EIA Data Collection &Analysis During Energy Emergencies State - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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U.S. Energy Information Administration

Independent Statistics & Analysis

EIA Data Collection &Analysis During Energy Emergencies

State Energy Risk Assessment Workshop Susan Grissom April 28, 2015 | Denver, Colorado

EIA’s Mission Statement

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The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) collects, analyzes, and disseminates independent and impartial energy information to promote sound policymaking, efficient markets, and public understanding of energy and its interaction with the economy and the environment.

EIA Organizational Structure

State Energy Risk Assessment Workshop, April 28, 2015 3 Administrator Adam Sieminski Deputy Administrator Howard Gruenspecht Assistant Administrator for Energy Statistics Steve Harvey Office of Petroleum and Biofuels Statistics Doug MacIntyre Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis John Conti Office of Energy Markets and Financial Analysis Lynn Westfall Petroleum Markets Team Susan Grissom Assistant Administrator for Communications Gina Pearson Assistant Administrator for Resources and Technology Tom Williams

Ongoing Activities: Office of Petroleum and Biofuels Statistics

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• Collect data on the U.S. petroleum market on a weekly, monthly,

and annual basis (with the exception of crude oil production and exports)

• Provide weekly, monthly, and annual supply and demand balances

for the United States

• Collect data on origins and quality of U.S petroleum imports
• Collect monthly and annual data on capacities for refineries, biofuel

production (ethanol and biodiesel), and storage

• Collect weekly and monthly data on prices, both retail and further

upstream

• Collect monthly data on sales of petroleum products
• Collect annual data on end use demand for distillate fuel oil,

residual fuel oil, and kerosene

Petroleum Data Characteristics

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• Weekly Data

– Emphasis is on timely release within days of report period end – Best used as an early indicator of trends – Typically based on sample surveys and estimates

• Monthly Data

– Typically released within 60 days after the end of the report period – Accuracy is generally improved relative to weekly data – Includes more data based on a complete census of in-scope operators – Monthly data include more detail than weekly reports

• Annual Data

– Includes monthly revisions, and considered the most accurate data – Some data are only available annually (e.g., refinery capacity, and end use demand of fuel oil and kerosene)

Popular products produced by the Office of Petroleum and Biofuels Statistics

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• Weekly

– Weekly Petroleum Status Report – Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Retail Prices – Residential heating oil and propane prices (October through mid-March) – This Week In Petroleum (excluding the feature article)

• Monthly

– Petroleum Supply Monthly – Company Level Imports – Biodiesel Production Report – Petroleum Marketing Monthly – Prime Supplier Report

• Annual

– Petroleum Supply Annual – Annual Refinery Capacity Report – Fuel Oil and Kerosene Sales Report

Ongoing Activities: Petroleum Markets Team

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• The Petroleum Markets Team (PMT) is part of the Office of Energy

Markets and Financial Analysis

• PMT researches and analyzes U.S. and global crude oil and

petroleum product markets on an ongoing basis

• PMT focuses on current and near term markets, answering

questions from the public, the industry, Congress, the White House, and other EIA stakeholders/clients

• PMT analysis includes

– Crude and product supply, refining, logistics and distribution, including regional crude oil and petroleum product supply/demand balances – Supply disruptions, e.g. propane during the winter of 2013/2014, gasoline and diesel during and after hurricanes/storms, e.g. Superstorm Sandy, and gasoline because of unplanned refinery outages, e.g. in the Midwest in Spring 2013 and

• n the West Coast in 2012

– Crude oil prices and wholesale and retail gasoline and diesel prices

Ongoing Activities: Petroleum Markets Team, cont’d

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• PMT works closely with the Office of Petroleum and Biofuels

Statistics

• PMT publishes This Week in Petroleum (TWIP), an article

presenting analysis of a current petroleum market trend or issue

– TWIP is often used during hurricanes and other events to communicate information about impacts on petroleum markets

• PMT also pursues special projects and in depth studies, e.g. PMT

authored a paper on What Drives U.S. Gasoline Prices, which explores the relationship between U.S. gasoline prices, crude oil prices, and gasoline prices in Europe and Asia.

EIA’s Products That Are Helpful for Hurricane Analysis

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• Gulf of Mexico Fact Sheet (usually updated by late June)
• Refinery Outage Reports
• Historical Disruptions Analyses
• Weekly Petroleum Status Report
• Annual Refinery Report (available late June)
• EIA Retail Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Price Update

EIA’s Products That Are Helpful for Hurricane Analysis ,con’t

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• Short Term Energy Outlook Supplement: Outlook for Gulf of

Mexico Hurricane-Related Production Outages (June)

• Other Ad Hoc Analysis and Special Studies

– Regional crude oil and petroleum product supply/demand/logistics analyses

• New York/New Jersey Intra Harbor Petroleum Supplies Following

Hurricane Sandy – Today In Energy – This Week in Petroleum – New York City Metropolitan Area Retail Motor Gasoline Report, following Sandy

EIA’s Role During Energy Emergencies

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• EIA plays a part in DOE’s emergency response during energy

emergencies

• EIA data on inventory levels, based on latest weekly data is often

key to developing situational awareness following a hurricane or

• ther event
• In addition, EIA has historically reached out to industry participants

to gather additional information and sometimes data to produce analysis of the impact of energy emergencies on petroleum markets

• NPC Emergency Preparedness Study recommended that EIA’s

participation in the DOE emergency response process be formalized to take advantage of EIA’s knowledge and understanding of the petroleum supply chain

EIA’s Role During Energy Emergencies

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• EIA can provide analysis of oil and natural gas markets to a

wider, audience, including the public, as was the case during the aftermath of Sandy

• EIA can provide some information on the impact of

emergencies on gasoline, distillate fuel, and jet fuel production

• Some of EIA’s information is proprietary and not releasable in

disaggregated form

• The EIA website has an Energy Disruptions page that

includes information and links to DOE Emergency Situation Reports, NOAA National Hurricane Center, etc.

Winter 2013/2014 propane supply disruptions

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Winter 2014/2015 propane supply

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West Coast Petroleum Product Supply Map: Torrance Refinery

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West Coast Petroleum Product Supply Map: Torrance Refinery

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Questions?

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Upstream Oil and Gas and Downstream Natural Gas Data Collection

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Annual Report of Natural and Supplemental Gas Supply and Disposition Monthly Natural Gas Marketer Survey Monthly Report of Natural Gas Purchases and Deliveries to Consumers Power Plant Operations Report Monthly Underground Gas Storage Report Weekly Underground Natural Gas Storage Report Annual Report of the Origin of Natural Gas Liquids Production Monthly Natural Gas Liquids Report Natural Gas Processing Survey Monthly Natural Gas Production Report Annual Survey of Domestic Oil and Gas Reserves (Field Version and Summary Version) EIA-910 EIA-857 EIA-923 EIA-176 FE-746R EIA-176 EIA-176 EIA-191 EIA-912 EIA-64A EIA-816 EIA-757 EIA-914 EIA-23S EIA-23L