FUTURE TAXATION OF COMPANY PROFITS What to do with intangibles? - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

future taxation
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

FUTURE TAXATION OF COMPANY PROFITS What to do with intangibles? - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

FUTURE TAXATION OF COMPANY PROFITS What to do with intangibles? Presentation at Taxation of the digitalised economy: analysing the OECD approach event 19-02-2019 SMALL IN SMALL INNO NOVATI TIVE VE OP OPEN EN WHAT WHA T IS IS BEI


slide-1
SLIDE 1

FUTURE TAXATION OF COMPANY PROFITS

What to do with intangibles?

19-02-2019 Presentation at Taxation of the digitalised economy: analysing the OECD approach event

slide-2
SLIDE 2

WHA WHAT T IS IS BEI BEING NG PR PROP OPOS OSED? ED? SMALL SMALL IN INNO NOVATI TIVE VE OP OPEN EN ECO ECONO NOMIES MIES LIK LIKEL ELY Y TO O LOS OSE E TAX AX REV REVEN ENUE UE PO POLIC LICY Y OP OPTIO TIONS NS TO O AD ADDR DRESS ESS CH CHAL ALLEN LENGES S GO GOIN ING G FOR FORWAR WARD

slide-3
SLIDE 3

WHAT IS BEING PROPOSED?

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Three proposals on the table…

4

User participation

  • Targeted specific

digital services (ring- fencing)

  • Allocation according

to location of users 2 A global minimum tax

  • “back-stop” that e.g.

denies of deduction

  • n outbound

payments if a certain Effective Tax Rate (ETR) threshold of the payee is not met

  • Potentially build on

the GILTI provisions 3 Marketing intangible approach

  • Compromise

between current transfer pricing system and a destination- based corporate income tax

  • Allocation according

to location of marketing intangibles 1

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Marketing intangibles: compromise between today’s transfer pricing system and destination-based corporate income tax

5

Current Transfer Pricing (TP) system

  • Ensure MNEs do not obtain

an inappropriate tax advantage by pricing within-group transactions differently from arm’s length principle

  • Key feature: corporate

income beyond allocation based on cost plus/return

  • n asset basis using the

arm’s length principle, is allocated to the entrepreneurial risk-taker(s) in the MNE group. Marketing intangible approach

  • 1. The Marketing Intangible (MI) approach

starts by defining a split between routine and residual income

  • 2. Affiliates of the MNE group are

compensated for their routine functions, cf. current TP rules

  • 3. Residual income further split between

income arising from marketing intangibles and other intangibles

  • 4. The residual income deemed to arise from
  • ther intangibles is still allocated cf. current

TP principles

  • 5. The share of residual income deemed to

arise from marketing intangibles is allocated to market of destination for the good or service

slide-6
SLIDE 6

Significant outstanding challenges with implications for the impact of the marketing intangibles approach

6

Whether definitions of Permanent Establishment (PE) are revised or not, and if so how? (e.g. digital PE and link to implicit user contribution principle) 1 How to define a normal return to physical/tangible assets and other intangibles? 2 How to define and value marketing intangibles relative to other intangibles? 3

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Mar Market eting inta ing intang ngible ible app pproa

  • ach

h go goes es well ell be beyon

  • nd

d te tech: h: cova varies ries with with oth ther r inta intangibles ibles, , can we te tell ll th the dif difference?

Marketing intangibles and other intangibles as a share of total enterprise value by sector

7 Note: The definition of marketing intangibles is based on IFRS 3 definition of marketing and consumer related intangibles and equal to the sum of the two. Furthermore, the results should

  • nly be considered indicative according to the authors.

