Colour & Precision Top Physics Peter Skands (Monash University) - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

colour precision top physics
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Colour & Precision Top Physics Peter Skands (Monash University) - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Colour & Precision Top Physics Peter Skands (Monash University) Perturbative aspects of top physics The top quark mass Top quark modelling at colliders A new approach to coherence Non-perturbative aspects of top physics Collective effects


slide-1
SLIDE 1

VINCIA VINCIA

Colour & Precision Top Physics

Peter Skands (Monash University)

AIP Summer Meeting RMIT, December, 2019

Perturbative aspects of top physics

The top quark mass Top quark modelling at colliders A new approach to coherence

Non-perturbative aspects of top physics

Collective effects in pp collisions?

Quo Vadis?

slide-2
SLIDE 2 ๏Heaviest particle in the SM
  • mt ~ 170 GeV/c2 ~ mAu
  • Lifetime: 10-24 s (Γt ~ 1.5 GeV)
  • Mainly pair produced at colliders:
  • Complicated (cascade) decays:
  • The Top Quark

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 2

! ! ! !

t → bW + ¯ t → ¯ bW − W → {q¯ q0, `⌫}

wn elementary particle:

s e e . s g s h s p y s s s n t e

b Jet t W+ ¯ b ¯ q q ¯ ν l W– ¯ t p ¯ p

P Skands, Nature 514 (2014) 174 Illustration from:

q¯ q → t¯ t

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gg → t¯ t

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Dominates at LHC Dominated at Tevatron

Complex multi-body final states (+ hadronisation) ➜ highly nontrivial to measure mass with high precision (<1%)

๏b-quarks → b-jets

2

!

๏quarks → jets

b-quarks → b-jets

{

slide-3
SLIDE 3

(from corrections to Higgs potential, assuming no NP)

The Top Quark Mass

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 3
๏➤ Top-Higgs Yukawa coupling
  • Gateway to new physics
  • + SM vacuum stability
๏Definition
  • For this talk, pole mass ~ Breit-

Wigner mass ~ MC mass

  • Important to resolve “renormalon

ambiguity” ≲ 100 MeV; not the subject of this talk.

๏Recent Measurements
  • Running of top quark mass
  • Γt = 1.9 ± 0.5 GeV
  • LHC Δmt ~ 50 MeV ~ 0.3%

CMS-TOP-19-007

“this particular CMS result is mostly sensitive to uncertainties coming from the theoretical knowledge of the top quark in Quantum Chromodynamics”

ATLAS-CONF-2019-038

SM probably has metastable vacuum

Bezrukov et al.’12; Degrassi et al.’13; + several more recent works See eg LHCTopWG Twiki page

slide-4
SLIDE 4

What top quarks look like

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 4

t

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¯ t

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X X

In theory In practice p p

If you are measuring the top quark mass, you want to know: how accurately is this transfer function known/modelled? ➜ want “good physics” under the hood. + good validations (preferably in-situ).

mt e µ ET j j

Monte Carlo Event Generators: “Pythia", “Herwig”, … Decays, showers, hadronisation, …

slide-5
SLIDE 5 ๏More than just a (fixed-order perturbative) expansion in αs
  • The Physics of Hadronic Jets

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 5

Bremsstrahlung: accelerated particles radiate ⟷ Infinite-order perturbative structures of indefinite particle number ⟷ universal amplitude structures in QFT Confinement (strong gluon fields) ⟷ Hadronization phase transition ⟷ quantum-classical correspondence. Non- perturbative physics. String dynamics. String breaks. Hadrons ⟷ Spectroscopy (incl excited and exotic states), lattice QCD, (rare) decays, mixing, light nuclei. Hadron beams → multiparton interactions, diffraction, …

most of my research

slide-6
SLIDE 6

Types of Bremsstrahlung Showers

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 6
๏Parton Showers are based on iterated 1→2 splittings
  • Each parton undergoes a sequence of splittings
  • Exact in limit that one diagram dominates: collinear

splittings; good starting point for describing jets

Some interference effects can be included via “angular

  • rdering” or “dipole functions” (~partitioned interference terms)

(E,p) conservation achieved via (ambiguous) recoil effects

๏At Monash, we develop an Antenna Shower, in which splittings

are fundamentally 2→3 (+ working on 2→4…)

  • Evolution in terms of colour dipoles/antennae

+ Intrinsically coherent (to leading power of 1/NC2 ~ 10%)

+ Manifestly Lorentz invariant kinematics with local (E,p) cons.

