Powering Digital Payments
November 2017
Financial results for Q3 2017 November 2017 Powering Digital - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Financial results for Q3 2017 November 2017 Powering Digital Payments Forward-looking statements Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements (other than statements of historical
November 2017
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements (other than statements of historical fact) relating to future events and Nets’ anticipated or planned financial and operational performance. The words ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘will continue’, ‘should’, ‘expect’, ‘foresee’, ‘anticipate’, ‘believe’, ‘estimate’, ‘plan’, ‘predict’, ‘intend’ or variations of these words, including negatives thereof, as well as other statements regarding matters that are not historical facts or regarding future events or prospects, constitute forward-looking statements. Nets has based these forward-looking statements on its current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those predicted in the forward-looking statements and from the past performance of
may prove materially incorrect, and actual results may materially differ, e.g. as the result of risks related to the industry in general
Factors that may affect future results include, but are not limited to, global and economic conditions, including currency exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations, delay or failure of projects related to research and/or development, unexpected contract breaches or terminations, unplanned loss of patents, government-mandated or market-driven price decreases for Nets’ products, introduction of competing products, reliance on information technology, Nets’ ability to successfully market current and new products, exposure to product liability, litigation and investigations, regulatory developments, actual or perceived failure to adhere to ethical marketing practices, unexpected growth in costs and expenses, failure to recruit and retain the right employees, and failure to maintain a culture of compliance.
2
3
*Before special items
Revenues of DKK 1,962m, up 3.9% compared to Q3 2016, driven by solid growth in Merchant Services and strong growth in Corporate Services
Organic revenue growth
EBITDA b.s.i. of DKK 775m, up 3.9% compared to Q3 2016. The EBITDA b.s.i. margin was unchanged compared to Q3 2016
EBITDA b.s.i. margin*
Capital expenditure of DKK 160m, down from a ratio of 8.5% Y/Y, driven by investments in development projects and software
Capital expenditure/ revenues ratio
Adjusted net profit up 66.8% compared to Q3 2016
Adjusted net profit (in DKKm)
Down by 0.2x compared to Q2 2017. Net interest-bearing debt was reduced by DKK 359m in Q3 2017 compared to Q2 2017
Net interest-bearing debt/LTM EBITDA b.s.i.
Down from 75% in Q3 2016 due to negative change in narrow working capital compared to a positive in Q3 2016, driven by IPO-related accrual build-up last year
LTM Cash conversion
merchant acquiring business in Finland, which closed 28 June 2017
the SME segment, but price competition has led to increased churn in the large and key account segment
payments in September. Denmark is now one of the countries in the world with the highest penetration of contactless payments
Nordea they decided to support Vipps instead of MobilePay
travelers
upgraded to take payments using BLE
126 146 Q3 '16 Q3 '17
Value of transactions (DKKbn)
+15.9%
4
international cards
partly due to on-boarding of new customers
contributed to the growth in the quarter
into a new agreement, which will enable users of Vipps to make instant P2P payments using "straksbetaling". The solution will be available before year-end 2017
innovation and business development efforts by developing and commercialising sustainable proof of concepts, and by identifying the most attractive fintech partnerships for the future
President for Financial & Network Services
1,356 1,466 Q3 '16 Q3 '17
Number of transactions (million)
+8.1%
5
Betalingsservice in Denmark and the Norwegian e-bill solutions
