Didier Ruedin, University of Neuchtel Laura Morales, University of - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Didier Ruedin, University of Neuchâtel Laura Morales, University of Leicester Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (EPOP), Oxford, 7 th September2012

• Specific issue domain: immigration – linked to research question • Data over time • Retrospective • Tied to elections

• Party manifestos: relevant sections – AT, BE, CH, ES, IE, NL, UK • Manual coding: conventional codebook • Manual coding: checklist • Dictionary coding: Yoshikoder • Wordscores: JFreq, Austin in R • Pooled expert data: moving average

Expert Manual Checklist Manual 0.82 Checklist 0.78 0.87 Wordscores 0.57 0.65 0.51 Dictionary 0.24 0.31 0.55 • Consistent ranking • Manual/Wordscores: anti-immigrant • Checklist: pro-immigrant

Position on Immigration Position on Immigration 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2 4 6 8 10 1994 1994 1999 1999 ÖVP FPÖ Expert – Manual – Checklist – Wordscores 2006 2006 Position on Immigration Position on Immigration 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2 4 6 8 10 1994 1994 1999 1999 Grüne SPÖ 2006 2006

1995 1999 2002 2006 2008 Manual 0.96 0.83 0.97 0.87 Checklist 1.00 0.91 0.72 0.99 0.95 Dictionary -0.64 -0.26 0.38 0.41 -0.87 Wordscores 0.99 0.96 0.82 Ref. 0.82 • Consistent ranking • Variation: ≈ 4 points

Position on Immigration Position on Immigration 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2 4 6 8 10 1993 1993 2000 2000 PP Expert – Manual – Checklist – Wordscores IU 2008 2008 Position on Immigration Position on Immigration 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2 4 6 8 10 1993 1993 2000 2000 PSOE PNV 2008 2008

1996 2000 2004 2008 2011 Manual 0.71 0.87 0.78 0.70 0.38 Checklist 1.00 0.93 0.93 0.68 0.88 Dictionary 0.48 0.48 0.50 0.31 Wordscores 0.70 0.77 Ref. 0.74 • PP 2011: probably not that extreme • Consistent ranking • Variation: high, low for IU

SVP FDP 10 10 Position on Immigration Position on Immigration 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 CVP SPS 10 10 Position on Immigration Position on Immigration 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 Expert – Manual – Checklist – Wordscores

1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 Manual 0.99 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.73 Checklist 0.98 0.96 0.90 0.98 1.00 Dictionary -0.04 0.42 0.87 0.19 -0.09 Wordscores 0.81 0.92 Ref. 0.93 0.88 • Consistent ranking • Variation: ≈ 2 points

• High correlations – Manual coding, checklist, Wordscores – Consistent over time • Poor performance: automatic dictionary • Consistent ranking • Lack of mention for specific issues • Future: UK & France, reliability, errors

Didier Ruedin, University of Neuchtel Laura Morales, University of - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Didier Ruedin, University of Neuchtel Laura Morales, University of Leicester Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (EPOP), Oxford, 7 th September2012 Specific issue domain: immigration linked to research question Data over time

Using Footballers to Capture the Dynamics of Discrimination Didier Ruedin, University of

Gender and Ethnicity in Claims-Making About Immigration Didier Ruedin University of

Who Shapes the Other? Gender and Ethnicity in Claims-Making About Immigration Didier Ruedin

Obtaining Party Positions on Immigration: Comparing Different Methods Didier Ruedin

Ant-immigrant populism is not really a recent phenomenon Didier Ruedin University of the

I have no clue either why foreign citjzens partjcipate less Didier Ruedin University of the

Why do immigrant not vote more ofuen when they are given the opportunity? Didier Ruedin

Unease Evoked by Difgerent Immigrant Groups Didier Ruedin University of Neuchtel & ACMS

The Occupational Share of Foreigners and Attitudes to Equal Opportunities Didier Ruedin (Wits

{ Didier Ruedin (University of Neuchtel) & Joost Berkhout (University of Amsterdam), Muslims

