Civic Improvement Corporation Junior Lien Wastewater System Revenue - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

City of Phoenix Civic Improvement Corporation Junior Lien Wastewater System Revenue Refunding Bonds, Series 2016

Presented by the City of Phoenix October 25, 2016

Investor Presentation

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Disclaimer

This electronic Investor Presentation you are about to view is provided as of October 25, 2016 for a proposed offering by the City of Phoenix, Arizona (the “City”), through the City of Phoenix Civic Improvement Corporation, of the Junior Lien Wastewater System Revenue Refunding Bonds, Series 2016 (the “Bonds”). Market prices, financial data, and other information provided herein are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. If you are viewing this presentation after October 25, 2016, there may have been events that occurred subsequent to such date that would have a material adverse effect on the financial information that is presented herein, and neither the City, nor Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, as representative of the Underwriters, have undertaken any

• bligation to update this electronic presentation.

This Investor Presentation is provided for your information and convenience only. By accessing this presentation, you agree not to duplicate, copy, download, screen capture, electronically store or record this Investor Presentation, or to produce, publish or distribute this Investor Presentation in any form whatsoever. This Investor Presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an

• ffer to buy any security or other financial instrument, including the Bonds, or to adopt any investment strategy. Any offer or solicitation

with respect to the Bonds will be made solely by means of the Preliminary Official Statement or Official Statement, which describe the actual terms of such Bonds. The Underwriters make no representations as to the legal, tax, credit or accounting treatment of any transactions mentioned herein, or any other effects such transactions may have on you and your affiliates or any other parties to such transactions and their respective affiliates. In no event shall the Underwriters or the Issuer be liable for any use by any party of, for any decision made or action taken by any party in reliance upon, or for any inaccuracies or errors in, or omissions from, the information contained herein and such information may not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of participating in any transaction mentioned herein. Nothing in these materials constitutes a commitment by the Underwriters or any of their affiliates to enter into any

• transaction. No assurance can be given that any transaction mentioned herein could in fact be executed. Any investment decision

regarding the Bonds should only be made after a careful review of the complete Preliminary Official Statement. You will be responsible for consulting with your own advisors and making your own independent investigation and appraisal of the risks, benefits, appropriateness and suitability of the proposed transaction and any other transactions contemplated by this presentation, and the Issuer and the Underwriters are not making any recommendations (personal or otherwise) or giving any investment advice and will have no liability with respect thereto. Transactions involving the Bonds may not be suitable for all investors. You should consult with your own advisors as to the suitability of the Bonds for your particular circumstances. Past performance is not indicative of future returns, which will vary. This Investor Presentation may contain “forward‐looking” statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. If the risks or uncertainties ever materialize or the assumptions prove incorrect, the results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward‐looking statements. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these statements. All statements other than the statements of historical fact could be deemed forward‐looking. All opinions, estimates, projections, forecasts and valuations are preliminary, indicative and are subject to change without notice. Prospective investors should contact their salesperson at, and execute transactions through the Underwriters for the Bonds qualified in their home jurisdiction unless governing law permits otherwise.

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Participants

City of Phoenix Finance Department City of Phoenix Water Services Department Financial Advisor Senior Manager

• Denise Olson, Chief Financial Officer
• Dennis Porter, Assistant Water

Services Director – Wastewater

Frasca & Associates

• Ken Cushine, Principal
• Jessica Soltz Rudd, Senior Director

Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC

• Richard Weiss, Executive Director

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Topics

• Transaction Summary
• City of Phoenix Overview
• Wastewater System Overview
• Five-Year Wastewater Capital Improvement Plan
• Financial Overview
• Plan of Finance
• Summary

