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CSR LIMITED RESULTS PRESENTATION FULL YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2009 - PDF document

CSR LIMITED RESULTS PRESENTATION FULL YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2009 AGENDA Introduction Jerry Maycock, Managing Director Aluminium Jerry Maycock Building Products John Hodgkinson, COO CSR Building Products Sugar Ian Glasson, CEO CSR Sugar


  1. CSR LIMITED RESULTS PRESENTATION FULL YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2009 AGENDA Introduction Jerry Maycock, Managing Director Aluminium Jerry Maycock Building Products John Hodgkinson, COO CSR Building Products Sugar Ian Glasson, CEO CSR Sugar Property & Financial Shane Gannon, CFO Management Summary & Outlook Jerry Maycock 2 1

  2. INTRODUCTION Jerry Maycock CYCLICAL LOWS IN TWO OF CSR’S MAJOR BUSINESSES INTRO INTRO ALUMINIUM ALUMINIUM BUILDING PRODUCTS BUILDING PRODUCTS SUGAR SUGAR PROPERTY PROPERTY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OUTLOOK OUTLOOK � Difficult trading conditions affects cyclical businesses – Sugar earnings improve from increased raw sugar price and continued earnings growth from Refining and Ethanol – Building Products impacted by rapid volume decline in second half – Significant drop in metal price on unhedged proportion impacts Aluminium result – Group EBIT $320.1m in line with market guidance – down 17% against YEM08 � Balance Sheet – Review of asset values in light of trading environment – Write down of assets in Building Products and Property – Increase in Product Liability provision as previously foreshadowed – Refinancing complete, no maturities until YEM11 � Continue to manage through cycle and position for growth – Continued realignment of businesses to meet current market demand – Near completion of key major capital projects to enhance future cash flow – CSR remains well positioned for medium term growth 4 2

  3. FINANCIAL RESULTS SUMMARY INTRO INTRO ALUMINIUM ALUMINIUM BUILDING PRODUCTS BUILDING PRODUCTS SUGAR SUGAR PROPERTY PROPERTY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OUTLOOK OUTLOOK � Group EBIT in line with market A$m 2009 2008 % ∆ guidance Trading Revenue 3,492.8 3,231.3 +8 � Significant items include EBITDA 474.9 536.5 -11 carrying value adjustments, asset write-downs, increase in EBIT 320.1 386.3 -17 product liability provision Net Finance Expense (105.8) (93.7) +13 � Final dividend 1.5c per share Tax Expense (47.5) (63.4) -25 fully-franked – in line with dividend policy Outside Equity Interests (32.8) (36.4) -10 Net profit pre sig. items 134.0 192.8 -30 Significant items after tax (460.5) (15.4) - Net profit after sig. items (326.5) 177.4 -284 EPS pre sig. items 12.2c 20.9c - Interim dividend per share 6c 6c - Final dividend per share 1.5c 9c - Total Dividend per share 7.5c 15c -50 5 EBIT BY DIVISION INTRO INTRO ALUMINIUM ALUMINIUM BUILDING PRODUCTS BUILDING PRODUCTS SUGAR SUGAR PROPERTY PROPERTY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OUTLOOK OUTLOOK � Building Products reflects 5 th A$m 2009 2008 % ∆ year of declining housing Building Products 117.9 147.6* -20 activity and softening commercial demand Sugar 83.7 71.7 +17 Decline accelerated in 2 nd half � Aluminium 110.7 136.7 -19 � Higher average realised raw sugar price and continued Property 25.1 45.4 -45 growth in Refining and Ethanol Corporate (17.0) (18.4) -8 � Aluminium earnings impacted Restructure and Provisions (0.3) 3.3 by sharp deterioration in price on unhedged proportion of Total EBIT 320.1 386.3 -17 sales in 2 nd half � Property earnings reflect * Nine months of Pilkington, six months of DMS slower market conditions 6 3

  4. PRODUCT LIABILITY PROVISION INTRO INTRO ALUMINIUM ALUMINIUM BUILDING PRODUCTS BUILDING PRODUCTS SUGAR SUGAR PROPERTY PROPERTY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OUTLOOK OUTLOOK � Product Liability Provision reflects: 455.1 113.4 500 371.5 46.6 – lower A$/US$ exchange rate (0.92c 16.8 400 @ 31/03/08 to 0.68c @ 31/03/09) 300 – semi-annual review of estimate of underlying future liabilities and 200 prudential margin. Principal 100 movement was in US liability 0 estimate Opening Cash Unwinding of Increase in Closing � Cash payments higher, partly due to balance payments discount* provision Balance clearance of some prior years’ claims *Unwinding of discount refers to a re-statement of the discounted provision to nominal dollars 7 ALUMINIUM Jerry Maycock 4

