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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References F ollmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description Tahir Choulli, Nele Vandaele, Mich` ele Vanmaele


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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

  • llmer-Schweizer or

Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

Tahir Choulli, Nele Vandaele, Mich` ele Vanmaele

August 29-30, 2011

Workshop on Actuarial and Financial Statistics

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Outline

1 Introduction 2 Quadratic hedging 3 GKW- versus FS-decomposition 4 (Counter)examples 5 References

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

  • T. Choulli, N. Vandaele, and M. Vanmaele.

The F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer decomposition: Comparison and

description. Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 120(6):853–872, 2010.

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Outline

1 Introduction

Hedging Complete market Incomplete market

2 Quadratic hedging 3 GKW- versus FS-decomposition 4 (Counter)examples 5 References

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  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Hedging problem

Financial product P(t, St) Depends on a risky asset S A bank sells an option and wants to replicate its payoff P(T, ST) by trading in stocks (liquid assets). Hedging strategy ϕ = (ξ, η) Investment in risky asset and cash in order to reduce the risk related to a financial product. Hedging portfolio Vt = ξtSt + ηt Cost process C = V −

  • ξdS = V − ξ · S

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Hedging problem

Financial product P(t, St) Depends on a risky asset S A bank sells an option and wants to replicate its payoff P(T, ST) by trading in stocks (liquid assets). Hedging strategy ϕ = (ξ, η) Investment in risky asset and cash in order to reduce the risk related to a financial product. Hedging portfolio Vt = ξtSt + ηt Cost process C = V −

  • ξdS = V − ξ · S

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Hedging problem

Financial product P(t, St) Depends on a risky asset S A bank sells an option and wants to replicate its payoff P(T, ST) by trading in stocks (liquid assets). Hedging strategy ϕ = (ξ, η) Investment in risky asset and cash in order to reduce the risk related to a financial product. Hedging portfolio Vt = ξtSt + ηt Cost process C = V −

  • ξdS = V − ξ · S

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Complete market

Hedging in Black-Scholes model dSt = σStdWt (martingale measure Q, no interest rate) perfect replication by self-financing strategies martingale representation P(T, ST) = E Q[P(T, ST)]+ T ZtdWt = E Q[P(T, ST)]+ T ξtdSt where in case of a European option ξt = ∂P(t, St) ∂s with P(t, s) = E Q[P(T, ST)|St = s] delta-hedge

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Complete market

Hedging in Black-Scholes model dSt = σStdWt (martingale measure Q, no interest rate) perfect replication by self-financing strategies martingale representation P(T, ST) = E Q[P(T, ST)]+ T ZtdWt = E Q[P(T, ST)]+ T ξtdSt where in case of a European option ξt = ∂P(t, St) ∂s with P(t, s) = E Q[P(T, ST)|St = s] delta-hedge

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Complete market

Hedging in Black-Scholes model dSt = σStdWt (martingale measure Q, no interest rate) perfect replication by self-financing strategies martingale representation P(T, ST) = E Q[P(T, ST)]+ T ZtdWt = E Q[P(T, ST)]+ T ξtdSt where in case of a European option ξt = ∂P(t, St) ∂s with P(t, s) = E Q[P(T, ST)|St = s] delta-hedge

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Complete market

Hedging in Black-Scholes model dSt = σStdWt (martingale measure Q, no interest rate) perfect replication by self-financing strategies martingale representation P(T, ST) = E Q[P(T, ST)]+ T ZtdWt = E Q[P(T, ST)]+ T ξtdSt where in case of a European option ξt = ∂P(t, St) ∂s with P(t, s) = E Q[P(T, ST)|St = s] delta-hedge

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Incomplete market

jumps, stochastic volatility or trading constraints martingale representation above does not hold ‘every claim attainable and replicated by self-financing strategy’ is not valid relax one of these two conditions hedging is an approximation problem

