Earnings Call Fiscal 2016 Q3
April 5, 2016
Earnings Call Fiscal 2016 Q3 April 5, 2016 Disclaimer IMPORTANT - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Earnings Call Fiscal 2016 Q3 April 5, 2016 Disclaimer IMPORTANT NOTICE The following slides are part of a presentation by Darden Restaurants, Inc. (the "Company") and are intended to be viewed as part of that presentation (the
April 5, 2016
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The following slides are part of a presentation by Darden Restaurants, Inc. (the "Company") and are intended to be viewed as part of that presentation (the "Presentation"). No representation is made that the Presentation is complete.
Forward-looking statements in this communication regarding our expected earnings performance and all other statements that are not historical facts, including without limitation statements concerning our future economic performance and expenses, are made under the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which such statements are first made, and we undertake no obligation to update such statements to reflect events or circumstances arising after such date. We wish to caution investors not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward- looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to materially differ from those anticipated in the
and uncertainties include food safety and food-borne illness concerns, litigation, unfavorable publicity, risks relating to public policy changes and federal, state and local regulation of our business, labor and insurance costs, technology failures including a failure to maintain a secure cyber network, failure to execute a business continuity plan following a disaster, health concerns including virus outbreaks, intense competition, failure to drive profitable sales growth, our plans to expand our smaller brands Bahama Breeze, Seasons 52 and Eddie V's, a lack of availability of suitable locations for new restaurants, higher-than-anticipated costs to open, close, relocate or remodel restaurants, a failure to execute innovative marketing tactics, a failure to develop and recruit effective leaders, a failure to address cost pressures, shortages or interruptions in the delivery of food and other products and services, adverse weather conditions and natural disasters, volatility in the market value of derivatives, economic factors specific to the restaurant industry and general macroeconomic factors including interest rates, disruptions in the financial markets, risks of doing business with franchisees and vendors in foreign markets, failure to protect
financial reporting, an inability or failure to manage the accelerated impact of social media and other factors and uncertainties discussed from time to time in reports filed by Darden with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
IMPORTANT NOTICE
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The information in this communication includes financial information determined by methods other than in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”), such as adjusted net earnings per diluted share from continuing operations. The Company’s management uses these non-GAAP measures in its analysis of the Company’s performance. The Company believes that the presentation of certain non-GAAP measures provides useful supplemental information that is essential to a proper understanding of the operating results of the Company’s businesses. These non- GAAP disclosures should not be viewed as a substitute for operating results determined in accordance with GAAP, nor are they necessarily comparable to non-GAAP performance measures that may be presented by other companies.
April 5, 2016
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$0.54 $0.32 $0.28 $0.99 $1.08 $0.68 $0.54 $1.21 FY14 FY15 FY15 FY16 FY15 FY16 FY15 FY16
Darden Adjusted EPS3
Q41 Q1 Q22 Q32 $1.65 $1.60 $1.56 $1.73 $1.88 $1.69 $1.61 $1.85 FY14 FY15 FY15 FY16 FY15 FY16 FY15 FY16
Darden Sales ($bn)
Q41 Q1 Q22 Q32
1 FY15 Q4 includes the impact of the additional week due to a 53 week fiscal year. 2 FY16 Q2 includes the negative impact of the Thanksgiving holiday shift, which occurred in Q3 of FY15. 3 EPS values adjusted for special items. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of this
presentation.
3.8% 3.4% 2.9% 4.2% Q4 FY15 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3 FY16
Same-Restaurant Sales Growth - Comparable Calendar Basis
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Calendar Same-Restaurant Sales
Same-Restaurant Sales Industry Outperformance1
Consecutive Qtr. of Same- Restaurant Sales Growth
Calendar Same- Restaurant Guest Count
Launched Catering Delivery Nationwide
OG To Go 2-Year Growth
Same-Restaurant Sales1 OG To Go Sales Q3 Highlights
0.5% 2.2% 3.4% 2.5% 2.8% 4.9%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
1 FY16 Same-Restaurant Sales on a comparable calendar basis. Industry excluding Darden brands.
14% 15% 22% 23% 18% 17% 20%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY15 FY16
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Calendar Same-Restaurant Sales
2.6% 5.4% 5.2% 4.8% 3.6% 2.7%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
