EU Market Situation for Poultry Committee for the Common - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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EU Market Situation for Poultry Committee for the Common - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Jul 26, 2023 253 likes •420 views

EU Market Situation for Poultry Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 18 June 2015 uro Exchange rate 1 Euro = .....US$ / BRZ Real/ 3,5 BRZ Real 3,0 USA $ 2,5 2,0 1,5 1,0 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010

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EU Market Situation for Poultry Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 18 June 2015

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5

I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I 2014 I 2015 I source:http://europa.eu.int/comm/budget/inforeuro/fr/index.htm

€uro Exchange rate

1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/

BRZ Real USA $

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Euro/ T (feed) Euro/ 100kg (Broiler)

Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price

margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7 (2011) - 2.4 (2014)) Cereal-mix Compound feed Broiler

  • Avg. Margin 2009 - 2013 (93,99 €/100kg)
  • NB. Comp. Feed 2014 =Forecast as from February 2015.

Cereal mix and Poultry = Forecast as from June 2015.

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

75 85 95 105 115 125 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 Remainder €uro/ 100kg

100KG Broiler minus feedcost for Broilers feedconversionrate = 2,7 (2011) - 2,4 (2014)

Marge Average 10 - 14 Marge Broiler 2012 Marge Broiler 2013 Marge Broiler 2014 Marge Broiler 2015

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

175 185 195 205 janv. févr. mars avr. mai juin juil. août sept.

  • ct.

nov. déc. €uro/ 100kg

Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler

  • Moy. 10-14

2013 2014 2015

189,22 €/100 kg

Source:MSs weekly communications

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

189,22 191,42 95,99

75,00 100,00 125,00 150,00 175,00 200,00 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15

Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil in €uro/ 100kg

EU broiler US broiler €uro BR Broil €uro/ (Ave world)

EU = weighted avg of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,Chicago BR = avg of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br)

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

150 300 450 600 750 900 150.000 300.000 450.000 600.000 750.000 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 Realised slaughter in 1000 T Forecast in tonnes

Forecast and Production of Broilers. In Tonn

Forecast Production Broiler Broiler slaughter

  • Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.

2013 580 736 647 722 686 792 629 810 696 568 727 383 705 763 683 621 718 661 695 745 679 356 706 715 2014 573 133 675 908 692 269 647 505 706 405 733 270 720 545 710 874 733 943 680 341 696 5 88 689 888 2015 534 590 676 032 710 523 671 775 551 187

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

100.000 200.000 300.000 400.000 500.000 600.000 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015

1 000 p

Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces) compared to the baseline trend

(baseline= monthly avg 2011 - 2015)

Placings Broiler (baseline= monthly avg 2011 - 2015) - Broiler chicks

  • Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. O
  • ct. Nov. Dec.

2013 513 645 477 489 532 079 549 359 531 593 524 160 535 570 535 521 514 895 529 349 443 478 511 348 2014 518 996 490 967 534 351 551 180 545 726 536 031 552 421 513 339 525 981 519 933 404 549 371 829 2015 532 643 497 724 463 904 Source: Eurostat

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TRADE

EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins

Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %

to Jan-Apr 14

Brazil 615.832 71,9% 583.449 67,3% 514.339 63,2% 500.569 59,7% 136.693 53,4%

  • 23%

Thailand 155.788 18,2% 197.962 22,8% 228.238 28,0% 250.338 29,9% 92.271 36,0% + 16% Ukraine 31 0,0% 276 0,0% 19.928 2,4% 8.614 3,4% +++ Chile 44.433 5,2% 42.192 4,9% 30.515 3,7% 25.801 3,1% 7.673 3,0%

  • 17%

China 13.874 1,6% 15.698 1,8% 18.145 2,2% 19.703 2,4% 5.466 2,1%

  • 19%

Argentina 15.700 1,8% 13.766 1,6% 10.783 1,3% 10.993 1,3% 2.467 1,0%

  • 22%

USA 129 0,0% 352 0,0% 193 0,0% 43 0,0% 794 0,3% +++ Switzerland 1.253 0,1% 3.817 0,4% 3.817 0,5% 4.234 0,5% 730 0,3%

  • 50%

Others 10.051 1,2% 9.968 1,1% 7.525 0,9% 6.326 0,8% 1.366 0,5% #N/A EXTRA EU 28 857.092 867.203 813.832 837.935 256.074 % change + 1%

  • 6%

+ 3%

  • 8,6%

2011 2012 2013 Jan-Apr 15 2014

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000 | Jan 06 2006 | Jan 07 2007 | Jan 08 2008 | Jan 09 2009 | Jan 10 2010 | Jan 11 2011 | Jan 12 2012 | Jan 13 2013 | Jan 14 2014 | Jan 15 in Tonnes cw in Tonnes cwe

Imports of selected Poultry products

FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations

Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Apr 14 Benin 126.213 8,9% 139.817 9,8% 139.247 9,8% 163.793 10,9% 55.127 11,8% + 9% South Africa 94.083 6,7% 131.832 9,2% 158.510 11,1% 203.414 13,5% 51.735 11,1%

