ConocoPhillips Alaska: Posi0oning for the Future Jo Joe Marushac - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

conocophillips alaska posi0oning for the future
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ConocoPhillips Alaska: Posi0oning for the Future Jo Joe Marushac - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

ConocoPhillips Alaska: Posi0oning for the Future Jo Joe Marushac Marushack, k, Pr Preside sident t - Alask laska a November 18, 2015 Cau0onary Statement & Safe Harbor The following presenta0on includes forward-looking statements.


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ConocoPhillips Alaska: Posi0oning for the Future

Jo Joe Marushac Marushack, k, Pr Preside sident t - Alask laska a

November 18, 2015

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Cau0onary Statement & Safe Harbor

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The following presenta0on includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future events, such as an0cipated revenues, earnings, business strategies, compe00ve posi0on or other aspects of our

  • pera0ons, opera0ng results or the industries or markets in which we operate or par0cipate in general.

Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward- looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertain0es and assump0ons that may prove to be incorrect and are difficult to predict such as oil and gas prices; opera0onal hazards and drilling risks; poten0al failure to achieve, and poten0al delays in achieving expected reserves or produc0on levels from exis0ng and future oil and gas development projects; unsuccessful exploratory ac0vi0es; unexpected cost increases or technical difficul0es in construc0ng, maintaining or modifying company facili0es; interna0onal monetary condi0ons and exchange controls; poten0al liability for remedial ac0ons under exis0ng or future environmental regula0ons or from pending or future li0ga0on; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domes0c or interna0onal financial markets; general domes0c and interna0onal economic and poli0cal condi0ons, as well as changes in tax, environmental and other laws applicable to ConocoPhillips’ business and other economic, business, compe00ve and/or regulatory factors affec0ng ConocoPhillips’ business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips’ filings with the Securi0es and Exchange Commission (SEC). We cau0on you not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which are only as of the date of this presenta0on or as otherwise indicated, and we expressly disclaim any responsibility for upda0ng such informa0on. Use of non-GAAP financial informa0on – This presenta0on may include non-GAAP financial measures, which help facilitate comparison of company opera0ng performance across periods and with peer

  • companies. Any non-GAAP measures included herein will be accompanied by a reconcilia0on to the

nearest corresponding GAAP measure on our website at www.conocophillips.com/nongaap. Cau0onary Note to U.S. Investors – The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserves. We use the term "resource" in this presenta0on that the SEC’s guidelines prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the oil and gas disclosures in our Form 10-K and other reports and filings with the SEC. Copies are available from the SEC and from the ConocoPhillips website.

Nabors Rig Kuparuk

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Safety

0.59 0.67 0.53 0.22 0.33 0.32 0.28 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD

Total Recordable Incident Rate

3

Note: 2015 YTD represents Jan - Oct

Achieving an Incident-Free Culture is a core value for ConocoPhillips The collecIve efforts of our contractors have helped us achieve a significant change in safety performance

Achieved 127 days of incident-free operaIons – Record Result

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$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 2015 Budget Approval $13.5B

ConocoPhillips Leading Through Industry Downturn

Brent Price $/BBL

2014 BoD Strategy 2015 Capex - $ 16.5B Q4 Call 2015 Capex - $11.5B

>30%

2015 CAPITAL BUDGET

REDUCED IN 4 MONTHS

  • Scenario planning used to assess low price/

high output possibility

  • Tidal Wave considered – more extreme than

an0cipated

  • Ac0on – COP reduced “long” exposure; focus
  • n conven0onal/unconven0onal opportuni0es
  • Alaska investment influenced by state/federal

policies

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SLIDE 5

Ac0ons Taken

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  • Established Margin Improvement Team to improve

how we operate

  • Partnering with suppliers and other stakeholders to

find addiIonal efficiencies

  • Workforce raIonalizaIon

COP is posi)oning to deal with price vola)lity

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SLIDE 6

Medium-Term U.S. Tight Oil Response to Oil Prices

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Source: ConocoPhillips, based on point forward economics and 100% reinvestment of free opera0ng cash flow. Annual averages modeled for top 8 0ght oil forma0ons.

