Earnings Presentation March 1, 2011 Safe Harbor Statement under the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Earnings Presentation March 1, 2011 Safe Harbor Statement under the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2010 Earnings Presentation March 1, 2011 Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 Statements made in this presentation hat relate to future events or PNMRs, PNMs, or TNMPs expectations,


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SLIDE 1

2010 Earnings Presentation

March 1, 2011

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SLIDE 2

March 1, 2011

2

Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995

Non-GAAP Financial Measures For an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures that appear on certain slides in this presentation (ongoing earnings, ongoing earnings per diluted share, ongoing EBITDA, and cash earnings), as well as a reconciliation to GAAP measures, please refer to the Company's website as follows: http://www.pnmresources.com/investors/results.cfm Statements made in this presentation hat relate to future events or PNMR’s, PNM’s, or TNMP’s expectations, projections, estimates, intentions, goals, targets, and strategies, are made pursuant to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are cautioned that all forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations and estimates and PNMR, PNM, and TNMP assume no obligation to update this information. Because actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, PNMR, PNM, and TNMP caution readers not to place undue reliance on these statements. PNMR’s, PNM’s, and TNMP’s business, financial condition, cash flow, and operating results are influenced by many factors, which are often beyond their control, that can cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These factors include: conditions affecting the Company’s ability to access the financial markets and the Company’s or Optim Energy’s ability to negotiate new credit facilities for those expiring in 2012, including actions by ratings agencies affecting the Company’s credit ratings; the potential unavailability of cash from PNMR’s subsidiaries or Optim Energy due to regulatory, statutory or contractual restrictions; the impacts of the decline in the values of marketable equity securities on the trust funds maintained to provide nuclear decommissioning funding and pension and

  • ther postretirement benefits, including the levels of funding and expense; the recession, its disruption in the credit markets, and its impacts on the electricity usage of the Company’s

customers; state and federal regulatory and legislative decisions and actions, including the outcomes of PNM’s pending electric rate case and transmission rate case, and appeals of prior regulatory proceedings; the ability of PNM to successfully defend its utilization of a future test year in its current electric rate filing with the New Mexico Public Regulation Commission, including PNM’s ability to withstand challenges by regulators and intervenors, in the event the pending stipulation in that case is not approved; the ability of PNM and TNMP to recover their costs and earn their allowed returns in their regulated jurisdictions; the ability of PNM to meet the renewable energy requirements established by the NMPRC, including the resource diversity requirement, within the specified cost parameters; the risk that replacement power costs incurred by PNM related to not meeting the specified capacity factor for its generating units under its Emergency Fuel and Purchased Power Adjustment Clause will not be approved by the NMPRC; the risk that PNM may not be able to recover costs of renewal of rights-of- way on Native American lands through rates charged to customers; the ongoing risks relating to PNMR’s ownership interest in Optim Energy, including uncertainties surrounding PNMR’s assessment of strategic alternatives for its investment in Optim Energy, the risk that a strategic transaction involving Optim Energy may not be consummated, uncertainty regarding potential additional contributions to Optim Energy, and the possibility that PNMR might recognize additional gains or impairments depending on market conditions, the form and structure

  • f a strategic transaction, and relative fair values; the risk that Optim Energy requires additional financial sources to expand its generation capacity or otherwise but is unable to identify and

implement profitable acquisitions or that PNMR and ECJV Holdings, LLC, will not agree to make additional capital contributions to Optim Energy; regulation or legislation relating to climate change, reduction of green house gas emissions, coal combustion byproducts, and other power plant emissions, including the risk that the Company and Optim Energy may have to commit to substantial capital investments and additional operating costs to comply with new environmental requirements including possible future requirements to address regional haze regulations and related Best Available Retrofit Technology requirements and concerns about global climate change, and the resultant impacts on the operations and economic viability of generating plants in which PNM and Optim Energy have interests; the performance of generating units, including the Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station, the San Juan Generating Station, the Four Corners Plant, and Optim Energy generating units, and transmission systems; the risks associated with completion of generation, transmission, distribution, and other projects, including construction delays and unanticipated cost overruns; uncertainty regarding the requirements and related costs of decommissioning power plants owned or partially owned by PNM and Optim Energy and coal mines supplying certain PNM power plants, as well as the ability to recover decommissioning costs through rates charged to customers; uncertainty surrounding the status of PNM’s participation in jointly-owned projects resulting from the scheduled expiration of the operational documents for the projects beginning in 2015 and potential changes in the objectives of the participants in the projects; the risk that recently enacted reliability standards regarding available transmission capacity may reduce certain PNM transmission rights used to transmit its generation resources and provide access to transmission customers resulting in a need to purchase additional transmission capacity, reduce sales of transmission capacity, or operate generation less economically; changes in Electric Reliability Council of Texas protocols; changes in the cost of power acquired by First Choice; the ability