pilot test that Nets is currently running on the new PSD2- compliant open platform, hereunder from Fintech companies
for delivery of Nets’ instant clearing solution, RealTime 24/7
217 226 Q3 '16 Q3 '17
Number of e-bill transactions (million)
+4.1%
6
as a single processing engine servicing the full value chain for all types of A2A payments
customer delivery of services
in Norway and is planned to go live in September 2018. The agreement will run for 10 years
Denmark, Italy and Slovenia About Bankart
Bankart is the leading provider of services to financial institutions in Slovenia Bankart intend to deliver more than a basic payments infrastructure to the Slovenian banking community Bankart will develop and operate new additional services and solutions as well as utilising Bankart’s existing services and solutions to make full use of the scalable and
7
d
241 198 174 225 288 39.7% 32.5% 29.7% 35.7% 43.2%
Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17
8
DKKm DKKm
Organic growth Y/Y
Solid organic growth of 9% in net revenue
acquisition of OP’s acquiring business
acquired and e-commerce
year, driven by the continued push towards a higher proportion of rented terminals
September 2016 in Norway, positively impacted organic growth in July and August 2017
effects from lower interchange fees and effect of increased scheme fees
Net revenue EBITDA b.s.i. 607 609 585 631 666
11% 17% 12% 10% 9% Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17 +19.5%
Further margin expansion
points margin expansion
leverage and a higher proportion of consultancy spend related to development of e-commerce solutions that are capitalised
+9.7%
d
9
Net revenue EBITDA b.s.i. 588 594 550 583 584 10% 11% 5% 2% 2%
Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17
DKKm
Organic growth Y/Y
Organic growth of 2% in net revenue
banks partly offset by declining volumes in dispute handling
implementation revenue last year related to the development
VISA/Dankort
& Network Services would have been around 2 ppts higher
(0,7)%
260 235 191 217 241 44.2% 39.6% 34.7% 37.2% 41.3%
Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17
DKKm
(7.3)%
Lower margin
EBITDA b.s.i. margin contraction of 290 basis points, to 41.3%
portfolio leading to a lower proportion of consultancy spend being capitalised. In addition, reduced prices on Visa/Dankort transactions also impacted margin negatively
d
10
Net revenue EBITDA b.s.i. 693 707 762 705 712 1% 4% 5% 3% 3%
Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17
DKKm
Organic growth Y/Y
Strong organic growth of 3% in net revenue
2017 (up by 4.1%), driven by both Norwegian e-bill solutions and by the Danish Betalingsservice solution
implementation revenue compared to last year related to upgrade of the NemID solution and implementation revenue related to instant clearing in Slovenia
+2.7%
245 243 261 248 246 35.4% 34.4% 34.3% 35.2% 34.6%
Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17
DKKm
+0.4%
Lower margin due to investments
compared to the same period last year equivalent to a margin contraction of 0.8 basis points
technology spend
d
11
DKKm DKKm
Organic growth Y/Y
Organic revenue growth
Corporate Services and solid growth in Merchant Services
impacted by high implementation revenue in Q2 last year
affected the reported growth negatively in the quarter
EBITDA b.s.i.
primarily Merchant Services contributing to the growth
+3.9% +3.9%
Net revenue EBITDA b.s.i.
1,739 1,704 1,743 1,844 1,888 1,910 1,897 1,919 1,962 7% 6% 10% 7% 5% 5% Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 2016 2017 632 558 551 646 746 676 626 690 775 36.3% 32.7% 31.6% 35.0% 39.5% 35.4% 33.0% 36.0% 39.5% Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 2016 2017
12
Strong growth in adjusted net profit