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Incomplete market

utility maximization: non-linear pricing/hedging rule max

ξ

E

  • U(c +

T ξtdSt − H)

  • quadratic hedging: linear pricing/hedging rule

min

ξ E

  • (c +

T ξtdSt − H)2

  • (mean-variance)

min

ξ E

  • (CT − Ct)2

Ft] ((local) risk minimization)

  • ptimal hedging portfolio (if exists) is L2-projection of H onto

the (linear) subspace of hedgeable claims

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Outline

1 Introduction 2 Quadratic hedging

Risk-minimization GKW-decomposition Local risk-minimization F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer decomposition

3 GKW- versus FS-decomposition 4 (Counter)examples 5 References

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Quadratic hedging

finding optimal hedging portfolio ⇔ finding GKW-decomposition or finding FS-decomposition Martingale case: easy to determine ξ which is same for RM and MVH (η differs) Semimartingale case = martingale + drift

LRM: general solution MVH: no general solution due to self-financing condition

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Quadratic hedging

finding optimal hedging portfolio ⇔ finding GKW-decomposition or finding FS-decomposition Martingale case: easy to determine ξ which is same for RM and MVH (η differs) Semimartingale case = martingale + drift

LRM: general solution MVH: no general solution due to self-financing condition

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Risk-minimization

S: local martingale under measure P T-contingent claim H ∈ L2(P) not self-financing strategy but mean self-financing strategy, i.e. cost process is martingale H-admissible strategy: value process has terminal value H value process V of discounted portfolio: Vt = E[H|Ft]

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GKW-decomposition

  • llmer and Sondermann (1986): solution to

risk-minimization problem can be found by Galtchouk-Kunita-Watanabe decomposition H = E[H] + T ξudSu + LT with L local martingale orthogonal to S by martingale property Vt = E[H|Ft] = E[H] + t ξudSu + Lt Hedging strategy: ϕ = (ξt, Vt − ξtSt)

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

GKW-decomposition

  • llmer and Sondermann (1986): solution to

risk-minimization problem can be found by Galtchouk-Kunita-Watanabe decomposition H = E[H] + T ξudSu + LT with L local martingale orthogonal to S by martingale property Vt = E[H|Ft] = E[H] + t ξudSu + Lt Hedging strategy: ϕ = (ξt, Vt − ξtSt)

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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GKW-decomposition

  • llmer and Sondermann (1986): solution to

risk-minimization problem can be found by Galtchouk-Kunita-Watanabe decomposition H = E[H] + T ξudSu + LT with L local martingale orthogonal to S by martingale property Vt = E[H|Ft] = E[H] + t ξudSu + Lt Hedging strategy: ϕ = (ξt, Vt − ξtSt)

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

GKW-decomposition

  • llmer and Sondermann (1986): solution to

risk-minimization problem can be found by Galtchouk-Kunita-Watanabe decomposition H = E[H] + T ξudSu + LT with L local martingale orthogonal to S by martingale property Vt = E[H|Ft] = E[H] + t ξudSu + Lt Hedging strategy: ϕ = (ξt, Vt − ξtSt)

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

GKW-decomposition

Orthogonal X is orthogonal to Y (X ⊥ Y ) ⇔ [X, Y ] is a local martingale with [X, Y ] = XY − Y · X − X · Y = XY −

  • YdX −
  • XdY

⇒ compensator of [X, Y ]: X, Y = 0 Remark: ·, · is measure dependent! use ·, · to determine ξ from GKW-decomposition

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

GKW-decomposition

Orthogonal X is orthogonal to Y (X ⊥ Y ) ⇔ [X, Y ] is a local martingale with [X, Y ] = XY − Y · X − X · Y = XY −

  • YdX −
  • XdY

⇒ compensator of [X, Y ]: X, Y = 0 Remark: ·, · is measure dependent! use ·, · to determine ξ from GKW-decomposition

