f i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f m o i s

F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f m o i s t u r e s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M Mi c h a l B e l d a

  1. F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f m o i s t u r e s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M Mi c h a l B e l d a D e p a r t m e n t o f A t m o s p h e r i c P h y s i c s , C h a r l e s U n i v e r s i t y , P r a g u e I n c o o p e r a t i o n w i t h E m a n u e l a P i c h e l l i ( I C T P ) , T e r e z a N o v á k o v á a n d T o m á š H a l e n k a N i n t h I C T P Wo r k s h o p o n t h e T h e o r y a n d U s e o f R e g i o n a l C l i m a t e Mo d e l s , 2 0 1 8

  2. C o n v e c t i o n p e r m i t i n g c l i m a t e m o d e l i n g ● C l i m a t e m o d e l s r u n w i t h a h o r i z o n t a l r e s o l u t i o n i n k i l o m e t e r s c a l e ● B e t e r r e p r e s e n t a t i o n o f l o c a l c l i m a t e f e a t u r e s ● Mo v i n g a w a y f r o m p a r a m e t e r i z e d t o e x p l i c i t c o n v e c t i o n ● C P C F P S s t u d y w i t h i n C O R D E X i n i t i a t i v e - m u l t i - m o d e l c o n v e c t i o n p e r m i t i n g e n s e m b l e f o r i n v e s t i g a t i n g c o n v e c t i v e p h e n o m e n a o v e r E u r o p e a n d t h e Me d i t e r r a n e a n

  3. C a s e s t u d y w i t h WR F ● WR F m o d e l i n N WP m o d e ● E v e n t : 3 0 Ma y 2 0 1 7 ● T h r e e s i m u l a t i o n s : 1 . WR F i n 3 k m r e s o l u t i o n w i t h c o n v e c t i o n p a r a m e t e r i z a t i o n 2 . WR F i n 3 k m r e s o l u t i o n w i t h o u t c o n v e c t i o n p a r a m . 3 . WR F i n 1 k m r e s o l u t i o n w i t h o u t c o n v e c t i o n p a r a m e t e r i z a t i o n

  4. C a s e s t u d y w i t h WR F

  5. C a s e s t u d y w i t h WR F

  6. C a s e s t u d y w i t h WR F

  7. C o n v e c t i o n p e r m i t i n g c l i m a t e m o d e l i n g ● C l i m a t e m o d e l s r u n w i t h a h o r i z o n t a l r e s o l u t i o n i n k i l o m e t e r s c a l e ● B e t e r r e p r e s e n t a t i o n o f l o c a l c l i m a t e f e a t u r e s ● Mo v i n g a w a y f r o m p a r a m e t e r i z e d t o e x p l i c i t c o n v e c t i o n ● C P C F P S s t u d y w i t h i n C O R D E X i n i t i a t i v e - m u l t i - m o d e l c o n v e c t i o n p e r m i t i n g e n s e m b l e f o r i n v e s t i g a t i n g c o n v e c t i v e p h e n o m e n a o v e r E u r o p e a n d t h e Me d i t e r r a n e a n

  8. E x p e r i m e n t d e s i g n ● P l a n : 1 ) c a s e s t u d i e s i n w e a t h e r - l i k e ( WL ) a n d c l i m a t e m o d e ( C M) f o r s h o r t p e r i o d s 2 ) l o n g - t e r m e v a l u a t i o n s i m u l a t i o n s d r i v e n b y E R A - I n t e r i m - 2 0 0 0 - 2 0 1 4 3 ) s c e n a r i o s i m u l a t i o n s f o r 1 0 y e a r t i m e s l i c e s ● Mu l t i - m o d e l e n s e m b l e : R e g C M, C C L M, WR F , R E MO , H C L I M, A R O ME , MO L O C H , C O S MO , U M… ● R e g C M s u b - g r o u p : I C T P , C U N I , D H MZ ● C o m p a r i n g t h e I C T P a n d C U N I r u n s t h a t u s e d i f e r e n t m o i s t u r e s c h e m e : WS M5 v s . N o g h e r o t o / T o m p k i n s

  9. C o m p u t a t i o n a l d o m a i n iy = 575 jx = 605 kz = 41 ds = 3000 clat = 45.441 clon = 8.062 nspgx, nspgy = 30 nested in ICTP EUR-11 simulation

  10. P r e c i p i t a t i o n - a n n u a l a v e r a g e 2 0 0 0 E - O B S I C T P C U N I

  11. A n n u a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n R e m i n d e r : C O R D E X E R A - I n t e r i m s i m u l a t i o n s BI IP BI SC IP AL SC AL FR MT ME EE FR MT ME EE

  12. A n n u a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n R e m i n d e r : C O R D E X h i s t o r i c a l s i m u l a t i o n s

  13. P r e c i p i t a t i o n – D J F a v e r a g e 2 0 0 0 E - O B S I C T P C U N I

  14. P r e c i p i t a t i o n – J J A a v e r a g e 2 0 0 0 E - O B S I C T P C U N I

  15. E v a l u a t i o n s t a t i o n s P r e c i p i t a t i o n s t a t i o n n e t w o r k o f C z e c h H y d r o m e t e o r o l o g i c a l I n s t i t u t e ( p r o f e s s i o n a l s t a t i o n s ) r e d : u s e d f o r t h i s s t u d y

  16. A n n u a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

  17. A n n u a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

  18. D a i l y p r e c i p i t a t i o n d i s t r i b u t i o n F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

  19. D i u r n a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

  20. D i u r n a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n D a i , A . , L i n , X . & H s u , K L . C l i m D y n ( 2 0 0 7 ) 2 9 : 7 2 7 . h t p s : / / d o i . o r g / 1 0 . 1 0 0 7 / s 0 0 3 8 2 - 0 0 7 - 0 2 6 0 - y F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

  21. D i u r n a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

  22. D i u r n a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

  23. D i u r n a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

  24. D i u r n a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

  25. D i u r n a l c y c l e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

  26. I n f l u e n c e o n s u r f a c e t e m p e r a t u r e F i r s t l o o k a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n s c h e m e o n l o n g - t e r m C P C s i m u l a t i o n s w i t h R e g C M

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