ETHIOPIAN ELECTRIC POWER THE ETHIOPIAN ENERGY SECTOR INVESTMENT - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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ETHIOPIAN ELECTRIC POWER THE ETHIOPIAN ENERGY SECTOR INVESTMENT - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

ETHIOPIAN ELECTRIC POWER THE ETHIOPIAN ENERGY SECTOR INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES UK-ETHIOPIA TRADE & INVESTMENT FORUM 2015 October 21st 2015 LONDON, UK Azeb Asnake, CEO, Ethiopian Electric Power 1. INSTITUTIONAL & REGULATORY FRAMEWORK


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SLIDE 1

ETHIOPIAN ELECTRIC POWER THE ETHIOPIAN ENERGY SECTOR – INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES

UK-ETHIOPIA TRADE & INVESTMENT FORUM 2015

October 21st 2015

LONDON, UK

Azeb Asnake, CEO, Ethiopian Electric Power

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SLIDE 2
  • 1. INSTITUTIONAL & REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
  • Ministry of Water Irrigation & Energy (MoWIE)

is the lead institution for the Energy Sector.

  • It supervises Three Institutions:
  • Ethiopian Electric Power (EEP): Generation &

Transmission Construction and Operation, Universal Electric Access Program, Power Export

  • Ethiopian Electric Utility (EEU): Distribution,

Sales

  • Ethiopian Energy Authority: Regulatory body

for electricity and energy efficiency

  • Its responsibilities fall into Three Broad

Categories:

  • Resource assessment and development,
  • Policy and regulatory, and
  • R&D

Energy study and Dev. Follow-up Alternative Energy Technology Promotion & Dissemination Bio-fuel Development

Ministry of Water, Irrigation & Energy

Ethiopian Electric Power (EEP)

Petroleum Downstream

  • peration Regulator

Ethiopian Electric Utility (EEU)

Ethiopian Energy Authority (EEA)

Hydropower and Dams Administration

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SLIDE 3
  • 2. ENERGY SECTOR POLICY

The Energy policy envisages to meet the following broad objectives:

  • Giving high priority to RE Development and follows climate resilient green

economy strategy

  • Considers Hydropower as the backbone of the country’s energy generation

and maximize its utilization ;

  • Promoting and enhance other renewable energy sources development such

as solar, wind, geothermal and bio-mass to increase RE mix there by Improving security and reliability of energy supply and be a regional hub for renewable energy.

  • Enhancing regional and global cooperation in the energy sector to ensure

exchange of know-how, information and transfer of technologies

  • Strengthening cross boarder energy trade.
  • Increasing access to affordable and adequate modern energy.
  • Promoting efficient, clean, and appropriate energy technologies and

conservation measure.

  • Improving the energy efficiency of systems and operations.
  • Strengthening energy sector governance and build strong energy institution

(EEPCo’s Transformation)

  • Ensuring environmental and social safety and sustainability of energy supply

and utilization, and gender mainstreaming.

  • Ensuring Capacity building and technology transfer
  • Strengthening Energy Sector Financing.
  • Exploring for natural gas and other hydrocarbon fuels
  • Encourages Public-Private Partnership in energy generation

3

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SLIDE 4
  • 3. PRIVATE SECTOR PARTICIPATION

Based

  • n

the Energy policy, enabling environment is created for both Public and Private investors.

  • In any RE generation projects, private sector

can participate either in partnership with Public

  • r

independently without any limitation of generation capacity.

  • The public sector plays significant role in

power sector development.

  • On the basis of the enabling environment for

investment, many private developers showed keen interest to participate as an IPP for generation from hydro, wind, solar, and Geothermal.

  • Accordingly, PPA is signed for the first

Geothermal IPP for 1000 MW generation at Corbetti with Icelandic- Reykjavik Geothermal Company.