  • f First Choice to attract and retain customers; collections experience; fluctuations in interest rates; weather; water supply; changes in fuel costs; availability of fuel supplies; the

effectiveness of risk management and commodity risk transactions; seasonality and other changes in supply and demand in the market for electric power; the impact of mandatory energy efficiency measures on customer energy usage; variability of wholesale power prices and natural gas prices; volatility and liquidity in the wholesale power markets and the natural gas markets; uncertainty regarding the ongoing validity of government programs for emission allowances; changes in the competitive environment in the electric industry; the outcome of legal proceedings; insurance coverage available for claims made in litigation; changes in applicable accounting principles; and the performance of state, regional, and national economies.

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SLIDE 3

March 1, 2011

3

Opening Remarks & Overview

Pat Vincent-Collawn

President and CEO

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SLIDE 4

March 1, 2011

4

Executing our Strategic Goals Earn Authorized Return

  • n Our Regulated Businesses

Maximize the Value

  • f Our Competitive Businesses

Return to Solid Investment Grade Credit Ratings

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SLIDE 5

March 1, 2011

5

2010 Checklist

 File rate cases

  • PNM: Future-test-period by June 30

Filed June 1; Stipulation filed on Feb. 3, 2011

  • FERC: PNM transmission rates in Q4

Filed Oct.27; New rates to be implemented June 1, 2011, subject to refund

  • TNMP: TCOS in Q2

Approved and implemented in May 2010

  • TNMP: General rate case in Q3

Filed August 26; Stipulated rates approved and implemented Feb. 1, 2011

 Achieve favorable regulatory outcome in PNM Renewable Resource Plan case

22MW of utility-scale solar build approved by NMPRC

 Maintain strong electric reliability and power plant availability

Solid reliability at PNM, TNMP; Strong power plant performance during summer months

 Achieve profitable customer growth from First Choice Power

Robust growth in commercial segment continuing

 Achieve Optim Energy ongoing EBITDA growth of 5% to 10%

Lower natural gas prices negatively impacted EBITDA

 Continue to improve credit metrics

Moody’s revised outlook from “Negative” to “Stable” (S&P revised outlook in December 2009)

  

x

 

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SLIDE 6

March 1, 2011

6

2010 Financial Highlights

2010 2009

Ongoing EPS: $0.87 $0.86 (excludes $0.08 for PNM Gas) GAAP EPS: ($0.49)(1) $1.36

Q4 2010 Q4 2009

Ongoing EPS: ($0.03) $0.00 GAAP EPS: ($1.18)(1) ($0.19)

(1) Includes ($1.24) impairment of equity investment in Optim Energy

(includes $0.72 gain on sale

  • f PNM Gas)
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SLIDE 7

March 1, 2011

7

PNM Rate Case Status

 Stipulation filed Feb. 3, calling for:

  • $105M increase in three phases, including up to $20M “Additions Rider”
  • Implementation of stipulation as filed would result in 2011 EPS

contribution of $0.23

  • Separate renewable rider to go into effect July 2012
  • Opportunity to file for recovery of mandated environmental projects

Key dates:

 Feb. 28: Supporting testimony filed April 15: Opposing testimony due May 9-18: Hearing

 Additional developments

  • PNM has agreed to extend suspension period to Nov. 10, 2011
  • PNM will file for interim rates to be effective May 15, 2011
  • Expect filing mid-March
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SLIDE 8

March 1, 2011

8

PNM TNMP Residential 0.9% 0.0% Commercial 1.7% 1.5% Industrial 1.1% 1.1% Total Retail 1.4% 0.6% Customer Growth 0.5% 0.7% 2010 vs 2009

Economic Conditions

TX

NM U.S.