(+ Markovian/Invertible: important for future applications)

+

2 2

+

2

Includes dipole interference

slide-7
SLIDE 7 ๏In limit Γt ~ 0, factorise production and decay
  • These stages are showered independently (regardless of which type of shower)

Modelling Top Pair Production and Decay

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 7

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

  • Resonance-Decay FSR shower
  • preserves Breit-Wigner shape
  • Production ISR + FSR shower

preserves Breit-Wigner shape

mt < Qevol < Qcut

PRODUCTION DECAY(S)

IF colour flow IF colour flow II colour flow I: initial F: final R: resonance

R F c

  • l
  • u

r fl

  • w

√s < Qevol < Qcut

Bremsstrahlung Showers (perturbative)

slide-8
SLIDE 8 ๏Would modify BW shape.
  • But expect small effects. Cutoff of perturbative shower Qcut ~ 1 GeV ; Γt ~ 1.5

GeV (in SM); Interference only from scales 1 GeV < Q < 1.5 GeV

๏➤ Ignored in narrow-width approximation (eg PYTHIA). ๏

Production showered to Qcut, decay as well.

An e+e- study found Δmt < 50 MeV but not repeated for LHC (to my knowledge)

mt < Qevol < Qcut

IF colour flow IF colour flow II colour flow I F c

  • l
  • u

r fl

  • w

R F c

  • l
  • u

r fl

  • w

√s < Qevol < Qcut

Interference between production and decay?

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 8

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

I: initial F: final R: resonance

Khoze, Sjöstrand, Phys.Lett. B328 (1994) 466 though see Ravasio et al, Eur.Phys.J. C78 (2018) no.6, 458

slide-9
SLIDE 9 ๏Default “Pythia” showers not fully coherent for “IF” or “RF” flows
  • All initial-state partons treated as II. (Some coherence by rapidity ~angular vetos)
  • All final-state partons treated as FF. (MECs ➤ 1st emission in top decay correct;

+ b mass corrections for all emissions.)

  • RF not coherent from 2nd emission onwards. (So eg Powheg does not help.)
  • Issues for soft wide-angle, recoil effects, and some phase-space effects.

IF colour flow IF colour flow II colour flow

R F c

  • l
  • u

r fl

  • w

Shower Ambiguities: Coherence

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 9

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

I: initial F: final R: resonance Recoils and phase space Recoils and phase space Recoils and phase space

slide-10
SLIDE 10 ๏Explicit IF and (recently) RF antennae
  • Based on coherent dipole-antenna patterns, with full t and b mass effects.
  • Collective recoils for RF emissions: coherent radiation recoils against “crossed” top
  • + VINCIA now integrated within PYTHIA 8.301
๏+ Under development (with H. Brooks, R. Verheyen, C. Preuss) ๏

Interleaved resonance decays ➤ interference between production and decays.

Matrix-Element Merging & Iterated ME Corrections. (So far it is a pure shower.)

Automated uncertainty variations (in the same style as internal Pythia 8 ones).

Electroweak showers, second-order antenna functions, …

IF colour flow IF colour flow II colour flow

R F c

  • l
  • u

r fl

  • w

Coherence in VINCIA

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 10

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

I: initial F: final R: resonance

Brooks, Skands, Phys.Rev. D100 (2019) no.7, 076006 ARXIV:1907.08980

( )

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Prime Motivation: Top Quark Mass

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 11

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

Slide from H. Brooks

“... the very minimal message that can be drawn from our work is that, in order to assess a meaningful theoretical error in top-mass measurements, the use of different shower models, associated with different NLO+PS generators, is mandatory.”

arXiv:1801.03944

Ravasio et al, Eur.Phys.J. C78 (2018) no.6, 458

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Coherence in Top Decay

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 12

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

Plot antenna function in top centre of mass frame (b along z):

45 90 135 180 225 270 315 1 2 3 4 5 6

log10(aRF

g/qqsAK) as a function of θjk in A COM frame

log(E/GeV) = 0.0 log(E/GeV) = 0.2 log(E/GeV) = 0.4 log(E/GeV) = 0.6 log(E/GeV) = 0.8 log(E/GeV) = 1.0 log(E/GeV) = 1.2 log(E/GeV) = 1.4 log(E/GeV) = 1.6 log(E/GeV) = 1.8 45 90 135 180 225 270 315 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

aRF g/qq Pgq(z)/Q2 as a function of θjk in A COM frame

log(E/GeV) = 0.0 log(E/GeV) = 0.2 log(E/GeV) = 0.4 log(E/GeV) = 0.6 log(E/GeV) = 0.8 log(E/GeV) = 1.0 log(E/GeV) = 1.2 log(E/GeV) = 1.4 log(E/GeV) = 1.6 log(E/GeV) = 1.8

Ratio to AP kernel Log of antenna function

Antenna function ➔ b-quark DGLAP splitting function in forwards (collienar) direction; coherence results in a suppression in the backwards (wide-angle) direction ➤ narrower b-jets

Slide from H. Brooks

Brooks, Skands, Phys.Rev. D100 (2019) no.7, 076006 ARXIV:1907.08980

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Matching with POWHEG

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 13

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

I Use POWHEG v2 (t¯

tdec)1 (no need for exact finite width effects)

I Very similar setup to matching

with PYTHIA in 2.