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$ 4 / b b l $50/bbl $60/bbl

MMBD

$85 WTI

REQUIRED TO RESUME

PREVIOUS GROWTH TREND

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ConocoPhillips’ Capital Program Spend

7 $0.8 $1.1 $1.6 $1.4 2012 2013 2014 2015 Budget 2012 2013 2014 2015 Budget

33% Decrease ~ 2 x 2 1 2 S p e n d l e v e l

ConocoPhillips Capital Spend ($B)

$14.2 $11.5 $17.1 $15.5

Alaska Capital Spend ($B)

Alaska Development projects ~$3 billion gross and 40,000-50,000 BOPD gross by 2018

Recently lowered 2015 Capex projec0on to $10.2B

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More Drilling Rigs Since SB21 Passed

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Greater Kuparuk Area Projects: Drill Site 2S and 1H NEWS

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DS-2S 1H NEWS

MulI-phase meter

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Alpine Drill Site CD5

  • Total gross cost approximately $1.1 B
  • Peak gross produc0on ~16,000 BOPD (2016)
  • 6-mile gravel road with 4 bridges, 11.7 acre gravel

pad, and drillsite facili0es

  • 15-well development with poten0al for up to 33

wells

  • First oil achieved October 27, 2015

Project Status

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CD5 Nigliq Channel Bridge - Video

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Greater Mooses Tooth 1 (GMT1) – Funding Approved

  • First drill site in Greater Mooses Tooth Unit – roaded

development approved

  • Project scope
  • Poten0al for up to 33 well MWAG development
  • Connected to CD5 via 7.7 mile road and 2 bridges
  • Capital cost ~$900 MM gross
  • Summary
  • Schedule
  • Engineering

2015 - 2016

  • Begin fabrica0on

2016

  • Construc0on

2016-2018

  • Start drilling

2Q 2018

  • Est. first produc0on

December 2018

  • Peak est. NS employment: ~700 posi0ons
  • Peak produc0on: ~30 MBOPD gross (2019)

12 NPR-A Development: CD5, GMT1, & GMT2 GMT1 Drillsite

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Upcoming NPRA Projects: GMT2 and Explora0on

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GMT2

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AKLNG Update

  • Pre-FEED technical work progressing well
  • Commercial and fiscal nego0a0ons underway
  • Current market creates economic headwinds

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Project Status

LNG Plant Conceptual Layout Poten)al North Slope Gas Treatment Plant (GTP)

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AKLNG - Near Term Focus

15 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25

$ / mmbtu

$50 / bbl Brent Price

The majority of LNG plants and proposed projects would not be profitable with current LNG prices

LNG OperaIng Plants & Proposed Projects Cost of Service

Informa0on based on Wood Mackenzie's LNG Cost Model

Key Elements to Project Viability

  • Con0nue Pre-Feed Work
  • Focus on reducing cost of project
  • Address State specific ques0ons
  • Align on commercial agreements
  • Provide project clarity to legislature
  • Address enabling legisla0on

Cri)cal to finalize agreements necessary for State to address fiscal/par)cipa)on legisla)on

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How Do We Keep Up Investment Momentum?

  • Stable investment climate
  • Tax policy impacts investment decisions
  • Ra0onal, factual discussions on State fiscal challenges
  • Alignment – everyone pulling in same direcIon
  • Producers, labor, contractors, Na0ve corps, public
  • State and Producers work in collabora0ve manner
  • Stay the course on AKLNG
  • Par0cipa0on by the State as an equity owner
  • Close out commercial and fiscal agreements in 2016
  • Federal engagement

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Current Environment Requires Vision, Courage, Consistency …..and a Shared Vision