FEDERAL EDUCATION POLICY What Happened in 2011 and the Outlook for - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Inside the Beltway Outside the Box

FEDERAL EDUCATION POLICY

What Happened in 2011 and the Outlook for 2012

Joel Packer, Principal, The Raben Group Jpacker@rabengroup.com

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WHY INVEST IN EDUCATION?

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Rising K-12 Enrollments

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Source: NCES Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

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Rising Higher Education Enrollments

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Source: NCES Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

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More Children in Poverty

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Unemployment Linked to Educational Attainment

Source: BLS seasonally adjusted data

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Earnings Based on Learning

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Source: Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce

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The Public Opposes Education Cuts

21% 77% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Significantly cut education programs, including No Child Left Behind, Head Start, and subsidies for college loans

favor

• ppose

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Source: March 2011 Bloomberg News National Poll

Please tell me if you would favor or oppose substantial changes to the program.

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School Funding Remains Below 2008 Levels In Most States

Sources: CBPP budget analysis and National Center for Education Statistics enrollment estimates.

Inside the Beltway Outside the Box 7,600 7,700 7,800 7,900 8,000 8,100 8,200

May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 June 2011 July 2011 August 2011

8,078 8,008 7,896 7,867 7,824 7,810

268,000 Fewer Local Government Education Employees

Source: based on BLS seasonally adjusted employment data

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Education Department Funding

In billions

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The Need to Invest

National Commission on Fiscal

Responsibility and Reform: “…we must invest in education, infrastructure, and high-value research and development to help

• ur economy grow, keep us globally

competitive, and make it easier for businesses to create jobs.”

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Fiscal Year 2011 Total Outlays

2% 5% 19% 7% 13% 19% 10% 25% Discretionary Security Discretionary non‐security (minus ED) Social Security Medicare Medicaid Other Mandatory (minus ED) Interest Department of Education

CEF based on OMB data

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FISCAL YEAR 2011

Over six months late

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Public Law 112-10: Final CR

• Provides funding for the 2011-12 school

year.

• Cut education (other than Pell grants)

by $1.3 billion.

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• Program increases – President’s priorities:

– Race to The Top = $700 million with $500 million for Early Learning Challenge Fund

• CA one of 35 state applicants

– Investing in Innovation = $150 million

• No LA area grants

– Promise Neighborhoods = +$20 million (total of $30 million) – Head Start (in HHS) = $+340 million

Public Law 112-10: Final CR

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• All programs cut by 0.2%.
• Selected program cuts and eliminations:

– Striving Readers = -$200 million (eliminated) – Even Start = -$66.5 million (eliminated) – Literacy Through School Libraries = -$19.1 million (eliminated)

Public Law 112-10: Final CR

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– Teacher Quality State Grants = -$480 million (-16.3%)

– Education technology state grants =

• $100 million (eliminated)

– Career and Technical education =

• $140 million (-11%)

– GEAR UP = -$20.4 million (-6.3%)

Public Law 112-10: Final CR

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The Budget Control Act

How small will the box be?

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Caps and Cuts

• BCA set in law discretionary caps for ten years

(FY 12-FY 21).

– Reduces spending by $890 billion over ten years.

• Supercommittee failure triggered sequestration.
• Automatic cuts for each of nine years, FY 13-21

– Total of $1.2 trillion

• FY 13 cuts start on Jan. 2, 2013.

– Middle of 2012-13 school year

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Sequestration

• FY 13 = fixed percentage across-the-board

cuts.

– CBO Projection = 7.8% cut to all non-exempt domestic programs. – Would be a cut of $3.5 billion to education programs (based on FY 11 level). – Pell grants exempt in first year.

• FY 14-21 – will not be ACB cut; further

lowers discretionary caps

– Squeezes education $; Pell no longer exempt.

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Fiscal Year 2012 Appropriations

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Senate FY12 Bill

• Senate Appropriations Committee

provides overall ED increase of $80 million (+0.1%).