Same-Restaurant Sales1 Q3 Highlights
Same-Restaurant Sales Industry Outperformance1
Consecutive Qtr. of Same- Restaurant Sales Growth
Calendar Same- Restaurant Guest Count
Brand of the Year Ace Metrix
Segment Profit Growth
1 FY16 Same-Restaurant Sales on a comparable calendar basis. Industry excluding Darden brands.
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Same-Restaurant Sales1
1 FY16 Same-Restaurant Sales on a comparable calendar basis
5.0% 6.1% 4.4% 6.4% 0.9% 4.3% FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
1.2% 5.2% 3.1% 3.8% 3.8% 5.3%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
4.9% 5.2% 3.9% 3.2% 1.3%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
3.2% 1.7% 2.5% 5.8% 6.3% FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
3.7% 5.4% 3.2% 3.6% 2.4% 3.1%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
9.6%
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Fiscal Calendar Same-Restaurant Sales
Adjusted Diluted EPS from Continuing Operations
Dividends Paid
Adjusted Diluted EPS Growth vs Last Year
Straight Quarters of Double Digit Adjusted EPS growth
Shares Repurchased
* EPS values adjusted for special items. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of this presentation.
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Fiscal 2016 Q3 Adjusted Earnings Growth Drivers1 Fiscal 2016 Q3 Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.84 Debt Retirement Costs 0.34 Real Estate Plan Implementation 0.03 Fiscal 2016 Q3 Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $1.21 Fiscal 2016 Q3 Adjusted Diluted EPS vs. Fiscal 2015 Q3 Adjusted Diluted EPS $0.22 Growth % 22.2%
Net Incremental Ongoing Impact for Real Estate Transactions Three Months Ended ($ millions, except per share) 02/28/2016 GAAP Rent and Other Taxes (Restaurant Expense & G&A) $32 Depreciation & Amortization (15) Reduction in Interest Expense (11) Net Incremental Expense $6 Net Incremental Reduction to EPS $0.03
1 EPS values adjusted for special items. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of this presentation.
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As Reported As Adjusted Q3 2016 Q3 2016
($ millions)
Q3 2016
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
Food & Beverage 29.1% $537.8 29.1% 160 Restaurant Labor 31.0% $572.5 31.0% (10) Restaurant Expenses 16.5% $305.2 16.5% (60) Marketing 2.7% $50.7 2.7% 30 Restaurant-Level EBITDA 20.6% $381.3 20.6% 120 G&A 5.2% $89.2 4.8% (30) Depreciation & Amortization 3.6% $67.0 3.6% 100 Impairments (0.1)% ($2.1) (0.1%) 10 EBIT 12.0% $227.2 12.3% 200 Interest Expense 4.5% $11.8 0.6% 70 EBT 7.5% $215.4 11.7% 270 Income Tax Expense
Note: Effective Tax Rate
1.6%
21.7%
$58.4
3.2%
27.1%
(150) EAT 5.9% $157.0 8.5% 130
Note: Continuing operations, values may not tie due to rounding. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of this presentation.
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1 Segment profit calculated as sales less costs of food & beverage, restaurant labor, restaurant expenses and marketing expenses.
All of our segments had positive sales growth… ($ millions) …coupled with significant Segment Profit1 growth ($ millions)
$201.4 $220.1 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3 $65.9 $85.0 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3 $30.9 $33.9 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3 21.0% 21.6% 16.3% 20.0% 22.3% 23.2% $39.0 $42.3 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3 16.8% 16.5%
$957 $1,020 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3
$404 $425 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3 $139 $146 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3 $232 $256 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3
Segment Profit Margin %
Fine Dining Other Fine Dining Other
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Restaurant Openings New Restaurant Openings 18 to 22 Same-Restaurant Sales Total +3.0 to +3.5% Tax Rate Annual Effective Rate 23% to 25% Capital Expenditures ($ millions) Total $230 - $255 New Restaurants $85 Refresh/Maintenance/Other $145 - $170 Adjusted Earnings per Diluted Share1 Total $3.48 to $3.52 Growth2 36% to 38%
1 Excludes real estate implementation and debt retirement costs. 2 Assumes a 52 week fiscal year for 2015. Non-GAAP number. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of
this presentation.
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Restaurant Openings New Restaurant Openings 24 to 28 Capital Expenditures ($ millions) Total $310 - $350 New Restaurants $110 - $130 Remodel/Maintenance/Other $200 - $220 Remodel/Refresh Olive Garden Remodel ~250k-$450k ea. At Least 60 Bar Refresh ~$20k ea. Up to 150
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Annual Target, Over Time Business Performance (EAT Growth) Same-Restaurant Sales 1% - 3% New Restaurant Growth 2% - 3% 7% - 10% EBIT Margin Expansion 10 - 40bps Return of Cash Dividend Payout Ratio 50% - 60% 3% - 5% Share Repurchase ($ millions) $100 - $200 Total Shareholder Return (EPS Growth + Dividend Yield) 10% - 15%
Note: Growth in the individual components will vary year-to-year.