4

Powerhouse Aluto Geothermal

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SLIDE 5
  • 4. INDIGENOUS ENERGY RESOURCES

Resource Unit Exploitable Reserve Exploited Percent Hydropower MW 45,000 <5% Solar/day kWh/m2

  • Avg. 5.5

<1% Wind: Power Speed GW m/s 1,350 > 6.5 <1% Geothermal MW 7000 <1% Wood Million tons 1120 50% Agricultural waste Million tons 15-20 30% Natural gas Billion m3 113 0% Coal Million tons 300 0% Oil shale Million tons 253 0%

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SLIDE 6
  • 5. RENEWABLE ENERGY POTENTIALS AND THEIR GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION

Hydro

  • Ethiopia’s plentiful hydropower resources are distributed in nine major

river basins and their innumerable tributaries is estimated to generate an economically affordable energy of about 260 TWH.

  • However, less than 5 % of the potential has been exploited so far.

Wind

  • Ethiopia has total wind energy resource reserve of 3,030 Giga Watt and

the potential exploitable quantity of is 1,350 Giga Watt.

  • For technical and economic reasons appropriate wind regions for grid-

based electricity generation are those with wind density of 300W/m2 (wind speed 6.5 m/s) and above. Ayisha in the Eastern part of the country has good potential. Solar According to the revised Master Plan, Ethiopia’s average solar energy potential is 5.5 KWh/m2/day and mainly centralized in the north part of the country in Tigray and Afar regions. Geothermal

  • The best perspective areas are distributed along the Ethiopian Rift

valley system which runs for more than 1000 km from the Afar

depression, at Red Sea to the Turkana depression southwards (NE-SW to N-S direction).

  • A total of 16 geothermal resource areas have been identified by

various studies. These resource zones are all located within the rift

valley system. (Aluto Langano, Tullu Moye Tendaho, Danakil Depression….)

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SLIDE 7
  • 6. DEVELOPED HYDRO RESOURCE
  • Ethiopia’s Hydro potential

(45,000 MW) constitutes 20% of the total technically feasible potential in Africa.

  • With this potential Ethiopia

is usually referred as the power house of Africa.

  • However

Ethiopia has utilized less than 5% of its potential so far.

  • Currently,

Access to electricity in Ethiopia is ~ 55%.

Potential Demand Supply

7

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SLIDE 8
  • 7. CURRENT STATUS OF ENERGY DEVELOPMENT IN ETHIOPIA

10/23/2015 8

Substati

  • ns 145

Distributi

  • n

189,000 Km Transmiss ion 12,825Km Generati

  • n 2,360

MW (9018 GWh) Hydro Potential 45,000 MW

Developed 2,360 MW (4228 MW)

Access to electricity 55% Annual Demand growth 25-30%

  • No. of Customers

2,450,000

8,000 – 10,000 MW GTP I

Gibe III =1,870 MW GERD = 6,000 MW GD3 = 254 MW Hydro, Wind, Geothermal, Biomass

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SLIDE 9
  • 8. GENERATION PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION

9

Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam Project:

  • 6000 MW installed capacity
  • 48% Completed
  • Fully Public Financed Project
  • RCC & Rock fill Saddle Dam
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SLIDE 10
  • 8. GENERATION PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION (…continued)

10

Gibe III Hydropower Project

  • 1900 MW Installed Capacity
  • 93% Completed
  • RCC Dam
  • 246 m High

Dam & Reservoir: General View

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SLIDE 11

Gib ibe III: III: U/S & D/S Vie iews

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SLIDE 12
  • 8. GENERATION PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION (….continued)

12

Genale Dawa Hydropower Project

  • 254 MW Installed Capacity
  • 78% Completed

Rockfill Dam – Upstream Face Spillway Concreting Works

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SLIDE 13
  • 8. GENERATION PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION (….continued)

13

Adama II Wind Power Project:

  • 153 MW Installed Capacity
  • 96% Completed
  • 1.5 MW Turbines
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SLIDE 14

Aluto Geothermal

  • Upgrading of the current Capacity to 70 MW
  • 8. GENERATION PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION (….continued)
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SLIDE 15
  • 8. GENERATION PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION (….continued)

15

Reppi Waste to Energy Project:

  • 50 MW Installed Capacity
  • Municipal Solid waste (Addis

Ababa)

  • The first W to E Plant in Africa
  • 68% completed

Tipping Hall, Waste Bunker Area and Boiler Hall Under Construction

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SLIDE 16
  • 9. TRANSMISSION PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION (MAJOR)

