Bovis Homes Group PLC
Full year results 2017
1 March 2018
www.bovishomesgroup.co.uk
Full year results 2017 1 March 2018 www.bovishomesgroup.co.uk - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Bovis Homes Group PLC Full year results 2017 1 March 2018 www.bovishomesgroup.co.uk Agenda Full year performance Financial review CEO review - Operational update - Medium term targets Outlook Q&A Furlong Rise, Cheltenham
Bovis Homes Group PLC
Full year results 2017
1 March 2018
www.bovishomesgroup.co.uk
slide 1
Agenda
Furlong Rise, Cheltenham
slide 2
Full year performance
slide 3
Good progress with medium term targets
2020 Target Progress to date
4 star HBF customer satisfaction rating
4,000 completions
and disciplined manner 3.5 to 4.0 year owned land bank
core operating area
23.5% gross margin with further
5% admin expense as a % of revenue
Min £180m additional cash delivered
exchange stock, and completed disposal of shared equity
sites in FY18 25% ROCE
expected to drive signifjcant improvement in ROCE in FY18
slide 4 slide 4
www.bovishomesgroup.co.uk
Financial review
Earl Sibley
Group Finance Director
Burfjeld Grange, Hailsham
slide 5
Income statement
Note: (1) The Group has reclassifjed certain costs from administrative expenses to cost of sales - see appendix slide 40 for details
(£m) FY16
(restated)
FY17 Change
Revenue 1,054.8 1,028.2
Gross profjt
(1)
209.0 184.6
Administrative expenses
(1)
(49.0) (56.6) +16% Operating profjt before exceptional items 160.0 128.0
Exceptional items
Share of profjt of Joint Ventures 0.3
160.3 121.2
Finance cost (5.6) (7.2) Profjt before tax 154.7 114.0
Taxation charge (33.9) (22.7) Profjt after tax 120.8 91.3
Housing revenue analysis
FY16 FY17 Change
Average sales price (£k) Private 306.0
334.5 +9% PRS
151.1
119.5
123.4 +3%
Total 254.9
272.4 +7%
Volume Private 2,884
2,573
PRS
19
1,074
1,072 0%
Total 3,977
3,645
Housing revenue (£m) Private 882.6
860.6
PRS
2.9
137.3
132.3
Net housing revenue 1,022.8
992.9
Other income 6.2
3.3
Total housing revenue 1,029.0
996.2
slide 6
FY16 (restated) FY17 £m unless otherwise stated
Housing
Land sales Total
Housing
Land sales Total
Revenue 1,029.0 25.8 1,054.8 996.2 32.0 1,028.2 Gross profjt 201.3 7.7 209.0 182.2 2.4 184.6 Administrative expenses (49.0) (56.6) Operating profjt pre exceptional items 160.0 128.0 Gross margin (%)
(1) (2)
19.6 29.8 19.8 18.3 7.5 18.0 Operating margin pre exceptional (%) 15.2 12.5
slide 7
Analysis of profjt
expenses to cost of sales (£28.6m in FY17 (FY16: £26.7m)) and additional £3.5m customer care provision
slide 8 slide 8
(£m) FY16 FY17
Customer care provision
7.0
3.5 Advisory fees
Restructuring costs
Total 7.0 10.3
taken as an exceptional item of £4.0m in H2 17
One-ofg and exceptional costs in FY17
Sales prices and construction costs
FY16
(restated)
FY17 Change
Sales price per home (£000’s) 254.9 272.4 +7% Sales price per sq ft (£’s) 243.4 251.3 +3% Private sales price (£000’s) 306.0 334.5 +9% Private sales price per sq ft (£’s) 268.1 279.6 +4% Construction cost per home (£000’s) (1) 146.8 165.2 +13% Construction cost per sq ft (£’s) (1) 140.1 152.5 +9%
with c.3% increase from mix
slide 9 Note:
(1) After reclassifjcation of certain costs from administrative expenses to cost of sales - see appendix slide 40 for details
