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The right narrative: Explaining the impact of Adult Social Care and Refreshing the Adult Social Care Outcomes Framework National Children and Adult Services Conference 8.30-9.30, Thursday 21 st November 2019 Bay View Suite Suite of Adult Social


  1. The right narrative: Explaining the impact of Adult Social Care and Refreshing the Adult Social Care Outcomes Framework National Children and Adult Services Conference 8.30-9.30, Thursday 21 st November 2019 Bay View Suite

  2. Suite of Adult Social Care Collections and Official Statistics in England Hospital Episode PERFORMANCE INDICATORS WORKFORCE Statistics Mental Health Adult Social Care Directly employed local Services authority workforce Delayed Outcomes Framework from Skills Transfers of Care for Care SAFEGUARDING FINANCE ACTIVITY SURVEYS Safeguarding Adults Adult Social Care Adult Social Deprivation of Liberty Short and Survey Care Finance Safeguards Long Term Return Survey of Adult published Guardianship Support together Carers in England Deferred Payment Health Survey for Agreements REGISTERS England Register of blind and partially sighted

  3. Review of Adult Social Care Outcomes Framework (1) We are seeking to improve ASCOF, building on the existing domains: • Enhancing quality of life for people with care and support needs; • Delaying and reducing the need for care and support; • Ensuring that people have a positive experience of care and support; • Safeguarding adults whose circumstances make them vulnerable and protecting from avoidable harm. We aim to ensure that ASCOF better reflects: • The statutory responsibilities defined in the Care Act (2014); • Commissioning a sufficient, high quality and affordable market of care and support providers; • The importance of prevention and early intervention in promoting independence and wellbeing; • Changes in national and local policy; • Integration with the NHS and our interfaces with it, in line with the objectives of the Better Care Fund; • The efficiency and effectiveness of local authorities in their use of resources.

  4. Review of Adult Social Care Outcomes Framework (2) While recognising the importance of continuity in assessing change over time, we are asking: • Which measures should be retained, as they are or with amendment; • Which measures should be added; • Which measures should be removed. In doing so, we will be mindful of the implications for statutory returns and supporting systems. We are conscious that the burden of collection and analysis should not increase: • Local authority capacity has in some cases reduced; • NHS Digital has reorganised, decreasing the size of its adult social care team. But we also want to realise the potential of technological developments. We wish to maximise the potential benefits of planned shifts from annual aggregate returns to more frequent client-level data integrated with data from the NHS. We want to ensure that any revision to ASCOF is looking to the future.

  5. Review of Adult Social Care Outcomes Framework (3) This project is funded and supported by the Department of Health and Social Care. ADASS has undertaken a tender for consultancy support in exploring views of Directors and other stakeholders in a review of ASCOF. We have awarded the contract to the Institute of Public Care and welcome them today. The stages of the project will be: • Initial contact and views – including a survey of Directors and other stakeholders; • Detailed analysis through workshops – including a workshop in each ADASS region and others involving national stakeholders including ADASS policy leads; • Proposals and testing – a report of findings, ultimately to ADASS Executive and to the DHSC Data and Outcomes Board.

  6. People receiving adult social care services supported by local authorities data source: NHS Digital data, ONS population projections Long term social care users supported by their local authority at Proportion of total population receiving local year end, 2014/15 to 2018/19 authority support with social care, 2014/15 to 300,000 2018/19 5.0% Community 65 4.5% and over 250,000 65 and over 4.0% 3.5% 200,000 Community 18-64 3.0% 150,000 2.5% Residential 65 2.0% and over 100,000 1.5% Nursing 65 18 to 64 and over 1.0% 50,000 Residential 18-64 0.5% Nursing 18-64 0 0.0% 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 The proportion of older people receiving state funded The number of older people and working age adults adult social care has reduced from 4.3% to 3.7% in receiving residential and nursing care has reduced. the last five years following a steeper reduction in the The number of older people receiving community-based previous five years. services has also reduced following more significant The data doesn’t tell us if this is a consequence of reductions in the previous five years, but the number of prevention, early intervention, and strength-based working age adults supported in the community is practice promoting independence or unmet need. increasing.

  7. Expenditure data source: DHSC analysis of NHS Digital data Net Current Expenditure by Age (£Billions, 18/19 Prices) 8.00 7.00 6.83 6.63 6.56 6.00 6.47 6.35 5.57 5.00 5.48 5.36 5.38 5.27 4.00 3.58 3.00 3.46 3.39 3.41 3.35 2.00 2.10 2.10 2.04 1.92 1.00 1.18 0.00 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 65+ 18-64 Non-Age Attributed NHS Transfer / BCF In the decade before the financial crash of 2008-9 Net expenditure is greater on working age adults than spend on social care increased well above inflation. older people and the gap is widening. From 2010-15 spend decreased but has returned to Market inflation has been rising faster than the 2008-9 levels since due to additional funding including headline rate and spend per head has risen the precept, grants and the Better Care Fund. significantly, indicating increasing complexity.

  8. Unit costs: residential and nursing care data source: NHS Digital Long Term Unit Costs (per week) by region in 2018-19 £1,400 £0 £100 £200 £300 £400 £500 £600 £700 £800 £900 £1,000 North East £1,200 North West £1,000 Yorkshire and The Humber East Midlands £800 West Midlands £600 East of England £400 London South East £200 South West Nursing 18-64 Nursing 65+ Residential 18-64 Residential 65+ £0 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Nursing Residential Typically, costs are lower in the north than the south Over the last four years unit costs of residential and of England, in some instances by as much as a third. nursing care have been rising faster than the headline rate of inflation, driven by wage pressures including This is driven mainly by regional differences in the national living wage. property values and labour markets. Rising wages have been at least matched by competing sectors. Nursing care unit fees are those levied to local authorities and do not include Funded Nursing Care.

  9. Unit costs: personal care data source: NHS Digital £0 £5 £10 £15 £20 £25 £30 £35 £40 £45 £50 Home Care Unit Costs (per hour) North East £50 North West Yorkshire and The Humber £40 East Midlands £30 West Midlands East of England £20 London £10 South East South West £0 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 In house external In house External Again, costs are lower in the north than the south of Again, unit costs of personal care have been rising England. faster than the headline rate of inflation driven by wage pressures including the national living wage. For personal care rurality is also a factor due to travel time and costs being more significant in areas such Variations in the cost of in-house personal care are as the South-West. peripheral in their impact as the significant majority of provision is from the independent sector.

  10. Delayed Transfers of Care data source: NHS England We can only maintain progress if we can gain access Despite all the pressures we are under, since delayed to sufficient care at home where possible, in a transfers of care peaked in the summer of 2016 significant reductions have been made in the numbers residential or nursing setting where necessary. of people delayed in their transfer from hospital. That depends on paying a fair price for care and a fair This has in part been facilitated by the additional wage to care workers. funding and focus provided by the Better Care Fund. Self-funders are recorded as attributable to the NHS.

  11. Short Term Services data source: NHS Digital Short Term Support expenditure (£millions) Short Term Support activity £450 250,000 £400 200,000 expenditure (£m) £350 £300 150,000 £250 £200 100,000 £150 £100 50,000 £50 £0 0 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 18-64 65+ 18-64 65+ Many authorities have chosen to protect or increase Current measures in ASCOF to assess the efficiency investment in short term interventions that promote and effectiveness of short-term services are independence. inadequate. However, spend on non-statutory services including They focus on a narrow group of older people being prevention and short-term intervention are under discharged from hospital in such a way that those who pressure during each round of budget setting. reach fewer people may appear to have more impact.

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