Good load growth despite indicators pointing to slow recovery

Regulated Retail Energy Sales Growth

(weather-normalized KWh)

TX U.S.

(2) (3)

Unemployment Rate

(1)

8.5% 8.3% 9.4% NM TX US

(1) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, December 2010 (2) Excluding Economy Service customers (3) Excluding Transmission Service customers

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SLIDE 9

March 1, 2011

9

Regulated Load Trends

TX U.S.

(1) Weather-normalized and adjusted for leap year (2) Assumes mid-point of range

8200 8400 8600 8800

PNM

(2)

4900 5100 5300

TNMP

(2)

2011 retail load growth at PNM and TNMP is expected to equal or slightly exceed last year’s levels(1)

GWh GWh

Load Growth 1% - 2% Load Growth 1.5% - 2.5%

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SLIDE 10

March 1, 2011

10

Competitive Businesses

First Choice Power

  • Sustainable ongoing earnings continued into 2010
  • Commercial business developing
  • Bad-debt expense reduced

Optim Energy

  • Strong power plant availability throughout 2010
  • Ancillary sales partially offset low-price market
  • Continued focus on cost control and liquidity management

Competitive Business Strategy

  • Continue to believe in ERCOT market and inherent

generation-retail hedge

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SLIDE 11

March 1, 2011

11

Financial Overview

Chuck Eldred

Executive Vice President & CFO

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SLIDE 12

March 1, 2011

12

 Ongoing EPS, excluding PNM Gas, up $0.01 from $0.86 in 2009 to $0.87 in 2010  Moody‟s revised its ratings outlook to “stable”

2010 Financial Summary

2009 2010 $0.86(1)

First Choice Power

$0.04

PNM Electric

$0.08 ($0.09)

TNMP

($0.02)

Optim Energy

$0.87 2010 EPS

(Ongoing)

(1) Excludes $0.08 from PNM Gas

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SLIDE 13

March 1, 2011

13

$0.80 Consolidated EPS(1) $0.92

Regulated $0.89 - $0.96 Unregulated $0.06 - $0.16 Corp/Other ($0.17) - ($0.15)

2011 EPS Guidance (Ongoing)

Regulated Business (PNM & TNMP)

  • Load growth:
  • +/- 1% at PNM = +/- ~$0.03
  • +/- 1% at TNMP = +/- ~$0.01
  • Delay in implementing PNM rates = -~$0.02 - $0.03 per month

Unregulated Business

First Choice Power

  • Unit margins: +/- $1.00/MWh = +/-~$0.03
  • Bad debt: +/- 0.5% in bad debt expense as % of revenue = +/-~$0.02

Optim Energy

  • Gas prices: +/- $1.00/MMBtu = +~$16M /-~$21M gross margin
  • ERCOT heat rates: +/- 0.5 in heat rate = +/- ~$5M gross margin

Sensitivities

(1) Business segment guidance ranges are not additive

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SLIDE 14

March 1, 2011

14

Regulated Operations – 2011 EPS Guidance (Ongoing)

Key Performance Drivers Δ EPS Rate relief $0.27 Outage costs $0.07 - $0.09 Load growth $0.03 - $0.05 2010 Weather ($0.05) PV3 toll expiration ($0.29) Other $0.01 - $0.02

$0.50 $0.58 $0.39 - $0.44

$0.23

2009 2010 2011E

TNMP EPS

$0.13 $0.17 2009 2010 2011E $0.27 - $0.29

Key Performance Drivers Δ EPS Rate relief $0.08 AMS $0.01 Load growth $0.02 - $0.03 2010 Weather ($0.03) Other $0.02 - $0.03

Stipulation

PNM Electric EPS

Assuming stipulation is approved $0.62 - $0.67

Total Regulated 2011 EPS

$0.89 - $0.96

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SLIDE 15

March 1, 2011

15

Unregulated Operations – 2011 EBITDA Guidance (Ongoing)

Key Performance Drivers Δ EBITDA Lower margins ($20) - ($15) Lower bad debt expense $0 - $5

2009 2010 2011E $68.5 $62.6

Optim Energy EBITDA (100%)

2009 2010 2011E $63.8 $64.3 $20 - $30

First Choice Power EBITDA

Key Performance Drivers Δ EBITDA Gross margin ($41) - ($33) Operating expenses ($4) - ($2)

$43 - $53

(1) Total unregulated 2011 EBITDA includes PNM Resources„ 50% ownership interest in

Optim Energy. Gains and losses of Optim Energy are equally distributed to the owners.

