CURRENT AND FUTURE MOBILITY DRIVEN BY STEEL David An Anderson on Steel Market Development Institute October 24, 2018 www.smdisteel.org a business unit of AISI
Role of Steel in Current Mobility DRAFT Steel: The Material of Choice The broad spectrum of steel grades enables automotive designers to develop mass and cost efficient solutions capable of meeting or exceeding; safety, durability and other performance requirements 2 | Steel Market Development Institute
North American Automotive Steel Content Study Report Summary 2018 Steel remains the material of choice; accounting for over 50% of automotive content • The 2018 North American light vehicle is estimated to have an average of ~1,480 pounds of flat rolled steel • AHSS continues its growth trajectory with approximately 258 pounds per vehicle in 2018, • surpassing our estimates in 2013 by ~4 pounds per vehicle DRAFT AHSS use in North American produced light vehicles expected to grow significantly to 570 • pounds by 2025 In 2018, flat rolled steel accounts for 70%+ of all closures, 55% of all hoods, 50% of all • bumpers Domestic OEMs, Ford, FCA and General Motors, have increased their utilization of AHSS, • while BMW and Honda are the AHSS/UHSS leaders for non-domestic OEMs The Silverado for 2019 will include higher strength steels for the frame and BIW, increasing the share of AHSS and o UHSS by ~5% The redesigned Honda Civic added applications for UHSS accounting for ~26% of the BIW, replacing some mild and o AHSS applications “North American Automotive Steel Content Market Study Final Report Executive Summary .” Ducker Worldwide, 2018. 3 | Steel Market Development Institute
Steel remains the material of choice 2013 Material Share of Curb Weight 2015 Material Share of Curb Weight 2018 Material Share of Curb Weight 2% 2% 3% <1% <1% 11% 11% 15% DRAFT <1% <1% <1% 8% 9% <1% 9% 4% 4% 54% 55% 2% 55% 10% <1% <1% 12% 9% <1% 8% 7% 8% 4 | Steel Market Development Institute
2018 NA LV Steel Content - Material Mix • The 2018 AHSS and UHSS use in North American produced light vehicles is 329 pounds per vehicle, a significant increase from 2013, translating to an additional 90 pounds or a 38% growth from 2013 DRAFT 700 Net Pounds per Vehicle 600 AHSS UHSS/Gen 3 500 400 329 314 296 279 258 300 71 239 66 209 63 59 55 51 200 45 258 248 233 220 100 203 188 164 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 “North American Automotive Steel Content Market Study Final Report Executive Summary .” Ducker Worldwide, 2018. 5 | Steel Market Development Institute
Applications of AHSS and UHSS (PH & Gen 3 Steels) 3 rd Gen AHSS Applications Replacing HSS & HSLA 3 rd Gen AHSS Applications Augmenting PHS/AHSS DRAFT “North American Automotive Steel Content Market Study Final Report Executive Summary .” Ducker Worldwide, 2018. 6 | Steel Market Development Institute
2020+ NA LV Steel Content - Material Mix • The 2015 AHSS use in North American produced light vehicles is 279 pounds and expected to grow significantly to 570 pounds by 2025 DRAFT 700 570 600 Net Pounds per Vehicle 533 507 AHSS UHSS/Gen 3 474 500 453 431 395 123 170 195 218 254 282 320 400 329 314 296 279 258 300 71 239 66 63 209 59 55 51 200 45 258 272 261 258 256 253 251 250 248 233 220 100 203 188 164 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 “North American Automotive Steel Content Market Study Final Report Executive Summary .” Ducker Worldwide, 2018. 7 | Steel Market Development Institute
Future Mobility A gradual shift in transportation sector towards more • efficient and affordable vehicle sharing Will not exclude individual ownership as part of the bigger • DRAFT • Is Is Autonomo mous, s, C Connected, d, E Electric ic, a and Shar ared picture Vehicle les (ACE CES) S)** A catalyst for significant innovations within the automotive • industry An opportunity to better the quality of life through • enhanced mobility and reduced congestion and pollution ** “ The Great Divide: What Consumers Are Buying vs. The Investments Automakers & Suppliers Are Making in Future Technologies, Products & Business Models”, Carla Bailo et al, Center for Automotive Research (CAR), February 2018 8 | Steel Market Development Institute
Broad Interactions Societal Manufacturing Energy Influence Infrastructure Systems DRAFT ACES Automotive Manufacturers Regulatory Vehicles Product Development Communications Components Vehicle Infrastructure Supply Design Ownership Base 9 | Steel Market Development Institute
ACES Influence on Vehicle Development Manufacturing Systems DRAFT ACES Vehicles Product Development Components Vehicle Supply Design Ownership Base 10 | Steel Market Development Institute
Role of Steel in Future Mobility Development Challenges 1. New crash energy management strategies and restraint system designs DRAFT 2. Mass efficient and cost-effective design solutions 3. Increased durability requirements and component fatigue life targets 11 | Steel Market Development Institute
Role of Steel in Future Mobility Steel: The Material of Choice The broad spectrum of steel grades enables automotive designers to develop mass and cost efficient solutions capable of meeting or exceeding; DRAFT • The future crash and occupant protection requirements • The increased durability and fatigue targets 12 | Steel Market Development Institute
Role of Steel in Future Mobility Steel: The Material of Choice Innovations in steel forming technologies such as tubular and sheet hydroforming, roll-forming, hot stamping, etc., as well as advancements in DRAFT steel, and mixed material, joining technologies enable: • More architectural creativity and freedom to address future integration and design challenges with superior structural performance • Flexible modular architectures to accommodate different configurations, needs and uses • Scalable production volumes 13 | Steel Market Development Institute
Role of Steel in Future Mobility The steel industry has a long history of successfully partnering with global automakers to develop highly optimized, cost effective and mass efficient solutions to address: DRAFT • Stringent crash energy management and occupant protection requirements, and FUTURE M MOBILIT ILITY W Y WILL B BE N NO EXCEPTIO TION • Vehicle lightweighting for improved fuel economy and reduced tailpipe emissions The resulting steel executions provided automotive partners with exceptional performance at an affordable cost. 14 | Steel Market Development Institute
Role of Steel in Future Mobility Steel: The Material of Choice Current Average kg C g CO 2 e / / kg Estimated ed P Part t Greenhouse Gas Emissions Wei eight ( (kg) kg C g CO 2 e North America Primary Production Mild Steel 1.9 100 190 DRAFT AHSS 1.9 75 143 Aluminum 8.9 67 596 Magnesium 30.5 50 1525 CFRP 22 45 990 Material Production GHG Emissions for Common Body Structure and Closure Materials Accounting for Estimated Part Mass Reduction St Source: SMDI, “The Importance of the Production Phase in Vehicle Life Cycle GHG Emissions,” Southfield, MI, USA, 1 Mar 2016 Al Source: The Al Assoc. “The Environmental Footprint of Semi-Finished Aluminum Products in North America: A Life Cycle Assessment Report.” Dec. 2013 Mg & CFRP Source: Geyer, Roland University of California Santa Barbara, "Automotive Materials Greenhouse Gas Comparison Model", V4.0 Oct. 2013 15 | Steel Market Development Institute
Thank You / For More Information Media Contact Technical Contact Dave Anderson Tamara Markarian 248.945.4764 248.945.4769 DRAFT danderson@steel.org tmarkarian@steel.org Website: www.smdisteel.org Twitter: @SMDISteel Facebook: www.facebook.com/smdisteel YouTube: www.youtube.com/smdisteel 16 | Steel Market Development Institute
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