I Veto hardest emission in

production with

Vincia:QmaxMatch = 1

I Veto hardest emission in decay

with UserHooks interface ATLAS dileptoni

100 150 200 pT e + pT µ[GeV 0.8 1.0 1.2 Ratio to ATLAS data 10−4 10−3 10−2

1
  • d
d(pT e+pT µ)[GeV −1]

pp → t¯ t → b¯ b`+`−⌫¯ ⌫, √s = 8 TeV

1[1412.1828],[1509.0907] 2[1801.03944] 3Thanks to S. Ferrario Ravasio for providing an interface to H7

Slide from H. Brooks

Brooks, Skands, Phys.Rev. D100 (2019) no.7, 076006 ARXIV:1907.08980 168 170 172 174 176 178 mbj`+⌫`[GeV ] 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 Ratio to PYTHIA 8 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25

d dmbj `+` [pb/GeV]

pp → t¯ t → b¯ be+µ−νe¯ νµ, √s = 8 TeV PS+ MPI +POWHEG v2 PYTHIA 8 VINCIA HERWIG 7 (ang)

Parton Level

PYTHIA 8.301 released. Includes VINCIA with new resonance-final showers

Still to come in VINCIA: ME merging, multi-leg MECs, automated uncertainty bands, production-decay interference, electroweak showers, NLO antenna functions,…

PYTHIA-like HERWIG-like

Several subtleties about this shape, extensively commented on in 1907.08980

slide-14
SLIDE 14 ๏Will modify BW shape.

Affects hadronisation in b-jet and may (?) affect b→B transition. May (?) affect hadronic W hadronisation.

๏Colour Reconnections (CR): Current Paradigm
  • Partons from different MPI (or ee→WW) can be “close” in phase space.
  • Nature can make use of non-LC possibilities to minimise the confinement

potentials ➜ “QCD-inspired” model in PYTHIA (String Formation Beyond Leading

Colour, Christiansen + PS, JHEP 08 (2015) 003), and in various more or less explicit ways

informs most other models of CR.

  • NB: momentum transfer happens due to ambiguities in colour space; indirect

R F c

  • l
  • u

r fl

  • w

FF colour flow

Non-perturbative Effects

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 14

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

I F c

  • l
  • u

r fl

  • w

( f

  • r

Qcut < Q < Γ ) NP effects

?

t

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b

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W +

<latexit sha1_base64="SePMFtSP81sbhsAxcKiYv/wxe94=">AB6nicbVDLSgNBEOyNrxhfUY9eBoMgCGHXB+Y8OIxonlAsobZySQZMju7zPQKYcknePGgiFe/yJt/4yTZgyYWNBRV3XR3BbEUBl328mtrK6tb+Q3C1vbO7t7xf2DhokSzXidRTLSrYAaLoXidRQoeSvWnIaB5M1gdDP1m09cGxGpBxzH3A/pQIm+YBStdN98POsWS27ZnYEsEy8jJchQ6xa/Or2IJSFXyCQ1pu25Mfop1SiY5JNCJzE8pmxEB7xtqaIhN346O3VCTqzSI/1I21JIZurviZSGxozDwHaGFIdm0ZuK/3ntBPsVPxUqTpArNl/UTyTBiEz/Jj2hOUM5toQyLeythA2pgxtOgUbgrf48jJpnJe9i/LV3WpWsniyMRHMpeHANVbiFGtSBwQCe4RXeHOm8O/Ox7w152Qzh/AHzucPzgCNdQ=</latexit>

u

<latexit sha1_base64="GyliwZD54M1zv/CVe0koSjXyjMU=">AB6HicbVDLSgNBEOz1GeMr6tHLYBA8hV0fmGPAi8cEzAOSJcxOepMxs7PLzKwQlnyBFw+KePWTvPk3TpI9aGJBQ1HVTXdXkAiujet+O2vrG5tb24Wd4u7e/sFh6ei4peNUMWyWMSqE1CNgktsGm4EdhKFNAoEtoPx3cxvP6HSPJYPZpKgH9Gh5CFn1FipkfZLZbfizkFWiZeTMuSo90tfvUHM0gilYJq3fXcxPgZVYzgdNiL9WYUDamQ+xaKmE2s/mh07JuVUGJIyVLWnIXP09kdFI60kU2M6ImpFe9mbif143NWHVz7hMUoOSLRaFqSAmJrOvyYArZEZMLKFMcXsrYSOqKDM2m6INwVt+eZW0LiveVeWmcV2uVfM4CnAKZ3ABHtxCDe6hDk1gPAMr/DmPDovzrvzsWhdc/KZE/gD5/MH4O+M9g=</latexit>

¯ d

<latexit sha1_base64="j3BahIR7Ux2IYovR/qMGP5wtW8s=">AB7nicbVBNS8NAEJ3Ur1q/qh69LBbBU0n8wB4LXjxWsB/QhrLZbNqlm03YnQgl9Ed48aCIV3+PN/+N2zYHrT4YeLw3w8y8IJXCoOt+OaW19Y3NrfJ2ZWd3b/+genjUMUmGW+zRCa6F1DpVC8jQIl76Wa0ziQvBtMbud+95FrIxL1gNOU+zEdKREJRtFK3UFAdR7OhtWaW3cXIH+JV5AaFGgNq5+DMGFZzBUySY3pe26Kfk41Cib5rDLIDE8pm9AR71uqaMyNny/OnZEzq4QkSrQthWSh/pzIaWzMNA5sZ0xbFa9ufif18wavi5UGmGXLHloiTBMy/52EQnOGcmoJZVrYWwkbU0Z2oQqNgRv9eW/pHNR9y7r1/dXtWajiKMJ3AK5+DBDThDlrQBgYTeIXeHVS59l5c96XrSWnmDmGX3A+vgGE1o+q</latexit>
slide-15
SLIDE 15

New / Emerging Paradigm

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 15

MO NA S H U.