Organic growth of 5% in net revenue. Reported growth negatively impacted by lower NOK and SEK Operating expense ratio unchanged at 60.5% External expenses ratio improved by 100 basis points to 21.0% Y/Y related to higher efficiency in technology and lower marketing spend Staff costs impacted by new employee tax in Norway and increased sales activities, including hiring of outbound sales personnel Special items of DKK 57m, including expenses related the takeover offer. Q3 2016 was impacted by the IPO Underlying depreciation higher in Q3 2017, driven by higher investments in recent year and completion of development projects Net financials in Q3 2017 of minus DKK 109m impacted negatively by currency of DKK 33m compared to minus DKK 100m last year. Last year impacted by refinancing Positive effect of VISA transaction of DKK 4m compared to a negative effect of DKK 111m last year Taxes amounted to DKK 70m in Q3 (effective tax rate of 21%). The effective tax rate was impacted negatively by non-taxable currency adjustments on interest-bearing debt Adjusted Net Profit of DKK 442m for Q3
DKKm Q3 Q3 Change 2017 2016 Net revenue 1,962 1,888 3.9% Cost of sales (239) (235) 1.7% External expenses (413) (415)
Staff costs (535) (492) 8.7% EBITDA b.s.i. 775 746 3.9% Special items (23) (78)
IPO and costs related takeover offer (34) (220)
EBITDA 718 448 60.3% Amortisation of business combinations (158) (159)
Underlying depreciation (121) (109) 11.0% EBIT 439 180 143.9% Visa transaction to former owners
na. Visa transaction for Nets 4 3 33.3% Refinancing expenses
na. Net financial expenses (113) (393)
Net financials (109) (1,242)
Profit before tax 330 (1,062)
Tax (70) 231
Net profit 260 (831)
Adjusted net profit for the period 442 265 66.8%
d
Operating free cash flow up by 10% Y/Y
by negative change in narrow working capital compared to a positive change in narrowing working capital in Q3 2016
was primarily related to IPO accruals Capital expenditures
compared to 8.5% last year
development projects and software
13
Operating free cash flow
DKKm
Capital expenditure
DKKm
355 465 119 416 443 456 250 371 489 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 2016 2017
119 138 132 161 161 192 150 205 160 6.8% 8.1% 7.6% 8.7% 8.5% 11.2% 7.9% 10.7% 8.2% Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 2016 2017 Capital expenditure Capital expenditure/net revenue
d
Reduction in leverage developed as planned
14
Net interest-bearing debt
DKKm
Change in net interest-bearing debt in Q3
Net interest-bearing debt Q2 2017 8,402 Net cash flow from operating activities excluding clearing-related balances 619 Capital expenditure (160) M&A (61) Other (39) Change in net interest-bearing debt 359 Net interest-bearing debt Q3 2017 8,043
12,279 13,319 13,444 13,061 8,805 8,503 8,399 8,402 8,043 5.5x 3.5x 3.2x 3.1x 3.1x 2.9x Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 2016 2017 Net interest-bearing debt NIBD/EBITDA b.s.i.
Unchanged compared to the latest guidance given on 25 September 2017
Guidance 2017 25 September 2017 Guidance 2017 9 November 2017 Organic revenue growth
5-6% 5-6%
EBITDA b.s.i. margin
At or above 36.5% At or above 36.5%
Special items
DKK 230m
retention cost
DKK 230m
retention cost CAPEX (in % of net revenue)
Around 8% Around 8%
Capital Structure (NIBD/EBITDA b.s.i.)
Around 2.5x Around 2.5x
15
Guidance assumes no additional M&A activity
16
”Change of Control Repurchase Event” under the indenture for those notes
25 September 2017
23 October 2017
22 December 2017
Key dates and considerations
18 December 2017
Early Q1
Offer Period
18
Notes
Merchants 300,000+ Online Merchants(2) 30,000+ Banks 240+ Consumers Governments Central Banks Households Digital Identities 8 million Corporates 240,000+ Distributors & Partners
▪ Initiated transaction from approx. 35 million cards ▪ 7.7+ billion transactions ▪ DKK 475 billion of card transaction volume
Position across the Nordic region(1)
#1 #1 #1 #2
(#1 in e-Com) DKKm
DKKm
DKKm
DKKm
59% 6% 3% 9%
DKKm
26%
19
PBS was established in 1968 and drove consolidation in Denmark BBS was established in 1972 and drove consolidation in Norway
1968-2009 2010-2013 2014-2016
Build-up and in-country consolidation Creation of Nets through the merger
and Norway Strengthening position in Finland Acquisition of Nets by Advent, Bain and ATP Commercialisation of Nets and strengthening of presence in Sweden 2,400 FTEs