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Transaction Summary

Series City of Phoenix Civic Improvement Corporation Junior Lien Wastewater System Revenue Refunding Bonds, Series 2016 Par Amount* $230,595,000 Federal Tax Status Tax-Exempt Amortization* Serial bonds maturing from 2017 through 2035 Security The Bonds are special, limited obligations of the Corporation payable solely from payments received under the City Purchase Agreement. Payments by the City are to be made solely from Designated Revenues of the Wastewater System, consisting of system revenues after payments of (a) all expenses of operations and (b) all payments required on any senior lien obligations payable from Net Operating Revenues Uses of Funds* (i) Refund a portion of the Corporation’s outstanding Junior Lien Wastewater System Revenue Bonds, Series 2007; and (ii) Pay the costs of issuance of the Bonds Optional Redemption* July 1, 2026 at par Ratings S&P: AA+ Stable; Moody's: Aa2 Stable Expected Pricing Date* Week of October 31, 2016 Settlement Date* Wednesday, November 16, 2016 Senior Manager Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC * Preliminary, subject to change

City of Phoenix Overview

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City of Phoenix Overview

• The City of Phoenix operates under a Council-Manager form of

government – The Phoenix City Council consists of a Mayor and eight Council members and is responsible for setting policy – The City Manager is responsible for executing Council policies and administering City operations

• 6th largest city in the U.S. based upon population – 1.53 million as of

July 2015 – population has grown 55% since 1990

• Greater Phoenix accounts for approximately 72.6% of Arizona’s

employment

• Phoenix unemployment rate of 4.8% is at its lowest since 2008, and

is below the U.S. rate of 4.9%

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Arizona Department of Administration, U.S. Department of Labor

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Employment Mix: Phoenix MSA and U.S.

• The Phoenix MSA is the largest economic center in the State with a healthy mix of employment

across industry sectors and mirrors that of the U.S.

• Since the end of the recession, Phoenix MSA employment has increased 13.6% compared with

9.3% nationally (June 2009 to July 2016)

• Phoenix MSA employment was up 3.4% year-to-date through July 2016, compared to an

increase of 1.8% nationally

Services 44.1% Government 15.5% Manufacturing 8.7% Construction 4.4% Trade 15.3% Financial Activities 5.8% Other 6.2% Services 46.1% Government 11.9% Manufacturing 6.2% Construction 5.1% Trade 16.1% Financial Activities 8.8% Other 5.8% 2016 Phoenix MSA Non-Farm Wage & Employment by Sector 2016 U.S. Non-Farm Wage & Employment by Sector

Sources: Arizona Department of Administration, U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

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Phoenix MSA Real Estate Market

• As of July 2016, median housing prices for new homes increased

2.5% compared to July 2015 and the median price for resale homes increased 7.5% over the same period

• As of the second quarter of 2016, the U.S. median sales price for an

existing (resale) single-family home was $240,700 and the median sales price for a similar home in Greater Phoenix was $234,700

• The median housing price in Greater Phoenix continues to remain

low relative to most major western cities such as Salt Lake City, Los Angeles, San Diego, Denver, Seattle and Austin

Sources: R.L. Brown, National Association of Realtors

Wastewater System Overview

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The Wastewater System

Overview

• Organized as a self-supporting enterprise fund within the

Water Services Department of the City

• The City’s Street Transportation Department is

responsible for stormwater

• City Council sets rates, budgets, and policy
• Rates are set to recover costs of service
• Water Services Department handles billing and

collections

• Services over 402,945 accounts in a 540 square mile area

with a service population of approximately 1.53 million

• The System currently satisfies applicable water quality

parameters

System Metrics

91st Avenue Wastewater Treatment Plant

Treatment Facilities 3 Treatment Capacity (mgd) 183.80 23rd Avenue WWTP 63.00 91st Avenue WWTP 112.80 Cave Creek WRP (currently inactive) 8.00 FY 2015-16 Annual Sewage Flow (mgd) 110.90 23rd Avenue WWTP 29.55 91st Avenue WWTP 81.35 System Excess Capacity (FY 2015-16) 72.90 mgd Miles of Sewer 4,839 Cleanouts 8,363