๏LHC has discovered new non-perturbative QCD phenomena in pp,

like CMS “ridge” and ALICE strangeness enhancement vs multiplicity

  • These effects do not seem to be explicable solely in terms of CR.
๏➤ New paradigm: new non-perturbative dynamics (interactions) ๏New Models:
  • Lund/NBI: Collective Strings 1: (Swing) + Colour Ropes + String Shoving
  • Monash: Collective Strings 2: (QCD CR) + Dynamic String Tensions + Repulsion
  • Lund: Strings with Spacetime Information + Hadron Rescattering
  • Herwig: Cluster Model with spacetime CR + Dynamic strangeness enhancement
  • Epos: Core/Corona picture with QGP-like thermal effects in core component

VINCIA

Expect additional hadron-level effects of order ΛQCD, beyond “conventional” CR.

slide-16
SLIDE 16

Good, Bad, or Irrelevant for Top Physics?

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 16

MO NA S H U.

๏Good?
  • CR is difficult to constrain directly. (Hence we still have a plethora of models.)
  • But strangeness and baryon enhancements leave clear smoking-gun traces.
๏Bad?
  • Expect additional hadron-level effects of order ΛQCD, beyond “conventional” CR.
  • E.g., if strings push on each other, that could exchange momenta of order ΛQCD (per

unit rapidity!) between top system and MPI.

  • And/or if Bs/B and Λb/B rates are affected ➤ modifications to B spectra (+decays)
๏Irrelevant?
  • Like CR, effects may primarily affect the “soft bulk” of particle production (~ the UE),
  • (Tips of) high-pT jets may not be significantly affected.
๏Need collaboration with experimentalists to devise dedicated observables

(➤tests ➤constraints) on non-perturbative dynamics in top events (in situ).

VINCIA

… which should scale with UE density

slide-17
SLIDE 17

Summary

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 17

MO NA S H U.

๏Top:
  • The only coloured resonance in SM that decays before it hadronises
  • Largest Yukawa coupling in the SM (➜ largest mass)
  • Important as a window to new physics and as background to new physics
๏Outlook:
  • Aiming for Δmt/mt < 1% implies controlling corrections at the 100-MeV level.
  • ➜ Accurate physics models (incl. coherence, NLO / ME corrections, etc.)
  • ➜ Non-perturbative QCD. Toy models of colour reconnections were ~ sufficient

in Tevatron era, but cannot be relied upon to deliver the goods (= exhaustive non-perturbative uncertainties) at sub-100-MeV level.

  • LHC itself is providing hard evidence for new non-perturbative phenomena

VINCIA

Need for collaboration with top physics community on in-situ measurements to better constrain non-pert. aspects like strangeness in top jets, Bs/B, …

slide-18
SLIDE 18

Questions / Discussion ?

slide-19
SLIDE 19

NOTE ON DIFFERENT ALPHA(S) CHOICES

PETER S KA NDS

  • 19

M O N A S H U.

1 −

10 1

s

α Value of

s

α

=5

max F

n

MSbar 0.1188 2L )

=5

max F

n

Pythia Monash 2013 (0.1365 1L )

=5

max F

n

Sherpa (CMW 0.1188 2L

1 2

) [GeV]

T

Log10(p 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 Ratio

“PDG”

Default PYTHIA uses a large value of αs(MZ) to agree with NLO 3-jet rate at LEP Slower pace of 1-loop running allows to have similar ΛQCD as PDG With CMW, IR pole shifts upwards

αs

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slide-20
SLIDE 20

SCALE VARIATIONS: HOW BIG?

PETER S KA NDS

  • 20

M O N A S H U.

๏Scale variations induce ‘artificial’ terms beyond truncated order in QFT ~

Allow the calculation to float by (1+O(αs)).

๏Mainstream view:
  • Regard scale dependence as unphysical / leftover artefact of our

mathematical procedure to perform the calculations.

  • Dependence on it has to vanish in the ‘ultimate solution’ to QFT
  • → Terms beyond calculated orders must sum up to at least kill μ dependence
  • Such variations are thus regarded as a useful indication of the size of

uncalculated terms. (Strictly speaking, only a lower bound!)

