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Controlled human infection models Andrew J Pollard FMedS ci Smallpox & variolation Lady Mary Montagu Variolation of 6 prisoners in exchange for pardon (England, 1722) Variolation of orphans to assess safety in children (London,


  1. Controlled human infection models Andrew J Pollard FMedS ci

  2. Smallpox & variolation Lady Mary Montagu • Variolation of 6 prisoners in exchange for pardon (England, 1722) • Variolation of orphans to assess safety in children (London, 1722)

  3. Jenner & vaccination S arah Nelmes Edward Jenner vaccinating James Phipps, 1796

  4. 1802

  5. Wolfgang Casper: gonococcal vaccine • Rudolf Virchow Hospital, Berlin (1930) • 5 vaccinees & 5 cont rols • ‘ exposed’ to a commercial sex worker on a hospital ward • Attack rates: 0/ 5 in vaccinees vs. 4/ 5 in cont rols

  6. Unethical studies during WWII • S tudies performed by Nazi Waffen-S S doctors in concentration camps • S potted fever, also yellow fever, smallpox, cholera, tuberculosis etc. • High lethality in control subj ects (+/ -1000 died at Buchenwald)

  7. The Nuremburg Code • The Doctors’ Trial • US A vs. Karl Brandt and others – US Milit ary Tribunal Nuremburg, 19 July 1947 • Based on 6 initial points used to define legitimate medical research – a further 4 were added by Nuremburg Trial verdict # 1. The voluntary consent of the human subject is absolutely essential

  8. Other infamous cases • Japanese, Unit 731 (1937 – 1945) – Experimentation with infectious agents – Infants, elderly and pregnant women – Syphilis, gonorrhoea, plague, cholera, smallpox, botulism, typhoid, TB • Willowbrook State School – Hepatitis A studies (mid 1950s – early 1970s). – Deliberate infection of children with hepatitis A to study spread • Syphilis studies in Tuskegee (1932-1972) – Natural history of syphilis in 622 Africa- Americans…naturally infected and not treated. Followed for 40 years, and not given penicillin even after it became routine treatment.

  9. Other challenge studies, 1950s - 1974 • Many experimental challenge studies performed using incarcerated prisoners – Malaria, typhoid, shigella, influenza, diarrhoeal E. coli , viral gastroenteritis, tularaemia

  10. Common Cold Unit • 1946 -1990, S alisbury (UK) • Rhinovirus & coronavirus • >20,000 volunteers

  11. Number of trials

  12. Number of volunteers per trial

  13. 22,257 and counting

  14. ETHICAL, LEGAL AND SAFETY CONSIDERATIONS

  15. Informed consent https:/ / acmedsci.ac. Minimise risk uk/ policy/ policy- proj ects/ controlled- human-infection- models

  16. Et hical approval “ Challenge studies should not be considered ethically unacceptable. To the contrary, they may sometimes be ethically required. “ Dr Hugh Davies, Ethics committee chair http://www.reviewingresearch.com/human-challenge-studies/

  17. Regulatory considerations • Quality – GMP • Trial protocol • Regulation in UK? • Environmental and Public S afety (DEFRA) • Pathway to licensure – Timing of challenge aft er immunisation – S train select ion/ number of strains – Geographic locat ion of volunteers – Dose of challenge strain

  18. Regulat ory confusion • FDA • EMA • WHO • EU directive for national regulators – Different interpretations – MHRA • EU regulations coming, but still not clear

  19. Use and development stage of some current challenge studies Darton, 2015

  20. ROLE IN VACCINE DEVELOPMENT

  21. Vaccine development pathway Identification Which of possible • Candidate ? Identification of endpoints candidates & diagnostics • Dose? • Formulation? Discovery Pre- Phase I Phase II Phase III* licensure Post clinical approval S afe? Best dose? Does it studies immune work? Immune S afe? (Phase IV) response? response? Immune Protect? response? Bridging CORRELATES CORRELA TES? Direct measure of protective efficacy nb. part icipant select ion Cross protection * Or bridging/ Phase IIb studies

  22. Regulat ory issues • Don’ t get hung up… .it is j ust a model • Is it the right target population • Naïve or immune • Dose/ Route of challenge agent • Manufacturing quality: To GMP or not to GMP? • Wild-type or attenuated strain • Which strain and how many strains? • What endpoints are relevant?