Source: Brand Finance GIFT report 2017, page 33 & 47

Percent

73% 56% 34% 34% 29% 36% 33% 25% 18% 32% 28% 17% 24% 9% 13% 17% 35% 13% 30% 51% 42% 44% 29% 33% 17% 23% 7% 14% 14% 8% 23% 53% Pharmaceutical Media Internet & software 76% Services 35% Manufacturing 41% Retail 4% Construction Transportation Mining 73% Automotive Power & Utilities Biotechnology Oil & Gas Insurance 27% Wholesale Telecoms Banking 88% 42% 86% 86% 85% 65% 65% 35% 30% 21% 20% 3% 3% Marketing intangibles Other intangibles

slide-8
SLIDE 8

SMALL INNOVATIVE OPEN ECONOMIES LIKELY TO LOSE TAX REVENUE

slide-9
SLIDE 9

Significant share of current corporate tax revenue is at stake in the Nordics and Germany

Conservative approximate distribution of tax revenue on routine and residual profits by country, 2017

9

Percent

48 19 37 Denmark 33 21 42 Germany Finland 18 41 41 Sweden 17 35 48 Domestic residual return Foreign residual return Routine profits 100 100 100 100

Note: Assuming a normal return 4% and using average export shares within R&D intensity sectors. The estimates are based on a sample from 2010-2015 corrected for the real change in corporate tax revenue from 2010-2015 to 2017. See appendix of the study for a detailed description of the methodology. Source: Copenhagen Economics based on Amadeus database, Input-output tables, OECD and Eurostat.

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Five reasons why the Nordics will lose net tax revenue

10

High return on assets in R&D intensive industries

1

8% 6% 5% 12% 8% 5% 7% 6% 5% 4% 5%

Low R&D High R&D

6% 12%

Medium- high R&D

4%

Medium R&D Medium- low R&D

4%

Denmark Finland Sweden

Disproportionately high tax base from high R&D industries

2

Marketing intangibles especially important in high R&D industries

3

Nordics are net-exporters of high R&D goods and services

4

Intangibles especially important in developed economies

5

2.0% 7.0% 1.4 1.8 0.4 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 12.0% 6.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 13.0%

8.8% 1.3

Denmark Finland

12.4%

Sweden

6.4% 1.5 1.8

Multiple of tax revenue relative to GVA Share of corporate income tax revenue (right axis) Tax base / GVA

32%

High R&D Medium- high R&D Medium- low R&D Medium R&D Low R&D

26% 40% 31% 27% +13pp 6.4%

High R&D

5.7%

Low R&D Medium- high R&D Medium- low R&D Medium R&D

5.6% 1.2% 2.1%

Share of enterprise value Share of total output

Source: Copenhagen Economics based on Amadeus, input-output tables, Brand finance and OECD Stan database.

69 % 53 % 42 %

Germany

58 %

Denmark India USA Finland

68 %

Sweden China

58 % 58 %

Nordics lose net tax revenue

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Potentially higher tax burden on businesses

11

MNEs in low tax jurisdiction will experience higher ETR

  • MI approach gives

more diffused tax base

  • Potentially negative

real economic impact due to the distortive nature of corporate income taxes 1 Unclear rule for loss consolidation across borders

  • No harmonised set of

rules exists to ensure that MNEs can off-set losses cross-border

  • Asymmetry tends to

increase the effective tax burden 2 Key parameters have no solid empirical foundation

  • Increased tax

uncertainty and probability of disputes increasing the overall tax burden 3

In conclusion: It is both a country and company tax issue, likely to impact investments and real activity

slide-12
SLIDE 12

POLICY OPTIONS TO ADDRESS CHALLENGES GOING FORWARD

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Problems and aims to be defined before moving to solutions

13

BEPS project focused initially on addressing transfer pricing policy issues:

  • Changes to transfer pricing

guidelines

  • Addressing nexus

avoidance (updating PE)

  • Strengthening effective

regulation of foreign con- trolled companies (CFC) as well as polices versus so- called Tax Heavens

  • More recently, challenging

notions of where economic value is being created – the user contribution principle. We suggest policy reforms should:

  • 1. Aim to reduce transfer pricing problems,

taking into account already implemented BEPS efforts as well as national reforms of corporate tax regimes, notably in the US.