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

GKW-decomposition

computation of ξ from GKW-decomposition: dVt = ξtdSt + dLt dV , St = ξtdS, St + dL, St

=0

⇔ ξt = dV , St dS, St risk process and remaining risk: Rt(ϕ) = E[(CT(ϕ) − Ct(ϕ))2|Ft] = E[(LT − Lt)2|Ft]

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

GKW-decomposition

computation of ξ from GKW-decomposition: dVt = ξtdSt + dLt dV , St = ξtdS, St + dL, St

=0

⇔ ξt = dV , St dS, St risk process and remaining risk: Rt(ϕ) = E[(CT(ϕ) − Ct(ϕ))2|Ft] = E[(LT − Lt)2|Ft]

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Local risk-minimization

S = S0 + M + B: one-dimensional P-semimartingale with

M: square-integrable local martingale, M0 = 0 B: predictable process with finite variation

Not possible to find a risk-minimizing strategy (Schweizer (1988))

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

Local risk-minimization

S = S0 + M + B: one-dimensional P-semimartingale with

M: square-integrable local martingale, M0 = 0 B: predictable process with finite variation

Not possible to find a risk-minimizing strategy (Schweizer (1988))

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Local risk-minimization

Schweizer (1990, 1991, 2008) minimization of the risk Rt(ϕ) = E[(CT(ϕ) − Ct(ϕ))2|Ft] replaced by New criterion lim inf

n→∞ r τn(ϕ, ∆) ≥ 0

with r τ[ϕ, ∆](ω, t) :=

  • ti,ti+1∈τ

Rti(ϕ + ∆|(ti,ti+1]) − Rti(ϕ) E[Mti+1 − Mti|Fti] 1(ti,ti+1](t) riskiness of cost process measured locally in time

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Local risk-minimization

Schweizer (1991, 2008): H-admissible strategy ϕ is LRM strategy iff ϕ is mean-self-financing and martingale C(ϕ) is orthogonal to martingale part M of price process S. under assumptions

(A1) M is P-a.s. stricly increasing on [0, T] (A2) B is continuous (A3) B is absolutely continuous w.r.t. M with density λ satisfying E[

  • λdM] < ∞

LRM strategy ϕ follows from FS-decomposition of H ∈ L2(P)

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FS-decomposition

  • llmer-Schweizer decomposition

H = H0 + T ξFS

u dSu + LFS T

with LFS local martingale orthogonal to M How? Recall that C = V − ξ · S is P-martingale and P-orthogonal to M Answer: define equivalent martingale measure Q such that C is also Q-martingale Minimal martingale measure Q related to a P-semimartingale The martingale measure such that any local martingale

  • rthogonal to M under P remains local martingale under Q

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

FS-decomposition

  • llmer-Schweizer decomposition

H = H0 + T ξFS

u dSu + LFS T

with LFS local martingale orthogonal to M How? Recall that C = V − ξ · S is P-martingale and P-orthogonal to M Answer: define equivalent martingale measure Q such that C is also Q-martingale Minimal martingale measure Q related to a P-semimartingale The martingale measure such that any local martingale

  • rthogonal to M under P remains local martingale under Q

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  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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FS-decomposition/LRM

LRM strategy ϕ is given by ϕt = (ξFS

t , Vt − ξFSSt)

where Vt = E Q[H|Ft] = E Q[H] + t ξFS

u dSu + LFS t

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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Introduction Quadratic hedging GKW- versus FS-decomposition (Counter)examples References