Total Unregulated 2011 EBITDA(1)

$53 - $68

(In millions)

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SLIDE 16

March 1, 2011

16 $263 $254 $237 $247 $243 $94

$11 $16 $12 $10 $9

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

(In millions) Core PNM Renewables TNMP Advanced Metering System

PNMR 5-Year Capital Plan(1)

$369 $270 $249 $257 $252

(1) Amounts may not visually add due to rounding (2) Pending regulatory approval

2011E-2015E PNM Generation $405 PNM T&D 356 TNMP 259 Nuclear Fuel 136 Other (Primarily IT) 86 Core Capital $1,243 PNM Renewables 94 AMS (2) 58 Total Capital $1,396

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SLIDE 17

March 1, 2011

17

2010 2011E

$55 - $65

Utility Earnings

($40) - ($50)

Tax Benefits First Choice Power Pension Contribution(1)

$365-$390

2011 Cash Earnings

(In millions)

2011 Cash Earnings Guidance

$417

Optim Energy

($24) ($18) - ($20) ($6) - ($9)

(1) PNM pension plan was frozen at the end of 1997

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SLIDE 18

March 1, 2011

18

Sufficient Liquidity with Minimal Near-term Debt Maturities

$193 $39 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

PNMR PNM TNMP

Long-term Debt Maturities(1)

(In millions)

$50

(1) Excludes $7.2 million that is due in installments through 2013

Financing Capacity Revolving credit facilities $1,003 Local lines of credit 5 Total Capacity $1,008 Outstanding Balance 2/18/11 Short-term debt & LOC balances 348 Remaining availability 660 Invested cash 18 Availability as of 2/18/11 $678

Liquidity at 2/18/11

(In millions)

$232

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SLIDE 19

March 1, 2011

19

Key Strategic Goals and Checklist

Earn Authorized Return on Our Regulated Businesses Return to Solid Investment Grade Credit Ratings at PNMR

 Achieve successful outcomes in:

  • PNM general rate case
  • PNM FERC transmission case
  • TNMP AMS case

 Maintain strong electric reliability and

power plant availability

 Control O&M and capital costs

Maximize the Value of Our Competitive Businesses

 Maintain profitability of First Choice

Power by achieving customer growth and increasing retention

 Conserve Optim Energy cash and

position generation assets to capitalize as market conditions improve

 Become fully investment grade at:

  • PNM
  • TNMP
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SLIDE 20

March 1, 2011

20

Questions & Answers

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SLIDE 21

Appendix

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SLIDE 22

March 1, 2011

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2010 Financial Performance

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SLIDE 23

March 1, 2011

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Q4 2009 Q4 2010

Regulated Operations: Q4 2010 EPS (Ongoing)

PNM Electric TNMP

Q4 Key Performance Drivers r EPS Rate relief $0.03 Outage costs $0.01 Weather ($0.01) Pension and retiree medical costs ($0.01) Property taxes ($0.01) Other ($0.02)

$0.04 Q4 2009 Q4 2010

Q4 Key Performance Drivers r EPS Rate relief $0.01 Weather ($0.01)

$0.03 $0.03 $0.03

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SLIDE 24

March 1, 2011

A-4

FY 2009 FY 2010

Regulated Operations: FY 2010 EPS (Ongoing)

PNM Electric TNMP

2010 Key Performance Drivers r EPS Rate relief $0.20 Weather and load $0.08 Outage costs ($0.08) Pension and retiree medical ($0.04) Property taxes ($0.03) Interest expense ($0.02) Other ($0.03)

