Fourth Quarter 2019 Earnings Conference 30 January, 2020 Todays - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Fourth Quarter 2019 Earnings Conference 30 January, 2020

Today’s presenters JOHAN OSKAR MENCKEL HELLSTRÖM CEO CFO Since: 2012 Since: 2011 Gränges since: 2004 2

Fourth quarter 2019 Strong growth platform established in a weaker quarter ○ Execution on growth strategy – Acquisition of Aluminium Konin – Expansion of Huntingdon facility completed ○ Continued soft market conditions ○ Reduced sales volume and operating profit – Sales volume declined by 11% – Adjusted operating profit SEK 144 million ○ Strong cash generation – Adj. cash flow before financing SEK 191 million ○ Increased dividend – Divide n d proposed at SEK 3.40 per share 3

The acquisition of Aluminium Konin will add capabilities and strengthen Gränges’ positions in new niche markets ○ Acquisition of Aluminium Konin for SEK 2.3 billion, or 6.9x EBITDA ○ New capabilities, new market niches, and realization of synergies ○ 100 ktonnes capacity available as of closing and additional 40 ktonnes Aluminium Konin available from 2022 Konin, Poland ○ Completion subject to customary approval from competition authorities ○ Closing expected in Q2 2020 4

Expansion of Huntingdon facility completed – good progress for Newport and Finspång projects Finspång, Sweden Huntingdon, TN Newport, AR Newport Huntingdon Finspång ○ To be completed in 2020 ○ Completed in Q4 2019 ○ To be completed in 2021 ○ Investment of USD 26 ○ Investment of USD 110 ○ Investment of SEK 400 million in upgrading mills million to add capacity and million to improve site and equipment capabilities logistics and environmental footprint ○ 20 ktonnes capacity for light ○ 40 ktonnes of new capacity ○ 20 ktonnes of new capacity gauge foil available by end is being ramped up during of 2020 2020 from 2022 5 5

Light vehicle production decreased by 5% while HVAC shipments increased by 2% in the fourth quarter End market production growth (YoY) End market Automotive HVAC Region Global Asia Europe Americas Americas Q4 -5% -3% -6% -8% +2% 2019 Q1 -5% -8% -6% +4% 2020 Full year ±0% ±0% -1% -2% +3% 2020 Source: Automotive light vehicle production - IHS Automotive, December 2019 HVAC unit shipments - AHRI, January 2020 6

Sales volume decreased by 11% in the fourth quarter due to lower market demand and customer destocking Gränges sales volume (ktonnes) Asia Europe Americas Gränges Group -11% -12% -25% +2% 52.2 87.4 20.4 46.0 77.9 19.9 15.3 11.5 43.8 39.1 43.8 39.1 43.7 38.8 8.5 6.9 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 ○ Increased sales volume ○ Decreased demand for ○ Automotive sales ○ Significant customer for automotive materials automotive materials due decreased by 11% destocking activities for primarily driven by to lower vehicle production both automotive and ○ HVAC & Other sales increased demand from and continued destocking HVAC materials before decreased by 11% Chinese customers the end of the year Automotive HVAC & Other 7

Full year 2019 performance reflects challenging market conditions and material expansion investments Net debt over Growth ROCE Dividend adjusted EBITDA SEK 3.40 -7% 11.7 % 2.6 2 1 43 % Target: Target: Target: Target: 30–50% above market 15–20% 1.0–2.0 times of net profit (1) Sales volume growth in 2019 (2) The Board of Director’s proposal for the 2020 Annual General Meeting 8

Good progress within sustainability in 2019 ○ Implementation of Gränges’ sustainability framework, with clear long-term targets ○ Member of the Aluminium Stewardship Initiative (ASI) and certification of the Shanghai site ○ Good progress on sustainability priorities: – Improved safety accident rate – Increased share of recycled aluminium – Reduced carbon emissions from purchased materials – Intensified development of broader and more sustainable customer offerings 9

Lower sales volume and adjusted operating profit for fourth quarter and full year 2019 Sales volume and adjusted operating profit Adjusted operating profit per tonne 4 500 1,250 Adjusted operating profit per tonne (kSEK) 1005 Adjusted operating profit (SEK million) 933 400 1,000 3 Sales volume (ktonnes) 866 3.2 687 300 750 2.5 2 541 463 200 500 1.8 371 362 1.4 1 209 100 250 0 0 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sales volume Adjusted operating profit Gränges Group Automotive HVAC & Other 10

Financial overview – fourth quarter 2019 SEK million Q4 January - December 2019 2018 Change 2019 2018 Change Sales volume (ktonnes) 77.9 87.4 -10.9% 347.3 375.0 -7.4% Net sales 2,682 3,074 -12.7% 11,978 12,910 -7.2% Adjusted operating profit 1 144 191 -24.5% 866 1,005 -13.8% Adjusted operating margin (%) 5.4 6.2 -0.8 ppt 7.2 7.8 -0.6 ppt Adjusted operating profit per tonne (kSEK) 1.9 2.2 -0.3 2.5 2.7 -0.2 Operating profit 115 191 -40.1% 836 940 -11.1% Profit for the period 47 149 -68.1% 600 688 -12.8% Earnings per share 2 (SEK) 0.63 1.97 -1.34 7.95 9.11 -1.16 Adj. cash flow before financing activities 3 191 316 -40% 1,048 977 7.3% Return on capital employed, R12 (%) 11.7 16.5 -4.8 ppt Net debt / adjusted EBITDA, R12 2.6 1.8 (1) Adjusted for items affecting comparability (2) Diluted (3) Adjusted for expansion investments and acquisitions 11

Net debt reduced to SEK 3.5 billion in the fourth quarter Change in net debt -2,000 2.7 2.6 Adjusted cash flow before financing SEK 191 million -2,500 SEK million -3,000 84 -64 -3,500 -98 -3,465 -123 73 269 -3,606 -4,000 Net debt Adjusted Change in Other Maintenance Expansion FX & Net debt 30 Sep EBITDA working operating investments investments other 31 Dec 2019 capital items & acquisitions 2019 Net debt over adjusted R12 EBITDA Note: Net Debt over adjusted R12 EBITDA excluding impact from IFRS 16 Leases (31 Dec, 2019) = 2.5 12

Continued strong cash generation in 2019 Adjusted operating profit to cash flow before financing conversion 1 1500 150% Adjusted operating profit and cash flow 129% 121% 121% before financing (SEK million) 112% 111% Cash conversion (%) 100% 1000 100% 81% 70% 500 50% 0 0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Adjusted operating profit Cash flow before financing 1 Cash conversion (1) Cash flow before financing activities excluding cash flow from non-maintenance investments and acquisitions. 13

Outlook - first quarter 2020 ○ IHS estimates that global light vehicle production will decrease by 5% in the first quarter ○ Gränges expects the sales volume to decline by low single digits in the first quarter – Low-double digit decline for automotive materials on global level – Mid to high-single digit growth for HVAC & Other materials in Americas ○ End-market mix change expected to have a negative impact on profitability ○ Outbreak of coronavirus in China may pose a downside risk to the outlook Source: IHS Automotive, December 2019 14

Summary - fourth quarter 2019 ○ Execution on growth strategy ○ Continued soft market conditions ○ Reduced sales volume and operating profit ○ Strong cash generation ○ Increased dividend 15

Q&A Johan Menckel, CEO Oskar Hellström, CFO