Combining Data Assimilation and Machine Learning to emulate a numerical model
Julien Brajard, Alberto Carrassi, Marc Bocquet, Laurent Bertino 05 June 2019
NERSC, LOCEAN-IPSL-Sorbonne Université, CEREA 1
Combining Data Assimilation and Machine Learning to emulate a - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Combining Data Assimilation and Machine Learning to emulate a numerical model Julien Brajard, Alberto Carrassi, Marc Bocquet, Laurent Bertino 05 June 2019 NERSC, LOCEAN-IPSL-Sorbonne Universit, CEREA 1 Motivation Chloropyhll-a (Model) July
NERSC, LOCEAN-IPSL-Sorbonne Université, CEREA 1
TOPAZ4-ECOSMO forecast
MODIS Aqua
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TOPAZ4-ECOSMO forecast
MODIS Aqua
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TOPAZ4-ECOSMO forecast
MODIS Aqua
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1 W xk m k
W is a neural network parametrized by W and m k is a
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k ,
k is a
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Nx 1 2 1 2 Nx
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2(Nx + 1)(Nx + 2).
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2L+2
l=L+1
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2L+2
l=L+1
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K k
2 R
1 k
K k 1
1 2 Q
1 k
t.
K k 1
1 2 Q
1 k
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K
k=0
R−1
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k=1
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k
K k 1
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1 k
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k=0
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k=1
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k=1
Q−1
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δtr δta δtf ∆t t0 tK t0 tK T + Tf T y0 yK generating physical states learning step forecast step yk yk+1
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δtr δta δtf ∆t t0 tK t0 tK T + Tf T y0 yK generating physical states learning step forecast step yk yk+1
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2 4 6 8 10 12 14
1 2 3 4 5
Nc =1 Nc =2 Nc =3 Nc =4 Nc =5
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2−9 2−8 2−7 2−6 2−5 2−4 2−3 2−2 2−1
10−3.0 10−2.5 10−2.0 10−1.5 10−1.0 10−0.5 100.0 100.5 101.0
Aa − Ar2 Aa − Ar∞
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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 1 2 3 4 5
σy = 2−9 σy = 2−8 σy = 2−7 σy = 2−6 σy = 2−5 σy = 2−4 σy = 2−3 σy = 2−2 σy = 2−1
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k
k
k = xk + tk+1
tk
1 K using yobs
1 K, Estimation of W
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k
k
k = xk + tk+1
tk
1 K using yobs
1 K, Estimation of W
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k
k
k = xk + tk+1
tk
1:K using yobs
1 K, Estimation of W
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k
k
k = xk + tk+1
tk
1:K using yobs
1:K, Estimation of W
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k
k
k = xk + tk+1
tk
1:K using yobs
1:K, Estimation of W
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k
k
k = xk + tk+1
tk
1:K using yobs
1:K, Estimation of W
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k
k
k = xk + tk+1
tk
1:K using yobs
1:K, Estimation of W
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0:K
k
k ) + ϵobs k
t
k
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Marc Bocquet, Julien Brajard, Alberto Carrassi, and Laurent Bertino. Data assimilation as a deep learning tool to infer ODE representations of dynamical models. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions, pages 1–29, 2019. URL: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-2019-7, doi:10.5194/npg-2019-7.
Combining data assimilation and machine learning to emulate a dynamical model from sparse and noisy observations: a case study with the lorenz 96 model. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2019:1–21, 2019. URL: https://www.geosci-model-dev-discuss.net/gmd-2019-136/, doi:10.5194/gmd-2019-136.
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Marc Bocquet, Julien Brajard, Alberto Carrassi, and Laurent Bertino. Data assimilation as a deep learning tool to infer ODE representations of dynamical models. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions, pages 1–29, 2019. URL: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-2019-7, doi:10.5194/npg-2019-7.
Combining data assimilation and machine learning to emulate a dynamical model from sparse and noisy observations: a case study with the lorenz 96 model. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2019:1–21, 2019. URL: https://www.geosci-model-dev-discuss.net/gmd-2019-136/, doi:10.5194/gmd-2019-136.
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