slide 10
Signifjcant cash generation
(FY16: £144m) and new land investment of £36.7m (FY16: £84m)
14 for details) (£m) FY16
(restated)
FY17
Housing receipts 1,061.9
1,086.9
Construction expenditure (703.0)
(681.6)
Overheads (51.4)
(54.7)
Operating cash flow 307.5
350.6
Cash expenditure on land (227.6)
(225.8)
Land sales receipts 22.0
36.9
Dividend payment (55.4)
(60.4)
Non-trading items (37.9)
5.0
Net cash flow 8.6
106.3
Opening net cash 30.0
38.6
Closing net cash 38.6
144.9
slide 11
Lichfjeld Bishops Itchington Drakes Broughton Bishop’s Stortford Horam Petersfjeld Didcot Wellingborough Wantage Witney Wellington
Strategically sourced
slide 11
Land acquisition in the year
the land market
FY17, able to be even more selective
final tranche at Stanton Cross (Wellingborough)
strategic land bank
gross margin
and average ROCE
exceeding min 25% hurdle rate
Net assets
(£m) 31 Dec 2016 30 June 2017 31 Dec 2017
Land 1,020.6 1,022.0
913.4
Land creditors (343.3) (324.7)
(246.7)
Land net of creditors 677.3 697.3
666.7
Work in progress 428.6 470.2
408.6
Other assets 142.5 135.4
92.1
Other liabilities (271.1) (256.4)
(255.7)
Net (debt)/cash 38.6 (32.4)
144.9
Net assets 1,015.9 1,014.1
1,056.6
Net assets per share 757p 756p
787p
slide 12
slide 13 slide 13
Balance sheet optimisation
Progress in FY18 Opportunity for FY18
Land c.£80m - 100m
larger sites
Work in progress c.£40 - £80m
exchange (£28.9m)
(£3.5m)
(foundations, roads etc)
Non returning assets
portfolio (£28.8m cash receipts)
(£8.4m)
(£11.5m)
HA cash fmow and PRS JVs
slide 14
Operating metrics
FY16 FY17
Sales outlets Average active sales outlets 99 92 Reservations Private reservations in year 2,960 2,274 Affordable reservations in year 1,022 1,730 Year end forward sales Private units 917 926 PRS 19
1,072 1,730 Total forward sales (units) 2,008 2,656 Total forward sales (£m) 421 518
slide 15
www.bovishomesgroup.co.uk
Operational Update
Greg Fitzgerald
Chief Executive Offjcer
Mildenhall, Sherborne
slide 16
Very signifjcant improvements across all areas
from regional offjces
CEO review - initial impressions
“Issues identifjed with progress already made”
slide 17
Transformed our Customer Service
1 October 2017
mindset within the business
and December 2017
training in FY17
indicator and bonus target for all levels
slide 18
Strong sales position
40% of FY18 consensus forecast revenue secured
part-exchange properties
profit centre
forecast expectations
slide 19
Restructuring successfully completed
supporting hands-on management
Home Counties regional offices
Kings Hill, Maidstone
greater effjciency
5% of revenue in FY18
Second Floor Office
New Basingstoke offjce New Milton Keynes offjce
slide 20
High quality, motivated people
term targets
slide 21
High quality build
‘getting it right fjrst time’
directors
supporting more hands on, proactive approach
slide 22
Progress with commercial
and best practice
enabling better decision making
working partnerships
visibility of our production plans
teams a priority for FY18
www.bovishomesgroup.co.uk
Medium term targets
Greg Fitzgerald
Chief Executive Offjcer
slide 23
Marbury Meadows, Wrenbury
slide 24
Growth in completions
by FY20
beyond 4,000 units
slide 25
Optimising our land bank structure