  23. Children • S cient ific j ustification • Ethical j ustification • Regulatory j ustification • It is j ust a model • Never say never?

  24. Licensure pathway • Considerable attention to licensure • Perhaps greater role envisaged – S upporting data for licensure – Confidence to move forwards – Down selection – correlates

  25. Up to 90% efficacy The vaccine's efficacy was demonstrated in a randomized, placebo-controlled human challenge study of 197 US volunteers 18 to 45 years of age, the agency reported. Of the 197 volunteers, 68 Vaxchora recipients and 66 placebo recipients were challenged by oral ingestion of V cholerae . Vaccine efficacy was 90% among those challenged 10 days after vaccination and 80% in those challenged 3 months after vaccination.

  26. Andrew J Pollard Department Away Day 20/8/18 Mogasale 2014

  27. No efficacy data

  28. A controlled human infection model in Oxford established 2011 Funded by Progress to date

  29. Typhoid attack rates Waddington, Clin Infect Dis, 2014

  30. Vi conjugate vaccine Relative efficacy Correlates Persistence S hedding B cell repertoire Celina Jin

  31. Study Recruitment Invitation letter sent (n=124,718) Did not respond (n=120,750) Return to sender (n=1431) Declined participation (n=1051) Yes responses (n=1486) Recruitment perio iod ENROLMENT Not eligible (n=639) August 2015 Declined further participation (n=640) to November 2016 Medical screening (n=207) Excluded at screening (n=73) Unblinding Declined further participation (n=22) 5 th January 2017 Enrolled and Randomised (n=11 112) VACCINATION Vi-T -TT (n=41) Vi-P -PS (n=37) Cont ontrol (n=34) Withdrew (n=4) Withdrew (n=2) Withdrew (n=2) Challenged Challenged Challenged (n=37) (n=35) (n=32) CHALLENGE Excluded (n=1) Completed Completed Completed Challenge Challenge Challenge (n=37) (n=35) (n=31)

  32. Cumulative proportion of participants with fever 38.0 C followed by positive S . Typhi culture VE 54-87%

  33. Anti-Vi-TT higher than anti-Vi-PS

  34. Persistence of antibody good for 7 months Challenge timing? Log 10 anti-Vi IgG (ELISA units/ml)

  35. Herd immunity? Odds of shedding overall are 3 t imes higher if unvaccinat ed (averaged across all 14 days) Vaccin Comparato OR (95% CI) P e r Cont rol Vi-PS 3.28 (1.31, 8.19) 0.0111 Cont rol Vi-TCV 2.88 (1.18, 7.06) 0.0208 Vi-PS Vi-TCV 0.88 (0.37, 2.11) 0.7729

  36. Pre-existing estimates of correlates of protection for Vi-vaccines exist, but are difficult to reproduce Vaccine, 2014 Vaccine, 1996 0.6– 1.2µg/ml 1.4– 2.0µg/ml

  37. Probabilit y of t yphoid infect ion

  38. Bivalent • Typhoid (Vi) – Paratyphoid (LPS ) • Efficacy trials for paratyphoid bordering on unlikely to be feasible • Licensure on typhoid component with supporting data on paratyphoid component?

  39. (Para)Typhoid team Neelam Adhikari, S hrij ana S hrest ha, Imran Ansari, Meeru Gurung, S t ephen Thorson, Buddha Basnyat, Mila S hakya and many more… . Kat hy Neuzil Tony Marfin Oxford Tom Darton, Claire Jones, Helene Juel, G. Dougan Celina Jin, Helena TB, J. Choudhary Liqing Zhou, S onu S . Mukhopadhyay S . Clare V. Cerundolo S hrestha, Malick M. Duque A. S immons Gibani, Hazel F. S chreiber L. Preciado-Llanes Dobinson, Claire M. Levine G. Napolitani M. S zt ein Waddington P. Kurupati

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