Typical choice (in fixed-order calculations): k ~ [0.5,1,2]

Note: In PYTHIA you specify k2

TimeShower:renormMultFac SpaceShower:renormMultFac

αs(k2

1µ2)

αs(k2

2µ2) ∼ 1 − b0 ln(k2 1/k2 2)αs(µ2)

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b0 ∼ 0.65 ± 0.07

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Flavour-dependent slope of order 1 Expansion around μ only sensible if this stays ≲ 1 Proportionality to αs(μ) ⟹ can get a (misleadingly?) small band if you choose central μ scale very large. E.g., some calculations use μ ~ HT ~ largest scale in event ?! Worth keeping in mind when considering (uncertainty on) central μ choice

slide-21
SLIDE 21

Shower Uncertainties: Scale Variations

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 21

MO NA S H U.

๏What do parton showers do?
  • In principle, LO shower kernels proportional to αs

Naively: do factor-2 variations of μPS.

  • There are at least 3 reasons this could be too conservative

VINCIA

  • 1. For soft gluon emissions, we know what the NLO term is

→ even if you do not use explicit NLO kernels, you are effectively NLO (in the soft gluon limit) if you are coherent and use μPS = (kCMW pT), with 2-loop running and kCMW ~ 0.65 (somewhat nf-dependent). [Though there are many ways to skin that cat; see next slides.] Ignoring this, a brute-force scale variation destroys the NLO-level agreement.

  • 2. Although hard to quantify, showers typically achieve better-than-LL accuracy

by accounting for further physical effects like (E,p) conservation

  • 3. We see empirically that (well-tuned) showers tend to stay far inside the

envelope spanned by factor-2 variations in comparison to data

See e.g., Perugia radHi and radLo variations on mcplots.cern.ch

slide-22
SLIDE 22

Scale Variations: How Big?

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 22

MO NA S H U.

๏Poor man’s recipe: Use ?
  • Sure … but still rather arbitrary
๏Instead: add compensation term to

preserve soft-gluon limit at O(αs2)

  • Allowing full factor-2 outside that limit.
๏Several MCs now implement such

compensation terms, at least in context of automated uncertainty bands.

  • Warning: aggressive definitions can lead to
  • vercompensation / extremely optimistic

predictions → very small uncertainty bands.

  • For PYTHIA, we chose a rather conservative

definition ➤ larger bands.

VINCIA

√ 2

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P 0(t, z) = αs(kp?) 2π ✓ 1 + (1 − ζ)αs(µmax) 2π β0 ln k ◆ P(z) t

− ζ = 8 < : z for splittings with a 1/z singularity 1 − z for splittings with a 1/(1 − z) singularity min(z, 1 − z) for splittings with a 1/(z(1 − z)) singularity

Kills the compensation outside the soft limit Small absolute size

  • f compensation

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Theory/Data

1-Thrust (udsc) L3

10

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

Theory/Data 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4

3

10 hadrons → ee

91.2 GeV

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

Theory/Data 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4

L3 Pythia

T

=0.5p µ Pythia

T

=2.0p µ Pythia

+ compensation terms

×2

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×2

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(with no compensation terms)

× √ 2

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  • S. Mrenna & PS: PRD94(2016)074005; arXiv:1605.08352
slide-23
SLIDE 23

HOW MANY PARAMETERS TO VARY?

PETER S KA NDS

  • 23

M O N A S H U.

๏There is of course only a single αs in nature
  • But remember we are here just using scale variations as a stand-in for unknown

higher-order terms.

๏ISR and FSR kernels receive different NLO corrections
  • Physically, ISR also has additional ambiguity tied to the PDF
  • ISR and FSR have different phase spaces and affect physical observables differently

FSR: JET SHAPES, OOC, HEAVY-FLAVOUR PARTON ENERGY LOSS, …

ISR: RECOILS TO HARD SYSTEM; SOFT ISR INCREASES OVERALL HT. HARD ISR → NJETS.

๏I therefore conceive of ISR and FSR variations as separate things
  • (Yes, there are overlapping cases, most obviously when colour flows from initial to

final state, as in ttbar: initial-final antennae, and also for subleading colour effects.)

๏Not to forget (but not main topics of this talk):
  • PDFs, functional form of central choices of factorisation and renormalisation scales,

nonsingular parameters, subleading colour, local vs global recoils …

slide-24
SLIDE 24

Correlated or Uncorrelated?

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 24

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

What I would do: 7-point variation (resources permitting → use the automated bands?)

αISR

s

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αFSR

s

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C

  • r

r e l a t e d V a r i a t i

  • n

s

Increasing both ISR and FSR ➠ More HT in the events. ➠ More OOC loss (from FSR) but also more HT and more hard ISR jet seeds → partial cancellation in Njets? Increasing only FSR

➠More OOC loss (FSR jet broadening), acting on

similar number of seed partons (no increase in ISR).

➠Similar HT

Increasing FSR, Decreasing ISR

➠Double counting? Fewer ISR partons, and more

smearing of those that remain. (Easy to rule out?)

