Finitely Repeated Games 14.12 Game Theory Muhamet Yildiz 1 Road - - PDF document

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Finitely Repeated Games 14.12 Game Theory Muhamet Yildiz 1 Road - - PDF document

Lecture 12 Finitely Repeated Games 14.12 Game Theory Muhamet Yildiz 1 Road Map 1. Entry-Deterrence/Chain-store paradox 2. Finitely repeated Prisoners Dilemma 3. A general result 4. Repeated games with multiple equilibria 2 Prisoners' Dilemma,


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SLIDE 1

Lecture 12 Finitely Repeated Games

14.12 Game Theory Muhamet Yildiz

1

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SLIDE 2

Road Map

  • 1. Entry-Deterrence/Chain-store paradox
  • 2. Finitely repeated Prisoners Dilemma
  • 3. A general result
  • 4. Repeated games with multiple equilibria

2

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SLIDE 3

Prisoners' Dilemma, repeated twice, many times

  • Two dates T = {O,I};
  • At each date the prisoners' dilemma is played:

C

D

C 5,5 0,6 D 6,0

1,1

  • At the beginning of I players observe the strategies at o.

Payoffs= sum of stage payoffs. 3

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SLIDE 4

Twice-repeated PD

I

c

  • 2

c

D

c

D 1 1

  • 105116

5061

11

6 12 7 6 1 7 2 10

11

5 6

11

12 6 7

56016712

What would happen ifT = {O, I ,2, ... ,n}?

4

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SLIDE 5

Microsoft v. a Startup

Startup NP

SE

u

NU

u

  • 2

1 1 1 2

3 4 5

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SLIDE 6

Microsoft v. Startups

su

NP

SE

M S

u

U / MS

sur

SU M U NUj::

NUj

MS M

NU

U NUj::

NUj :

0 2

2 4

3 3

1 3 2 2

3

2 2 2 3

4 5 3 4 5 6 4 5 6 7 5 6 7 8 What would happen ifthere are n startups? 6

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SLIDE 7

Entry deterrence

1 Enter 2 Acc.

... ...

(1 ,1)

X

Fight

,

,

,

,

(0,2) (-1,-1)

7

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SLIDE 8

Entry deterrence, repeated twice

1 Frier 2 A::c.

\ Frier

2 A::c.

~

(2,2)

:x Fil#: :x HI#:

A::c.

2 Frier

~

\,3) ~

(1,3)

(0,0)

~

Frier 2 A::c.

HI#: :x

(0,0)

:x Fil#: (-1,1 )

(0,4) (-\,\) (-2,-2)

8

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SLIDE 9

A general result

  • G = "stage game" = a finite game
  • T = {O,l, ...

,n}

  • At each t in T, G is played, and players remember

which actions taken before t;

  • Payoffs = Sum of

payoffs in the stage game.

  • Call this game G(T).

Theorem: If G has a unique subgame-perfect equilibrium s*, G(T) has a unique subgame- perfect equilibrium, in which s* is played at each stage.

9

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SLIDE 10

With multiple equilibria

T={O,l}

s* =

  • At t = 0, play (B,M)

2

I

L M R

  • At t = I, play (C,R) if (B,M) at t

= 0, play (A,L) otherwise.

A

1,1 5,0 0,0

B

0,5

4,4

0,0

L M

R

C

0,0 0,0

3,3

A

2,2

6,1

1,1

B 1,6

7,7

1,1

C

1,1

1,1

4,4

10

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SLIDE 11

Can you see on the path ofSPE?

T={O,l}

L M R

  • (B,M) (B,M)

A

1,1

5,0 0,0

  • (B,M) (A,L)

B

0,5

4,4

0,0

  • (B,L) (C,R)

C

0,0 0,0

3,3

  • (C,L)(C,R)
  • Take T={0,1 ,2}
  • (C,L) (B,M) (C,R)

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SLIDE 12

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14.12 Economic Applications of Game Theory

Fall 2012 For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocw.mit.edu/terms.