  • 2. Maintain/increase incentives to growth

friendly policies at national level

  • 3. Be based on meaningful, verifiable criteria

with manageable compliance costs

slide-14
SLIDE 14

Recent progress related to transfer pricing issues must be taken into account

14

Convergence in global statutory rates will also tend to reduce transfer pricing issues

19% 19% 19%20% 20% 20%20% 21% 21%22% 22% 22%23% 25%25% 25% 25%26% 26% 27%28% 28% 28%29% 30% 30%30% 30% 30% 32% Ireland Hungary New Zealand Lithuania United Kingdom Slovenia 15% Czech Republic Israel Poland Turkey Estonia Finland Iceland Latvia 9% Slovak Republic United States Switzerland Portugal Sweden Norway Austria Chile Netherlands Germany Spain 19% Luxembourg Italy Canada Korea Greece Belgium Japan Australia Mexico 13% 23% Denmark

The effect of the US tax reform and implemented BEPS measures should be fully digested before adding new, untested ideas in the global corporate tax arena

1 2

slide-15
SLIDE 15

Corporate tax revenue in the EU, 1995-2016, percent of GDP Effective tax rates on equity and debt

Reductions in statutory rates is not merely a race to the bottom

15

Source: CBO (2017) International Comparisons of Corporate Income Tax Rates, page 24 and European Comission

0.0 2000 1995 2005 2.0 0.5 2010 2015 1.5 1.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2.6% 2.6% 38% 36%34% 34% 28%28% 25% 24%20% 19% 16%14% 12% 10% 6%

  • 15% -14%
  • 8%
  • 27%
  • 12% -12%
  • 1%
  • 59%
  • 10%
  • 46%
  • 15%
  • 39%
  • 14%
  • 68%
  • 24%
  • 39%
  • 55%
  • 17%

AR BR US ZA MX DE IN JP ID CN

  • 17%

IT FR GB AU SA 39% RU TR KR CA 38% 34%

  • 24%

Equity-Financed Equipment Debt-Financed Equipment

Lower nominal rates reduce debt bias

1

Lower rates partly paid by tax reforms historically

2

Overall corporate tax take not collapsing

3

slide-16
SLIDE 16

Reducing national incentive to support growth:

the fiscal spoils from successful high- risk entrepreneurial projects are shared globally while the costs of failures are born by host countries.

1

Key parameters have no solid empirical foundation

  • What defines a “normal”

return for taxation purposes?

  • How to define marketing

intangibles relative to other intangibles?

  • How to value marketing

intangibles? In practice the division of marketing and other intangible will have to done in the absence of meaningful yardsticks based on sound economics

2

High compliance costs and requiring unrealistic levels

  • f international co-
  • peration
  • The MI approach creates

new administrative challenges for which no

  • bvious solutions exists
  • … while at the same time

keeping the challenges of the current transfer pricing regime

  • Realistic that international

co-operation prevents years

  • f litigation?
  • Formula apportionment
  • pens new avenues of tax

shifting: choice of business models

3

The marketing intangibles approach has three obvious drawbacks

16

100% 0% 25% 50% 75% 0.4% 64.8% 50x+ 1.1% 20-50x 2.5% 10-20x 5.9% 5-10x 25.3% 1-5x 0-1x

Return multiples in VC world

slide-17
SLIDE 17

A minimum taxation regime: targeted and realistic

17

Generally in line with the BEPS efforts to limit base erosion and creating a level playing field… Importantly from a policy efficiency perspective, a minimum taxation regime would stop industry specific distortions 1 2 while making a minimum tax regime work is not necessarily a walk in the park, it appears to be infinitely more manageable and meaningful than the other alternatives on the table 3

slide-18
SLIDE 18

www.copenhageneconomics.com

CONTACT

Copenhagen Economics Langebrogade 1 DK-1411 Copenhagen K Sigurd Næss-Schmidt, Partner & director of economics sns@copenhageneconomics.com