$0.50 FY 2009 FY 2010

2010 Key Performance Drivers r EPS Rate relief $0.05 Load/Weather $0.02 Interest expense ($0.02) Depreciation ($0.01)

$0.13 $0.58 $0.17

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SLIDE 25

March 1, 2011

A-5

Q4 2009 Q4 2010

Unregulated Operations:Q4 2010 EBITDA (Ongoing)

First Choice Power

(In millions)

Optim Energy(1) (100%)

(In millions)

Q4 Key Performance Drivers r EBITDA Lower bad debt expense $2.0 Higher margins $2.1 Marketing ($1.7) Other ($0.3)

$5.8 Q4 2009 Q4 2010

Q4 Key Performance Drivers r EBITDA Lower O&M $4.1 Sales of ancillary services $1.6 Market and fuel prices ($3.9) Other ($0.3)

$9.8

(1) PNM Resources has 50% ownership interest in Optim Energy, gains and

losses of Optim Energy are equally distributed to the owners.

$7.9 $11.3

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SLIDE 26

March 1, 2011

A-6

Unregulated Operations: 2010 EBITDA (Ongoing)

2009 2010

$62.6

First Choice Power

(In millions)

Optim Energy(1) (100%)

(In millions)

2010 Key Performance Drivers r EBITDA Lower bad debt expense $16.2 Lower margins ($21.1) Other ($1.0)

$68.5

2010 Key Performance Drivers r EBITDA Sale of ancillary services $12.1 Lower O&M $7.9 Market and fuel prices ($19.2) Other ($0.3)

$63.8

(1) PNM Resources has 50% ownership interest in Optim Energy, gains and

losses of Optim Energy are equally distributed to the owners.

2009 2010

$64.3

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SLIDE 27

March 1, 2011

A-7

Optim Energy EBITDA(1)

(1) Amounts may not visually add due to rounding.

Three Months Ended Year Ended December 31, 2010 December 31, 2010 GAAP Net Earnings (18.3) $ (25.1) $ Interest expense 4.6 18.7 Income tax 0.1 0.4 Depreciation and amortization expense 13.3 50.6 Mark-to-market impact of economic hedges 0.8 (1.4) Purchase accounting amortizations 8.4 18.8 Write-down of emission allowances 2.3 2.3 Ongoing Optim Energy EBITDA 11.3 64.3 50 percent of Ongoing EBITDA (PNMR share) 5.7 $ 32.2 $ (in millions)

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SLIDE 28

March 1, 2011

A-8

2011 Guidance Assumptions

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SLIDE 29

March 1, 2011

A-9

2011 EPS Guidance by Segment (Ongoing)

(1) Business segment guidance ranges are not additive

2010 2011E Regulated Operations PNM $0.58 $0.62 - $0.67 TNMP 0.17 0.27 - 0.29 Sub-total 0.75 0.89 - 0.96 Unregulated Operations First Choice Power 0.42 0.28 - 0.35 Optim Energy (PNMR Share - 50%) (0.10) (0.22) - (0.19) Sub-total 0.32 0.06 - $0.16 Corp/Other (primarily interest expense) (0.20) (0.17) - (0.15) Total EPS $0.87 $0.80 - $0.92

(1)

Ongoing EPS

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SLIDE 30

March 1, 2011

A-10

2011 EBITDA Guidance by Segment (Ongoing)

(1) Business segment guidance ranges are not additive

Ongoing EBITDA

(In millions)

2010 2011E Consolidated PNMR (1) $403 $396 - $421 Regulated Operations PNM $250 $261 - $269 TNMP $99 $116 - $119 Unregulated Operations First Choice Power $63 $43 - $53 Optim Energy (100%) $64 $20 - $30

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SLIDE 31

March 1, 2011

A-11

PNM Electric Assumptions

2010 2011

Actual Assumptions Retail load growth (weather normalized) 1.4% 1% - 2% Average cost coal generation ($/MWh) $23.78 $22 - $25 Average gas price (Permian in $/MMBtu) $3.25 $3.75 - $4.25 Average power price (PV On-Peak $/MWh) $38.78 $35 - $40

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SLIDE 32

March 1, 2011

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PNM Plant EAF and Outages

* Annual top quartile numbers from the North American Electricity Reliability Council