Sponsor Ownership Bank Ownership
2010: PBS and Nordito (parent company of BBS and Teller) become Nets 2012: Acquisition
local Finnish champion 2014-2015: Acquisition of Nordea Merchant Acquiring (Kortaccept), DIBS and Payzone increasing presence in Sweden
Kortaccept
Listed 2016 -
Listed on Nasdaq Copenhagen on 23 September 2016 60% free float
2016 -> Focus 1.Mobile development 2.Outsourcing 3.Value chain expansion 4.Nordic growth
20
EBITDA 30% EBITDA 34% EBITDA 36% Revenue 31% Revenue 31% Revenue 38%
Merchant Services
Integrated payment solutions for merchants Omni-channel offering and value-added services
Competitive position
#1 in online/mobile and in-store in the Nordic countries Local scale and scope exceeds that of any
Revenue DKK 7.4bn EBITDA bsi DKK 2.6bn
Competitive position
App.78% of Danish and app. 88% of Norwegian issued card transactions volume #1 pan-Nordic payment processor #2 in Europe
Corporate Services
Operating critical account-based payments and digital ID ecosystem primarily to corporates
Competitive position
>90% of Danish households use Nets’ recurring bill payment >80% of Norwegians access
BankID platform Unmatched integrated value chain
Financial and Network Services
Owner or operator of national debit card networks in Denmark and Norway Offers payment and processing solutions to financial institutions Value-added services
21
The Nordic countries are among the world's most advanced payments countries and fast-growing digital societies
Leading provider of mission-critical services to the Nordic payments ecosystem
Well-positioned with an innovative and scalable platform
Robust and attractive financial profile
Multiple drivers of future growth and upside opportunities
22
23 29 40 45 78 95 133 147 153 153 161
Germany Italy Spain Europe UK Netherlands Norway Finland Sweden France Denmark
High adoption of cashless payments
Number of card payment transactions per card (2014)
Source First Annapolis
Further supported by political push towards digital society Most advanced digital society
Source First Annapolis
Digital economy and society index (2016, digital skills & adoption of digital services) 2.02 2.52 2.61 2.75 2.93 3.30 3.30 3.30 3.34 3.41
Italy France Spain Germany UK Finland Norway Sweden Netherlands Denmark
23
…combined with a broad network Nets is positioned across the value chain in the Nordic countries…
Merchant Acquiring Network Issuer Processing
Illustrative UK Card Payments Example(1) Illustrative DK / NO Card Payments Example(1) Merchants Online Merchants Banks Consumers Governments Central Banks Households Digital Identities Corporates Distributors & Partners
(3) (2)
Notes
Denmark using debit and credit cards issued in Denmark in 2015. Nets also routes and clears Visa and MasterCard transactions
Card-related capabilities
Mobile Credit Cards Recurring Card Payments e-Wallets e-Commerce Card Not Present Debit Cards P2P Private Label Cards Contactless
Account-related capabilities
Mobile P2P Interbank Clearing B2B e-Commerce Recurring Payments Integrated e-Invoicing
$
Instant Payments Authen- tification
…with payment-agnostic capabilities…
A2A Payments
24
Request for payment Initiating transaction Validating and authorising a transaction Clearing and settlement #1 merchant services provider in the Nordic region, with an integrated
#1 provider of issuing processing services in the Nordic region Only
national debit card networks in Denmark and Norway(1) Only operator
Denmark and Norway Over 90% of households use Nets’ integrated e-bill payments solutions in Denmark Operates de-facto e-ID platforms in Denmark and Norway
Banks
Online banking security providers and in-house bank IT departments Recurring card payments Paper bills Card- based payments Compe- titors Account- based payments Nets Compe- titors
Source Company information Notes
(2) (4) (3) (5)
25
Acquiring e-Com Network Issuing processing e-bill payments Selected Nordic Players
End-to-end value chain coverage with local scale Integrated value chain capabilities