  • 12%

Saudi Arabia 151.520 10,7% 149.310 10,4% 154.775 10,9% 123.559 8,2% 45.700 9,8% + 6% Philippines 30.341 2,1% 30.764 2,2% 35.674 2,5% 57.621 3,8% 36.770 7,9% + 173% Hong Kong 189.151 13,4% 126.072 8,8% 117.152 8,2% 136.088 9,0% 33.496 7,2%

  • 21%

Ghana 68.978 4,9% 69.156 4,8% 75.216 5,3% 56.883 3,8% 22.454 4,8% + 55% Ukraine 81.687 5,8% 103.427 7,2% 75.966 5,3% 80.208 5,3% 17.975 3,9% + 26% Gabon 25.601 1,8% 26.298 1,8% 25.070 1,8% 29.409 2,0% 13.801 3,0% + 47% Congo (Dem. Rep.) 29.972 2,1% 34.231 2,4% 28.625 2,0% 33.723 2,2% 11.479 2,5% + 12% For.JRep.Mac 24.790 1,8% 32.747 2,3% 36.530 2,6% 33.552 2,2% 11.174 2,4% + 4% Russia 115.136 8,1% 113.134 7,9% 95.179 6,7% 68.325 4,5% 300 0,1%

  • 99%

Other Destinations 476.174 33,7% 473.766 33,1% 484.421 34,0% 517.311 34,4% 166.375 35,7% Extra-EU 28 1.413.647 1.430.554 1.426.365 1.503.885 466.387 % change + 1%

  • 0%

+ 5% + 2,5% 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Apr 15 2014

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

EU Poultry meat Export

60.447 64.470 76.220 98.655 63.936 79.545 5.493 7.293 17.423 438.207 399.344 407.167 700.481 636.959 684.644 100.000 200.000 300.000 400.000 500.000 600.000 700.000 800.000 Jan-Apr 13 Jan-Apr 14 Jan-Apr 15 1000 EUR

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)

Benin South Africa Saudi Arabia Philippines Hong Kong Other destinations *

* countries trading less than 48 000 ('000 EUR)

43.686 50.748 55.127 51.735 43.044 45.700 7.312 13.472 36.770

44.684 42.152 33.496

269.937 246.949 243.559 469.011 455.156 466.387 50.000 100.000 150.000 200.000 250.000 300.000 350.000 400.000 450.000 500.000 Jan-Apr 13 Jan-Apr 14 Jan-Apr 15 Tonnes cw

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe)

Benin South Africa Saudi Arabia Philippines Hong Kong Other destinations *

* countries trading less than 23 000 Tons

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000 140.000 160.000 180.000 | Jan 06 2006 | Jan 07 2007 | Jan 08 2008 | Jan 09 2009 | Jan 10 2010 | Jan 11 2011 | Jan 12 2012 | Jan 13 2013 | Jan 14 2014 | Jan 15 I n t

  • n

s C W E

Exports of selected Poultry products

FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS

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EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

EU Poultry meat Trade Balance

302 277 292 310 371 676 794 480 614 616 858 891 876 821 857 867 814 838 256 1.017 1.101 1.116 1.153 1.114 1.275 1.063 1.046 997 997 867 982 1.016 1.265 1.414 1.431 1.426 1.504 466

200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan- Apr 15

in 1000 Tonnes cwe

IMPORTS EXPORTS

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Parameters for the calculation of the estimated production of broilers

EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

BE BG CZ DK DE EE GR ES FR HR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK Parameter National Average Live weight (kg) at Slaughter 2,40 2,10 1,90 2,10 2,11 2,39 2,40 2,66 2,02 1,99 2,04 2,60 2,64 2,10 2,44 2,40 2,33 2,55 2,23 1,83 2,44 1,85 2,20 2,20 2,12 2,34 1,91 2,23 National Average Carcass yield (%) 68% 73,0% 74,0% 75,0% 70,0% 71,0% 75,0% 70,2% 67,0% 69,4% 71,7% 70,1% 77,0% 74,4% 75,1% 68% 70,1% 74,0% 66,0% 75,0% 69,9% 72,4% 70,5% 72,5% 72,5% 75,0% 69,0% National Average Mortality (%) 2,0% 4,3% 4,0% 2,5% 3.0- 3.5% (l.w) 4.0% (h.w.) 2,5%

  • 3,0%

6,0% 5,2% 4,2% 3,7% 2,9% 5,0% 3,2% 3,3% 5,0% 2,0% 4,2% 6,5% 3,5% 4,2% 4,2% 2,6% 2,5% 3,9% 3,5% 3,5% 4,8% National Average Period of rearing (days) 40,0 51* 35,0 35,0 30 - 38 37 - 40 45,0 43,5 37,7 35,0 36,9 35/46 47,4 37,1 40,0 40,0 41,5 45,0 41,0 35,00 42,0 37,8 41,0 37,7 38,5 37,0 42,0 2013