2011 & 2012 Outage Schedule

73.5% 75.3% 88.6% 87.4% 86.4% 88.8% 85.4% 89.4% 89.4%

San Juan Four Corners Palo Verde

2010A 2011E 2012E Annual Top Quartile Numbers* Coal 90% Nuclear 92%

Unit Duration (days) Time Period 1 47 Q1 2011 4 13 Q2 2011 2 47 Q1 2012 3 47 Q1 & Q2 2012 4 13 Q4 2011 5 24 Q2 2011 5 13 Q4 2012 1 46 Q4 2011 2 41 Q2 2011 3 43 Q1 & Q2 2012 2 43 Q3 & Q4 2012 San Juan Four Corners Palo Verde

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SLIDE 33

March 1, 2011

A-13

2010 2011 Actual Assumptions

Retail load growth 0.6% 1.5% - 2.5% CTC revenue $17.1M ~$16M

TNMP Assumptions

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SLIDE 34

March 1, 2011

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First Choice Power Assumptions

2010 2011 Actual Assumptions

Residential customers (year-end) 172,506 5% - 15% increase Commercial MWh sales 1.4M 15% - 20% increase Gross margin(excluding mark-to-market of economic

hedges; $20M pre-tax loss in 2010)

$155M $135M - $140M Bad debt expense (% of revenue) $24.9M (5.2%) $20M - $25M (4% - 5%) O&M expenses (excl bad debt) $68M $67M - $69M

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SLIDE 35

March 1, 2011

A-15

Optim Energy Assumptions

2010 2011 Actual Assumptions

Average annual NYMEX gas price ($/MMBtu) $4.40 $4.25 - $4.75 ERCOT North RTC heat rate 8.2 7.5 - 7.9 ERCOT Houston RTC heat rate 8.3 7.9 - 8.3

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SLIDE 36

March 1, 2011

A-16

Optim Energy Plant Assumptions

93.8% 95.5% 93.4% 89.5% 96.5% 93.4%

Twin Oaks Altura Cogen Cedar Bayou 4

2010A 2011E

Annual Top Quartile Numbers* Lignite 90% Combined Cycle 92%

* Annual top quartile numbers from the North American Electricity Reliability Council

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March 1, 2011

A-17

Regulatory Information

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March 1, 2011

A-18 

The stipulation calls for:

  • A $45 M increase (5.7%) to be implemented for bills rendered on and after May 15, 2011.
  • A $40 M increase (5.1%) to be implemented for bills rendered on and after Jan. 1, 2012.
  • An “Additions Rider” capped at $20 million, to cover changes in plant-related rate base

between June 30, 2010, and Dec. 31, 2012. The rider would be effective Jan. 1, 2013, through Dec. 31, 2013.

  • A separate renewable energy rider beginning July 1, 2012, for the recovery of costs

associated with Commission-approved renewable energy procurement plans, including PNM‟s investment in its utility-scale solar power facilities totaling 22 megawatts.

  • Stay-out period: PNM‟s next general rate adjustment cannot go into effect before Jan. 1, 2014
  • However, PNM can file for recovery of costs to comply with any requirement or mandate

under State or Federal environmental law or regulation that becomes effective after June 30, 2010.

Stipulation is a “black box” settlement, but implies a return on equity of 10.25% on a rate base of $1.8 billion and a cap-structure consisting of 47.5% long-term debt, 0.5% preferred stock and 52% common equity.

The stipulation still requires approval from the Commission to be implemented.

Summary of PNM Rate Case Proposed Stipulation

Signatories have agreed to a three-year phase-in that could total up to $105 M

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March 1, 2011

A-19

Rate Case Stipulation - Earnings Impact

Assumptions: Approved as filed, implementation on May 15, 2011

May - Dec 2011E 2012E 2013E Incremental Revenue Phase I $ 35 $ 45 $ 45 Phase II

  • 40

40 Additions Rider

  • 20

Total Increase in Revenues 35 85 105 Incremental Operating Expenses Modified Pension Expense

  • Depreciation Rate Change
  • Total Increase in Op. Expenses
  • Net Incremental impact (pre-tax)

35 85 105 Incremental Impact (after-tax) $ 21 $ 51 $ 63 Incremental EPS at 91.6M shares $ 0.23 $ 0.56 $ 0.69

(1) The stipulation includes the collection of an „Additions Rider‟ in 2013 to recover capital additions made

between June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2012. The rider is capped at $20 million.