FS-decomposition/LRM

computation of ξFS from FS-decomposition: dV M

t

+ dV B

t = dVt = ξFS t dSt+dLFS t

= ξFS

t (dMt + dBt) + dLFS t

dV M, Mt = ξFS

t dM, Mt + dLFS, Mt

  • =0

⇔ ξFS

t

= dV M, Mt dM, Mt

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FS-decomposition/LRM

computation of ξFS from FS-decomposition: dV M

t

+ dV B

t = dVt = ξFS t dSt+dLFS t

= ξFS

t (dMt + dBt) + dLFS t

dV M, Mt = ξFS

t dM, Mt + dLFS, Mt

  • =0

⇔ ξFS

t

= dV M, Mt dM, Mt

Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

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Outline

1 Introduction 2 Quadratic hedging 3 GKW- versus FS-decomposition

Continuous case Discontinuous case

4 (Counter)examples 5 References

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GKW versus FS

GKW-decomposition E Q[H|Ft] = E Q[H] + (ξ · S)t + Lt with L, SQ = 0 L is Q-local martingale FS-decomposition E Q[H|Ft] = E Q[H] + (ξFS · S)t + LFS

t

with LFS, M = 0 LFS is P-local martingale LFS is Q-local martingale by definition of MMM. Question 1: Is LFS orthogonal to S, i.e. LFS, SQ = 0? Question 2: Is L P-martingale orthogonal to M?

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GKW versus FS

GKW-decomposition E Q[H|Ft] = E Q[H] + (ξ · S)t + Lt with L, SQ = 0 L is Q-local martingale FS-decomposition E Q[H|Ft] = E Q[H] + (ξFS · S)t + LFS

t

with LFS, M = 0 LFS is P-local martingale LFS is Q-local martingale by definition of MMM. Question 1: Is LFS orthogonal to S, i.e. LFS, SQ = 0? Question 2: Is L P-martingale orthogonal to M?

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GKW versus FS

LFS = L + (ξ − ξFS) · S relation between ξ = dV , SQ dS, SQ and ξFS = dV M, M dM, M ? from GKW-decomposition: dVt = ξtdSt + Lt ξFS = ξ + dL, M dM, M

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GKW versus FS

LFS = L + (ξ − ξFS) · S relation between ξ = dV , SQ dS, SQ and ξFS = dV M, M dM, M ? from GKW-decomposition: dVt = ξtdSt + Lt dV M, M = ξdM, M + L, M ξFS = ξ + dL, M dM, M

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GKW versus FS

LFS = L + (ξ − ξFS) · S relation between ξ = dV , SQ dS, SQ and ξFS = dV M, M dM, M ? from GKW-decomposition: dVt = ξtdSt + Lt dV M, M dM, M = ξdM, M dM, M + dL, M dM, M ξFS = ξ + dL, M dM, M

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  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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GKW versus FS

LFS = L + (ξ − ξFS) · S relation between ξ = dV , SQ dS, SQ and ξFS = dV M, M dM, M ? from GKW-decomposition: dVt = ξtdSt + Lt dV M, M dM, M = ξdM, M dM, M + dL, M dM, M ξFS = ξ + dL, M dM, M

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  • llmer-Schweizer or Galtchouck-Kunita-Watanabe Decomposition? A Comparison and Description

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GKW versus FS

LFS, SQ = L, SQ

=0

+(ξ − ξFS) · S, SQ = 0 ⇔ ξ = ξFS ξFS = ξ ⇔ L, M = 0 ⇔ L is P-martingale orthogonal to M Question 1 ⇔ Question 2 ⇔ GKW and FS coincide under MMM

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GKW versus FS

LFS, SQ = L, SQ

=0

+(ξ − ξFS) · S, SQ = 0 ⇔ ξ = ξFS ξFS = ξ ⇔ L, M = 0 ⇔ L is P-martingale orthogonal to M Question 1 ⇔ Question 2 ⇔ GKW and FS coincide under MMM

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GKW versus FS

LFS, SQ = L, SQ

=0

+(ξ − ξFS) · S, SQ = 0 ⇔ ξ = ξFS ξFS = ξ ⇔ L, M = 0 ⇔ L is P-martingale orthogonal to M Question 1 ⇔ Question 2 ⇔ GKW and FS coincide under MMM

