CURRENT AND FUTURE MOBILITY DRIVEN BY STEEL David An Anderson on - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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CURRENT AND FUTURE MOBILITY DRIVEN BY STEEL David An Anderson on - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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CURRENT AND FUTURE MOBILITY DRIVEN BY STEEL David An Anderson on Steel Market Development Institute October 24, 2018 www.smdisteel.org a business unit of AISI Role of Steel in Current Mobility DRAFT Steel: The Material of Choice The broad

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SLIDE 1 www.smdisteel.org a business unit of AISI

CURRENT AND FUTURE MOBILITY DRIVEN BY STEEL

David An Anderson

  • n

Steel Market Development Institute October 24, 2018

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DRAFT

Steel: The Material of Choice The broad spectrum of steel grades enables automotive designers to develop mass and cost efficient solutions capable of meeting or exceeding; safety, durability and other performance requirements

2 | Steel Market Development Institute

Role of Steel in Current Mobility

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DRAFT

North American Automotive Steel Content Study Report Summary 2018

  • Steel remains the material of choice; accounting for over 50% of automotive content
  • The 2018 North American light vehicle is estimated to have an average of ~1,480 pounds of flat rolled steel
  • AHSS continues its growth trajectory with approximately 258 pounds per vehicle in 2018,
surpassing our estimates in 2013 by ~4 pounds per vehicle
  • AHSS use in North American produced light vehicles expected to grow significantly to 570
pounds by 2025
  • In 2018, flat rolled steel accounts for 70%+ of all closures, 55% of all hoods, 50% of all
bumpers
  • Domestic OEMs, Ford, FCA and General Motors, have increased their utilization of AHSS,
while BMW and Honda are the AHSS/UHSS leaders for non-domestic OEMs
  • The Silverado for 2019 will include higher strength steels for the frame and BIW, increasing the share of AHSS and
UHSS by ~5%
  • The redesigned Honda Civic added applications for UHSS accounting for ~26% of the BIW, replacing some mild and
AHSS applications 3 | Steel Market Development Institute “North American Automotive Steel Content Market Study Final Report Executive Summary.” Ducker Worldwide, 2018.
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DRAFT

Steel remains the material of choice

4 | Steel Market Development Institute 55% 7% 9% <1% 2% 9% <1% <1% 3% 15% 2013 Material Share of Curb Weight 55% 8% 10% <1% 4% 8% <1% <1% 2% 11% 2015 Material Share of Curb Weight 54% 8% 12% <1% 4% 9% <1% <1% 2% 11% 2018 Material Share of Curb Weight
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2018 NA LV Steel Content - Material Mix

  • The 2018 AHSS and UHSS use in North American produced light vehicles

is 329 pounds per vehicle, a significant increase from 2013, translating to an additional 90 pounds or a 38% growth from 2013

5 | Steel Market Development Institute 164 188 203 220 233 248 258 45 51 55 59 63 66 71 209 239 258 279 296 314 329 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 AHSS UHSS/Gen 3 Net Pounds per Vehicle “North American Automotive Steel Content Market Study Final Report Executive Summary.” Ducker Worldwide, 2018.
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DRAFT

Applications of AHSS and UHSS (PH & Gen 3 Steels)

6 | Steel Market Development Institute 3rd Gen AHSS Applications Replacing HSS & HSLA 3rd Gen AHSS Applications Augmenting PHS/AHSS “North American Automotive Steel Content Market Study Final Report Executive Summary.” Ducker Worldwide, 2018.
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DRAFT

2020+ NA LV Steel Content - Material Mix

  • The 2015 AHSS use in North American produced light

vehicles is 279 pounds and expected to grow significantly to 570 pounds by 2025

7 | Steel Market Development Institute 164 188 203 220 233 248 258 272 261 258 256 253 251 250 45 51 55 59 63 66 71 123 170 195 218 254 282 320 209 239 258 279 296 314 329 395 431 453 474 507 533 570 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 AHSS UHSS/Gen 3 Net Pounds per Vehicle “North American Automotive Steel Content Market Study Final Report Executive Summary.” Ducker Worldwide, 2018.
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DRAFT

