COVI VID-19 & Th The Future Of Of Plannin ing Aug ugust 13, - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

COVI VID-19 & Th The Future Of Of Plannin ing Aug ugust 13, 2020 Petra Hur urtado do, Ph.D., Research h Director or Jo Peña ña, Research h Assoc ociate Amer eric ican Pl Planning Ass ssoci ciatio ion

Poll 1.1: Where are you located? • U.S. Northeast • U.S. Midwest • U.S. South • U.S. West • Outside of the U.S.

Poll 1.2: What is your profession? • Planner • Architect • Real estate • Landscape architect • Other

Poll 1.3: What do you feel when you think about the future? • I'm motivated and energized because I see lots of good things on the horizon. • I think I'm prepared for what’s to come . • I don't have specific feelings about the future. • I'm apprehensive and feel challenged by uncertainty. • I'm pessimistic about the future.

The future is more unknowable than ever befo fore • The only constant is change • COVID-19 has turned cities and communities up-side-down • COVID-19 has changed the way planners do their work • Temporary fix vs. permanent solution? • Is COVID- 19 a rehearsal for what’s to come? (climate change, social inequality, …)

"Planners compose and offer advice on preparing for an uncertain future." Hoch, C. (1994): What planners do. Power, Politics, and Persuasion "Planners help communities navigate change." Tim Keane, Planning Director, City of Atlanta (Big City Planning Directors Institute, 2019)

APA Foresig ight Navig vigatin ing Change e and Unce certain inty

The Time Cone / Trend Radar Act Prepare Watch & Learn Sources: The Future Today Institute; TrendOne

The 3 Lenses of APA Foresight Cities & Communities The Planning Profession APA .org

The APA Foresight Approach in times of COVID-19 Act = Emergency Response Prepare = interim transition phase Watch & Learn = the until we have vaccine future new normal IDed current planning-related pain points in ID how COVID-19 will change communities ID how COVID-19 will impact Cities & communities (e.g., public space issue, …) and and how people live, work, play, learn, and communities long-term and share Communities acted move around over the next months and knowledge with planners - Formed COVID-19 Solutions Team prepare planners - Shared knowledge and solutions with Temporary fix versus permanent change? members on a weekly basis IDed current planning process-related pain points ID how COVID-19 will change the way ID how COVID-19 will impact the The Planning and acted (e.g., virtual public meetings, etc., …) planners do their work over the next months planning profession in the future Profession - Formed COVID-19 Solutions Team and train and educate planners and train and educate planners - Shared knowledge and solutions with Temporary fix versus permanent change? members on a weekly basis

The APA Foresight Approach in times of COVID-19 Act = Emergency Response Prepare = interim transition phase Watch & Learn = the until we have vaccine future new normal IDed current planning-related pain points in ID how COVID-19 will change communities ID how COVID-19 will impact Cities & communities (e.g., public space issue, …) and and how people live, work, play, learn, and communities long-term and share Communities acted move around over the next months and knowledge with planners - Formed COVID-19 Solutions Team prepare planners - Shared knowledge and solutions with Temporary fix versus permanent change? members on a weekly basis IDed current planning process-related pain points ID how COVID-19 will change the way ID how COVID-19 will impact the The Planning and acted (e.g., virtual public meetings, etc., …) planners do their work over the next months planning profession in the future Profession - Formed COVID-19 Solutions Team and train and educate planners and train and educate planners - Shared knowledge and solutions with Temporary fix versus permanent change? members on a weekly basis

Emergency Response

Poll 2.1: What changes have impacted you the most in your personal life over the last several months? • Changes to role and responsibilities • Work/school from home • Health and safety concerns • Consistent uncertainty • Other

Poll 2.2: What changes have impacted you the most professionally over the last several months? • Remote work • Restrictions to in-person contact • Team dynamics and responsibilities • Changes in workload • Other

Challenges

Inputs MEMBER CHALLENGES CONDITIONS UPDATES THOUGHT LEADERSHIP

Solutions Team Actions Policy • Connect input from different sources to identify priority areas, Communications Research including: • Planning Methods and Tools • Public Engagement Solutions • Economic Impacts Team • Equity • Create outputs to connect planners with ideas and solutions

Rapid Response • Blog posts • Podcasts • Microcontent • Resources Solutions Team In-depth Response Outputs • Educational Content • Panel Discussions • Research projects

COVID-19 Resources Page https://planning.org/resou rces/covid-19/

Planning Methods and Tools • Demands shifted to emergency response • Planners have skill sets to help with pandemic • Connect the dots between planning skills and community needs • Provide recommendations on how planners can amplify response to community needs during pandemic

Connect with Allied Professions

Public Engagement • Social distancing mandates prohibit public engagement opportunities • Public engagement impacts planning work • Virtual engagement, equitable response • Highlight success stories from around the country

Connect with Practitioners

Social Equity • National conversation on racial equity, disproportionate impacts of COVID-19 • Planners' commitment to equitable communities • Gather information on response, planner's role in addressing needs • Develop content demonstrating action

Distribution of Population vs. COVID-19 Deaths by Race and Hispanic or Latino Origin* * As reported by counties with at least 100 COVID-19 deaths Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control, through July 15, 2020 Provisional COVID-19 Deaths by County and Race

Connect with Leaders

Economic Impacts • Changes to demands across industries, impacts to small businesses, essential jobs and budget changes • Planners' role in economic development • Identify strategies to support communities • Action-oriented resources for recovery Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary, 08/07/2020

Connect with Action

Moving Forward • Commitment to connect trends and profession • Monitor developments, discover trends, connect the dots • Strategically develop guidance for navigating challenges • Shift from immediate response to foresight practice and content creation

Prepare Watch & Learn

The APA Foresight Approach in times of COVID-19 Act = Emergency Response Prepare = interim transition phase Watch & Learn = the until we have vaccine future new normal IDed current planning-related pain points in ID how COVID-19 will change communities ID how COVID-19 will impact Cities & communities (e.g., public space issue, …) and and how people live, work, play, learn, and communities long-term and share Communities acted move around over the next months and knowledge with planners - Formed COVID-19 Solutions Team prepare planners - Shared knowledge and solutions with Temporary fix versus permanent change? members on a weekly basis IDed current planning process-related pain points ID how COVID-19 will change the way ID how COVID-19 will impact the The Planning and acted (e.g., virtual public meetings, etc., …) planners do their work over the next months planning profession in the future Profession - Formed COVID-19 Solutions Team and train and educate planners and train and educate planners - Shared knowledge and solutions with Temporary fix versus permanent change? members on a weekly basis

APA We are not predicting the future; we want to learn with it Foresight – A Process of • This is not about creating certainty about the future – it’s about developing a plan to learn Learning with the • This is not about creating a vision – it’s about understanding the things we can’t control that will Future shape the operating environment

Sense-making Connecting trends and APA disruptors to what planners do Foresight – A Process of Learning Meaning-making with the Guidance and thought Future leadership on how to navigate trends, disruptors, and uncertainty

5 Trend Categories Social inequalities, homelessness, lack of affordable housing, changing transportation behavior, … Political and economic concentration, Societal direction of recovery, government distrust, … Trends Political Trends Cities / Digitalization, digital divide, Communities Technological cyber attacks, data privacy, Trends AI, automation, … Planning Profession Environmental Trends Economic Climate change, Recession, unemployment, local decarbonization efforts, Trends government budget shortfall, environmental conservation, … cancelled or delayed capital projects, shared economy, …