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Continuous case

S is continuous process ⇒ GKW and FS coincide under MMM F¨

  • llmer & Schweizer (1991) proved preservation of
  • rthogonality

answer to question 1: LFS, SQ = 0 M is also continuous ⇒ L, M = [L, M] = [L, S] = L, SQ = 0 ⇔ ξFS = ξ ⇔ LFS = L GKW = FS

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Continuous case

S is continuous process ⇒ GKW and FS coincide under MMM F¨

  • llmer & Schweizer (1991) proved preservation of
  • rthogonality

answer to question 1: LFS, SQ = 0 M is also continuous ⇒ L, M = [L, M] = [L, S] = L, SQ = 0 ⇔ ξFS = ξ ⇔ LFS = L GKW = FS

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Continuous case

Original measure P Minimal martingale measure Q Galtchouk-Kunita-Watanabe decomposition F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer

decomposition

✲ ✛ ❄ ✻

dQ dP (ξ, η)

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Discontinuous case

S is discontinuous process ⇒ GKW and FS DO NOT coincide under MMM

  • rthogonality not preserved from P to Q or vice versa

L, SQ = 0 ⇒ L, M = 0 Is Q-local martingale L a P-local martingale? question of orthogonality by definition fomulated as question of being martingale: L, M = 0 ⇔ [L, M] is P-local martingale GKW = FS

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Discontinuous case

S is discontinuous process ⇒ GKW and FS DO NOT coincide under MMM

  • rthogonality not preserved from P to Q or vice versa

L, SQ = 0 ⇒ L, M = 0 Is Q-local martingale L a P-local martingale? question of orthogonality by definition fomulated as question of being martingale: L, M = 0 ⇔ [L, M] is P-local martingale GKW = FS

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Discontinuous case

S is discontinuous process ⇒ GKW and FS DO NOT coincide under MMM

  • rthogonality not preserved from P to Q or vice versa

L, SQ = 0 ⇒ L, M = 0 Is Q-local martingale L a P-local martingale? question of orthogonality by definition fomulated as question of being martingale: L, M = 0 ⇔ [L, M] is P-local martingale GKW = FS

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Preservation

in terms of predictable characteristics an additional condition different from orthogonality condition on Q-local martingale to be a P-local martingale is required Main proposition (Choulli, Vandaele, V) L Q-local martingale, then L is P-local martingale if and only if λ′

tctβt +

  • [λ′

tx − λ′ t∆Mtλt] Wt(x)Ft(dx) = 0.

Note: Use uniqueness of the representation theorem

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Relationship

ξFS in terms of ξ (Choulli, Vandaele, V) ( β, f , g, L⊥): quadruplet associated with L under Q, then ξFS − ξ = Φ LFS = L − Φ · S, with

  • Φ := Σinv
  • x

f (x)[λ′x − λ′∆Mλ]F(dx), and Σinv is the Moore-Penrose pseudoinverse of Σ Σ := c +

  • xx′F(dx)

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FS-decomposition

Predictable characteristics (Choulli, Vandaele, V) Consider a square-integrable FT-measurable random variable H, and denote by

  • H0, ξFS, LFS

its FS-decomposition

  • components. Then the following holds

ξFS = Σinv

  • c

φ +

  • x

f (x)F(dx)

  • and

LFS = V −ξFS ·S. Here ( φ, f , g, K ⊥): quadruplet associated with V M, and Σ is a random symmetric matrix given by Σ := c +

  • xx′F(dx).