23rd Avenue Wastewater Treatment Plant

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I-17 91st Ave WWTP & Tres Rios Wetlands 23rd Ave WWTP Cave Creek WRP

CAP

I-10

Wastewater Treatment Facilities

Bell Rd

Wastewater Treatment Plant (WWTP) Water Reclamation Plant (WRP)

12 402,945 Total Accounts Billed Volume – 61,336,605 ccf

FY 2014-15 Wastewater User Account Characteristics

Accounts by User Group Billed Volume by User Group

■ Single-Family ■ Multi-Family ■ Non-Residential

• The largest single wastewater customer is the City of Phoenix, which accounted for 1.2%
• f wastewater rate revenue
• The top ten customers accounted for $8,176,329 (4.5%) of total wastewater rate revenue

90% 4% 6% 56% 21% 23%

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Historical Growth of Wastewater System

* In FY 2011, a new billing system changed the methodology of determining the number of accounts

The City’s wastewater system has enjoyed stable growth since FY 2012 1.4% compound annual growth rate since FY 2004

Accounts (Thousands) 344 353 365 373 375 374 373 391 394 398 403 403 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012 2013 2014 2015 Thousands Number of Accounts

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Wastewater Average Monthly Single Family Bill Amount

Source: City of Phoenix, April 2016

Phoenix has the 4th lowest combined water and wastewater rates among the 20 largest U.S. cities

$238 $177 $159 $142 $134 $127 $126 $121 $111 $107 $106 $106 $104 $93 $85 $79 $60 $46 $45 $44 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 Sewer Bill Water Bill

Five-Year Wastewater Capital Improvement Plan

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The Wastewater CIP includes: 1) Projects for System studies 2) Modifications at the 91st Avenue and 23rd Avenue Wastewater Treatment Plants 3) Improvements to odor control facilities and transmission mains 4) Rehabilitation and replacement of sewer mains throughout the System

FY 2016 – FY 2021 CIP by Category

100% Pay-As-You-Go (“PAYGO”) funded Wastewater CIP

(Dollars in Thousands) FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 6-Year Total % of Total Treatment Related $22,266 $21,037 $15,713 $16,241 $18,339 $12,431 $106,028 19.0% Collections Related 56,117 91,493 82,918 64,579 98,426 44,233 437,766 78.3% Other 5,558 3,553 2,138 1,070 1,890 1,130 15,339 2.7% Total $83,941 $116,084 $100,770 $81,890 $118,655 $57,793 $559,133 100.0%

Financial Overview

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Financial Highlights

• The Wastewater System has a stable history of producing strong

financial results that provide bondholder protection

• Consistently strong debt service coverage, with over 2.0x coverage
• n Junior Lien revenue bonds over the last five audited fiscal years,

at an estimated 2.34x as of FY 2016

• Fund balance remains healthy

– FY 2016 estimated available fund balance of $140 million, 209%

• f FY 2016 total O&M expenditures and encumbrances

– Strong financial position allows for 100% pay-as-you-go CIP

• Strong fiscal management has allowed O&M expenditures to remain

relatively flat year-over-year

• City Council approved rate increases effective March 2016 and

March 2017

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Healthy Historical Financial Operations

FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016* Rate Increases 0.0%

• 7.5%

0.0% 0.0% 2.0% Revenues: Sewer Service Charges $156,223,799 $145,040,139 $146,169,112 $147,037,897 $153,353,741 Environmental Charges 35,867,497 33,746,554 33,830,806 33,783,777 33,639,321 Development Occupational Fees 1,670,220 2,281,560 2,370,780 2,255,820 3,340,290 Interest 2,165,538 1,285,710 1,296,093 1,560,956 1,756,422 Industrial Pretreatment Fee 766,162 911,419 716,036 729,213 867,181 Other (1) 16,297,114 11,347,545 8,627,441 5,448,311 6,805,269 Total Revenues $212,990,330 $194,612,927 $193,010,268 $190,815,974 $199,762,224 Operation & Maintenance Expenditures and Encumbrances: Administration $14,357,736 $13,547,284 $13,543,124 $12,203,807 $12,059,961 23rd Avenue WWTP 11,238,212 10,955,517 10,678,917 11,677,602 11,756,052 Reclamation Plants 621,734 743,589 732,489 607,141 639,399 Transfer to SROG Fund 24,247,226 23,787,704 23,333,358 20,516,111 20,885,479 Pollution Control 4,972,308 4,428,371 4,783,814 4,484,224 4,408,509 Sewer Maintenance and Collection 16,584,408 16,781,593 17,173,247 16,310,616 17,067,734 Total O&M Expenditures and Encumbrances $72,021,624 $70,244,058 $70,244,949 $65,799,501 $66,817,134 Net Operating Revenues $140,968,706 $124,368,869 $122,765,319 $125,016,473 $132,945,090 (1) Other includes revenue from sources such as sales of by-products, penalties, test fees, and other miscellaneous revenues. * FY 2016 data is preliminary and unaudited

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Financial Results Provide Strong Bondholder Coverage

• The wastewater system’s stable history of producing healthy financial results

provides strong bondholder protection

• Strong excess revenues are used for PAYGO development, reducing

additional debt needs

(Dollars in Thousands) FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016* Net Operating Revenues Available for Senior Lien Revenue Bond Debt Service (Net Operating Revenues) $140,969 $124,369 $122,765 $125,016 $132,945 Senior Lien Revenue Bond Debt Service $21,679 $21,674 $21,675 $21,675 $21,727 Senior Lien Revenue Bond Debt Service Coverage 6.50x 5.74x 5.66x 5.77x 6.12x Net Operating Revenues Available for Junior Lien Revenue Bond Debt Service (Designated Revenues) $119,290 $102,695 $101,090 $103,342 $111,218 Junior Lien Revenue Bond Debt Service $41,773 $41,113 $46,863 $34,617 $47,467 Junior Lien Revenue Bond Debt Service Coverage 2.86x 2.50x 2.16x 2.99x 2.34x Total Senior and Junior Lien Debt Service $63,452 $62,787 $68,538 $56,291 $69,194 Aggregate Debt Service Coverage 2.22x 1.98x 1.79x 2.22x 1.92x * FY 2016 data is preliminary and unaudited

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Historical Wastewater Rate Adjustments

Historical Annualized Rate Adjustments

• The City’s principal consideration in adjusting wastewater rates is to maintain the System’s operations as a

completely self-supporting enterprise

• No rate increases in 2011 through 2015
• Approved rate increases of 2.0% effective in March 2016 and March 2017 targeted to increase revenues and

maintain strong debt service coverage

• The System maintains a high collections rate, with FY 2016 delinquencies less than 0.5% of wastewater revenues

4.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 5.0% 3.5% 8.0% 7.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.5% 7.0% 5.0% 4.5% 0.0%

• 7.5%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 2.0%

• 10%
• 8%
• 6%
• 4%
• 2%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Plan of Finance

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Wastewater System Debt Structure

• $612 million of outstanding bonds: $119 million of Senior Lien bonds

$493 million of Junior Lien bonds (includes bonds to be refunded)

• Pledge of Designated Revenues: Revenues after payment of operation and maintenance expenses, and Senior Lien

debt service requirements

• Rate Covenant: Net Operating Revenues must equal at least 115% of current fiscal year’s Senior Lien and Junior

Lien debt service

• Senior Lien Additional Bonds Test: Net Operating Revenues for 12 consecutive calendar months out of 18

immediately preceding calendar months (“Rolling Fiscal Year”) must have been at least 120% of maximum annual combined Senior Lien and Junior Lien debt service, including the bonds to be issued (“Combined MADS”)

• Junior Lien Additional Bonds Test: Net Operating Revenues for Rolling Fiscal Year must have been at least 115% of