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Note: For Fiscal 2015, the sum of the quarterly Diluted EPS amounts do not total the annual EPS amounts due to the impact of the Accelerated Share Repurchase program on the weighted average share count. Values may not tie due to rounding.
Fiscal 2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4* Annual* Reported Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations ($0.14) ($0.24) $1.01 $0.92 $1.51 Debt Retirement Costs 0.37 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.42 Strategic Action Plan and Other Costs 0.09 0.47 (0.02) 0.16 0.70 Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.32 $0.28 $0.99 $1.08 $2.63 * Reflects the additional operating week vs Fiscal 2014 Fiscal 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual Reported Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.32 $0.05 $0.65 $0.36 $1.38 Red Lobster-Related Shared Support Costs 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 $0.15 Other Strategic Action Plan Costs
0.01 0.09 $0.13 Asset Impairments and Other Costs
0.01 0.04 $0.05 Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.36 $0.12 $0.71 $0.54 $1.71 Fiscal 2016 Q1 Q2 Q3 Reported Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.63 $0.23 $0.84 Real Estate Plan Implementation 0.05 0.16 0.03 Debt Retirement Costs
0.34 Strategic Action Plan and Other Costs
$0.68 $0.54 $1.21 Fiscal 2016 Adj. Diluted EPS vs. Fiscal 2015 Adj. Diluted EPS $0.36 $0.26 $0.22
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Change (in millions) 2/28/2016 2/22/2015 (bps) Sales - as reported 1,847.5 $ 1,730.9 $ Earnings from continuing operations - as reported 108.2 $ 128.4 $ Interest, net - as reported 83.1 23.3 Income taxes - as reported 29.9 18.7 EBIT from continuing operations 221.2 $ 170.4 $ EBIT Margin from continuing operations 12.0% 9.8% 220 EBIT Impacts 6.0 (1) 8.0 (2) Adjusted EBIT from continuing operations 227.2 178.4 Adjusted EBIT Margin from continuing operations 12.3% 10.3% 200 Earnings from continuing operations - as reported 108.2 $ 128.4 $ EBIT Impacts 6.0 (1) 8.0 (2) Interest expense impacts 71.3 (3)
(28.5) (11.0) (4) Adjusted earnings from continuing operations 157.0 125.4 Adjusted earnings Margin from continuing operations 8.5% 7.2% 130
(1) Represents costs associated with real estate implementation (2) Represents costs associated with strategic action plan (3) Represents costs associated with debt retirement (4) Includes the tax benefit related to exiting from our lobster aquaculture project
Quarter Ended
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Product Breakdown and Contract Coverage For Fiscal 2016 Fourth Quarter
¹ Includes cheese, cream, butter, and shortening ² Includes breadsticks and pasta
Mar-May FY2016 Spend by Category Coverage Outlook Beef 19% 80% Low Single Digit Deflation Produce 13% 80% Low Single Digit Inflation Dairy / Oil1 12% 65% Mid Single Digit Inflation Seafood 11% 90% Mid Single Digit Deflation Wheat2 7% 90% Flat Chicken 6% 95% Mid Single Digit Deflation Non-Perishable / Other 32% 80% Low Single Digit Inflation Weighted Average Coverage 100% 80%
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1 Represents non-GAAP measure. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of this presentation. 2 Estimated
Per Share % Growth Fiscal 2015 Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations1 $2.63 Remove 53rd Week Impact in Fiscal 2015 (In Q4) (0.07) Fiscal 2015 52 Week Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations1 $2.56 Growth from Fiscal 2015 (52 Week Year) to Fiscal 20162 Operating Performance $0.96 – 1.00 37 – 39% Net Incremental Ongoing Real Estate Expenses (0.08) (3)% Reduced Interest Expense related to FY15 Debt Retirement (FY16 Q1) 0.04 2% Total Growth From Fiscal 2015 (52 Week Year) to Fiscal 2016 $0.92 - $0.96 36% - 38% Fiscal 2016 Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations Outlook $3.48 - $3.52
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Fiscal Calendar Comparable Calendar Q1
June 1, 2015 – August 30, 2015 vs. May 26, 2014 – August 24, 2014 June 1, 2015 – August 30, 2015 vs. June 2, 2014 – August 31, 2014
Q2
August 31, 2015 - November 29, 2015 vs. August 25, 2014 - November 23, 2014 August 31, 2015 - November 29, 2015 vs. September 1, 2014 - November 30, 2014
Q3
November 30, 2015 – February 28, 2016 vs. November 24, 2014 – February 22, 2015 November 30, 2015 – February 28, 2016 vs. December 1, 2014 – March 1,2015