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Extra healthy years or just extra years? What do we know about the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Extra healthy years or just extra years? What do we know about the gap between life expectancy and healthy life expectancy on the island of Ireland? 7 March 2013 Kevin P Balanda, Lorraine Fahy, Safa Abdalla, Steve Barron Institute of Public


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Extra healthy years or just extra years? What do we know about the gap between life expectancy and healthy life expectancy

  • n the island of Ireland?

7 March 2013

Kevin P Balanda, Lorraine Fahy, Safa Abdalla, Steve Barron Institute of Public Health in Ireland (IPH)

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Increasing life expectancy

McGill 2012

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Programmes for Government – Health and Well-being goals

Department of Health – RoI Future Health: A Strategic Framework for Reform of the Health Service 2012-2015 – There will be a new focus on the need to move away from simply treating ill people to a new concentration on keeping people healthy. Future Health recognises the need for a whole-of-government approach to addressing health issues and commits to the development of a comprehensive Health and Wellbeing Policy Framework and the establishment of a Health and Wellbeing Agency. DHSSPS – NI Priority areas related to health and well-being

  • 1. Creating Opportunities, Tackling Disadvantage and Improving Health and

Well-Being

  • 2. Protecting Our People, the Environment and Creating Safer Communities
  • 3. Delivering High Quality and Efficient Public Services
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Key questions regarding health expectancy

Health expectancy measures

– Life expectancy (LE)

  • how long we can expect to live

– Disability-free life expectancy (DFLE)

  • how long we can expect to live without limitations on our daily

activities – Healthy life expectancy (HLE)

  • how long we can expect to live in (self-rated) good health
  • Life expectancy increasing

– Is healthy life expectancy also increasing? – Are the extra years being spent in good or bad health/ with or without activity limitations?

  • How long we live and how healthy we are?

– Use Health expectancy measures to explore this

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Exploring distribution of health expectancy across the island of Ireland

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Study aims

Description of health expectancies across island of Ireland (DFLE & HLE):

– Over time – By geography

  • National level
  • Sub-national variation
  • N/S comparisons

– Gender differences – Socio-economic variation

  • Investigate whether compression or expansion of morbidity occurring

Comparable with international series

  • Describe health expectancies in a way comparable with international

series e.g. ONS, EU-SILC

  • Compare our findings with international series

Using three (very different) data sources:

– Morbidity (SLÁN; NIHSWB); Mortality; Population

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Initial findings

  • Following initial analysis:

– significant differences were noted (by ourselves and

  • thers) between the values and patterns of health

expectancy derived from different data sources

  • Tried to understand the differences
  • Forensic investigation into methodological issues and

differences

– understand how differences and limitations in data sources affected the findings – Understand the importance of these differences

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IPH experience

  • Differences in methodology

– Lead to different conclusions on whether or not compression of morbidity

  • ccurring
  • Within different surveys and series

– Lots of different ways health questions are asked – Can have serious effects and implications

  • Overall findings
  • Policy development
  • Will show you there is a problem and how this happened via some

case studies

  • Case studies examined

– What health expectancy estimates we would expect from different methodologies – Whether health expectancy estimates were real or because of methodological differences

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Three Case Studies

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Case study 1

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Case study 1 – questions

SLÁN Surveys: Repeated independent cross- sectional samples In general would you say your health is:

  • Excellent
  • Very Good
  • Good
  • Fair
  • Poor

EU-SILC Surveys: Routine follow-up of a rotating panel over a long period How is your health in general?

  • Very Good
  • Good
  • Fair
  • Bad
  • Very Bad
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Case study 2

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Case study 2 – questions

NIHSWB survey 1997, 2001, 2005 (HLE1 – NIHSWB): Independent cross-sectional samples. Face-to-face interviews. Over the last 12 months would you say your health has on the whole been:

  • Good
  • Fairly good
  • Not good

SLÁN Surveys (RoI) 1998, 2002, 2006: Independent cross-sectional samples. Self-administered postal questionnaire 1998 & 2002; face-to-face interviews 2006. In general, would you say your health is:

  • Excellent
  • Very Good
  • Good
  • Fair
  • Poor

NIHSWB survey 1997 (HLE2 – NIHSWB): Independent cross-sectional sample. Face-to-face interviews. In general, would you say your health is:

  • Excellent
  • Very Good
  • Good
  • Fair
  • Poor
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Proportion of Male Life Expectancy at age 65 with and without Disability

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% RoI RoI RoI 1998 2002 2006 Disability free With disability 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% NI NI NI 1997 2001 2005 Disability free With disability

NI RoI

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Methodological differences

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Consequence of methodological differences

  • Methodological differences undermine validity:

– International comparisons – North-South comparisons – Changes over time – Assessment of gender differences and socio-economic variation – Examination of whether compression or expansion of morbidity occurred

  • Effects of biases can misguide policy decisions
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Methodological checklist

  • Mixed stories resulting from different methodologies:

– How the question is phrased?

  • Time reference; normative reference

– How the responses are formatted?

  • Number of responses; positive or negative responses

– How the questions are administered?

  • Self administered vs. face-to-face

– Survey design

  • Cross-sectional; longitudinal rotating panel

– Break in time series

  • changes to questions in different waves of the same survey

– Socio-economic classifications used

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Take home messages

  • Same name for two measures

– does not mean they measure the same aspect of health or health care.

  • Many different aspects of health and well-being

– need to identify health measures that are relevant to different policy & service areas – different health expectancy measures lead to different findings – different findings could affect how health budgets are distributed

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Take home messages

  • Working with existing data

– Ensure limitations don’t mislead decision-making (e.g. policy) – Don’t take just one data source on which to base findings – Be aware of methodological differences between and within surveys – Read the fine print – If there are differences between data sources then drill down to explain the differences – Need to assist people with the data that we currently have

  • Longer term

– Greater harmonisation between different survey series

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Don’t be “stung” by differences…

lorraine.fahy@publichealth.ie