• Head Start (in HHS) increased by $340

million

– Needed to maintain current number of children served.

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• Most ED programs frozen.
• Striving Readers restored at $183 million.
• Promise Neighborhoods doubled to $60

million.

• Teacher Incentive Fund cut from $399

million to $300 million.

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Senate FY12 Bill

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House FY12 Bill

• House bill just draft - no committee

markup.

• Overall cuts ED by $2.4 billion (-3.5%).

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• Eliminates funding for 31 programs

including:

– School Improvement Grants = -$534.6 million – Mathematics and Science Partnerships =

• $175.1 million

– Race to the Top = -$698.6 million – Investing in Innovation = -$149.7 million – Elementary and Secondary School Counseling =

• $52.4 million

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House FY12 Bill

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ESEA/NCLB Reauthorization

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Current Status - Senate

• Senate HELP Committee reported its bill
• n October 20 by a 15-7 vote.
• Not yet scheduled for floor action.

– Not this year

• Maintains current requirements for testing

(math, reading, science).

• Maintains disaggregated subgroups.
• Scraps AYP, 100% proficiency, AMOs,

SES requirement and set-aside.

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Senate ESEA Bill - Accountability

• States must adopt:

– College and Career Ready standards – English proficiency standards – Accountability systems that measure ‘continuous growth’ for all students

• 95% of schools exempt from federal

sanctions.

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Senate ESEA Bill - Accountability

• States must identify:

– persistently low-performing schools

• bottom 5% of high schools and bottom 5%
• f elementary/middle schools

– achievement gap schools

• the 5% of high schools and 5% of

elementary/middle schools that have the largest achievement gaps between the subgroups used for disaggregation

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Senate ESEA Bill - Accountability

• Only bottom 5% group subject to federal

sanctions and also eligible for school improvement grant funds.

– 6 turnaround models:

• Restart, Closure, Transformation,

Turnaround, Strategic Staffing, Whole School

– States can apply for approval for an additional state-developed model.

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Senate ESEA Bill - Teachers

• No mandated teacher evaluations.
• Teacher evaluations are a required

element of RTTT and Teacher Incentive Fund.

• Maintains Highly Qualified Teacher

requirement.

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• Changes Title I comparability.
• Starting in 2015-16 school year, LEAs

must ensure that per-pupil expenditures in Title I schools are no less than those in non-Title I schools.

• Eliminates the ability to use average

teacher salaries.

– Forced transfers of teachers not required.

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Senate ESEA bill - Comparability

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• Creates broad programs for literacy,

STEM and well-rounded education.

• Codifies into ESEA: RTTT, I3, Promise

Neighborhoods, Teacher Incentive Fund.

• Creates new Improving Secondary

Schools program.

• Increases funding transferability from 50%

to 100% and includes more programs.

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Senate ESEA bill – Other

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Current Status House

• Education and Workforce committee

doing ESEA in pieces.

• Charter School bill has passed House.

– Bipartisan

• Transferability and repeals bills

reported from committee.

– Both partisan

• Still waiting for teacher quality and

accountability bills.

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ESEA Waivers

• Department of Education promoting

state waivers/flexibility

• Eleven states applied in first round

– CO, FL, GA, IN, KY, MA, MN, NJ, NM, OK and TN

• Next deadline is mid-February.
• No new school district waivers.

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Next Steps

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FY 12 Appropriations

• FY 12 started 10/1/11.

– Only 3 of 12 Appropriations bills enacted.

• Operating under a Continuing Resolution

(CR) that freezes all programs at FY 11 levels minus 1.5%.

– Expires 12/16. – One large omnibus bill expected.

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ESEA

• Reauthorization will not be completed this

year.

• Senate committee report to be filed.
• House to unveil bills on teachers and

accountability.

• Initial round of waivers approved by end
• f the year.

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Questions?

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