Capacity (KV) Length (KM)

500 1,700 400 900 230 1,100 132 560 Total ~4,260 KM

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SLIDE 17
  • 10. Power System Demand Forecast

Major Consumers include:

  • 1. Transport Sector (Railway)
  • 2. Agriculture Sector
  • 3. Industrial Sector
  • 4. Large-scale Housing

Programs

  • 5. Universal Electricity Access

Program

  • 6. Electricity Export Market

Dom . 39% Com . 24% Ind. 36%

2014 Internal Demand Composition

17

Dom. 18% Serv. 14%

Ind. 46%

Agri. 14%

Trans 8%

2037 Internal Demand Composition

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SLIDE 18
  • 1000

4000 9000 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2037 513 1711 2976 4739 7354 8427

Transport Sector

  • Gen. (GWh)

Peak (MW) 10000 20000 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2037 623 3438 7178 10913 14580 15996

Agricultral Sector

  • Gen. (GWh)

Peak (MW) 5000 10000 15000 20000 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030 2037 1758 2209 3403 5568 8784 15392

Service Sector

  • Gen. (GWh)

Peak (MW) 20000 40000 60000 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030 2037 3244 7326 20761 29169 36431 51155 447 1007 2845 3994 4986 7002

Industrial sector

  • Gen. (GWh)

Peak (MW) 10000 20000 30000 3122 3966 5593 8241 12842 18302 20271

Large scale dwelling houses and UEAP

  • Gen. (GWh)

Peak (MW) 20000 40000 60000 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2037

2759 12075 30585 38469 41754 41754

Power Export Forecast

Energy GWh Capacity MW

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SLIDE 19

19

  • Ethiopia is already connected to

Sudan, Djibouti and the Border towns of Kenya.

  • Ethiopia – Kenya 500 KV D.C. line

under construction (up to 2000 MW) ;

  • Exports to Egypt 2000 MW and

additional 1200 MW to Sudan are planned for implementation soon.

  • MoUs signed to Exports to Tanzania,

Rwanda, Burundi, South Sudan and Yemen

Cairo Aswan Merowe Khartoum Roseries Gedaref Asmara Djibouti Berbera Hargessa Nairobi

Addis Ababa M.Wakena GD-06 GD-08 Koka D.Dawa M e k e l e Shire H u m e r a Beles B.Dar Gonder Shehedi GG-III GG-II GG-I Finchaa

Mandaya B
  • r
d e r K . D
  • b
i

HVDC Link 500 kV 400 kV 230 kV Sub-marine Cable 220 kV 230 kV Substation at 230 kV and above Substation with Generation Facility (Switchyard at 230 kV and above) Town AC/DC Station (Converter/Inverter)

Possible Interconnection Lines with Neighboring Countries

SUDAN

KENYA SOMALIA SOMALILAND YEMEN ERITREA EGYPT DJIBOUTI

Tekeze

Mogadishu

Kisimayou

80 km 370 km 465 km 590 km 100 km 225 km 500 km 201 km 82 km 120 km 80 km 157 km 37 km 26 km Mega Pawie

LEGEND LEGEND

GD-03 185 km 90 km 170 km

ELDORET

MALAKAL JUBA

  • 11. Over View of Existing and Planned Interconnection
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SLIDE 20

Sept 29, 2015

JUBA

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SLIDE 21

12.GTPII : UPCOMING PROJECTS (2016-2020)

Planned Generation Projects

Hydro = 11,015 MW

Wind = 1,520 MW

Geothermal = 1,270 MW

Solar = 300 MW

Biomass= 420 MW

Total = 14,615 MW Planned Transmission Projects

500 KV = 1,229 km

400 kv = 2,137 km

230 kv = 3,343 km

132kv = 3,041 km

< 132 kv = 250 km

Total = 10,000 km Planned Substation Construction

115 New 63 Rehabilitation/Upgrading

Total = 178

  • No. RE Source

Project Installed Capacity (MW) Energy (GWh) Indicative Cost (MUSD) Planned Year of Completion 1 HYDRO Geba I & II 372 1709

