Elections How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Elections

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections? Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer 18-29 years old 21% 52% 16% 6% 5% 30-49 years old 25% 51% 14% 4% 6% 50 years and older 27% 53% 10% 6% 4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 51

Have you registered your biometric data? 5% Yes No 95% 52

If not registered biometric data, what was the reason? Respondents, who have not registered their biometric data, N=77 Had no time 25% Had no passport 18% I did not want 18% I was abroad 17% I could not 9% I was younger than 18 years 3% Other 3% Don't know/No answer 8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 53

Do you plan to register your biometric data? Respondents, who have not registered their biometric data, N=77 17% 21% Yes, I plan to register Very likely to register Somewhat likely to register 8% Somewhat unlikely to register 22% Very unlikely to register Don't know/No answer 19% 13% 54

Do you feel you have sufficient information on recent changes to Electoral Code and voting processes? Yes No Don't know/No answer Mar-16 46% 51% 3% Feb-15 20% 72% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 55

Do you feel you have sufficient information on recent changes to Electoral Code and voting processes? Yes No Don't know/No answer ALL RESPONDENTS 46% 51% 3% Bishkek 60% 38% 2% REGION North 49% 48% 3% South 40% 57% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 56

In your opinion, does your financial situation depend on the results of elections in general? Yes No Don't know/No answer Mar-16 18% 71% 11% Jul-15 11% 83% 6% Feb-15 15% 76% 9% Oct-14 14% 77% 9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 57

Thinking about the last parliamentary elections in Kyrgyzstan in October 2015, do you believe those were free and fair elections? Mar-16 11% Yes, free and fair 44% No, not free and fair Don't know/No answer 45% 58

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, for which party would you vote? If, for some reason, the party you previously mentioned as your first voting choice does not participate in the elections, for which other party would you vote? First choice Second choice “Respublica -Ata- Jurt” party 22% 10% Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan 22% 6% “Onuguu - Progress” party 6% 7% “Ata - Meken” party 4% 5% “Kyrgyzstan” party 3% 3% 2% “Butun Kyrgyzstan” party 2% “Bir Bol” party 2% 4% “Zamandash” party 1% 1% 1% 0% Republican People’s party of Kyrgyzstan “Uluttar Birimdigi” party 1% 1% Other 2% 3% None 11% 7% Will not vote 6% 5% Don’t know/No answer 19% 46% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 59

Which of the parties would you vote for if the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday? Likely voters, N=1,153 Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan 24% “Respublica -Ata- Jurt” party 22% “Onuguu - Progress” party 6% “Ata - Meken” party 4% “Kyrgyzstan” party 3% “Butun Kyrgyzstan” party 2% “Bir Bol” party 2% “Zamandash” party 1% Republican People’s party of Kyrgyzstan 1% “Uluttar Birimdigi” party 0% Other 2% None 9% Will not vote 3% Don’t know/No answer 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 60

For which parties would you never vote? “Ata - Meken” party 19% “Ar - Namys” party 17% “Democratic Alliance” party 15% Party of Greens of Kyrgyzstan 14% “Ak Shumkar” party 14% “Adilettuu Kyrgyzstan” party 14% “Butun Kyrgyzstan” party 12% None 12% “Bir Bol” party 12% Party of Communists of Kyrgyzstan 11% “Meken Yntymagy” party 11% “Zamandash” party 10% “Reforma” party 10% “Emgek” party 8% “Kyrgyzstan” party 8% Republican People’s party of Kyrgyzstan 6% Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan 6% "Onuguu-Progress" party 6% “Respublica -Ata- Jurt” party 5% “Uluttar Birimdigi” party 4% Don’t know/No answer 32% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 61

Politicians

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most? A. Atambaev 31% O.Babanov 22% K.Tashiev 11% O.Tekebaev 7% B.Torobaev 7% T.Sariev 6% M.Myrzakmatov 5% A. Madumarov 5% R.Otunbaeva 4% A.Keldibekov 2% K.Bakiev 2% Ch.Tursunbekov 2% A.Sulaimanov 1% T.Zulpukarov 1% Other 12% Do not trust anybody 1% Don't know/No answer 29% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 63