  • A gradual shift in transportation sector towards more

efficient and affordable vehicle sharing

  • Will not exclude individual ownership as part of the bigger

picture

  • A catalyst for significant innovations within the automotive

industry

  • An opportunity to better the quality of life through

enhanced mobility and reduced congestion and pollution

8 | Steel Market Development Institute

Future Mobility

** “The Great Divide: What Consumers Are Buying vs. The Investments Automakers & Suppliers Are Making in Future Technologies, Products & Business Models”, Carla Bailo et al, Center for Automotive Research (CAR), February 2018
  • Is

Is Autonomo mous, s, C Connected, d, E Electric ic, a and Shar ared Vehicle les (ACE CES) S)**

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DRAFT

Regulatory Manufacturing Systems Energy Infrastructure Societal Influence Automotive Manufacturers Vehicle Ownership Components Design Supply Base Product Development

ACES Vehicles

9 | Steel Market Development Institute

Broad Interactions

Communications Infrastructure

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DRAFT

10 | Steel Market Development Institute

ACES Influence on Vehicle Development

Manufacturing Systems Vehicle Ownership Components Design Supply Base Product Development

ACES Vehicles

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Development Challenges

1. New crash energy management strategies and restraint system designs 2. Mass efficient and cost-effective design solutions 3. Increased durability requirements and component fatigue life targets

11 | Steel Market Development Institute

Role of Steel in Future Mobility

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DRAFT

Steel: The Material of Choice

The broad spectrum of steel grades enables automotive designers to develop mass and cost efficient solutions capable of meeting or exceeding;

12 | Steel Market Development Institute

Role of Steel in Future Mobility

  • The future crash

and occupant protection requirements

  • The increased

durability and fatigue targets

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DRAFT

Steel: The Material of Choice

Innovations in steel forming technologies such as tubular and sheet hydroforming, roll-forming, hot stamping, etc., as well as advancements in steel, and mixed material, joining technologies enable:

  • More architectural creativity and freedom to address future integration

and design challenges with superior structural performance

  • Flexible modular architectures to accommodate different configurations,

needs and uses

  • Scalable production volumes
13 | Steel Market Development Institute

Role of Steel in Future Mobility

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DRAFT

The steel industry has a long history of successfully partnering with global automakers to develop highly optimized, cost effective and mass efficient solutions to address:

  • Stringent crash energy management and occupant

protection requirements, and

  • Vehicle lightweighting for improved fuel economy and

reduced tailpipe emissions The resulting steel executions provided automotive partners with exceptional performance at an affordable cost.

14 | Steel Market Development Institute

FUTURE M MOBILIT ILITY W Y WILL B BE N NO EXCEPTIO TION

Role of Steel in Future Mobility

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DRAFT

Steel: The Material of Choice

15 | Steel Market Development Institute

Role of Steel in Future Mobility

St Source: SMDI, “The Importance of the Production Phase in Vehicle Life Cycle GHG Emissions,” Southfield, MI, USA, 1 Mar 2016 Al Source: The Al Assoc. “The Environmental Footprint of Semi-Finished Aluminum Products in North America: A Life Cycle Assessment Report.” Dec. 2013 Mg & CFRP Source: Geyer, Roland University of California Santa Barbara, "Automotive Materials Greenhouse Gas Comparison Model", V4.0 Oct. 2013 Material Production GHG Emissions for Common Body Structure and Closure Materials Accounting for Estimated Part Mass Reduction kg C g CO2e / / kg Estimated ed P Part t Wei eight ( (kg) Mild Steel 1.9 100 AHSS 1.9 75 Aluminum 8.9 67 Magnesium 30.5 50 CFRP 22 45 190 143 596 1525 990 Current Average Greenhouse Gas Emissions North America Primary Production kg C g CO2e
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Thank You / For More Information

16 | Steel Market Development Institute

Technical Contact Media Contact Dave Anderson Tamara Markarian 248.945.4764 248.945.4769 danderson@steel.org tmarkarian@steel.org

Website: www.smdisteel.org Twitter: @SMDISteel Facebook: www.facebook.com/smdisteel YouTube: www.youtube.com/smdisteel