➠Also from theoretical/mathematical point of view,

the artificially induced discrepancy is now proportional to ln(16) = 2.8 instead of ln(4) = 1.4. Increasing only ISR ➠ More HT and Njets; similar core jet shapes

Note: I would also do splitting-kernel variations (see extra slides)

slide-25
SLIDE 25

/d(1-T) σ d σ 1/

4 −

10

3 −

10

2 −

10

1 −

10 1 10

2

10

3

10

1-Thrust (udsc)

Pythia 8.215 Data from Phys.Rept. 399 (2004) 71

L3 Pythia

T

=0.5p µ Pythia

T

=2.0p µ Pythia

bins /N 2 5% χ 0.1 ± 0.4 1.1 ± 30.2 0.3 ± 10.2 V I N C I A R O O T

hadrons → ee

91.2 GeV

1-T (udsc)

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

Theory/Data 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4

  • → bands

AUTOMATED SHOWER UNCERTAINTY BANDS/WEIGHTS

PETER S KA NDS

  • 25

M O N A S H U.

๏Idea: perform a shower with nominal settings
  • Ask: what would the probability of obtaining this event have been with different

choices of μR, radiation kernels, … ?

  • Easy to calculate reweighting factors
๏Output: vector of weights for each event
  • One for the nominal settings (unity)
  • + Alternative weight for each variation

R0

acc(t) = P 0 acc(t)

Pacc(t)

In MC accept/reject algorithm:

∀ Accepted Branchings: ∀ Rejected Branchings: R0

rej(t) = 1 − P 0 acc(t)

1 − Pacc(t)

๏(Note: similar functionality also in Herwig++ and Sherpa; see 1605.08256 1606.08753)

for all branchings

Giele, Kosower, Skands PRD84 (2011) 054003 Mrenna, Skands Phys.Rev. D94 (2016) 074005

slide-26
SLIDE 26

PYTHIA 8: S. Mrenna & PS: PRD94(2016)074005; arXiv:1605.08352

How to test if “More” ME Corrections needed?

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 26

MO NA S H U.

๏The soft and collinear enhanced

(singular) terms in the shower kernels are universal, process-independent

  • Matrix Elements contain the same

information, plus process-specific non- singular terms.

  • The shower singularities dominate for

soft and collinear radiation

  • The process-specific non-singular terms

dominate for hard radiation

๏Suggestion: add nuisance

parameter = arbitrary nonsingular term to shower kernels, and vary to estimate sensitivity to missing ME terms

VINCIA

VINCIA: Giele, Kosower & PS: PRD84(2011)054003; arXiv:1102.2126 Note: by definition, any fit of such a nuisance parameter would be process-specific

10

1-T (udsc)

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Theory/Data 0.5 1 1.5

1-Thrust (udsc) L3

3

10 hadrons → ee

91.2 GeV

10

1-T (udsc)

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Theory/Data 0.5 1 1.5

No ME Corrections With (LO) ME Corrections

Blue: μPS Red: P(z) ± nuisance Blue: μPS Red: P(z) ± nuisance

slide-27
SLIDE 27

AUTOMATED SHOWER UNCERTAINTY BANDS/WEIGHTS

PETER S KA NDS

  • 27

M O N A S H U.

๏(Note: similar functionality also in Herwig++ and Sherpa; see 1605.08256 1606.08753)

Mrenna, Skands Phys.Rev. D94 (2016) 074005

The benefits: only a single sample needs to be generated, hadronised, passed through detector simulation, etc. Can add arbitrarily many (combinations of) variations (if supported by code) The drawback: effective statistical precision of uncertainty bands computed this way (from varying weights) is always less than that of the central sample (which typically has all weights =

slide-28
SLIDE 28

SETTINGS FOR AUTOMATED 7-POINT VARIATION

PETER S KA NDS

  • 28

M O N A S H U.

๏7-Point scale variations
  • Based on factor-2 variations with NLO soft compensation term ON
  • + some nonsingular-term variations to estimate sensitivity to

process-dependent finite terms (signaling need for further ME corrections)

UncertaintyBands:doVariations = on UncertaintyBands:muSoftCorr = on UncertaintyBands:List = { radHi fsr:muRfac=0.5 isr:muRfac=0.5, fsrHi fsr:muRfac=0.5, isrHi isr:muRfac=0.5, radLo fsr:muRfac=2.0 isr:muRfac=2.0, fsrLo fsr:muRfac=2.0, isrLo isr:muRfac=2.0, fsrHardHi fsr:cNS=2.0, fsrHardLo fsr:cNS=-2.0, isrHardHi isr:cNS=2.0, isrHardLo isr:cNS=-2.0 }

Note: the soft compensation term may be too conservative especially for ISR We’d welcome feedback on

slide-29
SLIDE 29

CR: Recommendations

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 29

MO NA S H U.

๏Pythia Default CR Model
  • LC structure of hard process always preserved as “backbone” of non-

perturbative string topology

  • With probability defined by strength parameter, partons from MPI are (or are

not) allowed to be added as kinks on this structure

  • Decent starting point, but in context of uncertainties even on/off variation

does not span space of physical possibilities, even with ERD on/off.