Ratings of political leaders Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard Almazbek Atambaev 86% 13% 1% Omurbek Babanov 76% 20% 4% Roza Otunbaeva 68% 26% 6% Temir Sariev 59% 31% 10% Askar Akaev 52% 46% 2% Iskhak Masaliev 47% 29% 24% 21% 33% Melis Myrzakmatov 46% Kamchibek Tashiev 46% 41% 13% Bakyt Torobaev 42% 20% 38% Adakhan Madumarov 41% 40% 19% Omurbek Tekebaev 39% 49% 12% Akhmatbek Keldibekov 38% 43% 19% Ismail Isakov 35% 29% 36% Kurmanbek Bakiev 35% 62% 3% Akylbek Japarov 33% 37% 30% Isa Omurkulov 31% 39% 30% Chynybay Tursunbekov 30% 33% 37% Altynbek Sulaimanov 29% 30% 41% Ravshan Jeenbekov 29% 35% 36% Felix Kulov 29% 56% 15% 25% 48% 27% Tursunbai Bakir uulu Kanatbek Isaev 24% 24% 52% Nariman Tuleev 22% 42% 36% Azimbek Beknazarov 21% 54% 25% Kanybek Imanaliev 20% 25% 55% Emilbek Kaptagaev 19% 40% 41% Edil Baisalov 16% 37% 47% Alikbek Jekshenkulov 15% 28% 57% Asanbek Kultaev 14% 24% 62% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 64

International Relations

How would you assess the current relations between Kyrgyzstan and the following countries? Good Bad Neither good nor bad 1% Russia 98% Kazakhstan 89% 4% 7% European Union 67% 6% 27% Turkey 62% 14% 24% China 54% 25% 21% Japan 47% 14% 39% Tajikistan 31% 49% 20% Uzbekistan 29% 53% 18% USA 26% 40% 34% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 66

Which of these countries do you think are the most important economic partners and which do you think pose the greatest economic threats to Kyrgyzstan? Partner Threat 100% 94% 90% 80% 67% 70% 60% 51% 50% 43% 40% 35% 35% 27% 30% 24% 21% 20% 15% 11% 10% 8% 10% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% Russia Kazakhstan European Turkey China Uzbekistan Japan Tajikistan United None Don't Union States know/No answer 67

Do you support Kyrgyzstan joining the Customs Union with Russia, Kazakhstan, Belarus and Armenia?* Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know/No answer Mar-16 36% 42% 8% 4% 10% Jul-15 38% 44% 6% 2% 10% Feb-15 39% 37% 11% 3% 10% Oct-14 41% 37% 9% 7% 6% Feb-14 26% 23% 14% 21% 16% Feb-13 33% 29% 11% 10% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% *In surveys conducted before 2016 the wording of the question was: “ Do you support Kyrgyzstan joining the Customs Union with Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus?” 68

Do you think you have sufficient information on the process and outcomes of Kyrgyzstan’s accession to the Customs Union? Yes No Don’t know/No answer Mar-16 42% 51% 7% Jul-15 35% 59% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 69

Do you think you have sufficient information on the process and outcomes of Kyrgyzstan’s accession to the Customs Union? Yes No Don't know/No answer ALL RESPONDENTS 42% 51% 7% Bishkek 47% 52% 1% REGION North 37% 55% 8% South 44% 47% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 70

In your opinion, what outcomes (both positive and negative) will Customs Union membership have for Kyrgyzstan? Inflation /High prices 12% Benefits for migrants in Russia 11% Positive result/Life will improve 11% Free movement 10% Economic development 7% Trade development/Import-export 7% Useful for agriculture 5% Crisis will come to Kyrgyzstan 3% No advantages / no benefits 3% Investments will come to Kyrgyzstan 2% More jobs 2% Prices for goods and products will drop 2% Russia is helping Kyrgyzstan 2% There are pros and cons/We must wait 2% Positive impact on business 1% Other 11% Don't know / No answer 35% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 71