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economics economics a dismal science? a dismal science? Few - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
economics economics a dismal science? a dismal science? Few - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
economics economics a dismal science? a dismal science? Few people rely solely on any social science for their pleasures, and attaining a suitable level of ecstasy involves work. It is a nuisance, but God has chosen to give the easy
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what is economics? what is economics?
- economics is what economists do
- study of economic interactions of human
beings
- core concept is exchange
- integral to all life (“second nature”)
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what is economics? (cont’d) what is economics? (cont’d)
physics chemistry biology social sciences economics economic imperialism the real world (?) physics chemistry biology social sciences
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the origins of economics the origins of economics
- developed out of moral philosophy
- adam smith:
“an inquiry into the nature and causes
- f the wealth of nations”, 1776
→ “positive” v. “normative” science
- leon walras, gerard debreu:
“the theory of value”, 1959 → neo-classical school of economics → “macro” model with microfoundations
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core concepts core concepts
- general equilibrium
– homo oeconomicus – invisible hand/walrasian auctioneer
- game and contract theory
– rationality – common knowledge
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current trends current trends
- evolutionary economics
- behavioral economics
- experimental economics ☺
- cross-disciplinary research ☺
- econophysics
(the good, the bad, the ugly)
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the future: is econ becoming a science? the future: is econ becoming a science?
- questions asked
- scientific methods
– measurement problem – modeling problem (e.g., path dependence) – methodological v. institutional individualism (“situational analysis”)
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differences between physics and econ differences between physics and econ
- open v. closed systems
- recurrence
- stationarity
- coupling
- heterogeneity of “actors”
- principal observer problem
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some observations and some observations and candidate explanations candidate explanations
- small world networks in trading
- price taking v. price making
- volatility clustering and long-memory effects
- crashes
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continuous double auction continuous double auction
- rders
- rders
- rder book
- rder book
transactions transactions size quantity dynamics depth granularity spread price volatility
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liability networks liability networks
- exchange results in connection between buyer
and seller → complex network of assets and liabilities → entanglement → path dependence
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the principal observer problem the principal observer problem
- social sciences deal with behavior
→ information ─ knowledge ─ action
- behavior is a process
- time runs from the future into the
present and then back into the future again
- “price taker” v. “price maker”
- r:
- principal is observer is principal …