economics economics a dismal science? a dismal science? Few - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

economics economics a dismal science a dismal science
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economics economics a dismal science? a dismal science? Few - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

economics economics a dismal science? a dismal science? Few people rely solely on any social science for their pleasures, and attaining a suitable level of ecstasy involves work. It is a nuisance, but God has chosen to give the easy


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economics economics a dismal science? a dismal science?

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Few people rely solely on any social science for their pleasures, and attaining a suitable level of ecstasy involves work. … It is a nuisance, but God has chosen to give the easy problems to the physicists. Lave and March (1995)

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what is economics? what is economics?

  • economics is what economists do
  • study of economic interactions of human

beings

  • core concept is exchange
  • integral to all life (“second nature”)
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what is economics? (cont’d) what is economics? (cont’d)

physics chemistry biology social sciences economics economic imperialism the real world (?) physics chemistry biology social sciences

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the origins of economics the origins of economics

  • developed out of moral philosophy
  • adam smith:

“an inquiry into the nature and causes

  • f the wealth of nations”, 1776

→ “positive” v. “normative” science

  • leon walras, gerard debreu:

“the theory of value”, 1959 → neo-classical school of economics → “macro” model with microfoundations

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core concepts core concepts

  • general equilibrium

– homo oeconomicus – invisible hand/walrasian auctioneer

  • game and contract theory

– rationality – common knowledge

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current trends current trends

  • evolutionary economics
  • behavioral economics
  • experimental economics ☺
  • cross-disciplinary research ☺
  • econophysics

(the good, the bad, the ugly)

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the future: is econ becoming a science? the future: is econ becoming a science?

  • questions asked
  • scientific methods

– measurement problem – modeling problem (e.g., path dependence) – methodological v. institutional individualism (“situational analysis”)

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differences between physics and econ differences between physics and econ

  • open v. closed systems
  • recurrence
  • stationarity
  • coupling
  • heterogeneity of “actors”
  • principal observer problem
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some observations and some observations and candidate explanations candidate explanations

  • small world networks in trading
  • price taking v. price making
  • volatility clustering and long-memory effects
  • crashes
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continuous double auction continuous double auction

  • rders
  • rders
  • rder book
  • rder book

transactions transactions size quantity dynamics depth granularity spread price volatility

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liability networks liability networks

  • exchange results in connection between buyer

and seller → complex network of assets and liabilities → entanglement → path dependence

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the principal observer problem the principal observer problem

  • social sciences deal with behavior

→ information ─ knowledge ─ action

  • behavior is a process
  • time runs from the future into the

present and then back into the future again

  • “price taker” v. “price maker”
  • r:
  • principal is observer is principal …

→ are we all coupled? → a “meta feedback”?