(In millions, except EPS)

(1)

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SLIDE 40

March 1, 2011

A-20

Utility Rate Base and Return

PNM Retail Current Rates Stipulated Rates June 30, 2010 $1.8B 52% 10.25% Implied $105M(3) PNM FERC Transmission Current Rates

  • Dec. 31, 2005

$98.1M(2) 51.8% N/A Proposed Rates

  • Dec. 31, 2011

$171.0M 49.4% 12.25% $11.1M TNMP Current Retail Rates March 31, 2010 $448.2M 45% $10.3M 10.8% Implied 10.125% Increase 10.5% Implied March 31, 2008 $1.5B(2) 50% N/A Test Period (1) Allowed Equity Ratio Rate Base ROE

(1) Period is for the 12 months ending on stated date (2) Excluded PNM South (formerly TNMP-New Mexico) rate base (3) Includes “Additions Rider” capped at $20 million to be recovered 2013

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SLIDE 41

March 1, 2011

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NMPRC Commissioners and Districts

Name District Term Ends Party Jason Marks District 1 2012 Democrat Patrick Lyons Chairman District 2 2014 Republican Jerome Block Vice Chairman District 3 2012 Democrat Theresa Becenti-Aguilar District 4 2014 Democrat Ben Hall District 5 2014 Republican

NMPRC Districts and PNM Services Areas

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March 1, 2011

A-22

PNM Resources Balance Sheet and Credit Metrics

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SLIDE 43

March 1, 2011

A-23

Selected Balance Sheet Information

(1) Excludes debt from affiliate

Dec 31, Dec 31,

2009 2010

(In millions)

Long-Term Debt (incl. current portion)

PNM 1,055.7 $ 1,055.7 $ TNMP 309.7 310.3 PNMR 201.9 199.8 Consolidated 1,567.3 $ 1,565.8 $

Total Debt (incl. short-term)

PNM 1,173.7 $ 1,245.7 $ TNMP(1) 309.7 310.3 PNMR 281.9 231.8 Consolidated 1,765.3 $ 1,787.8 $

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March 1, 2011

A-24

Components of Cash Earnings

(1) Includes bad debt expense (2) Optim Energy cash earnings defined as net cash flows from operating activities less changes in certain current assets and liabilities

2010 2011E

(In millions) (In millions)

Net cash flows from operating activities 287 $ $335 - 360 +/- adjustments in arriving at cash earnings Changes in certain current assets & liabilities (1) 46 (5) - (10) Return of principal on Palo Verde lessor notes 30 34 Payments received from Palo Verde firm-sales contracts 30

  • PNMR share of Optim Energy cash earnings (2)

24 0-5 Total Cash Earnings 417 $ $365 - $390

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SLIDE 45

March 1, 2011

A-25

Liquidity

PNM Resources (1) PNM Separate TNMP Separate PNM Resources Consolidated (In millions) Financing Capacity: Revolving credit facility $ 542.0 $ 386.0 $ 75.0 $ 1,003.0 Local lines of credit (LOC) 5.0

  • 5.0

Total Capacity 547.0 386.0 75.0 1,008.0 Short-term debt & LOC balances 78.7 269.2 0.3 348.2 Remaining availability 468.3 116.8 74.7 659.8 Invested cash 7.9 10.6

  • 18.5

Available Liquidity as of 2/18/11 $ 476.2 $ 127.4 $ 74.7 $ 678.3 As of 2/18/11:

(2)

(1) Includes First Choice Power (2) The PNMR facility was reduced by $32M in March 2010 and by $26M in August of 2010 and will be reduced by an additional $25M in August of

  • 2011. The PNM facility was reduced by $14M in August 2010 and will be reduced by another $18M in August 2011.
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SLIDE 46

March 1, 2011

A-26

Credit Ratings

Senior Unsecured Debt

S&P PNM Resources BB- PNM BB+ Outlook: Stable Moody’s PNM Resources Ba2 PNM Baa3 Outlook: Stable

TNMP First Mortgage Bonds

S&P BBB- Outlook: Stable Moody's Baa1 Outlook: Stable