First Quarter 2017 Earnings Call May 4, 2017 Important Note to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
First Quarter 2017 Earnings Call May 4, 2017 Important Note to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
First Quarter 2017 Earnings Call May 4, 2017 Important Note to Investors This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 regarding Dominion and Dominion
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Important Note to Investors
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This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 regarding Dominion and Dominion Midstream. The statements relate to, among other things, expectations, estimates and projections concerning the business and operations of Dominion and Dominion Midstream. We have used the words "anticipate", "believe", "could", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "may", "plan", “outlook”, "predict", "project", “should”, “strategy”, “target”, "will“, “potential” and similar terms and phrases to identify forward-looking statements in this presentation. As outlined in our SEC filings, factors that could cause actual results to differ include, but are not limited to: unusual weather conditions and their effect on energy sales to customers and energy commodity prices; extreme weather events and other natural disasters; federal, state and local legislative and regulatory developments; changes to federal, state and local environmental laws and regulations, including proposed carbon regulations; cost of environmental compliance; changes in enforcement practices of regulators relating to environmental standards and litigation exposure for remedial activities; capital market conditions, including the availability of credit and the ability to obtain financing on reasonable terms; fluctuations in interest rates; changes in rating agency requirements or credit ratings and their effect on availability and cost of capital; impacts of acquisitions, divestitures, transfers of assets by Dominion to joint ventures or to Dominion Midstream, and retirements of assets based on asset portfolio reviews; receipt of approvals for, and timing of, closing dates for acquisitions and divestitures; the execution of Dominion Midstream’s growth strategy; changes in demand for Dominion’s services; additional competition in Dominion’s industries; changes to regulated rates collected by Dominion; changes in operating, maintenance and construction costs; timing and receipt of regulatory approvals necessary for planned construction or expansion projects and compliance with conditions associated with such regulatory approvals; the inability to complete planned construction projects within time frames initially anticipated; and the ability of Dominion Midstream to negotiate, obtain necessary approvals and consummate acquisitions from Dominion and third-parties, and the impacts of such acquisitions. Other risk factors are detailed from time to time in Dominion’s and Dominion Midstream’s quarterly reports on Form 10-Q or most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The information in this presentation was prepared as of May 4, 2017. Dominion and Dominion Midstream undertake no obligation to update any forward- looking information statement to reflect developments after the statement is made. Projections or forecasts shown in this document are based on the assumptions listed in this document and are subject to change at any time. In addition, certain information presented in this document incorporates planned capital expenditures reviewed and endorsed by Dominion’s Board of Directors in late 2016. Actual capital expenditures may be subject to regulatory and/or Board of Directors’ approval and may vary from these estimates. This presentation shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Any offers, solicitations or offers to buy, or any sales of securities will be made in accordance with the requirements of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. This presentation has been prepared primarily for security analysts and investors in the hope that it will serve as a convenient and useful reference document. The format of this document may change in the future as we continue to try to meet the needs of security analysts and investors. This document is not intended for use in connection with any sale, offer to sell, or solicitation of any offer to buy securities. This presentation includes various estimates of EBITDA which is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please see the first quarter 2017 Dominion Midstream Press Release for a reconciliation to GAAP. Please continue to regularly check Dominion’s website at www.dom.com/investors and Dominion Midstream’s website at www.dommidstream.com/investors.
First Quarter 2017
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
First Quarter 2017 Versus Guidance
Operating Earnings Summary
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$0.90 $0.97 Guidance Range Actual Operating EPS* $1.10 1st Quarter Drivers Versus Guidance
Weather normalized electric sales Lower income taxes Lower operating expenses Weather
*See page 30 of the first quarter 2017 Earnings Release Kit for a reconciliation to GAAP.