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Outline

1 Introduction 2 Quadratic hedging 3 GKW- versus FS-decomposition 4 (Counter)examples 5 References

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Practical example

S = S0 + Sc + x ⋆ (µ − ν) + B with µ a random measure and ν its P-compensator, dBt = bdt H is contingent claim Vt = E Q[H | Ft] = f (t, St) with f a C 1,2-function Itˆ

  • -formula

Vt =V0 + t fx(s, Ss−)dS + t [ft(s, S) + 1 2fxx(s, Ss−)]ds +

  • 0<s≤t

[f (s, Ss−) − f (s, Ss−) − fx(s, Ss−)∆Ss]

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Practical example

P-martingale part of V : V M = fx(·, S−) · Sc + [f (·, S− + x) − f (·, S−)] ⋆ (µ − ν) FS-decomposition of H ξFS =

  • cfx(·, S−) +
  • R

x[f (·, S− + x) − f (·, S−)]F(dx)

  • c +
  • R

x2F(dx) LFS = V − V0 − ξFS · S

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Counterexample

  • ne-dimensional discounted process modelled as L´

evy process: St := S0E(S)t, St := σWt + γ˜ pt + µt

p: standard Poisson process with intensity 1 ˜ pt = pt − t, 0 ≤ t ≤ T: compensated Poisson process W : standard Brownian motion S0 > 0, σ > 0, γ > −1, 0 = µγ < σ2 + γ2

decomposition of S: S = S0 + M + B? dSt = St−dSt

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Counterexample

decomposition of S: S = S0 + M + B? dMt = St−(σdWt + γd˜ pt), dBt = µSt−dt minimal martinagle measure Q? density given by Z := E(−λ · M

N

) with dB = λdM for this model λt = 1 St− µ σ2 + γ2, Nt = σ1Wt+γ1˜ pt, σ1 := −µσ σ2 + γ2, γ1 := −µγ σ2 + γ2

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Counterexample

decomposition of S: S = S0 + M + B? dMt = St−(σdWt + γd˜ pt), dBt = µSt−dt minimal martinagle measure Q? density given by Z := E(−λ · M

N

) with dB = λdM for this model λt = 1 St− µ σ2 + γ2, Nt = σ1Wt+γ1˜ pt, σ1 := −µσ σ2 + γ2, γ1 := −µγ σ2 + γ2

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Counterexample

European put option with payoff: H = (K − ST)+ by independent increments of S Vt = f (t, St) with f (t, x) = E Q

  • (K − x ST

St )+

  • distribution function of S?

St = S0E(S)t = S0eSt−S0− 1

2 S ct

s≤t

(1 + ∆Ss)e−∆Ss with S

ct = σW t = σ2t

∆Ss = γ∆˜ ps = γ∆ps being zero or one St = S0eσWt+˜

pt log(1+γ)+(µ− 1

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Counterexample

strictly increasing distribution function in y, y = log x F(s, y) = Q(Ss S0 ≤ x) = Q(log(Ss) − log(S0) ≤ y) = Q(σWS + log(1 + γ)˜ ps + µs ≤ y) by stationarity property of S, for x > 0: f (t, x) = E Q

  • (K − x ST

St )+

  • = xE Q
  • (K

x − E(S)T−t)+

  • = x

log K

x

−∞

(K x − ey)dF(T − t, y) = KF(T − t, log K x ) − x log K

x

−∞

eyFy(T − t, y)dy

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Counterexample

f ∈ C 1,2((0, T) × (0, +∞)), apply Itˆ

  • to f (t, St) and V

is Q-martingale Vt = V0 + t fx(u, Su−)dSu + (Γ · ˜ pQ)t ˜ pQ := pt − (1 + γ1)t Γu := f (u, Su−(1 + γ)) − f (u, Su−) − fx(u, Su)γSu− ξ from GKW-decomposition ξ = dV , SQ dS, SQ = fx + Γd˜ pQ, SQ dS, SQ

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Counterexample

GKW-decomposition: V = V0 + ξ · S + L ξ given by ξt = fx(t, St−) + Γt d˜ pQ, SQ

t

dS, SQ

t

= fx(t, St−) + Γt St− γ(1 + γ1) σ2 + γ2(1 + γ1) Vt = V0 + t fx(u, Su−)dSu + (Γ · ˜ pQ)t L = Γ · ˜ pQ − Γ S− γ(1 + γ1) σ2 + γ2(1 + γ1) · S