Combined MADS

Outstanding Wastewater Revenue Bond Debt Service (Dollars in Millions)

(Bond Year Ending July 1) 20 40 60 80 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2007 2011 2014 2008 Blue bars indicate Junior Lien debt service (Series 2007, 2011, 2014) Red bar indicates Senior Lien debt service (Series 2008)

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Transaction Highlights

Transaction Highlights* Sources and Uses*

*Preliminary, subject to change

• Advance refunding of $262.4 million of

2007 Bonds callable on July 1, 2017 at par

• Shortens the final maturity by two years to

July 1, 2035

• Achieves neutral net cashflow savings in

calendar years 2017-2019 and $1.7 million

• f annual cashflow savings in calendar

years 2020-2035

• PV savings of $47.2 million, or 18.0% of

refunded par

• Pricing scheduled for the week of October

31st, 2016

• Closing scheduled for November 16, 2016

Note: reflects bond interest rates as of September 30, 2016 plus 0.50% with no change to escrow yield

Sources Par $230,595,000 Premium 41,455,549 Debt Service Funds 4,917,408 Total Sources $276,967,957 Uses Escrow Deposit $274,661,062 Costs of Issuance 2,306,895 Total Uses $276,967,957

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Preliminary Maturity Structure

* Preliminary, subject to change

Maturity Date (July 1)* Principal* Maturity Date (July 1)* Principal* 2017 $1,195,000 2027 $12,410,000 2018 9,450,000 2028 13,090,000 2019 9,775,000 2029 13,810,000 2020 8,530,000 2030 14,570,000 2021 9,000,000 2031 15,370,000 2022 9,495,000 2032 16,215,000 2023 10,020,000 2033 17,105,000 2024 10,570,000 2034 18,045,000 2025 11,145,000 2035 19,035,000 2026 11,765,000 Total $230,595,000

Notes: maturities in 2027 and after are anticipated to be callable at par on July 1, 2026* reflects bond interest rates as of September 30, 2016 plus 0.50% with no change to escrow yield

Summary

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Credit Strengths

• Broad and diverse economic base
• Strong and conservative fiscal management with solid liquidity
• City Council annually approves updated CIP and financial plan, and considers appropriate rate

adjustments

• 4th lowest average single family water and wastewater bill out of the 20 largest cities in the U.S.
• Strong projected MADS coverage on Senior and Junior Lien debt of 5.82x and 2.54x, respectively
• Remaining average life on all outstanding debt is only 8.6 years with 50% of outstanding principal

being retired in the next seven years

• 100% fixed-rate debt profile, with aggregate debt service level at $68.1 million through 2024, $33.7

million through 2029, and $21.5 million through the final maturity in 2037

• Low leverage levels with a healthy PAYGO CIP (no future new money issues planned)
• Proposed refunding will generate substantial savings and improve debt service coverage
• Strong Junior Lien ratings of AA+ and Aa2 from S&P and Moody’s, respectively

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Investor Relations Website

http://phoenix.gov/finance/investor

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Financing Schedule

All dates preliminary, subject to change

Event Date Release POS Tuesday, October 25, 2016 Pricing Week of October 31, 2016 Closing Wednesday, November 16, 2016 2007 Bonds Redeemed July 1, 2017

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Contact Information

City of Phoenix – Finance Department Denise Olson Chief Financial Officer denise.olson@phoenix.gov (602) 262-7166 Kathleen Gitkin City Treasurer kathleen.gitkin@phoenix.gov Scot Obal Investment & Debt Manager scot.obal@phoenix.gov Financial Advisor – Frasca & Associates, L.L.C. Ken Cushine Principal kcushine@frascallc.com (212) 355-4050 Senior Manager – Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC Richard Weiss Executive Director richard.weiss@morganstanley.com (212) 761-9060 Chuck Peck Executive Director charles.s.peck@morganstanley.com (303) 825-3089