Selected international players
Local scale Integrated payments Value chain coverage
Strong Medium None/Low Source Company estimates
26
Source The Nilson Report 2015, Company data
4.2 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.5 3.0 4.5 Acquired Nordic transactions 2014 (Bn) (2)
Scale achieved – acquiring example
(3)
Significant scale advantages (illustrative) (4)
Country Position
#1 #1 #2 #1
(#1 in e-Com)
Local position(1) Denmark Norway Sweden Finland
Source Company estimates
Cost Per-Transaction Number of Transactions c.50% Volumes x 4
Merchant Acquiring Curve
Notes
Babs
Source First Annapolis
27 14% 28%
Significant potential to gain volume in Sweden from bank acquirers
3.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 11.0 13.0 15.0 2015A 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F Number of Transactions (in billions)
Notes
Mobile
Source First Annapolis report
Outsourcing Value chain expansion Nordic growth
Contactless and mobile initiatives across business units and geographies Card management services Increased outsourcing of non- core banking processes Increased business scope through value-adding services (including real-time clearing and data analytics) 4.1 1.2 6.5 2015A 2020F Number of transactions (Bn) (incl. C2B, B2B, and B2G)
CAGR 2015 – 20 2% 4% 5% Overall electronic payments transaction growth Cards Direct Debit and Credit Transfer Transaction value growing at 5% CAGR between 2015-20
33.2 63.2 2015 2020E Nordic e-/m-Payments (€ Bn) (1)
Nordic electronic payments growth Instant payments(2)
CAGR 2015 – 20 CAGR 2015 – 20 40%
Fast Mass Adoption
28
Proven
leverage
2014-2016 EBITDA margin expansion of 10% pts(1)
Strong scale efficiencies with significant fixed cost base
Restructuring of cost base initiated
Stable & predictable revenue model
Entrenched provider of payments infrastructure with high recurring revenues
Long-term predictability irrespective of cycle
Diversified customer base characterized by long- term relationships
Proven Track record of growth
Organic revenue growth of 6% and 7% for 2015 and 2016 respectively
Innovation track record with strong pipeline
Successful M&A (8 acquisitions since July 2014 for total of DKK3.3Bn)
Predictable & growing cash flow
Predictable capital expenditure
Minimal working capital requirements
Resulting in strong cash conversion of 78% in 2016(2) Y/Y organic growth DKKm
Net revenue
DKKm
Reported EBITDA b.s.i.
6,727 6,546 6,836 7,385 6% 7% 2013 2014 2015 2016 1,525 1,663 2,248 2,619 22.7% 25.4% 32.9% 35.5% 2013 2014 2015 2016
Notes
Highly cash generative with a proven track record of deleveraging
Denmark 49% Norway 31% Finland 12% Sweden 7% Baltics 1%
29
3,379 2,253 809 341 54 3,576 2,314 885 542 68 Denmark Norway Finland Sweden Baltics 2015 2016 6% 3% 9% 59% 26% Distribution of revenue per country
DKKm
30
500 1,000 1,500 (10) 10
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Denmark Nominal GDP Growth YoY, % (LHS) Dankort Card Transactions Processed, MM (RHS)
Source Company information, World Bank
Growth (%) Number of Transactions (MM)
Strong growth through the crises and downturns
d
DKKbn
31
Strong growth in value of transactions
6.5%
large and key account segment there is high level of competition and substantial price pressure
increased churn in the large account segment due to pricing
126 123 112 129 146
Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17
Merchant Services
+15.9%
Financial & Network Services Corproate Services 631 620 599 672 711 325 344 312 351 341 400 407 370 409 414 1,356 1,371 1,281 1,432 1,466 Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17
International branded cards Dankort BankAxept +8.1%
Million
Strong growth in number of transactions
217 218 239 223 226 Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17
Strong growth in number of transactions
Danish Betailngsservice solution
+4.1%
Million
32
