Elections How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Jun 16, 2023 181 likes •406 views

Elections How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections? Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer 18-29 years old 21% 52% 16% 6% 5% 30-49 years old 25% 51% 14% 4% 6% 50 years

SLIDE 1

Elections

SLIDE 2

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections?

51 21% 25% 27% 52% 51% 53% 16% 14% 10% 6% 4% 6% 5% 6% 4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 18-29 years old 30-49 years old 50 years and older Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

SLIDE 3

Have you registered your biometric data?

52 95% 5% Yes No

SLIDE 4

If not registered biometric data, what was the reason?

Respondents, who have not registered their biometric data, N=77

53 25% 18% 18% 17% 9% 3% 3% 8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Had no time Had no passport I did not want I was abroad I could not I was younger than 18 years Other Don't know/No answer

SLIDE 5

Do you plan to register your biometric data?

Respondents, who have not registered their biometric data, N=77

54 21% 8% 19% 13% 22% 17% Yes, I plan to register Very likely to register Somewhat likely to register Somewhat unlikely to register Very unlikely to register Don't know/No answer

SLIDE 6

Do you feel you have sufficient information on recent changes to Electoral Code and voting processes?

55 20% 46% 72% 51% 8% 3% Feb-15 Mar-16 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don't know/No answer

SLIDE 7

Do you feel you have sufficient information on recent changes to Electoral Code and voting processes?

56 46% 60% 49% 40% 51% 38% 48% 57% 3% 2% 3% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% ALL RESPONDENTS Bishkek North South REGION Yes No Don't know/No answer

SLIDE 8

In your opinion, does your financial situation depend on the results

f elections in general?

57 14% 15% 11% 18% 77% 76% 83% 71% 9% 9% 6% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Oct-14 Feb-15 Jul-15 Mar-16 Yes No Don't know/No answer

SLIDE 9

Thinking about the last parliamentary elections in Kyrgyzstan in October 2015, do you believe those were free and fair elections?

58 44% 45% 11%

Mar-16

Yes, free and fair No, not free and fair Don't know/No answer

SLIDE 10

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, for which party would you vote?

If, for some reason, the party you previously mentioned as your first voting choice does not participate in the elections, for which other party would you vote?

59 22% 22% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 11% 6% 19% 10% 6% 7% 5% 3% 2% 4% 1% 0% 1% 3% 7% 5% 46% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% “Respublica-Ata-Jurt” party Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan “Onuguu-Progress” party “Ata-Meken” party “Kyrgyzstan” party “Butun Kyrgyzstan” party “Bir Bol” party “Zamandash” party Republican People’s party of Kyrgyzstan “Uluttar Birimdigi” party Other None Will not vote Don’t know/No answer First choice Second choice

SLIDE 11

Which of the parties would you vote for if the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday?

60 24% 22% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 2% 9% 3% 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan “Respublica-Ata-Jurt” party “Onuguu-Progress” party “Ata-Meken” party “Kyrgyzstan” party “Butun Kyrgyzstan” party “Bir Bol” party “Zamandash” party Republican People’s party of Kyrgyzstan “Uluttar Birimdigi” party Other None Will not vote Don’t know/No answer

Likely voters, N=1,153

SLIDE 12

For which parties would you never vote?

61 19% 17% 15% 14% 14% 14% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 32% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% “Ata-Meken” party “Ar-Namys” party “Democratic Alliance” party Party of Greens of Kyrgyzstan “Ak Shumkar” party “Adilettuu Kyrgyzstan” party “Butun Kyrgyzstan” party None “Bir Bol” party Party of Communists of Kyrgyzstan “Meken Yntymagy” party “Zamandash” party “Reforma” party “Emgek” party “Kyrgyzstan” party Republican People’s party of Kyrgyzstan Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan "Onuguu-Progress" party “Respublica-Ata-Jurt” party “Uluttar Birimdigi” party Don’t know/No answer

SLIDE 13

Politicians

SLIDE 14

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?