4.3 year land bank assuming 4,000 completions
impacting output to FY20
Site size Total sites Total plots 0 - 50 25 808 50 -100 34 2,551 100 -150 25 2,975 150 - 250 21 3,826 250+ 12 6,937 Total 117 17,096
Note: Land bank as at 31 December 2017 (excluding strategic land bank)
slide 26
Land bank fundamentals remain strong
London exposure
limited apartments
land already secured
32% 68% 15% 85% 27% 6% 67%
Standard Non standard Greenfjeld Brownfjeld Apartments Houses Afgordable
31 Dec 2016 2017
Average plots per site 141(1) 146(1) Average sales price £271k £293k Average land cost £52k £53k Plot cost/ASP 19% 18% Average gross margin 22.9% 23.2%
Note: (1) Average plots per site excluding plots at Wellingbourgh and Sherford Note: Land bank as at 31 December 2017, excluding Wellingborough and Sherford
slide 27 slide 27
bridges progressing well
residential building
third party developers during 2018
hurdle rate
Stanton Cross - Wellingborough
31 Dec 2017
Owned plots 1,747 Total balance sheet investment £81.6m
slide 28
Strategic land opportunity
strategic land bank over next 5 years
hurdle rates
Petersfield, Bishop’s Stortford and Didcot
in FY17 including 1,800 plots at Stanton Cross
As at 30 Dec 2017 Total sites Total plots
0 – 150 plots 11 1,100 150 – 300 plots 18 3,712 300 – 500 plots 9 3,220 500 – 1,000 plots 9 5,741 1,000+ plots(1) 5 6,983 Total 52 20,756 Planning agreed 10 7,980 Planning application 15 4.836 On-going promotion 27 7,940 Total 52 20,756
Note: (1) Includes 1,800 plots at extension site at Stanton Cross held under separate option arrangements
slide 29
Progress with afgordable housing
registered providers
broader partnerships
‘The last phase was a smooth handover process due to your attention to detail and presentation of the homes. Hope to work with you again in the future’ Paradigm Housing Group ‘The management team has always been quick to respond to our needs, they strive to maintain the highest possible standards and have been an absolute pleasure to work with’ Arcadis (employers agent)
slide 30
Margin initiatives
and increased profitability
specification changes
slide 31
New housing range
customers’ needs
all business areas
specifjcation
improve build efficiency
Phoenix No.7 - new range P303 Sheringham - current range
slide 32
New housing range
Ground fmoor First fmoor Ground fmoor First fmoor
Phoenix No.7 - new range P303 Sheringham - current range
slide 33
Market environment
slide 34
Ordinary dividend
Special dividend
years to FY20
Enhanced cash returns to shareholders
slide 35
Strong outlook for FY18
margin initiatives
a signifjcant improvement in ROCE
per share and making payment of fjrst special dividend towards the end of 2018
slide 36
www.bovishomesgroup.co.uk
Sherford, Plymouth
slide 37
Disclaimer - important notice
Certain statements in this presentation are forward looking statements. Forward looking statements involve evaluating a number of risks, uncertainties or assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by those statements. Forward looking statements regarding past trends, results or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends, results or activities will continue in the future. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward looking statements.