First Quarter 2017 Weather Norm.: $1.05
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
First Quarter 2017 Versus Guidance (in $millions)
Operating EBITDA Summary
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Operating Segment Guidance EBITDA Actual EBITDA Drivers versus Guidance Dominion Virginia Power $400 - $435 $414
Weather Weather normalized electric sales Transmission growth
Dominion Generation $655 - $735 $695
Weather Weather normalized electric sales Lower operating expenses Merchant margins
Dominion Energy $570 - $610 $582
Weather
*See page 35 of the first quarter 2017 Earnings Release Kit for a reconciliation to GAAP.
First Quarter 2017
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Dominion Midstream Partners (DM)
– Financial results in line with management expectations
- Net Income $52.2 million
- Adjusted EBITDA $75.4 million*- ~3x increase over 1Q 2016
- Distributable Cash Flow $44.1 million* - ~2x increase over 1Q 2016
– Distribution results
- Board declared 1Q 2017 cash distribution of $0.2740 per unit
- 5% increase above fourth-quarter
– No equity issuances needed until mid to late 2018
- Questar Pipeline dropdown will support DM’s 22% distribution
growth until 2H 2018
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First Quarter 2017 Earnings and Distribution
*See the first quarter 2017 Dominion Midstream Press Release for a reconciliation to GAAP.
First Quarter 2017
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
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Cash Flow and Financing Activities
First Quarter 2017
– Cash flow & liquidity
- $1.4 billion in cash from operating activities during 1Q 2017
- $5.5 billion of credit facilities
- $3.2 billion of liquidity at quarter end
– Recent significant financing activities
- DRI $1.2 billion of total senior notes issuance in January and March
- VEPCO $750 million senior notes issuance in March
First Quarter 2017
*See pages 23-26 of the first quarter 2017 Earnings Release Kit for additional finance and liquidity details.
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Long-term Financing Activities
2017 Financing Plan ($ millions)
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Entity Financing Plan Completed DRI DRIP Equity $300 On track DRI Debt 1 $2,000 - $2,300 $1,200 DRI 2014 MC Jr Debt Remarketing 2 $1,000
- VEPCO
Debt $1,400 - $1,700 $750 DGH Debt $0
- QGC
Debt $75-$125
- DM
Debt/Equity $0
- Total
$4,775 - $5,425 $1,950
(1) In addition to public senior note issuances, financing could include private placements, asset level loan financing, etc. (2) Remarketing transactions do not represent increases in total debt. Dominion Resources, Inc. (DRI) Virginia Electric and Power Company (VEPCO) Dominion Gas Holdings, LLC (DGH) Questar Gas Company (QGC) Dominion Midstream Partners, LP (DM)
First Quarter 2017
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Dominion Midstream Benefits to Dominion
Uses of Cash from Asset Contributions and Distributions Grow the Dividend Reduce Equity Needs Strengthen Balance Sheet
Delever DRI as a percent of overall leverage to ~30% - 40% by 2020 Support high triple-B target rating at DRI Grow dividends at more than 8% annually beginning in 2018** Optimize cash flows to fund growth projects and / or buyback Dominion common shares
Dominion expects to generate ~$7 - $8 billion in cash from Dominion Midstream Partners from 2016-2020*
**Annual dividend rates subject to Board approval 8 *Pre-tax
First Quarter 2017
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Second Quarter 2017
Operating Earnings Guidance
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$0.71 $0.60 2Q 2016 EPS* 2Q 2017 Guidance* $0.70 2nd Quarter Drivers
Return to normal weather Cove Point import contract roll-off Millstone margins Solar investment tax credits
*See page 36 and 37 of the first quarter 2017 Earnings Release Kit for a reconciliation to GAAP.
First Quarter 2017
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
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Financial Summary
– First quarter operating earnings of $.97 per share*
- Near the top of guidance excluding 8 cent per share impact of weather
– Second-quarter operating earnings guidance of $.60-$.70 per share* – 2017 operating earnings guidance range of $3.40 - $3.90 per share* – Operating EPS to grow by at least 10% in 2018 over 2017 – Operating EPS CAGR 2017 – 2020 will be in the 6-8% range – Dominion Midstream financial and distribution results in line with
expectations
First Quarter 2017
*See pages 30 and 37 of the first quarter 2017 Earnings Release Kit for a reconciliation to GAAP.