Claims-Making as Representation for Disenfranchised Groups Didier Ruedin, University of

(Non-) discriminatjon in online and fjeld experiments Didier Ruedin University of the

Equivalent patuerns of (non-) discriminatjon in highly and low skilled jobs? Didier Ruedin

When Immigrants are Preferred A Case of Positjve Discriminatjon in Hiring? Didier Ruedin

Representatjon of Ethnic Groups in Natjonal Legislatures Didier Ruedin University of the

Immigration in the Party Political Agenda: A Comparative Analysis of Party Manifestos in Six

The tricategory of formal composites and its strictification Peter Guthmann University of

Automatic Presentations and Classes of Semigroups Graham Oliver University of Leicester Joint

RCE-EM: from Citizen to Civic Science Linking our activities to quality education for

How to Make Best Use of Cross-Company Data for Web Effort Estimation? Leandro L. Minku

Non-Strict Temporal Exploration Thomas Erlebach and Jakob T. Spooner School of Informatics,

Exploration of temporal graphs with bounded degree Thomas Erlebach and Jakob Spooner University

Segal-type models of weak n -categories Simona Paoli Department of Mathematics University of

From MTL to Deterministic Timed Automata Dejan Nickovic Nir Piterman IST Austria Imperial

Didier Ruedin, University of Neuchtel Laura Morales, University of - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Didier Ruedin, University of Neuchtel Laura Morales, University of Leicester Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (EPOP), Oxford, 7 th September2012 Specific issue domain: immigration linked to research question Data over time

Using Footballers to Capture the Dynamics of Discrimination Didier Ruedin, University of

Gender and Ethnicity in Claims-Making About Immigration Didier Ruedin University of

Who Shapes the Other? Gender and Ethnicity in Claims-Making About Immigration Didier Ruedin

Obtaining Party Positions on Immigration: Comparing Different Methods Didier Ruedin

Ant-immigrant populism is not really a recent phenomenon Didier Ruedin University of the

I have no clue either why foreign citjzens partjcipate less Didier Ruedin University of the

Why do immigrant not vote more ofuen when they are given the opportunity? Didier Ruedin

Unease Evoked by Difgerent Immigrant Groups Didier Ruedin University of Neuchtel &amp; ACMS

The Occupational Share of Foreigners and Attitudes to Equal Opportunities Didier Ruedin (Wits

{ Didier Ruedin (University of Neuchtel) &amp; Joost Berkhout (University of Amsterdam), Muslims

Claims-Making as Representation for Disenfranchised Groups Didier Ruedin, University of

(Non-) discriminatjon in online and fjeld experiments Didier Ruedin University of the

Equivalent patuerns of (non-) discriminatjon in highly and low skilled jobs? Didier Ruedin

When Immigrants are Preferred A Case of Positjve Discriminatjon in Hiring? Didier Ruedin

Representatjon of Ethnic Groups in Natjonal Legislatures Didier Ruedin University of the

Immigration in the Party Political Agenda: A Comparative Analysis of Party Manifestos in Six

The tricategory of formal composites and its strictification Peter Guthmann University of

Automatic Presentations and Classes of Semigroups Graham Oliver University of Leicester Joint

RCE-EM: from Citizen to Civic Science Linking our activities to quality education for

How to Make Best Use of Cross-Company Data for Web Effort Estimation? Leandro L. Minku

Non-Strict Temporal Exploration Thomas Erlebach and Jakob T. Spooner School of Informatics,

Exploration of temporal graphs with bounded degree Thomas Erlebach and Jakob Spooner University

Segal-type models of weak n -categories Simona Paoli Department of Mathematics University of

From MTL to Deterministic Timed Automata Dejan Nickovic Nir Piterman IST Austria Imperial

Unease Evoked by Difgerent Immigrant Groups Didier Ruedin University of Neuchtel & ACMS

{ Didier Ruedin (University of Neuchtel) & Joost Berkhout (University of Amsterdam), Muslims