Nets enables SMEs to large-size pan-regional merchants to accept digital payments End-to-end omni-channel solutions Extensive payments capabilities - payment method agnostic Multi-channel distribution DKK 475bn transaction value 300,000+ merchants 30,000+ e-Commerce merchants (1) Key statistics, 2016 What we enable? Strong leading positions Attractive growth fundamentals Integrated customer value proposition Key characteristics Accelerating commercialisation driving further growth Competitive advantage through scale and distribution Multiple avenues for future growth
Notes
33
Operator of national debit card schemes in Norway and Denmark Payments and processing solutions across all card payment methods to financial institutions #1 pan-Nordic payment processor(1) #2 in Europe(2) Comprehensive value-added services offering 5.2 billion transactions processed ~35m cards More than 40 card payment types Key statistics, 2016 What we enable? Leading position Strong underlying market growth End-to-end service offering Key characteristics Superior scale drives cost advantage Highly sticky customer relationships
Notes
34
Seamless recurring payments from consumers to corporates with integrated invoicing Further value to the e-billing with adjacent digital services, as e-ID Primarily operating in Denmark and Norway 0.87bn transactions 240,000 corporates 8.3 million digital identities Key statistics, 2016 What we enable? Core to society through provision of mission-critical solutions Proven, stable and highly predictable business model Key characteristics Recurring and resilient revenues and profitability Innovative digital solutions and unique network enabling further growth
35
Special Item
Overview Development over time
2013 2014 2015
Reorganisation and restructuring costs Cost mainly reflecting employee termination costs in relation to establishing a customer centric sales organisation and retention teams and optimising group functions 159 109 170 Other costs and income Costs in 2014 were mainly related to transaction costs 178 31 Total Special items should be considered as income / costs not attributed directly to ordinary activities Separately disclosed to allow a more comparable view of underlying trending performance 538 411 201 Transformation programme Costs related to optimisation of business, e.g. Commercialisation of Merchant Services Transformation of procurement function and processes Improving efficiency in Technology and Operations Transformation of stability and security 353 124
2016
26 6 6 113 219 13 IPO-related expenses IPO on the income statement In addition, DKK 170 was expensed directly on equity 261
36
Nordic growth Creating leading e-Commerce Business Technology & capability enhancement
Purchased Nordea Merchant Acquiring Business (Kortaccept) Increased acquiring customers in the Nordic and the Baltic region Integrated acquiring services to app. 32k merchant contracts with app.70k unique outlets across the Nordic and Baltic region Leverage Nordea’s back book to cross-sell
(Dec-15)
Increased POS share in Sweden Additional solution capabilities to key accounts
(Jul-14)
Increased e-Commerce share in the Nordic countries to #1 Enhanced customer proposition through combination with Paytrail
(Dec-14)
Increased e-Commerce share in Finland Payment service provider capabilities with Nordic potential
(Dec-14)
Innovative capabilities and solutions (e-Receipt and loyalty) Strengthened position with MobilePay
(Jan-16)
Enhanced e-Security value-added services
(Jul-15)
Enhanced capabilities to benefit from digital trends
(Jul-14)
Kortaccept
Merchant Service Related Acquisitions Corporate Service Related Acquisitions Purchase of OP Financial group merchant acquiring business Strengthened position in Finland. Integrated acquiring services to app. 15k 10 year strategic partnership
(June-17)
OP Financial Group
37
Investment into organic growth
Ordinary dividends
Excess cash distributed via share buybacks and extraordinary dividends
Bolt-on M&A
Maintain Medium-term Leverage Target at 2.0x - 2.5x
38
Medium-term guidance Organic revenue growth
5-6% per annum
EBITDA b.s.i. margin
High 30s
Special Items
DKK 30m
CAPEX (in % of net revenue)
6-8%
Capital Structure (NIBD/EBITDA b.s.i.)
2.0x-2.5x
Assuming no M&A