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Counterexample

Result The FS-decomposition of H and the GKW-decomposition under Q of V differ. Proof difference between ξFS and ξ: ξFS − ξ = dL, M dM, M = Γ S− µγ2σ2 (σ2 + γ2)2(σ2 + γ2(1 + γ1)) compute Γt = f (t, St−(1 + γ)) − f (t, St−) − fx(t, St)γSt− fx(t, x) = − log K

x

eyFy(T − t, y)dy

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Counterexample

Proof (continued) plug in expressions for f and fx: Γt = f (t, St−(1 + γ)) − f (t, St−) − fx(t, St)γSt− = s2(t)

s1(t)

[K − St−(1 + γ)ey]Fy(T − t, y)dy with s1(t) := log K St− and s2(t) := s1(t) − log(1 + γ) Γ = 0 for γ = 0: (−1 <)γ < 0: s1 < s2 and [K − St−(1 + γ)ey]Fy(T − t, y) > 0 γ > 0: s1 > s2 and Γt = s1(t)

s2(t)

[−K + St−(1 + γ)ey]Fy(T − t, y)dy >0

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Counterexample

Proof (continued) plug in expressions for f and fx: Γt = f (t, St−(1 + γ)) − f (t, St−) − fx(t, St)γSt− = s2(t)

s1(t)

[K − St−(1 + γ)ey]Fy(T − t, y)dy with s1(t) := log K St− and s2(t) := s1(t) − log(1 + γ) Γ = 0 for γ = 0: (−1 <)γ < 0: s1 < s2 and [K − St−(1 + γ)ey]Fy(T − t, y) > 0 γ > 0: s1 > s2 and Γt = s1(t)

s2(t)

[−K + St−(1 + γ)ey]Fy(T − t, y)dy >0

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Counterexample

Proof (continued) plug in expressions for f and fx: Γt = f (t, St−(1 + γ)) − f (t, St−) − fx(t, St)γSt− = s2(t)

s1(t)

[K − St−(1 + γ)ey]Fy(T − t, y)dy with s1(t) := log K St− and s2(t) := s1(t) − log(1 + γ) Γ = 0 for γ = 0: (−1 <)γ < 0: s1 < s2 and [K − St−(1 + γ)ey]Fy(T − t, y) > 0 γ > 0: s1 > s2 and Γt = s1(t)

s2(t)

[−K + St−(1 + γ)ey]Fy(T − t, y)dy >0

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Outline

1 Introduction 2 Quadratic hedging 3 GKW- versus FS-decomposition 4 (Counter)examples 5 References

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  • T. Choulli, N. Vandaele, and M. Vanmaele.

The F¨

  • llmer-Schweizer decomposition: Comparison and description.

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 120(6):853–872, 2010.

  • H. F¨
  • llmer, M. Schweizer.

Hedging of contingent claims under incomplete information. Applied Stochastic Analysis, 5:389–414, 1991.

  • H. F¨
  • llmer, D. Sondermann.

Hegding of non-redundant contingent claims. Contributions to Mathematical Economics, 205–223, 1986.

  • M. Schweizer.

Hedging of options in a general semimartingale model. PhD thesis, Swiss Federal Institution of Technology Z¨ urich, 1988.

  • M. Schweizer.

Risk-minimality and orthogonality of martingales. Stochastics and Stochastic Reports, 30(1):123-131, 1990.

  • M. Schweizer.

Option hedging for semimartingales. Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 37:339-363, 1991.

  • M. Schweizer.

Local risk minimization for multidimensional assets and payment streams. Banach Center Publications, 83:213-229, 20081. Mich` ele Vanmaele — F¨

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Thank you for your attention

This study was supported by a grant of Research Foundation-Flanders

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