Fabby Tumiwa Executive Director IESR (Institute for Essential - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Fabby Tumiwa Executive Director IESR (Institute for Essential - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Oct 17, 2022 915 likes •1.39k views

Fabby Tumiwa Executive Director IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id 175 GW 26.8 GW 4,4 GW 2,720 Installed capacity of solar power plant in Indonesia is Lagging Behind 886 438 150 106 60 Source: IRENA

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Executive Director

Fabby Tumiwa

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175 GW 26.8 GW 4,4 GW

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Installed capacity of solar power plant in Indonesia is

Lagging Behind

60 106 150 438 886 2,720

Source: IRENA Statistics 2019

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Research Coordinator Renewable Energy and Power System Specialist

Pamela Simamora

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

The decline in solar modules’ price has a significant impact on the massive solar deployment globally

Price of solar modules in global market Installed capacity of solar PV in the world

Solar modules

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Indonesia faces challenges to achieve its solar energy target

  • RUEN target: 23% renewable energy by 2025,
  • ut of which 6.5 GW comes from solar PV
  • Solar PV installed capacity in 2018 is still less

than 100 MW (90 MW according to MEMR and 60 MW according to IRENA).

  • PLN’s Business Plan (RUPTL) 2019-2018 only

targeted 2 GW solar PV by 2028, lower than RUEN target.

capacity in Indonesia

Solar PV installed

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

for solar deployment in Indonesia

High local content requirement Unattractive price BOOT scheme High interest rate Risk allocation

Challenges

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Solar irradiation 6-7 kWh/m2/day Annual energy production 1400-1600 kWh/kWp Total installed capacity 24.2 GW On-going project 17.7 GW

India

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Supporting policies for Solar PV

Reverse auction, Viability Gap Fund (VGF), Renewable Purchase Obligation (RPO), no tax

  • n transmission, no local content requirement

Interest rate

9.55-10.75%

Solar irradiation 6-7 kWh/m2/day Annual energy production 1400-1600 kWh/kWp Total installed capacity 24.2 GW On-going project 17.7 GW

India

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Solar irradiation 4.6-6.6 kWh/m2/day Annual energy production 1620 kWh/kWp Total installed capacity 3 GW On-going project 1.8 GW

Mexico

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Supporting policies for Solar PV

Reverse auction, Renewable Purchase Standard (RPS), accelerated depreciation, transmission discount and grid connection, no local content requirement

Interest rate

10-11% (local), 3-5% (foreign)

Solar irradiation 4.6-6.6 kWh/m2/day Annual energy production 1620 kWh/kWp Total installed capacity 3 GW On-going project 1.8 GW

Mexico

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Solar irradiation 6.5 kWh/m2/day Annual energy production 1753–2192 kWh/kWp Total installed capacity 487 MW On-going project 2027 MW

UAE

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Supporting policies for Solar PV

Reverse auction, ease of permit, guarantee of grid connection, no local content requirement, free land

Interest rate

2.6-3.6%

Solar irradiation 6.5 kWh/m2/day Annual energy production 1753–2192 kWh/kWp Total installed capacity 487 MW On-going project 2027 MW

UAE

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Solar irradiation 4.5-6.3 kWh/m2/day Annual energy production 1230 kWh/kWp Total installed capacity 2056 MW On-going project 2728 MW

Brazil

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Supporting policies for Solar PV

Reverse auction, discount on transmission and distribution cost, local content policy with soft loan incentive

Interest rate

0.9% (BNDES)

Solar irradiation 4.5-6.3 kWh/m2/day Annual energy production 1230 kWh/kWp Total installed capacity 2056 MW On-going project 2728 MW

Brazil

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Module price is not the only key factor affecting solar generation costs

Geographical condition

Suitable location, high solar irradiation, ideal temperature and humidity

Technology

Improved efficiency through research and development

Financing scheme and incentives

Supportive financial incentives (low interest rate and long loan tenor) and de-risking fiscal instruments to reduce risk, capital cost, and project financing

Policies and Regulations

Enabling policies and regulations, such as incentives, provision of public land, no or minimum local content requirement, and suitable procurement model (e.g. auction).

Project Scale

Economies of scale matter to reduce unit cost of generation and transaction costs.

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Adakan Auction Besarkan skala proYek

Relaksasikan TKDN

Turunkan suku bUnga

Sediakan lahan

Recommendations for Indonesia

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

Hapsari Damayanti

Program Officer Sustainable Energy Access

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

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Marlistya Citraningrum

Program Manager Sustainable Energy Access

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Agus Tampubolon

Researcher Power System & Energy Management Specialist

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Shopping Mall Ministry Hospital University Government Building

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

35.579 kWp

Shopping Mall Hospital University Government Building Hotel School

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IESR (Institute for Essential Services Reform) | www.iesr.or.id

sumber: solargis

Rooftop solar potential

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Rooftop solar

With this big potential, it is possible to electrify cities in Indonesia with rooftop solar.

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