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
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Dominion Generation
Growth Project Update – Greensville
– Construction of a 1,588 MW plant in
Greensville County, VA
– Gas Fired Combined Cycle
- 3-on-1 Combined Cycle
- Duct burners, inlet air chillers, gas only
– Estimated Costs of $1.3 billion – Major Milestones
- Awarded EPC Contract April 2015
- Filed CPCN/Rider July 2015
- CPCN/Rider approved March 2016
- Final Air Permit approved June 2016
- Expected in-service December 2018
Charlottesville
Greensville
Richmond
The Greensville 3x1 CC will be the largest combined-cycle facility in the U.S.
First Quarter 2017
Project is 30% complete
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Dominion Generation
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Growth Project Update – Solar
Project State Capacity Expected In-service
Eastern Shore Solar VA 80 MW 4Q 2016 Scott, Whitehouse, Woodland Solar VA 56 MW 4Q 2016 Summit Farms Solar NC 60 MW 4Q 2016 Additional projects with Amazon VA 180 MW Late 2017 Remington Solar VA 20 MW Late 2017 Oceana Solar VA 18 MW Late 2017 Cypress Creek NC 79 MW Late 2017 UVA Hollyfield Solar VA 17 MW Late 2018
*Includes 405 MW Dominion operates outside of Virginia and owned by a joint venture partner.
Focus on Virginia and North Carolina solar demand Total solar portfolio of 1,600 MW in-service or under development in 9 states*
First Quarter 2017
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Dominion Virginia Power
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Growth Project Update
*Subject to FERC approval
First Quarter 2017
– Tax Reform
- Designed to place underground ~4,000
miles of most vulnerable distribution tap lines for improved reliability
- Represents $2 billion of rate base
additions over duration of program**
- Designed to ramp investment up to
$175 million per year*
– Profile
- 500 kV loop rebuild and other large
traditional projects provide substantial backlog of growth opportunities
- $784 million completed in 2016
- Including new System Operations
Center
- Plan to invest ~$800 million per year in
electric transmission business*
Electric Transmission Strategic Undergrounding
**Subject to SCC approval
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Dominion Energy
–
Engineering and procurement are essentially complete
–
Completed setting all major equipment in December
–
Commissioning underway for auxiliary boilers and supporting systems
–
Filed request with DOE for authorization to export commissioning cargoes
–
Expect in-service late 2017
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Growth Project Update – Cove Point Liquefaction
Construction is On-time & On-budget
Heat exchanger
Project is ~89% complete
First Quarter 2017
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Dominion Energy
Atlantic Coast Pipeline and DTI Supply Header
ACP DTI Pipeline Storage Cove Point
Marcellus Shale Utica Shale
* Dominion will construct, operate and manage the pipeline
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Supply Header receipt points ACP OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE: Dominion Resources* 48% Duke Energy 47% Southern Company 5% SUPPLY HEADER OWNERSHIP:
Dominion Resources* 100%
First Quarter 2017
– Received FERC Draft EIS
December 30
– FERC comment period
ended early April
- Filed responses to FERC data
request May 1
– Final EIS & FERC Order on
track to support construction start in second-half 2017
– Expect completion in second-
half 2019
Significant progress continues
Essentially completed design and engineering
Executed construction contract
Materials procurement over 80% complete
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
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Key Takeaways
First Quarter 2017 Earnings and Operational Highlights
– Dominion Operating earnings of $0.97 per share within the first
quarter guidance range*
– Strong operating and safety performance in first quarter 2017 – Greensville County project on-time and on-budget – Cove Point Liquefaction project on-time and on-budget – Anticipated dividend growth rate from 2018 to 2020 will be
greater than 8% annually** Executing the growth plan and delivering on guidance
First Quarter 2017
*See page 30 of the first quarter 2017 Earnings Release Kit for a reconciliation to GAAP. **Annual dividend rates subject to Board approval.
First Quarter 2017 17