๏Recommend to include at least one of the alternative models
  • QCD-inspired: allows stochastic sampling of possibilities beyond LC.

Qualitatively different from default model

Generally still predicts reasonably small effects.

Not designed to be extreme: conservative enough as variation?

  • Gluon-Move etc: More “brute force” changes to topologies, some of which

are intentionally designed to be extreme. Can have very large effects.

VINCIA

slide-30
SLIDE 30

Comments on b fragmentation

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 30

MO NA S H U.

๏The Monash tune for heavy flavour [see section 2.3]
  • Constrained by LEP event shapes (incl b tagged), jet rates + particle rates
  • ➤ Relatively large value of TimeShower:alphaSvalue = 0.1365

Regarded at least in part as making up for NLO K-factor for ee→3 jets (Pythia only accurate to LO for 3 jets).

Consistent with 3-flavour ΛQCD ~ 0.35 GeV (since we use 1-loop running)

Not guaranteed to be universal. LHC studies tend to prefer lower values

E.g., A14 uses TimeShower:alphaSvalue = 0.129 (could be reinterpreted via CMW to MSbar alphaS(mZ) ~ 0.12 so consistent with world average.)

(but I would then also change to 2-loop running; would preserve ΛQCD value)

  • Non-Perturbative b-fragmentation parameter rb constrained by measured xB

spectra of weakly decaying B hadrons.

  • ➤ StringZ:rFactB = 0.88.

VINCIA Skands, Carazza, Rojo, Eur.Phys.J. C74 (2014) no.8, 3024

Unrealistic to constrain to better than 10% without careful studies of correlations with other NP parameters (eg Lund a, b, sigmaPT, and alphaS values), global observables, LEP ⟷ LHC checks, etc. (And even then, there is an a priori theory/modelling uncertainty.)

slide-31
SLIDE 31

LEP B Fragmentation

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 31

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

3 −

10

2 −

10

1 −

10 1

Moment

(moments)

weak B

x

Data from Eur. Phys. J. C71 (2011) 1557

LEP (combined) Pythia-8.301 A14 1.05

b

A14+r A14+2L vincia {91.2 GeV} q q → Z

10 20 30 40

N 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Theory/Data (Monash)

Lower αS ➤ B spectrum too hard

(Monash; deliberately slightly hard for global reasons)

Increasing rb (0.88⇾1.05) or changing to 2-loop running. Both reestablish agreement but will scale differently Moments of xB distribution (easier / clearer to look at than spectrum itself) Also note: lower value of αs(MZ) ➤ lower 3-jet rate ➤ wrong 2- vs 3-jet mixture (relative to data sample)? Do reweighting?

Question: possible to do in-situ constraints or at least cross checks in top / inclusive b / … at LHC?

slide-32
SLIDE 32

Using a lower value of αs(MZ): what happens?

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 32

MO NA S H U.

๏Option 1. Keep 1-loop running ➤ lower value of ΛQCD
  • Different IR limit of shower ➤ retune (all) non-perturbative parameters.
  • Problem: lower value of αs(MZ) ➤ lower 3-jet rate. Cannot tune to data

that includes 3-jet events (like inclusive xB) without separate 3-jet correction; do reweighting for 3-jet rate (or NLO merging).

  • Or: could use xB from sample of excl 2-jet events (3-jet veto), but I am not

aware that such conditional xB spectra were measured? Could they be?

  • Or: if your new αs(MZ) value describes LHC jet shapes well, could you

constrain rb in-situ from b→B measurements at LHC?

๏Option 2. Change to 2-loop running ➤ keep ΛQCD ~ unchanged
  • ➤ Reduced need to retune (though precision would still require retuning)
  • (E.g. VINCIA uses CMW with alphaSvalue = 0.118, 2-loop running, and μR = 0.8pT)

VINCIA

slide-33
SLIDE 33

Recommendations: (t→)b→B fragmentation

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 33

MO NA S H U.

๏Perturbative stage is important in the context of (re)tuning.
  • Hard process + showers + merging: b(QF) → b(Qcut)
  • Non-perturbative parameters (HAD+MPI+CR): b(Qcut) → B
  • These two components scale differently. Non-universal to force the

latter to make up for shortcomings in the former.

๏At LEP

, amount of perturbative radiation emitted from b can be validated / controlled by 3-jet rate (in b-tagged events)

  • In top events, presumably b-jet substructure and/or rate of additional jets

“near” the b-jet can be used to check if the b is losing the “right” amount of energy from perturbative radiation?

  • Constrain rb in-situ? xB spectra in inclusive b jets?
  • Lesson from LEP: process-dependent factors (eg NLO 3-jet rate) can

affect precision tuning ➤ larger uncertainties if not carefully controlled.