slide 38 slide 38
www.bovishomesgroup.co.uk
Bovis Homes Group PLC
Full year results 2017
Winchester Village, Winchester
slide 39 slide 39
Key metrics
0.000 40.025 80.050 120.075 160.100 0.00 210.96 421.92 632.88 843.84 1054.80 0.000 4.325 8.650 12.975 17.300 0.000 4.575 9.150 13.725 18.300 0.00 23.85 47.70 71.55 95.40
78.8 133.5 154.7 114.0 160.1 556.0 809.4 946.5 1,054.8 1,028.2 15.2 12.5 14.9 17.0 17.3 10.6 16.2 18.3 17.0 13.7 44.9 78.6 95.4 90.1 68.0
Profit before tax (£m)
£114.0m
Revenue (£m)
£1,028.2m
Operating profit margin (%)
12.5%
ROCE (%)
13.7%
Earnings per share (p)
68.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
0.00 11.25 22.50 33.75 45.00
13.5p 35p 40p 45p 47.5p
Dividend
47.5p
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(1) (1)(1) (1)
Note:
(1) Pre exceptional items totalling £6.8m related to advisory fees resulting from bid approaches and restructuring charges
slide 40
Gross profjt and admin expenses reconciliation
£m (unless stated) H1 2016 H2 2016 FY 2016
(1) H1 2017
H2 2017
(2)
FY 2017
Housing gross profjt pre re-statement 100.3 127.7 228.0 92.0 118.8 210.8 Re-stated direct costs (12.6) (14.1) (26.7) (14.8) (13.8) (28.6) Housing gross profjt re-stated 87.7 113.6 201.3 77.2 105.0 182.2 Non-housing gross profjt 0.0 7.7 7.7 0.2 2.2 2.4 Administrative expenses re-stated (23.8) (25.2) (49.0) (28.8) (27.8) (56.6) Operating profit 63.9 96.1 160.0 48.6 79.4 128.0 Housing gross margin pre re-statement 24.3% 20.7% 22.2% 21.9% 20.7% 21.2% Housing gross margin re-stated 21.2% 18.4% 19.6% 18.3% 18.3% 18.3%
Note: (1) Pre exceptional items totalling £2.8m related to advisory fees resulting from bid approaches (2) Pre exceptional items totalling £6.8m related to advisory fees resulting from bid approaches and restructuring costs
Mercia West Midlands Western South West South East Northern Home Counties Southern Counties Exeter Cheltenham Stafford Coleshill Basingstoke Milton Keynes Stansted New Ash Green
West division East division
Regional head office Satellite office
slide 41 slide 41
Header
slide 41
Regional operating structure
slide 42 slide 42
key criteria for land acquisition going forward
geographic range by divesting
1,747 plots included in Northern Home Counties and Sherford 1,604 plots within South West
Strength of land bank across the regions
863 1726 2589 3452 4315
Mercia
1,792 1,800 1,964 3,056 3,664 2,061 2,759
Owned plots West East Southern Counties West Midlands Western South West South East Northern Home Counties
slide 43 slide 43
Work in progress and other assets
(£m) 31 Dec 2016 30 June 2017 31 Dec 2017
Stock 28.8 24.1
18.8
Show homes 7.8 7.8
4.3
Roads and sewers 188.5 205.2
194.9
Housing and other WIP 142.6 169.7
139.0
Wellingborough WIP 12.3 20.9
31.9
Part exchange 48.6 42.5
19.7
Total work in progress 428.6 470.2
408.6
Shared equity 27.8 23.8
0.0
Debtors
13.0 7.6
1.5
31.6 25.9
10.7
46.2 56.7
65.6
Other assets 23.9 21.4
14.3
Total other assets 142.5 135.4
92.1
Imputed interest on land creditors drives the fjnancial charge
12 months ended 31 December (£m) 2016 2017
Bank interest and commitment fees (2.7) (2.4) Issue cost amortisation (0.6) (0.6) Imputed interest on land (5.0) (5.1) Pension fjnancing 0.3 (0.2) Imputed interest on available for sale assets 2.4 1.1 Total (5.6) (7.2)
slide 44
slide 45 slide 45
Land creditor payments
50 100 150 200 250
<1 year 1-2 year 2 year+
£m
£252m £168m £44m £40m
Note: The above fjgures are on an absolute cash basis. Balance sheet land creditors fjgure of £247m as at 31 December 2017 is
slide 46
Other liabilities
As at 31 December (£m) 2016 2017
Creditors 239.5 231.2 Corporation tax liability 13.9 16.9 Deferred tax liability
Retirement benefjt obligations 6.6
8.2 1.4
2.9 5.6 Other liabilities 271.1 255.7