63 31% 22% 11% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 12% 1% 29% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

A. Atambaev

O.Babanov K.Tashiev O.Tekebaev B.Torobaev T.Sariev M.Myrzakmatov

A. Madumarov

R.Otunbaeva A.Keldibekov K.Bakiev Ch.Tursunbekov A.Sulaimanov T.Zulpukarov Other Do not trust anybody Don't know/No answer

SLIDE 15

Ratings of political leaders

64 86% 76% 68% 59% 52% 47% 46% 46% 42% 41% 39% 38% 35% 35% 33% 31% 30% 29% 29% 29% 25% 24% 22% 21% 20% 19% 16% 15% 14% 13% 20% 26% 31% 46% 29% 21% 41% 20% 40% 49% 43% 29% 62% 37% 39% 33% 30% 35% 56% 48% 24% 42% 54% 25% 40% 37% 28% 24% 1% 4% 6% 10% 2% 24% 33% 13% 38% 19% 12% 19% 36% 3% 30% 30% 37% 41% 36% 15% 27% 52% 36% 25% 55% 41% 47% 57% 62% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Almazbek Atambaev Omurbek Babanov Roza Otunbaeva Temir Sariev Askar Akaev Iskhak Masaliev Melis Myrzakmatov Kamchibek Tashiev Bakyt Torobaev Adakhan Madumarov Omurbek Tekebaev Akhmatbek Keldibekov Ismail Isakov Kurmanbek Bakiev Akylbek Japarov Isa Omurkulov Chynybay Tursunbekov Altynbek Sulaimanov Ravshan Jeenbekov Felix Kulov Tursunbai Bakir uulu Kanatbek Isaev Nariman Tuleev Azimbek Beknazarov Kanybek Imanaliev Emilbek Kaptagaev Edil Baisalov Alikbek Jekshenkulov Asanbek Kultaev

Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard

SLIDE 16

International Relations

SLIDE 17

How would you assess the current relations between Kyrgyzstan and the following countries?

66 98% 89% 67% 62% 54% 47% 31% 29% 26% 4% 6% 14% 25% 14% 49% 53% 40% 1% 7% 27% 24% 21% 39% 20% 18% 34% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Russia Kazakhstan European Union Turkey China Japan Tajikistan Uzbekistan USA Good Bad Neither good nor bad

SLIDE 18

Which of these countries do you think are the most important economic partners and which do you think pose the greatest economic threats to Kyrgyzstan?

94% 67% 35% 24% 21% 11% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% 0% 3% 10% 8% 27% 43% 5% 35% 51% 15% 6% Russia Kazakhstan European Union Turkey China Uzbekistan Japan Tajikistan United States None Don't know/No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Partner Threat

SLIDE 19

Do you support Kyrgyzstan joining the Customs Union with Russia, Kazakhstan, Belarus and Armenia?*

68 36% 38% 39% 41% 26% 33% 42% 44% 37% 37% 23% 29% 8% 6% 11% 9% 14% 11% 4% 2% 3% 7% 21% 10% 10% 10% 10% 6% 16% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mar-16 Jul-15 Feb-15 Oct-14 Feb-14 Feb-13 Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know/No answer

*In surveys conducted before 2016 the wording of the question was: “Do you support Kyrgyzstan joining the Customs Union with Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus?”

SLIDE 20

Do you think you have sufficient information on the process and

utcomes of Kyrgyzstan’s accession to the Customs Union?

69 35% 42% 59% 51% 6% 7% Jul-15 Mar-16 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes No Don’t know/No answer

SLIDE 21

Do you think you have sufficient information on the process and

utcomes of Kyrgyzstan’s accession to the Customs Union?

70 42% 47% 37% 44% 51% 52% 55% 47% 7% 1% 8% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% ALL RESPONDENTS Bishkek North South REGION Yes No Don't know/No answer

SLIDE 22

In your opinion, what outcomes (both positive and negative) will Customs Union membership have for Kyrgyzstan?

71 12% 11% 11% 10% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 11% 35% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Inflation /High prices Benefits for migrants in Russia Positive result/Life will improve Free movement Economic development Trade development/Import-export Useful for agriculture Crisis will come to Kyrgyzstan No advantages / no benefits Investments will come to Kyrgyzstan More jobs Prices for goods and products will drop Russia is helping Kyrgyzstan There are pros and cons/We must wait Positive impact on business Other Don't know / No answer