VINCIA

slide-34
SLIDE 34

Effect of Kinematics Map

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 34

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

Consider average recoil |∆~ pW |, after first and second emission(s). Recoil after first:

100 101 pT evol [GeV] 20 40 60 80 |∆~ pW | [GeV] PYTHIA 8 (W recoil map) VINCIA (W recoil map) VINCIA (default map)

Recoil after second:

100 101 pT evol [GeV] 20 40 60 |∆~ pW | [GeV] PYTHIA 8 (W recoil map) VINCIA (W recoil map) VINCIA (default map)

Second branching: Collective RF map → less recoil to W First branching: there is only the W

slide-35
SLIDE 35

(Coherence In Production)

HE LEN B RO O K S & P E TE R SK A N D S

  • 35

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

50 100 150 200 250 pT (t¯ t) [GeV] 1 2 Ratio to HERWIG 7 ang −1.00 −0.75 −0.50 −0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 AF B(pT (t¯ t)) p¯ p → t¯ t √s = 1.96 TeV PS only (no MPI) PYTHIA 8 HERWIG 7 angular HERWIG 7 dipole VINCIA

Forward-backwards asymmetry: AFB(O) =

dσ dO

  • ∆y>0 − dσ

dO

  • ∆y<0

dσ dO

  • ∆y>0 + dσ

dO

  • ∆y<0

Coherent showers include part of the real emission correction that generates a FB asymmetry that becomes negative for large pT (t¯ t). [1205.1466]

(b) _ _ _ _ q q (a) q t t t q q q q q t t q q

Well-studied effect in p-pbar collisions Top quark FB asymmetry

PS, Webber, Winter JHEP 1207 (2012) 151

Coherent showers produce a pTdependent asymmetry Herwig7 dipole shower exhibits exactly same behaviour as VINCIA

slide-36
SLIDE 36 ๏VINCIA gives narrower b-jets than Pythia 8
  • Effect survives MPI + hadronisation

B-Jet Profiles

HE LEN B RO O K S & P E TE R SK A N D S

  • 36

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 r 0.5 1.0 1.5 Ratio to PYTHIA 8 10−2 10−1 100 101 (r) pp → t¯ t → b¯ b`+`−⌫¯ ⌫, √s = 13 TeV PS only (no MPI) pT bj ∈ [30, 50] GeV Qcut ∈ [0.5, 1.0] GeV PYTHIA 8 VINCIA 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 r 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 Ratio to PYTHIA 8 10−1 100 101 (r) pp → t¯ t → b¯ b`+`−⌫¯ ⌫, √s = 13 TeV PS + MPI + had pT bj ∈ [30, 50] GeV Qcut ∈ [0.5, 1.0] GeV PYTHIA 8 VINCIA

Shower only Shower + MPI + Hadr

Tentative conclusion: more coherence ~ more wide-angle suppression?

*Also agrees with intuition from dipole language where “top dipole” can be negative

Differential jet shape ρ(r)

slide-37
SLIDE 37

Parton Level

168 170 172 174 176 178 mbj`+⌫`[GeV ] 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 Ratio to PYTHIA 8 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25

d dmbj `+` [pb/GeV]

pp → t¯ t → b¯ be+µ−νe¯ νµ, √s = 8 TeV PS+ MPI +POWHEG v2 PYTHIA 8 VINCIA HERWIG 7 (ang)

Top Mass Profile @ 8 TeV : Parton Level

P E T ER SK A ND S

  • 37

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

p¯ p → t¯ t @ 8 TeV: mbj`⌫

Monte-Carlo “truth” (parton-level) analysis:

I Assumes we can reconstruct pν and match correct `, bj pair.

Pythia has little population in the low tail. Ascribed to an artificially small phase space (due to a non- coloured dipole) from the 2nd emission onwards. Many subtleties related to this, especially when combined with POWHEG. Commented on and illustrated extensively in arXiv:1907.08980 “Cured” in VINCIA.

PYTHIA-like HERWIG-like

VINCIA ~ HERWIG-like below mt ~ PYTHIA-like above mt

Slide from H. Brooks

Brooks, Skands, Phys.Rev. D100 (2019) no.7, 076006 ARXIV:1907.08980

PYTHIA 8.301 released. Includes VINCIA with new resonance-final showers Not yet recommended for main production runs, but need your feedback.

Still to come in VINCIA: multi-leg MECs, automated uncertainty bands, production-decay interference, electroweak showers, NLO antenna functions,…

slide-38
SLIDE 38

Top Mass Profile @ 8 TeV

HE LEN B RO O K S & P E TE R SK A N D S

  • 38

MO NA S H U.

VINCIA

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 mbjµ[GeV ] 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Ratio to PYTHIA 8 10−4 10−3 10−2

dσ dmbj µ [pb/GeV]

pp → t¯ t → b¯ be+µ−νe¯ νµ, √s = 8 TeV PS+ MPI+had+POWHEG v2 PYTHIA 8 VINCIA HERWIG 7 (ang)

p¯ p → t¯ t @ 8 TeV: mbjµ

Full hadron-level analysis: choose pairing for `, bj that minimise average mass. Again, note endpoint. Note Endpoint (example of a realistic observable)

Plot from H. Brooks