscow and St. Petersburg
Etalon Group’s regional sales geography(1) The Group’s flats are sold in 14 out of Russia’s 15 richest regions
Etalon Group’s target regions Monchegorsk Tolyatti Krasnodar Arkhangelsk Chelyabinsk Perm Nadim Khanty-Mansiysk Tyumen Korsakov Kholmsk Komsomolsk-on-Amur Novokuznetsk Ust-Ilimsk Kemerovo Gubkinskiy Severodvinsk Snezhinsk Nefteyugansk Ekaterinburg Chita Samara
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 25
(1) Source: company data for 4Q 2016 (2) Average monthly cash income per capita, Rosstat’s preliminary estimates for 10M 2016
Kamensk Uralskiy Siktivkar Ussuriysk Ukhta Tashtagol Naryan-Mar
Experience and awards
Education
Michael John Calvey
Senior partner at Baring Vostok since 1999 Experience and awards
Gallery Media Group
Corporation
Telecom, Burren Energy Education
Economics
Viacheslav Zarenkov
President, CEO and Founding shareholder Experience and awards
Education
SPb University of Internal Affairs
Dmitry Zarenkov
Chairman of the Board of Directors
Alexei Kalinin
Senior partner at Baring Vostok Experience and awards
Gas, member of the board at Samarenergo and two Russian glass companies Education
Boris Svetlichny
Independent Non-Executive Director Experience and awards
management with international and Russian companies
Orange in Russia, VP for Finance at Vimpelcom and CFO at Golden Telecom. From March 2014 to August 2016 served as CFO of Etalon Group Education
Martin Cocker
Independent Non-Executive Director Experience and awards
construction industry
KPMG and Ernst & Young in Russia, Kazakhstan and UK Education
Charalampos Avgousti
Independent Non-Executive Director Experience and awards
corporate and banking sectors
Partners LLC (Advocates & legal consultants)
Authority (CYTA), member of the Advisory council of Limassol for the Central Cooperative Bank Education
(LLM in International Commercial Law)
Marios Theodosiou
Independent Non-Executive Director Experience and awards
strategy, affiliated with American Marketing Association (AMA) and Academy of International Business
Matters for Cyprus talks
Research Award from AMA Education
(PhD, International Marketing and Strategy)
Kirill Bagachenko
Deputy CEO and Vice President Experience and awards
asset management
manager at TKB BNP Paribas Investment Partners
Russia by Thomson Reuters Extel Survey (2013) Education
Dmitry Kashinsky
Vice President Experience and awards
industry
where he served as CEO Education
(1) Title granted by President of Russia
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 26
General Shareholders Meeting Board of Directors Strategy Committee Remuneration & Nomination Committee Audit Committee Management Team
including 4 Independent Directors
As of 31 December 2015
44.1% 7.7% 16.4% 30.8% 1.0%
Zarenkov family Management Baring Vostok Free float Etalon Development Ltd
Board Committees Corporate governance structure Shareholder structure
27
Information Disclosure Committee
Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix
Source: Company data
27
Timing Stages of residential real estate development Revenue recognition Permission risk
value
Total development period range: 39-59 months
3-5 years
Zoning & initial permit documentation
12-18 months
Investment contract, planning & construction permit
18-30 months
Construction Pre-sale
1-2 months
State commission
3 months
Ownership rights registration
Etalon Group focus High permission risk Low entry price Medium-low permission risk Medium entry price
For share participation agreements when the construction is completed and the building has been approved by the State commission for acceptance of finished buildings. For share accumulation agreements when the building has been approved by the State commission for acceptance of finished buildings and act of acceptance is signed by share accumulation cooperative. For 100% payment when sale-purchase agreement is signed. For less than 100% payment when preliminary agreement and act of acceptance is signed by client.
Sales after commission ing
28 Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix
Source: Company data
28
Total cost structure* (RUB 59,000 – 72,000 per sqm of NSA)
1% 2% 5% 6% 8% 8% 14% 56%
Sales costs Interest expense Land acquisition Project management Design Other
*Source: Company estimates for typical project based on current portfolio average. Actual breakdown per project is subject to significant variation due to a number of factors. **including payroll tax
5% 16% 17% 19% 43%
Machinery Overhead expenses** VAT accrued Materials
49% 23% 15% 8% 3% 2%
Metal products Bricks Crushed granite Sand Other Cement 5 10 15 20 25 30
Task Share,% Start, month Duration, months Predevelopment 3 8 Zero cycle works 7 2 10 Construction works 43 5 20 Facade works 11 16 10 Fit out works 5 18 10 MEP systems 14 7 21 Engineering facilities 15 5 23 Urban landscaping 2 24 6 Construction timeline, months
Wages Construction Infrastructure
Materials cost structure* (RUB 12,000 – 18,000 per sqm of NSA) Construction cost structure* (RUB 29,000 – 39,000 per sqm of NSA) Typical project lifecycle*
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Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 29
facilities, including a 25 ths sqm logistics area for finished goods, renovation of warehouse and overhaul
carried out in the production area, next to the main production line, while it was in operation
the construction of a 12,313 sqm manufacturing facility and a 3,588 sqm administrative building
construction cycle
Ford Motor Company 2007-2012 UniPres 2014-2016
project in St. Petersburg in recent years
ths sqm
pavilions, 2 hotels, 3 helicopter pads, parking and utilities infrastructure
ExpoForum 2011-2015
Nissan in Russia, having acted as the general contractor for design and construction of the test track and new car storage areas in 2008
sqm of new factory space, including expansion of existing assembly lines, warehouse and office facilities
Nissan plant 2012-2014
renovation of administrative and service buildings for Zvezda-Reduktor, a subsidiary of Zvezda, Russia’s largest manufacturer of compact, high-RPM Diesel engines
sqm
Zvezda-Reduktor 2015-2016
and Storage Centre of the State Hermitage Museum in St. Petersburg
State Hermitage Museum 2015-2017*
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Operating Results 2016 Key Deliveries Appendix 30
*Expected date of completion
Etalon Group Limited Redwood House St Julian’s Avenue St Peter Port Guernsey GY1 1WA Tel: +44 (0)20 8123 1328 Fax: +44 (0)20 8123 1328 Email: info@etalongroup.com 31