  5. ALUMINIUM EARNINGS IMPACTED BY SEVERE PRICE DECLINE INTRO INTRO ALUMINIUM ALUMINIUM BUILDING PRODUCTS BUILDING PRODUCTS SUGAR SUGAR PROPERTY PROPERTY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OUTLOOK OUTLOOK � A$m 2009 2008 % ∆ Major decline in LME price in last 5 months of YEM09 Sales (‘000 tonnes) 186.1 184.4 +1 � EBIT Margin squeeze from Ave realised price per tonne 2,924 3,025 -3 declining pricing and lagging Trading Revenue 544.1 557.9 -2 input cost reductions EBIT 110.7 � 136.7 -19 Earlier spike in oil price drove up carbon material costs EBIT Margin 20.3% 24.5% � Improved operating LME/US$ tonne 2,274 2,671 performance at Tomago smelter increases metal US$/A$ average rate 0.793 0.869 output LME/A$ tonne 2,869 3,074 9 HEDGING POSITION INTRO INTRO ALUMINIUM ALUMINIUM BUILDING PRODUCTS BUILDING PRODUCTS SUGAR SUGAR PROPERTY PROPERTY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OUTLOOK OUTLOOK Aluminium Hedge Book (as at 31 March 2009) LME 3M Aluminium price Forward curve US$m 4500 250 4000 3500 175 200 171 3000 A$ per tonne 136 2500 150 2000 75 100 77 2H 1500 100 1000 500 50 100 94 1H 0 31/03/05 31/03/06 31/03/07 31/03/08 31/03/09 31/03/10 31/03/11 0 YEM10 Beyond Source: LME as at 11 May 2009 Aluminium Currency YEM10 Beyond 0.72 0.71 Average currency rate in US cents US$2,244 US$2,657 Average hedged aluminium price US$ per tonne A$3,116 A$3,745 Average hedged aluminium price A$ per tonne 57% NA % of net aluminium exposure hedged 1 1. CSR hedges net aluminium exposure which takes into account the natural hedge involved in alumina purchases. Net aluminium exposure 10 equates to around three quarters of metal production. 5

  6. SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS IN END USER DESTOCKING INTRO INTRO ALUMINIUM ALUMINIUM BUILDING PRODUCTS BUILDING PRODUCTS SUGAR SUGAR PROPERTY PROPERTY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OUTLOOK OUTLOOK � Key issue is the timing of a Aluminium Production (Annualised Rate) reversal of global supply/demand balance to end 41 27 40 Annualised Production (m tpa) World Annualised Production (m tpa) growth in aluminium inventories 26 39 World Ex China � Whilst LME stocks are high, 26 38 recent signs that end user 37 25 destocking has made substantial 36 25 35 progress 34 24 � Additional smelter curtailments 33 24 continue 32 31 23 30 23 29 28 22 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Macquarie Bank Commodities Research 11 TOMAGO REMAINS A WORLD CLASS ASSET INTRO INTRO ALUMINIUM ALUMINIUM BUILDING PRODUCTS BUILDING PRODUCTS SUGAR SUGAR PROPERTY PROPERTY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OUTLOOK OUTLOOK � Tomago’s strong position on cost curve has been maintained within the 3 rd decile � Excellent OH&S performance with further operational improvement and production ‘creep’ expected � Reduction in lagging input costs (alumina, pitch, petcoke, carbon) progressively being realised � GAF hedging policy remains in place – will add tactical positions short term but longer term will sell forward only at attractive A$ prices � GAF physical sales are now fully committed for first half and are 93% committed in YEM10 12 6

  7. BUILDING PRODUCTS John Hodgkinson CHALLENGING ENVIRONMENT AFFECTS MARGINS INTRO INTRO ALUMINIUM ALUMINIUM BUILDING PRODUCTS BUILDING PRODUCTS SUGAR SUGAR PROPERTY PROPERTY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OUTLOOK OUTLOOK A$m 2009 2008* % ∆ � Continuing decline in external market conditions – 5 th consecutive Trading Revenue 1,537.5 1,398.6 +10 year of decline in housing activity EBITDA 183.1 211.1 -13 � Higher energy related input costs EBIT 117.9 147.6 -20 impacted in first half EBIT Margin 7.7% 10.6% � Comprehensive management response to manage through * 9 months of Pilkington, 6 months DMS downturn Housing Approvals and Commencements (MAT) � EBIT margin reduced – volume 190 . impact on Viridian, delayed start-up 180 following Dandenong rebuild Number of Houses 170 � Focus on cash generation 160 150 140 130 120 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - r n p c r n p c r n p c r n p c r n p c r a u a u a u a u a u a M e e M e e M e e M e e M e e M J J J J J S D S D S D S D S D Approvals Commencements Source: ABS 14 7

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