572 2020

2 Genale Dawa VI 256 1532

588 2020

3 Werabesa + Halele 422 1973

886 2020

4 Yeda 1 + Yeda 2 280 1089

540 2020

5 Gibe IV 2000 6200

2000 2020

6 Tams 1700 5760

4214 2020

7 Upper Dabus 326 1460

628 2020

8 Wabi Shebele 88 691

1100 2020

9 Karadobi 1600 7857

2576 2021

10 Beko Abo 935 6632

1260 2022

11 Upper Mendaya 1700 8582

2436 2023

12 Birbir River 467 2724

1231 2023

13 Baro 1 + Baro 2 + Genji 859 3524

1794 2024

14 Genale V 100 575

298 2025

Total 11,105 50,308

20,123

1 Wind Iteya I 200 613

380 2016

2 Iteya II 200 312

420 2016

3 Dila 100 306

210 2018

4 Iteya II 200 613

380 2017

5 Assela 100 307

190 2018

6 Debire Birihan 100 613

380 2017

7 Ayisha I & II 420 1577

760 2017

8 Sululta 100 306

210 2019

9 Mega Maji 100 306

210 2019

Total 1520 4955

3140

1 Solar Different Sites 100 175

180 2016

2 100 175

180 2016

3 100 175

180 2016

Total 300 525

540

1 Geothermal Corbetti 1000 7096

4000 2017 - 2022

2 Aluto Langano II 70 552

280 2018

3 Aluto Langano III 100 788

364 2017

4 Tendaho 100 788

364 2016

Total 1270 9224

5008

1 Biomass Any Resourceful site 420 2940

525 2009

Grand Total 14,615

67,427 23,624

Inline with the 25 Years Power

Sector Master Plan , the following projects are planned for implementation in the GTP II:

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SLIDE 22
  • 13. Profile of GTP II Generation Projects Intended for IPP/PPP Modality

1.UPPER MENDAYA and BEKO ABO Hydropower Project

  • Installed Capacity: 2635 MW
  • Reconnaissance Study
  • Indicative Cost Estimate: USD 3.3 Billion
  • Located Third Cascade of Abay/Nile River, Western Ethiopia
  • 2. TAMS Hydropower Project
  • Installed Capacity: 1700 MW
  • Prefeasibility Study Completed
  • Indicative Cost Estimate: USD 3.2 Billion
  • Located on Baro River, Western Ethiopia
  • 3. KARADOBI Hydropower Project
  • Installed Capacity: 1600 MW
  • Prefeasibility Study Completed
  • Indicative Cost Estimate: USD 3.5 Billion
  • First Cascade of Abay/Nile River

4.Baro I & II and Genji Hydropower Project

  • Installed Capacity: 859 MW
  • Prefeasibility Study
  • Indicative Cost Estimate: USD 1.8 Billion
  • Located Baro River, Western Ethiopia

22

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SLIDE 23
  • 13. Profile of GTP II Generation Projects Intended for IPP/PPP Modality (… Continued)

4.Birbir Hydropower Project

  • Installed Capacity: 467 MW
  • Reconnaissance Study
  • Indicative Cost Estimate: USD 1.6 Billion
  • Located on Birbir River South-West Ethiopia

5.HALELE WERABESSA Hydropower Project

  • Installed Capacity: 436 MW
  • Feasibility Study Completed
  • Indicative Cost Estimate: USD 1.1 Billion
  • 6. UPPER DABUS Hydropower Project
  • Installed Capacity: 326 MW
  • Prefeasibility Study Completed
  • Indicative Cost Estimate: USD 848 Million
  • Located in Dabus River, Western Ethiopia
  • 7. CHEMOGA YEDA Hydropower Project
  • Installed Capacity: 280 MW
  • Prefeasibility Study Completed
  • Indicative Cost Estimate: USD 729 Million
  • 8. GENALE DAWA VI Hydropower Project
  • Installed Capacity: 256 MW
  • Prefeasibility Study Completed
  • Indicative Cost Estimate: USD 794 Million
  • Located in the Genale Dawa River Basin, Southern Ethiopia

23

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SLIDE 24